PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Třinec vs Opava Result & Analysis

Date: 24/05/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Třinec
Třinec
Vs
43%
31%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Opava
Opava
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Třinec win✗ Miss
42.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Opava win✓ Hit
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TřinecTřinec

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W04L11D12L21W11D12L12L22D01LH·VAR18/03A·VLA01/04H·SIG08/04A·VYŠ15/04H·PŘÍ19/04A·CHR22/04H·TÁB29/04A·VYS05/05H·SPA13/05A·ART20/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.641.571.570.571.71
vs Stronger (28)1.071.641.571.570.571.71
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %18% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OpavaOpava

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D11D01L12L01L21W00D02L11DH·VLA18/03A·SLA02/04H·VYS08/04A·CHR15/04H·SPA19/04A·TÁB23/04H·KAR01/05A·ART06/05A·PŘÍ12/05H·PRO19/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.821.001.070.930.571.07
vs Stronger (6)0.831.001.001.000.671.00
vs Similar (21)0.861.051.201.000.551.09
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %25% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Třinec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.1%
Under 1.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.9%
Under 2.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.5%
Under 3.5
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.2%
No
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
13.0%
0-0
12.7%
0-1 ✓
9.1%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.8%
Třinec goals ↓
Opava goals →
01234
013%9.1%4.8%1.5%0.3%
113%14%6.0%1.8%0.4%
29.0%8.2%3.8%1.1%0.3%
33.8%3.4%1.6%0.5%0.1%
41.2%1.1%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Třinec goals (down), columns = Opava goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Karviná
1.87
Vyškov
1.73
Příbram
1.70
Dukla Praha
1.57
Artis
1.53
Varnsdorf
1.43
Táborsko
1.40
Chrudim
1.30
Sigma Olomouc II
1.30
Sparta Praha II
1.30
Vlašim
1.27
Prostějov
1.20
Opava
1.13
Vysočina Jihlava
1.13
Slavia Praha II
1.07
Třinec
0.90
Třinec is 0.23 points worse than Opava in terms of average points per game (0.90 vs 1.13).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Karviná
1.93
Vlašim
1.80
Varnsdorf
1.80
Dukla Praha
1.70
Příbram
1.60
Vyškov
1.50
Slavia Praha II
1.40
Sigma Olomouc II
1.37
Táborsko
1.30
Prostějov
1.30
Artis
1.27
Vysočina Jihlava
1.23
Chrudim
1.07
Sparta Praha II
1.07
Třinec
1.00
Opava
0.87
Třinec is 0.13 goals better than Opava in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Artis
0.90
Opava
0.97
Vyškov
0.97
Chrudim
1.07
Příbram
1.07
Karviná
1.23
Sparta Praha II
1.30
Táborsko
1.43
Dukla Praha
1.50
Sigma Olomouc II
1.53
Varnsdorf
1.53
Třinec
1.60
Vlašim
1.63
Vysočina Jihlava
1.70
Slavia Praha II
1.87
Prostějov
1.90
Třinec is 0.63 goals worse than Opava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TřinecTřinec

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W03L00D00D20W11D02L00D00D00DH·VAR18/03A·VLA01/04H·SIG08/04A·VYŠ15/04H·PŘÍ19/04A·CHR22/04H·TÁB29/04A·VYS05/05H·SPA13/05A·ART20/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.460.680.710.640.210.71
vs Stronger (28)0.460.680.710.640.210.71
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OpavaOpava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D10W00D01L00D11D00D01L10WH·VLA18/03A·SLA02/04H·VYS08/04A·CHR15/04H·SPA19/04A·TÁB23/04H·KAR01/05A·ART06/05A·PŘÍ12/05H·PRO19/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.320.430.570.430.070.43
vs Stronger (6)0.330.500.670.670.000.33
vs Similar (21)0.330.430.600.400.090.45
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %61% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Třinec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Třinec over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TřinecTřinec

