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Trepça Mitrovicë vs Tefik Canga Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 14:30
Trepça Mitrovicë
Trepça Mitrovicë
Vs
38%
25%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tefik Canga
Tefik Canga
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Trepça Mitrovicë’s recent loss to Dinamo Ferizaj has left the side looking for a rebound, while Tefik Canga’s three-game losing streak has them desperate for points. The model sees a high-scoring affair, with an expected 3.4 goals and a 22 % chance that the total will hit three. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.7 % probability. The favourite result is a home win, with the home side’s 39 % chance, a draw at 25 %, and the away side’s 36 %. Trepça averages 1.18 goals scored and 1.91 conceded at home against similar opposition, whereas Tefik averages 1.25 scored and 2.0 conceded on the road. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.7 %), Under 6.5 (94.3 %), Away under 3.5 goals (91.3 %), Home under 3.5 goals (90.2 %), Under 5.5 (87.2 %), Over 1.5 (86.1 %), Home over 0.5 goals (82.3 %) and Home +2 handicap (81.4 %).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trepça Mitrovicë win
37.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga win
37.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-525L12L03L31W01L03L03L31W05L12LH·LIR12/04A·TEF17/04H·VJO26/04A·KEK02/05H·VUS10/05A·FER16/05H·2 K23/05H·MIT16/08A·DIN23/08H·RIL30/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.132.101.132.071.132.13
vs Stronger (5)0.602.601.503.500.002.00
vs Similar (23)1.301.961.171.921.452.00
vs Weaker (2)0.502.500.001.001.004.00
Clean sheet %10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D21W10W12L13L10W36L13L01L22DA·PRI12/04H·TRE17/04A·RAM25/04H·VËL02/05A·FC 09/05H·KIK16/05A·SUH23/05H·VËL15/08A·2 K22/08H·RAM29/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.701.251.441.072.00
vs Stronger (4)1.002.251.332.670.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.241.561.231.151.252.00
vs Weaker (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça Mitrovicë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.0%
Under 1.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.6%
Under 2.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
67.4%
No
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
4.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-0
4.8%
0-1
4.8%
Trepça Mitrovicë goals ↓
Tefik Canga goals →
01234
04.4%4.8%4.8%2.7%1.1%
14.8%11%8.2%4.6%1.9%
24.9%8.2%6.9%3.9%1.6%
32.8%4.7%3.9%2.2%0.9%
41.2%2.0%1.7%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Trepça Mitrovicë goals (down), columns = Tefik Canga goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dinamo Ferizaj
2.09
Liria Prizren
2.09
Trepça'89
2.06
Vëllaznimi
2.06
Ramiz Sadiku
1.47
Mitrovica
1.39
Ferizaj
1.39
Prishtina e Re
1.39
KF Lepenci
1.39
Suhareka
1.29
Tefik Canga
1.18
2 Korriku
1.15
FC Besa Peja
1.06
Vjosa
1.03
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.00
Kika
0.97
Istogu
0.94
Rilindja 1974
0.94
Trepça Mitrovicë is 0.18 points worse than Tefik Canga in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Trepça'89
2.12
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.79
Suhareka
1.76
Liria Prizren
1.76
Vëllaznimi
1.71
2 Korriku
1.53
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.44
Tefik Canga
1.41
Mitrovica
1.40
Ferizaj
1.40
Prishtina e Re
1.40
KF Lepenci
1.40
Istogu
1.38
FC Besa Peja
1.18
Ramiz Sadiku
1.15
Vjosa
1.15
Rilindja 1974
1.00
Kika
0.74
Trepça Mitrovicë is 0.03 goals better than Tefik Canga in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.41).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.85
Ramiz Sadiku
0.85
Vëllaznimi
0.94
Trepça'89
0.97
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.15
Kika
1.26
Mitrovica
1.41
Ferizaj
1.41
Prishtina e Re
1.41
KF Lepenci
1.41
FC Besa Peja
1.58
Tefik Canga
1.59
Istogu
1.76
Rilindja 1974
1.79
Suhareka
1.79
Vjosa
1.79
Trepça Mitrovicë
1.82
2 Korriku
1.88
Trepça Mitrovicë is 0.24 goals worse than Tefik Canga in terms of goals conceded per game (1.82 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Trepça Mitrovicë or Draw
62.5%
Avg Implied -
38%
25%
37%
covers Trepça Mitrovicë + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë or Tefik Canga
75.3%
Avg Implied -
38%
25%
37%
covers Trepça Mitrovicë + Tefik Canga
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Tefik Canga
62.2%
Avg Implied -
38%
25%
37%
covers Draw + Tefik Canga
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 0.5
Over
81.6%
Under
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 1.5
Over
50.5%
Under
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 2.5
Over
24.1%
Under
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 3.5
Over
9.2%
Under
90.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 0.5
Over
81.4%
Under
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 1.5
Over
50.2%
Under
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 2.5
Over
23.9%
Under
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 3.5
Over
9.1%
Under
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Trepça Mitrovicë, so a minus line means Trepça Mitrovicë give that many goals of a start and Tefik Canga receive them. At -1, Trepça Mitrovicë must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Trepça Mitrovicë win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Trepça Mitrovicë)
Trepça Mitrovicë -2
8.2%
Draw -2
11.6%
Tefik Canga +2
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Trepça Mitrovicë)
Trepça Mitrovicë -1
19.8%
Draw -1
18.0%
Tefik Canga +1
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Trepça Mitrovicë)
Trepça Mitrovicë +1
62.5%
Draw +1
17.9%
Tefik Canga -1
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Trepça Mitrovicë)
Trepça Mitrovicë +2
80.5%
Draw +2
11.4%
Tefik Canga -2
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L01L02L00D00D02L00D31W00DA·RIL06/04H·LIR12/04A·TEF17/04H·VJO26/04A·KEK02/05H·VUS10/05A·FER16/05H·2 K23/05H·MIT16/08A·DIN23/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.640.710.440.69
vs Stronger (4)0.250.25--0.250.25
vs Similar (24)0.580.710.690.770.450.64
vs Weaker (2)0.501.500.000.001.003.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W00D01L00D10W00D02L01L01LA·PRI12/04H·TRE17/04A·RAM25/04H·VËL02/05A·FC 09/05H·KIK16/05A·SUH23/05H·VËL15/08A·2 K22/08H·RAM29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.600.270.600.400.60
vs Stronger (4)0.001.250.001.330.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.380.420.270.360.460.46
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça Mitrovicë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D12L11D01L31W01L01L03L00D05LA·RIL06/04H·LIR12/04A·TEF17/04H·VJO26/04A·KEK02/05H·VUS10/05A·FER16/05H·2 K23/05H·MIT16/08A·DIN23/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.170.790.930.691.38
vs Stronger (4)0.001.75--0.001.75
vs Similar (24)0.921.080.850.921.001.27
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Tefik Canga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L11D10W11D13L00D36L11D00D21WA·PRI12/04H·TRE17/04A·RAM25/04H·VËL02/05A·FC 09/05H·KIK16/05A·SUH23/05H·VËL15/08A·2 K22/08H·RAM29/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.971.000.601.001.33
vs Stronger (4)1.001.001.331.330.000.00
vs Similar (24)1.041.000.910.451.151.46
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Trepça Mitrovicë) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trepça Mitrovicë over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tefik Canga over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.597.8%-------
Under 6.594.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals90.9%-------
Home under 3.5 goals90.8%-------
Under 5.587.3%-------
Over 1.586.0%-------
Home over 0.5 goals81.6%-------
Away over 0.5 goals81.4%-------
Home +2 handicap80.5%-------
Away +2 handicap80.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals76.1%-------
Home under 2.5 goals75.9%-------
Home or Away75.3%-------
Under 4.574.8%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
TM wins
0
Draws
1
TC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Trepça Mitrovicë vs Tefik Canga · H/A from TM
DateH/AGameScore
17/04/26ATefik Canga Vs TM2-1
18/10/25HTM Vs Tefik Canga3-2

Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HTM Vs Rilindja 19741-2
23/08/26ADinamo Ferizaj Vs TM5-0
16/08/26HTM Vs Mitrovica3-1
23/05/26HTM Vs 2 Korriku0-3
16/05/26AFeronikeli Vs TM3-0
10/05/26HTM Vs Vushtrria0-1
02/05/26AKEK-u Vs TM1-3
26/04/26HTM Vs Vjosa0-3
17/04/26ATefik Canga Vs TM2-1
12/04/26HTM Vs Liria Prizren2-5

Tefik CangaTefik Canga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HTC Vs Ramiz Sadiku2-2
22/08/26A2 Korriku Vs TC1-0
15/08/26HTC Vs Vëllaznimi1-3
23/05/26ASuhareka Vs TC6-3
16/05/26HTC Vs Kika1-0
09/05/26AFC Besa Peja Vs TC3-1
02/05/26HTC Vs Vëllaznimi1-2
25/04/26ARamiz Sadiku Vs TC0-1
17/04/26HTC Vs Trepça Mitrovicë2-1
12/04/26APrizreni Vs TC2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Trepça Mitrovicë
Trepça Mitrovicë
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.00
HomeLLLWL1.00
AwayLLWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%26%28%
AVG goals3.323.323.33
Over 1.5 %86%84%89%
Over 2.5 %68%58%78%
Over 3.5 %41%42%39%
Scored1.431.531.33
Conceded1.891.792.00
BTTS57%53%61%
Clean Sheet14%16%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Tefik Canga
Tefik Canga
Kosovo: Liga E Pare
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD1.11
HomeWLWLD1.37
AwayDWLLL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%22%
AVG goals3.002.843.17
Over 1.5 %78%74%83%
Over 2.5 %57%58%56%
Over 3.5 %32%32%33%
Scored1.381.471.28
Conceded1.621.371.89
BTTS62%63%61%
Clean Sheet14%16%11%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VëllaznimiVëllaznimi39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.3
-
2Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj37
67%
2.3
81+7
3.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.70.3
-
3TrepçaTrepça'8937
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.0
-
4Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren37
67%
2.3
42+2
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
5SuharekaSuhareka36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
62 Korriku2 Korriku36
67%
2.0
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
7Rilindja 1974Rilindja 197434
33%
1.3
34-1
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
8VjosaVjosa33
33%
1.0
54+1
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
9Ramiz SadikuRamiz Sadiku33
0%
1.0
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
10KikaKika33
0%
1.0
11+0
0.7
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.3
-
11FC Besa PejaFC Besa Peja33
33%
1.0
23-1
1.7
33%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.0
-
12Trepça MitrovicëTrepça Mitrovicë33
33%
1.0
48-4
4.0
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.7
-
13Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re33
33%
1.0
26-4
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.0
-
14IstoguIstogu33
33%
1.0
27-5
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.3
-
15KF LepenciKF Lepenci32
0%
0.7
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
16MitrovicaMitrovica32
0%
0.7
13-2
1.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.0
-
17FerizajFerizaj31
0%
0.3
24-2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.3
-
18Tefik CangaTefik Canga31
0%
0.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Kosovo: Liga E Pare 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Liga E Pare stats & trends →

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