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Triglav vs Rudar Result & Analysis

Date: 14/04/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 1-2
Triglav
Triglav
Vs
33%
24%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Triglav win✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudar win✓ Hit
42.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-552W01L25L04L21W02L20W04L02L10WH·DOB04/11H·BIL13/11A·PRI20/11H·KRK26/11A·KRŠ05/03H·ILI10/03A·ROG19/03H·ALU24/03A·BRI02/04H·NAF07/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.961.751.081.830.831.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.921.620.861.571.001.67
vs Weaker (11)1.001.911.402.200.671.67
Clean sheet %21% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L22D35L00D22D21W01L00D24L02LA·ILI06/11H·BEL13/11A·ROG19/11H·DEK26/11A·ALU03/03H·DOB11/03A·BRI18/03H·BIL25/03A·NAF31/03H·PRI10/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.671.001.151.732.27
vs Stronger (9)1.112.110.601.401.753.00
vs Similar (15)1.471.401.251.001.711.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %21% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.4%
Under 1.5
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.3%
Under 2.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.4%
Under 3.5
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.7%
No
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
1-2 ✓
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
0-1
5.1%
1-0
4.3%
Triglav goals ↓
Rudar goals →
01234
04.3%5.1%5.5%3.4%1.5%
14.3%11%8.7%5.3%2.4%
24.1%7.6%6.9%4.2%1.9%
32.2%4.0%3.6%2.2%1.0%
40.9%1.6%1.4%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Triglav goals (down), columns = Rudar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rogaška
2.27
Aluminij
2.13
Ilirija
1.80
Krka
1.77
Beltinci
1.47
Primorje
1.37
Nafta
1.37
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.27
Bilje
1.23
Bistrica
1.23
Dekani
1.17
Triglav
1.17
Rudar
1.07
Fužinar
1.03
Krško
0.80
Dob
0.70
Triglav is 0.10 points better than Rudar in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Aluminij
1.93
Ilirija
1.83
Rogaška
1.73
Nafta
1.67
Beltinci
1.57
Krka
1.53
Primorje
1.40
Rudar
1.37
Bilje
1.33
Fužinar
1.30
Bistrica
1.30
Dob
1.23
Krško
1.20
Triglav
1.10
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.00
Dekani
0.90
Triglav is 0.27 goals worse than Rudar in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Rogaška
0.77
Aluminij
0.77
Krka
0.93
Dekani
0.97
Ilirija
1.00
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.23
Primorje
1.33
Bistrica
1.33
Nafta
1.43
Beltinci
1.50
Rudar
1.70
Triglav
1.73
Bilje
1.77
Fužinar
1.87
Krško
1.97
Dob
2.10
Triglav is 0.03 goals worse than Rudar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TriglavTriglav

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W00D02L04L10W00D10W01L02L00DH·DOB04/11H·BIL13/11A·PRI20/11H·KRK26/11A·KRŠ05/03H·ILI10/03A·ROG19/03H·ALU24/03A·BRI02/04H·NAF07/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.830.420.830.250.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.150.770.140.570.171.00
vs Weaker (11)0.550.910.801.200.330.67
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L32W00D11D20W01L00D12L01LA·ILI06/11H·BEL13/11A·ROG19/11H·DEK26/11A·ALU03/03H·DOB11/03A·BRI18/03H·BIL25/03A·NAF31/03H·PRI10/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.750.540.620.910.91
vs Stronger (9)0.891.110.600.801.251.50
vs Similar (15)0.600.530.500.500.710.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Triglav over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TriglavTriglav

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L23L00D11D02L10W03L00D10WH·DOB04/11H·BIL13/11A·PRI20/11H·KRK26/11A·KRŠ05/03H·ILI10/03A·ROG19/03H·ALU24/03A·BRI02/04H·NAF07/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.920.671.000.580.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.770.850.711.000.830.67
vs Weaker (11)0.451.000.601.000.331.00
Clean sheet %42% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W03L00D11D01L00D00D12L01LA·ILI06/11H·BEL13/11A·ROG19/11H·DEK26/11A·ALU03/03H·DOB11/03A·BRI18/03H·BIL25/03A·NAF31/03H·PRI10/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.920.460.540.821.36
vs Stronger (9)0.221.000.000.600.501.50
vs Similar (15)0.870.870.750.501.001.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Triglav over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
PRI (10)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Triglav and Rudar have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
PRI (3)
€0m
Triglav and Rudar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
PRI (2)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Triglav and Rudar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
PRI (5)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Triglav and Rudar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
TRI wins
0
Draws
0
RUD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Triglav vs Rudar · H/A from TRI
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/22ARudar Vs TRI0-2

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/23HTRI Vs Nafta1-0
02/04/23ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs TRI2-0
24/03/23HTRI Vs Aluminij0-4
19/03/23ARogaška Vs TRI0-2
10/03/23HTRI Vs Ilirija0-2
05/03/23AKrško Vs TRI1-2
26/11/22HTRI Vs Krka0-4
20/11/22APrimorje Vs TRI5-2
13/11/22HTRI Vs Bilje0-1
04/11/22HTRI Vs Dob5-2

RudarRudar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/23HRUD Vs Primorje0-2
31/03/23ANafta Vs RUD4-2
25/03/23HRUD Vs Bilje0-0
18/03/23ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs RUD1-0
11/03/23HRUD Vs Dob2-1
03/03/23AAluminij Vs RUD2-2
26/11/22HRUD Vs Dekani0-0
19/11/22ARogaška Vs RUD5-3
13/11/22HRUD Vs Beltinci2-2
06/11/22AIlirija Vs RUD3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Triglav
Triglav
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.12
HomeLLLLW1.08
AwayDLWWL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%33%33%
AVG goals2.712.922.50
Over 1.5 %79%75%83%
Over 2.5 %42%58%25%
Over 3.5 %25%33%17%
Scored0.961.080.83
Conceded1.751.831.67
BTTS33%42%25%
Clean Sheet21%8%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL1.08
HomeDDWDL1.46
AwayLLDLL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%38%9%
AVG goals3.002.154.00
Over 1.5 %79%69%91%
Over 2.5 %50%38%64%
Over 3.5 %38%15%64%
Scored1.331.001.73
Conceded1.671.152.27
BTTS54%38%73%
Clean Sheet21%31%9%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RogaškaRogaška3068
70%
2.3
5223+29
2.5
67%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.8
-
2AluminijAluminij3064
63%
2.1
5823+35
2.7
70%
50%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.90.8
-
3IlirijaIlirija3054
53%
1.8
5530+25
2.8
77%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.0
-
4KrkaKrka3053
47%
1.8
4628+18
2.5
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.50.9
-
5BeltinciBeltinci3044
40%
1.5
4745+2
3.1
90%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.5
-
6NaftaNafta3041
37%
1.4
5043+7
3.1
83%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.4
-
7PrimorjePrimorje3041
33%
1.4
4240+2
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.3
-
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3038
37%
1.3
3037-7
2.2
73%
23%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.2
-
9BistricaBistrica3037
30%
1.2
3940-1
2.6
80%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.3
-
10BiljeBilje3037
33%
1.2
4053-13
3.1
77%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.8
-
11DekaniDekani3035
23%
1.2
2729-2
1.9
53%
27%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.0
-
12TriglavTriglav3035
33%
1.2
3352-19
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.7
-
13RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
4151-10
3.1
83%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.7
-
14FužinarFužinar3031
27%
1.0
3956-17
3.2
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
15KrškoKrško3024
20%
0.8
3659-23
3.2
80%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
16DobDob3021
13%
0.7
3763-26
3.3
87%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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