This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.50
1.80
1.33
1.40
1.67
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
2.43
0.67
2.00
1.50
2.75
vs Similar (14)
1.79
1.43
1.75
1.12
1.83
1.83
vs Weaker (9)
1.67
0.89
2.75
1.25
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.0%
Under 1.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.5%
Under 2.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.6%
Under 3.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.8%
No
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.0%
2-1 ✓
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
4.4%
TSV Hartberg goals ↓
Austria Vienna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
5.4%
5.9%
3.7%
1.7%
1
4.2%
11%
9.0%
5.6%
2.6%
2
3.9%
7.3%
6.8%
4.2%
2.0%
3
2.0%
3.7%
3.4%
2.1%
1.0%
4
0.7%
1.4%
1.3%
0.8%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = TSV Hartberg goals (down), columns = Austria Vienna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sturm Graz
2.09
Red Bull Salzburg
2.09
Lask Linz
1.62
Austria Vienna
1.57
Rapid Vienna
1.41
Wolfsberger AC
1.39
TSV Hartberg
1.32
Austria Klagenfurt
1.22
FC BW Linz
1.00
SCR Altach
0.97
WSG Wattens
0.81
Austria Lustenau
0.66
TSV Hartberg is 0.25 points worse than Austria Vienna in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.31
Sturm Graz
1.75
TSV Hartberg
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.47
Lask Linz
1.34
Wolfsberger AC
1.27
Austria Klagenfurt
1.25
Austria Vienna
1.14
FC BW Linz
1.03
WSG Wattens
0.91
SCR Altach
0.84
Austria Lustenau
0.69
TSV Hartberg is 0.33 goals better than Austria Vienna in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sturm Graz
0.72
Red Bull Salzburg
0.91
Austria Vienna
1.03
Lask Linz
1.03
Rapid Vienna
1.09
Wolfsberger AC
1.24
SCR Altach
1.25
FC BW Linz
1.50
Austria Klagenfurt
1.56
TSV Hartberg
1.62
WSG Wattens
1.72
Austria Lustenau
1.81
TSV Hartberg is 0.59 goals worse than Austria Vienna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
59%
Austria Vienna
56%
Lask Linz
55%
Rapid Vienna
54%
TSV Hartberg
53%
Sturm Graz
50%
Wolfsberger AC
50%
WSG Wattens
48%
Austria Klagenfurt
48%
FC BW Linz
44%
SCR Altach
44%
Austria Lustenau
40%
TSV Hartberg is 3.3 percentage points worse than Austria Vienna in terms of average possession (53% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
TSV Hartberg
For 5.9 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.4 · Against 12.4 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Austria Vienna
For 7.3 · Against 5.2 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 10.9 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
TSV Hartberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (38)
9.3
8.2
10.5
4.4
4.6
4.3
23.8
24.5
23.2
vs Stronger (10)
10.4
7.2
13.6
4.0
5.0
3.0
25.5
29.2
21.8
vs Similar (28)
8.9
8.5
9.4
4.6
4.4
4.7
23.2
22.8
23.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
42%
63%
66%
79%
53%
74%
74%
74%
% under line
47%
58%
37%
34%
21%
47%
26%
26%
26%
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.6
10.3
4.5
4.4
4.5
25.7
24.5
26.8
vs Stronger (13)
9.5
9.5
9.4
3.3
4.3
2.2
22.5
22.2
23.0
vs Similar (23)
11.9
12.4
11.5
4.9
4.4
5.3
27.3
26.5
27.9
vs Weaker (14)
8.9
8.9
9.0
4.9
4.7
5.0
25.5
23.3
27.7
% over line
62%
67%
58%
62%
68%
56%
77%
67%
88%
% under line
38%
33%
42%
38%
32%
44%
23%
33%
12%
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wolfsberger AC
11.0
Austria Vienna
10.5
Rapid Vienna
10.5
Red Bull Salzburg
10.2
FC BW Linz
10.1
Sturm Graz
10.1
Austria Lustenau
9.9
Lask Linz
9.8
SCR Altach
9.7
WSG Wattens
9.4
TSV Hartberg
9.3
Austria Klagenfurt
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Rapid Vienna
5.0
Sturm Graz
5.0
Austria Lustenau
4.7
Austria Vienna
4.6
TSV Hartberg
4.5
Red Bull Salzburg
4.5
SCR Altach
4.4
Austria Klagenfurt
4.3
FC BW Linz
4.2
Lask Linz
4.2
WSG Wattens
4.1
Wolfsberger AC
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
28.1
FC BW Linz
26.8
Lask Linz
26.4
Austria Lustenau
25.7
SCR Altach
25.5
Austria Vienna
25.5
Wolfsberger AC
25.1
Sturm Graz
24.9
Austria Klagenfurt
24.8
Red Bull Salzburg
24.0
TSV Hartberg
23.8
WSG Wattens
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.8%
Under 9.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.0%
Under 3.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.5%
Under 21.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
TSV Hartberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.73
1.07
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.75
0.75
1.25
0.25
0.25
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.82
0.73
1.00
0.55
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.47
0.60
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.29
0.00
1.67
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.57
0.50
0.38
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (9)
0.44
0.33
0.75
0.25
0.20
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
TSV Hartberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.00
0.73
1.00
0.87
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.38
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.25
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.86
0.82
0.82
0.82
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.83
1.33
0.73
0.87
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.14
0.67
0.33
0.75
1.75
vs Similar (14)
1.21
0.86
1.25
0.75
1.17
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
0.56
2.00
1.00
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
TSV Hartberg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maximilian Entrup42%
Donis Avdijaj33%
Christoph Lang29%
Dominik Prokop12%
Christoph Urdl11%
Dominik Frieser9%
Maximilian Fillafer7%
Ruben Providence7%
Jurgen Heil6%
Ousmane Diakité3%
Mamadou Sangare3%
Ibane Bowat3%
Tobias Kainz3%
Michael Steinwender0%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Manuel Pfeifer0%
Thomas Rotter0%
Paul Komposch0%
Angelo Brückner0%
Jürgen Lemmerer0%
Julian Halwachs0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jurgen Heil31%
Mamadou Sangare23%
Dominik Prokop22%
Thomas Rotter20%
Maximilian Entrup19%
Donis Avdijaj19%
Manuel Pfeifer18%
Ousmane Diakité16%
Julian Halwachs15%
Raphael Sallinger15%
Tobias Kainz12%
Christoph Lang12%
Christoph Urdl11%
Ruben Providence10%
Ibane Bowat10%
Paul Komposch9%
Maximilian Fillafer7%
Dominik Frieser3%
Michael Steinwender0%
Angelo Brückner0%
Jürgen Lemmerer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Prokop16%
Donis Avdijaj15%
Mamadou Sangare13%
Dominik Frieser12%
Christoph Lang12%
Maximilian Entrup12%
Christoph Urdl11%
Manuel Pfeifer9%
Angelo Brückner9%
Ruben Providence7%
Tobias Kainz6%
Jurgen Heil6%
Paul Komposch3%
Raphael Sallinger3%
Ousmane Diakité0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Thomas Rotter0%
Jürgen Lemmerer0%
Maximilian Fillafer0%
Ibane Bowat0%
Julian Halwachs0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maximilian Entrup42%
Donis Avdijaj15%
Christoph Lang12%
Ruben Providence3%
Mamadou Sangare3%
Dominik Prokop3%
Ousmane Diakité0%
Dominik Frieser0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Tobias Kainz0%
Manuel Pfeifer0%
Thomas Rotter0%
Jurgen Heil0%
Christoph Urdl0%
Paul Komposch0%
Angelo Brückner0%
Jürgen Lemmerer0%
Maximilian Fillafer0%
Ibane Bowat0%
Julian Halwachs0%
Austria Vienna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominik Fitz26%
Andreas Gruber26%
Fisnik Asllani21%
Alexander Schmidt14%
Muharem Husković13%
Romeo Vučić11%
James Holland8%
Frans Krätzig6%
Reinhold Ranftl6%
Matteo Meisl5%
Manuel Polster4%
Hakim Guenouche3%
Johannes Handl3%
Christian Früchtl0%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Tin Plavotić0%
Mirko Kos0%
Aleksandar Jukić0%
Manfred Fischer0%
Lucas Galvão0%
Marvin Martins0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Matthias Braunöder0%
Ayi Silva Kangani0%
Moritz Wels0%
Sanel Saljic0%
Luca Pazourek0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matan Baltaxa43%
Lucas Galvão36%
Sanel Saljic33%
Frans Krätzig29%
Johannes Handl28%
Manfred Fischer28%
Moritz Wels27%
Reinhold Ranftl25%
Marvin Potzmann24%
Dominik Fitz24%
Muharem Husković23%
Aleksandar Jukić21%
James Holland20%
Ayi Silva Kangani20%
Marvin Martins17%
Hakim Guenouche14%
Alexander Schmidt14%
Andreas Gruber13%
Fisnik Asllani11%
Matteo Meisl9%
Christian Früchtl8%
Romeo Vučić5%
Matthias Braunöder5%
Manuel Polster4%
Tin Plavotić0%
Mirko Kos0%
Luca Pazourek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayi Silva Kangani20%
Dominik Fitz18%
Frans Krätzig18%
Manuel Polster16%
Aleksandar Jukić11%
Andreas Gruber11%
Reinhold Ranftl8%
Manfred Fischer6%
Fisnik Asllani5%
Romeo Vučić5%
Matthias Braunöder5%
Marvin Potzmann4%
Lucas Galvão4%
Hakim Guenouche3%
Johannes Handl3%
Christian Früchtl0%
Alexander Schmidt0%
Tin Plavotić0%
Mirko Kos0%
Matteo Meisl0%
James Holland0%
Marvin Martins0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Muharem Husković0%
Moritz Wels0%
Sanel Saljic0%
Luca Pazourek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andreas Gruber21%
Fisnik Asllani21%
Dominik Fitz21%
Manfred Fischer11%
Muharem Husković10%
Moritz Wels9%
Reinhold Ranftl8%
Aleksandar Jukić5%
Matthias Braunöder5%
James Holland4%
Hakim Guenouche3%
Christian Früchtl0%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Johannes Handl0%
Alexander Schmidt0%
Tin Plavotić0%
Mirko Kos0%
Matteo Meisl0%
Lucas Galvão0%
Marvin Martins0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Manuel Polster0%
Ayi Silva Kangani0%
Romeo Vučić0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Sanel Saljic0%
Luca Pazourek0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
SA (23)
€9m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
AL (22)
€5m
TSV Hartberg's squad is €13m less valuable than Austria Vienna's (€10m vs €23m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
TSV Hartberg's attack is €7m less valuable than Austria Vienna's (€3m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
TSV Hartberg's midfield is €4m less valuable than Austria Vienna's (€3m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
AL (9)
€2m
TSV Hartberg's defence is €3m less valuable than Austria Vienna's (€5m vs €7m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
Austria Klagenfurt
FC BW Linz
SCR Altach
WSG Wattens
Austria Lustenau