This opponent (Molde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Molde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.30
0.97
2.40
0.87
2.20
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
2.33
1.25
2.29
1.43
2.40
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
2.28
0.78
2.50
0.38
2.10
1.10
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Tromso) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.8%
Under 1.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.2%
Under 2.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.3%
Under 3.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.7%
No
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
0-1 ✓
6.1%
0-3
4.9%
Tromso goals ↓
Molde goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
6.1%
7.2%
4.9%
2.5%
1
3.7%
10%
9.5%
6.5%
3.3%
2
3.0%
6.2%
6.3%
4.3%
2.2%
3
1.3%
2.7%
2.8%
1.9%
1.0%
4
0.4%
0.9%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tromso goals (down), columns = Molde goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Molde
2.60
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Rosenborg
1.87
Lillestrom
1.77
Kongsvinger
1.50
ODD Ballklubb
1.50
Valerenga
1.47
Tromso
1.43
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.37
Aalesund
1.30
Haugesund
1.27
Viking
1.17
Stromsgodset
1.10
Ham-Kam
1.03
Sandefjord
0.84
Kristiansund BK
0.77
jerv
0.67
Tromso is 1.17 points worse than Molde in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 2.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.87
Molde
2.37
Rosenborg
2.30
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.90
Valerenga
1.73
Lillestrom
1.63
Viking
1.60
Tromso
1.53
Sandefjord
1.47
Stromsgodset
1.47
ODD Ballklubb
1.43
Haugesund
1.40
Kristiansund BK
1.23
Ham-Kam
1.10
Aalesund
1.07
Kongsvinger
1.00
jerv
1.00
Tromso is 0.83 goals worse than Molde in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 2.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Molde
0.83
Lillestrom
1.13
Bodo/Glimt
1.37
Ham-Kam
1.43
Rosenborg
1.47
ODD Ballklubb
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Haugesund
1.53
Valerenga
1.63
Tromso
1.63
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.80
Viking
1.80
Stromsgodset
1.83
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Sandefjord
2.19
jerv
2.30
Kongsvinger
2.50
Tromso is 0.80 goals worse than Molde in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
61%
Kongsvinger
54%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
54%
Valerenga
54%
Viking
53%
Molde
52%
ODD Ballklubb
52%
Lillestrom
52%
Sandefjord
50%
Rosenborg
49%
Stromsgodset
49%
Haugesund
48%
Tromso
48%
Aalesund
46%
Kristiansund BK
46%
jerv
45%
Ham-Kam
40%
Tromso is 4.1 percentage points worse than Molde in terms of average possession (48% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Tromso
For 2.4 · Against 5.2 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 11.0 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Molde
For 6.5 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 8.5 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tromso
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
8.7
8.1
9.3
3.1
2.9
3.3
21.6
22.5
20.7
vs Stronger (2)
5.5
4.0
7.0
4.5
5.0
4.0
20.0
26.0
14.0
vs Similar (10)
9.2
8.6
9.8
3.2
2.6
3.8
19.9
19.8
20.0
vs Weaker (11)
8.9
8.4
9.3
2.8
2.8
2.8
23.4
24.6
22.3
% over line
43%
27%
58%
39%
36%
42%
48%
55%
42%
% under line
57%
73%
42%
61%
64%
58%
52%
45%
58%
This opponent (Molde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Molde
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (31)
10.7
10.5
10.9
3.5
3.4
3.6
20.3
20.2
20.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
10.5
10.6
10.4
4.2
3.8
4.8
22.1
21.0
24.0
vs Weaker (18)
10.8
10.5
11.1
3.0
3.0
3.0
19.0
19.4
18.7
% over line
50%
53%
47%
52%
44%
60%
37%
36%
38%
% under line
50%
47%
53%
48%
56%
40%
63%
64%
62%
This opponent (Tromso) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sandefjord
12.8
Sarpsborg 08 FF
12.4
jerv
12.3
Stromsgodset
12.3
Kristiansund BK
11.9
Lillestrom
11.5
Haugesund
11.4
Valerenga
11.3
Ham-Kam
11.0
Viking
10.8
Molde
10.7
ODD Ballklubb
10.4
Aalesund
10.2
Bodo/Glimt
9.9
Rosenborg
9.4
Tromso
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Viking
4.5
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4.2
Molde
4.0
jerv
4.0
Haugesund
3.8
Lillestrom
3.6
Rosenborg
3.6
ODD Ballklubb
3.5
Aalesund
3.5
Stromsgodset
3.5
Valerenga
3.5
Bodo/Glimt
3.3
Kristiansund BK
3.2
Tromso
3.1
Ham-Kam
2.9
Sandefjord
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aalesund
22.7
jerv
21.6
Haugesund
21.6
Tromso
21.6
Lillestrom
20.9
Kristiansund BK
20.4
Valerenga
20.3
Molde
20.3
Sarpsborg 08 FF
20.1
Viking
19.9
Stromsgodset
19.7
Rosenborg
19.3
Ham-Kam
19.2
Bodo/Glimt
18.8
ODD Ballklubb
18.0
Sandefjord
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.3%
Under 9.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
46.9%
Under 3.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
41.8%
Under 21.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tromso
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.74
1.00
0.55
0.42
0.92
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (10)
0.60
1.10
0.80
1.00
0.40
1.20
vs Weaker (11)
0.73
0.55
1.00
0.20
0.50
0.83
Clean sheet %
52% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Molde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Molde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.47
1.07
0.40
0.87