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L11D12L01L00D10W12L22D01LH·VAR18/03A·VLA01/04H·SIG08/04A·VYŠ15/04H·PŘÍ19/04A·CHR22/04H·TÁB29/04A·VYS05/05H·SPA13/05A·ART20/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.610.960.860.930.361.00
vs Stronger (28)0.610.960.860.930.361.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %39% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OpavaOpava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D11D01L01L11D01L10W00D01L01LH·VLA18/03A·SLA02/04H·VYS08/04A·CHR15/04H·SPA19/04A·TÁB23/04H·KAR01/05A·ART06/05A·PŘÍ12/05H·PRO19/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.500.500.500.64
vs Stronger (6)0.500.500.330.330.670.67
vs Similar (21)0.520.620.600.600.450.64
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Třinec) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Třinec over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Třinec over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
ART (30)
€9m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Třinec's squad is €2m less valuable than Opava's (€0m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Třinec's attack is €1m less valuable than Opava's (€0m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Třinec and Opava have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
ART (13)
€5m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Třinec and Opava have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
TŘI wins
1
Draws
0
OPA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Třinec vs Opava · H/A from TŘI
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/22AOpava Vs TŘI0-0

TřinecTřinec

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/23AArtis Vs TŘI1-0
13/05/23HTŘI Vs Sparta Praha II2-2
05/05/23AVysočina Jihlava Vs TŘI2-1
29/04/23HTŘI Vs Táborsko1-2
22/04/23AChrudim Vs TŘI1-1
19/04/23HTŘI Vs Příbram2-1
15/04/23AVyškov Vs TŘI2-1
08/04/23HTŘI Vs Sigma Olomouc II1-1
01/04/23AVlašim Vs TŘI4-0
18/03/23HTŘI Vs Varnsdorf2-1

OpavaOpava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/23HOPA Vs Prostějov1-1
12/05/23APříbram Vs OPA2-0
06/05/23AArtis Vs OPA0-0
01/05/23HOPA Vs Karviná2-1
23/04/23ATáborsko Vs OPA1-0
19/04/23HOPA Vs Sparta Praha II1-2
15/04/23AChrudim Vs OPA1-0
08/04/23HOPA Vs Vysočina Jihlava1-1
02/04/23ASlavia Praha II Vs OPA1-1
18/03/23HOPA Vs Vlašim0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Třinec
Třinec
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDL0.96
HomeWDWLD1.43
AwayLLDLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%36%7%
AVG goals2.713.142.29
Over 1.5 %86%100%71%
Over 2.5 %57%64%50%
Over 3.5 %29%36%21%
Scored1.071.570.57
Conceded1.641.571.71
BTTS57%64%50%
Clean Sheet18%14%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Opava
Opava
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLD1.00
HomeLDLWD1.21
AwayDLLDL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%29%14%
AVG goals1.822.001.64
Over 1.5 %54%64%43%
Over 2.5 %25%36%14%
Over 3.5 %11%7%14%
Scored0.821.070.57
Conceded1.000.931.07
BTTS43%50%36%
Clean Sheet25%29%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KarvináKarviná3056
57%
1.9
5837+21
3.2
80%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
4121.91.2
-
2VyškovVyškov3052
47%
1.7
4529+16
2.5
77%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
3PříbramPříbram3051
47%
1.7
4832+16
2.7
83%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.1
-
4Dukla PrahaDukla Praha3047
47%
1.6
5145+6
3.2
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.71.5
-
5ArtisArtis3046
43%
1.5
3827+11
2.2
63%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.30.9
-
6VarnsdorfVarnsdorf3043
40%
1.4
5446+8
3.3
90%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.5
-
7TáborskoTáborsko3042
37%
1.4
3943-4
2.7
73%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.4
-
8ChrudimChrudim3039
27%
1.3
3232+0
2.1
70%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II3039
33%
1.3
4146-5
2.9
80%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
10Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3039
37%
1.3
3239-7
2.4
73%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
11VlašimVlašim3038
37%
1.3
5449+5
3.4
90%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.81.6
-
12ProstějovProstějov3036
30%
1.2
3957-18
3.2
90%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.9
-
13OpavaOpava3034
27%
1.1
2629-3
1.8
53%
27%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.0
-
14Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3034
30%
1.1
3751-14
2.9
80%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.7
-
15Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II3032
27%
1.1
4256-14
3.3
80%
60%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3261.41.9
-
16TřinecTřinec3027
20%
0.9
3048-18
2.6
80%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

← all matches