This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.77
1.00
1.64
1.62
1.88
vs Stronger (9)
0.89
2.11
1.00
1.50
0.80
2.60
vs Similar (20)
1.55
1.60
1.00
1.70
2.10
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.6%
Under 2.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.5%
Under 3.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.4%
No
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
TSV Hartberg goals ↓
Grazer AK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
6.9%
4.8%
1.9%
0.6%
1
8.9%
13%
7.3%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.6%
9.1%
5.4%
2.2%
0.7%
3
3.8%
4.5%
2.7%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.4%
1.7%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = TSV Hartberg goals (down), columns = Grazer AK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sturm Graz
1.97
Austria Vienna
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.78
Wolfsberger AC
1.72
Lask Linz
1.71
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.33
FC BW Linz
1.19
WSG Wattens
0.94
Grazer AK
0.88
Austria Klagenfurt
0.84
SCR Altach
0.81
TSV Hartberg is 0.46 points better than Grazer AK in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.88).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sturm Graz
2.06
Wolfsberger AC
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.66
Lask Linz
1.60
Austria Vienna
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.21
FC BW Linz
1.16
WSG Wattens
1.09
Grazer AK
1.06
Austria Klagenfurt
1.03
SCR Altach
0.91
TSV Hartberg is 0.15 goals better than Grazer AK in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Austria Vienna
1.00
Red Bull Salzburg
1.12
Lask Linz
1.14
Wolfsberger AC
1.19
Sturm Graz
1.22
TSV Hartberg
1.27
Rapid Vienna
1.32
FC BW Linz
1.41
SCR Altach
1.44
WSG Wattens
1.56
Grazer AK
1.69
Austria Klagenfurt
2.19
TSV Hartberg is 0.41 goals better than Grazer AK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.69).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
62%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
57%
Austria Vienna
54%
Sturm Graz
52%
TSV Hartberg
50%
SCR Altach
47%
Wolfsberger AC
46%
WSG Wattens
45%
Austria Klagenfurt
45%
FC BW Linz
41%
Grazer AK
41%
TSV Hartberg is 9.2 percentage points better than Grazer AK in terms of average possession (50% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
TSV Hartberg
For 4.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.6 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grazer AK
For 4.9 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 9.2 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
TSV Hartberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.8
9.3
4.9
5.0
4.9
23.8
23.8
23.8
vs Stronger (19)
9.2
10.2
7.9
4.9
4.8
5.1
24.6
24.9
24.1
vs Similar (30)
9.8
9.5
10.0
5.1
5.3
5.0
23.2
22.6
23.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
44%
50%
39%
76%
77%
75%
71%
77%
65%
% under line
56%
50%
61%
24%
23%
25%
29%
23%
35%
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.8
9.6
5.1
5.8
4.5
24.4
23.3
25.6
vs Stronger (9)
9.3
9.5
9.2
6.3
6.2
6.4
23.6
23.2
23.8
vs Similar (34)
9.8
10.2
9.3
5.1
5.7
4.5
23.8
22.7
25.2
vs Weaker (7)
10.0
8.3
12.5
3.7
5.7
2.2
29.0
26.7
32.5
% over line
51%
48%
55%
76%
83%
69%
79%
78%
80%
% under line
49%
52%
45%
24%
17%
31%
21%
22%
20%
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rapid Vienna
10.7
Austria Vienna
10.1
Wolfsberger AC
10.0
Grazer AK
9.7
WSG Wattens
9.6
Sturm Graz
9.6
TSV Hartberg
9.5
Red Bull Salzburg
9.5
Lask Linz
9.3
Austria Klagenfurt
9.2
SCR Altach
9.1
FC BW Linz
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Grazer AK
5.8
Austria Vienna
5.7
SCR Altach
5.6
TSV Hartberg
5.5
Wolfsberger AC
5.0
Austria Klagenfurt
4.9
WSG Wattens
4.8
Lask Linz
4.7
Rapid Vienna
4.6
FC BW Linz
4.5
Sturm Graz
4.3
Red Bull Salzburg
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SCR Altach
26.5
Austria Vienna
25.0
Grazer AK
24.4
Sturm Graz
23.9
TSV Hartberg
23.1
Wolfsberger AC
23.1
WSG Wattens
22.8
FC BW Linz
22.8
Rapid Vienna
22.8
Lask Linz
22.8
Austria Klagenfurt
22.5
Red Bull Salzburg
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.8%
Under 9.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
80.9%
Under 3.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
61.8%
Under 21.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
TSV Hartberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.40
0.25
0.58
0.56
0.28
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.88
0.00
0.75
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.23
0.38
0.50
0.57
0.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.57
0.57
0.38
0.81
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.11
0.50
0.75
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.50
0.60
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
TSV Hartberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.77
0.92
0.67
1.11
0.83
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.88
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (22)
1.23
0.73
0.88
0.75
1.43
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grazer AK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.07
0.43
1.07
1.25
1.06
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.60
1.20
vs Similar (20)
1.00
1.10
0.40
1.20
1.60
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
TSV Hartberg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrik Mijić33%
Muharem Husković23%
Elias Havel18%
Maximilian Fillafer14%
Donis Avdijaj13%
Jed Drew13%
Dominik Prokop10%
Youba Diarra7%
Tobias Kainz6%
Fabian Wilfinger5%
Marco Hoffmann4%
Jurgen Heil3%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Manuel Pfeifer0%
Mateo Karamatić0%
Nelson Amadin0%
Justin Omoregie0%
Benjamin Markuš0%
Paul Komposch0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Furkan Demir0%
Aaron Sky Schwarz0%
Damjan Kovačević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Furkan Demir40%
Raphael Hofer29%
Fabian Wilfinger29%
Justin Omoregie26%
Youba Diarra23%
Paul Komposch23%
Mateo Karamatić17%
Donis Avdijaj17%
Benjamin Markuš17%
Tobias Kainz16%
Jurgen Heil16%
Damjan Kovačević14%
Dominik Prokop14%
Manuel Pfeifer12%
Elias Havel12%
Raphael Sallinger9%
Marco Hoffmann9%
Maximilian Fillafer7%
Patrik Mijić3%
Nelson Amadin0%
Muharem Husković0%
Jed Drew0%
Aaron Sky Schwarz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Justin Omoregie21%
Donis Avdijaj13%
Manuel Pfeifer12%
Furkan Demir12%
Maximilian Fillafer7%
Youba Diarra7%
Benjamin Markuš7%
Patrik Mijić6%
Marco Hoffmann4%
Dominik Prokop3%
Paul Komposch3%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Tobias Kainz0%
Jurgen Heil0%
Mateo Karamatić0%
Nelson Amadin0%
Elias Havel0%
Muharem Husković0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Jed Drew0%
Fabian Wilfinger0%
Aaron Sky Schwarz0%
Damjan Kovačević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrik Mijić21%
Donis Avdijaj20%
Dominik Prokop10%
Muharem Husković8%
Marco Hoffmann4%
Tobias Kainz3%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Manuel Pfeifer0%
Jurgen Heil0%
Mateo Karamatić0%
Youba Diarra0%
Nelson Amadin0%
Justin Omoregie0%
Benjamin Markuš0%
Elias Havel0%
Paul Komposch0%
Maximilian Fillafer0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Jed Drew0%
Fabian Wilfinger0%
Furkan Demir0%
Aaron Sky Schwarz0%
Damjan Kovačević0%
Grazer AK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tio Cipot26%
Daniel Maderner25%
Michael Lang14%
Christian Lichtenberger13%
Romeo Vučić12%
Michael Cheukoua11%
Atsushi Zaizen8%
Zétény Jánó7%
Marco Gantschnig7%
Marco Perchtold5%
Benjamin Rosenberger4%
Petar Filipović4%
Jacob Italiano4%
Dominik Frieser3%
Murat Satin0%
Martin Kreuzriegler0%
Miloš Jovičić0%
Thorsten Schriebl0%
László Kleinheisler0%
Dennis Dressel0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sadik Fofana43%
Antonio Tikvić33%
Miloš Jovičić32%
Benjamin Rosenberger27%
Atsushi Zaizen25%
Martin Kreuzriegler25%
László Kleinheisler23%
Lukas Graf23%
Thorsten Schriebl23%
Michael Cheukoua22%
Michael Lang21%
Dennis Dressel21%
Daniel Maderner21%
Zétény Jánó21%
Marco Gantschnig20%
Christian Lichtenberger19%
Petar Filipović15%
Tio Cipot15%
Jacob Italiano14%
Marco Perchtold14%
Murat Satin14%
Dominik Frieser7%
Jakob Meierhofer6%
Romeo Vučić6%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Lichtenberger19%
László Kleinheisler15%
Murat Satin14%
Michael Cheukoua11%
Daniel Maderner11%
Atsushi Zaizen8%
Martin Kreuzriegler8%
Benjamin Rosenberger8%
Jacob Italiano7%
Michael Lang7%
Zétény Jánó7%
Romeo Vučić6%
Tio Cipot4%
Dominik Frieser3%
Marco Gantschnig0%
Miloš Jovičić0%
Thorsten Schriebl0%
Dennis Dressel0%
Petar Filipović0%
Marco Perchtold0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tio Cipot19%
Daniel Maderner18%
Michael Lang14%
Christian Lichtenberger13%
László Kleinheisler8%
Romeo Vučić6%
Murat Satin3%
Jacob Italiano0%
Atsushi Zaizen0%
Martin Kreuzriegler0%
Benjamin Rosenberger0%
Marco Gantschnig0%
Miloš Jovičić0%
Michael Cheukoua0%
Thorsten Schriebl0%
Dominik Frieser0%
Dennis Dressel0%
Petar Filipović0%
Marco Perchtold0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Zétény Jánó0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
TSV Hartberg's squad is €1m more valuable than Grazer AK's (€10m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
TSV Hartberg and Grazer AK have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
TSV Hartberg's midfield is €2m more valuable than Grazer AK's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
TSV Hartberg's defence is €1m less valuable than Grazer AK's (€5m vs €6m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
Austria Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg
Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
FC BW Linz
WSG Wattens
Austria Klagenfurt
SCR Altach