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.00
0.58
1.00
0.71
1.00
0.40
vs Weaker (18)
0.94
0.39
1.12
0.12
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Tromso) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tromso over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tromso
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
0.96
1.00
0.91
0.58
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.80
1.20
1.20
1.20
0.40
1.20
vs Weaker (11)
0.73
0.64
0.80
0.40
0.67
0.83
Clean sheet %
26% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Molde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Molde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
0.50
1.33
0.47
1.33
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.33
0.67
1.29
0.71
1.40
0.60
vs Weaker (18)
1.33
0.39
1.38
0.25
1.30
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Tromso) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tromso over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tromso
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eric Kitolano41%
August Mikkelsen23%
Waren Hakon Christofer Kamanzi18%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås14%
Moses Ebiye12%
Sakarias Opsahl10%
Jostein Gundersen9%
Niklas Vesterlund9%
Kent-Are Antonsen8%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim8%
Christophe Psyche7%
Ruben Jenssen7%
Jasse Tuominen4%
Felix Winther4%
Lasse Nilsen4%
Jakob Haugaard0%
Casper Öyvann0%
Anders Jenssen0%
Tobias Hafstad0%
Isak Kjelsrud Vik0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lasse Nilsen22%
Jostein Gundersen22%
Ruben Jenssen19%
Eric Kitolano17%
Isak Kjelsrud Vik17%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås14%
Kent-Are Antonsen12%
Anders Jenssen12%
Jakob Haugaard10%
Niklas Vesterlund9%
Christophe Psyche7%
Sakarias Opsahl7%
Casper Öyvann6%
August Mikkelsen4%
Felix Winther4%
Waren Hakon Christofer Kamanzi4%
Jasse Tuominen0%
Moses Ebiye0%
Tobias Hafstad0%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sakarias Opsahl20%
August Mikkelsen15%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås14%
Niklas Vesterlund13%
Lasse Nilsen11%
Eric Kitolano10%
Kent-Are Antonsen8%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim8%
Anders Jenssen8%
Ruben Jenssen7%
Moses Ebiye6%
Jasse Tuominen4%
Felix Winther4%
Waren Hakon Christofer Kamanzi4%
Jakob Haugaard0%
Casper Öyvann0%
Christophe Psyche0%
Jostein Gundersen0%
Tobias Hafstad0%
Isak Kjelsrud Vik0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moses Ebiye31%
Eric Kitolano28%
August Mikkelsen19%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås14%
Niklas Vesterlund4%
Sakarias Opsahl3%
Jasse Tuominen0%
Jakob Haugaard0%
Casper Öyvann0%
Christophe Psyche0%
Ruben Jenssen0%
Anders Jenssen0%
Jostein Gundersen0%
Kent-Are Antonsen0%
Lasse Nilsen0%
Felix Winther0%
Tobias Hafstad0%
Waren Hakon Christofer Kamanzi0%
Isak Kjelsrud Vik0%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim0%
Molde
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ola Brynhildsen52%
David Datro Fofana47%
Marcus Andre Kaasa29%
Eirik Andersen25%
Magnus Grødem21%
Magnus Eikrem18%
Kristian Eriksen14%
Martin Linnes14%
Kristoffer Haugen13%
Rafik Zekhnini12%
Etzaz Hussain12%
Niklas Odegard9%
Emil Breivik9%
Erling Knudtzon6%
Sivert Mannsverk6%
Eirik Haugan3%
Martin Bjornbak0%
Mathis Bolly0%
Birk Risa0%
Benjamin Hansen0%
Jakob Karlstrom0%
Oliver Petersen0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Mathias Løvik0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sivert Mannsverk30%
Eirik Haugan26%
Eirik Andersen25%
Oliver Petersen25%
Emil Breivik20%
Rafik Zekhnini19%
Birk Risa15%
Ola Brynhildsen15%
Kristian Eriksen14%
David Datro Fofana13%
Erling Knudtzon13%
Etzaz Hussain12%
Mathias Løvik11%
Benjamin Hansen10%
Jakob Karlstrom9%
Magnus Grødem9%
Magnus Eikrem7%
Marcus Andre Kaasa6%
Kristoffer Haugen4%
Martin Linnes0%
Martin Bjornbak0%
Mathis Bolly0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emil Breivik26%
Magnus Eikrem25%
Kristian Eriksen24%
Kristoffer Haugen17%
Mathias Løvik17%
Magnus Grødem15%
Martin Linnes10%
David Datro Fofana10%
Etzaz Hussain8%
Marcus Andre Kaasa6%
Rafik Zekhnini6%
Jakob Karlstrom6%
Erling Knudtzon3%
Birk Risa3%
Eirik Haugan3%
Martin Bjornbak0%
Eirik Andersen0%
Mathis Bolly0%
Benjamin Hansen0%
Ola Brynhildsen0%
Sivert Mannsverk0%
Oliver Petersen0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ola Brynhildsen41%
David Datro Fofana37%
Eirik Andersen25%
Magnus Eikrem25%
Magnus Grødem24%
Kristian Eriksen14%
Kristoffer Haugen13%
Rafik Zekhnini12%
Etzaz Hussain8%
Marcus Andre Kaasa6%
Mathias Løvik6%
Benjamin Hansen3%
Birk Risa3%
Sivert Mannsverk3%
Emil Breivik3%
Martin Linnes0%
Martin Bjornbak0%
Mathis Bolly0%
Erling Knudtzon0%
Jakob Karlstrom0%
Eirik Haugan0%
Oliver Petersen0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Niklas Odegard0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
KON (24)
€6m
Tromso's squad is €20m less valuable than Molde's (€15m vs €35m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
Tromso's attack is €9m less valuable than Molde's (€4m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
KON (3)
€1m
Tromso's midfield is €4m less valuable than Molde's (€3m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
OB (12)
€3m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
Tromso's defence is €6m less valuable than Molde's (€8m vs €15m).
Norway: Eliteserien 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →