Tukums vs Ogre United Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026

Time: 12:00

Tukums

57%

22%

21%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Ogre United

Latvia: Virsliga

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Tukums, still rattled by a 1-4 loss to FS Jelgava, will look to rebound against Ogre United, who have been hit by a 0-3 defeat to Rīga FS. The model favours a home win, with a 57% chance, a 22% chance of a draw and a 21% chance of an away victory. The expected total is 3.6 goals, with the most likely total of three goals at 21%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Tukums, a 9.4% probability. Tukums, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.33 goals scored and 2.22 conceded, while Ogre United, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.6%), Under 7.5 (96.9%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.2%), Under 6.5 (92.7%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (92.5%) and Away under 1.5 HT goals (91.3%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tukums win

57.0%

Avg Implied 51.5% · @ 1.76

Edge

+5.6%

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.78

Unibet

1.78

Dafabet

1.78

10Bet

1.77

1xBet

1.75

Draw

21.6%

Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.76

Edge

-2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

3.90

Betfair

3.90

10Bet

3.80

Dafabet

3.80

Marathonbet

3.75

Ogre United win

21.4%

Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.72

Edge

-3.0%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

3.90

1xBet

3.80

Betfair

3.80

Marathonbet

3.74

Betano

3.70

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tukums

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.8

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

2.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.10	2.00	1.31	2.00	0.86	2.00
vs Stronger (18)	1.00	2.39	1.33	2.22	0.67	2.56
vs Similar (12)	1.25	1.42	1.29	1.71	1.20	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	13% (-15pp vs league)

This opponent (Ogre United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ogre United

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.5

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

2.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.10	1.30	2.07	0.93	2.13	1.67
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	3.50	0.00	3.00	1.00	4.00
vs Similar (14)	1.57	1.57	1.71	1.14	1.43	2.00
vs Weaker (14)	2.86	0.71	2.71	0.43	3.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	43% (+15pp vs league)

This opponent (Tukums) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

88.2%

@ 1.14+7.8%

Under 1.5

11.8%

@ 4.70-7.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.17

Unibet

1.17

Betfair

1.14

Marathonbet

1.12

1xBet

1.12

Under

Betfair

5.50

Marathonbet

4.75

1xBet

4.75

Bet365

4.50

Unibet

4.00

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

69.6%

@ 1.52+9.2%

Under 2.5

30.4%

@ 2.32-9.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Unibet

1.60

Betano

1.55

10Bet

1.53

Bet365

1.53

Betfair

1.50

Under

Betfair

2.55

Bet365

2.38

10Bet

2.38

1xBet

2.35

Marathonbet

2.35

Over/Under 3.5

Over 3.5

48.4%

@ 2.32+8.4%

Under 3.5

51.6%

@ 1.54-8.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Unibet

2.48

Betfair

2.38

10Bet

2.35

Bet365

2.25

1xBet

2.23

Under

Bet365

1.57

1xBet

1.57

Betfair

1.57

Marathonbet

1.57

10Bet

1.55

Both teams to score

Yes

67.0%

@ 1.50+5.8%

33.0%

@ 2.36-5.8%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.53

Unibet

1.53

Betfair

1.50

Marathonbet

1.48

10Bet

1.48

Betfair

2.50

1xBet

2.41

Bet365

2.38

Marathonbet

2.36

10Bet

2.35

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

2-1

9.4%@ 7.28+3.7%

1-1

9.1%@ 7.10+3.3%

3-1

7.0%@ 10.95+3.2%

2-0

7.0%@ 9.38+2.5%

2-2

6.3%@ 10.60+2.4%

1-2

5.6%@ 10.95+1.8%

1-0

5.4%@ 8.74+0.6%

3-0

5.2%@ 13.75+2.2%

Tukums goals ↓

	Ogre United goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.6%	2.9%	2.5%	1.1%	0.4%
1	5.4%	9.1%	5.6%	2.5%	0.8%
2	7.0%	9.4%	6.3%	2.8%	0.9%
3	5.2%	7.0%	4.7%	2.1%	0.7%
4	2.9%	3.9%	2.7%	1.2%	0.4%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tukums goals (down), columns = Ogre United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Rīgas FS

2.43

Riga

2.29

Auda

2.00

FK Liepaja

1.88

BFC Daugavpils

1.62

Super Nova

1.33

Grobiņa

1.00

FS Jelgava

0.86

Ogre United

0.57

Tukums

0.38

Tukums is 0.20 points worse than Ogre United in terms of average points per game (0.38 vs 0.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Riga

3.00

Rīgas FS

2.57

FK Liepaja

2.00

BFC Daugavpils

1.50

Super Nova

1.17

Grobiņa

1.14

FS Jelgava

1.14

Auda

1.14

Ogre United

1.00

Tukums

0.75

Tukums is 0.25 goals worse than Ogre United in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Auda

0.57

Rīgas FS

0.86

BFC Daugavpils

0.88

Super Nova

1.00

Riga

1.14

FK Liepaja

1.25

FS Jelgava

1.71

Tukums

2.38

Grobiņa

2.57

Ogre United

3.00

Tukums is 0.62 goals better than Ogre United in terms of goals conceded per game (2.38 vs 3.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Tukums or Draw

78.6%

Avg Implied 75.7% · @ 1.20

Edge

+2.9%

57%

22%

21%

covers Tukums + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.23

Bet365

1.22

10Bet

1.20

Betfair

1.20

1xBet

1.18

Tukums or Ogre United

78.4%

Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.19

Edge

+2.4%

57%

22%

21%

covers Tukums + Ogre United

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.24

Betfair

1.20

Unibet

1.19

Marathonbet

1.18

10Bet

1.18

Draw or Ogre United

43.0%

Avg Implied 48.3% · @ 1.88

Edge

-5.3%

57%

22%

21%

covers Draw + Ogre United

Best 5 market prices

10Bet

1.95

Betfair

1.91

Bet365

1.91

Marathonbet

1.88

1xBet

1.88

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Tukums over/under 0.5

Over

89.5%

@ 1.10+5.3%

Under

10.5%

@ 5.85-5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

1.11

Bet365

1.10

10Bet

1.10

1xBet

1.08

Under

Bet365

6.50

Betfair

6.00

1xBet

5.65

10Bet

5.25

Tukums over/under 1.5

Over

65.7%

@ 1.57+7.2%

Under

34.3%

@ 2.22-7.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.60

Marathonbet

1.58

1xBet

1.58

Betfair

1.57

Bet365

1.53

Under

Bet365

2.38

Betfair

2.25

1xBet

2.18

Marathonbet

2.18

10Bet

2.10

Tukums over/under 2.5

Over

39.1%

@ 2.77+5.9%

Under

60.9%

@ 1.38-5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.88

1xBet

2.80

Marathonbet

2.80

Bet365

2.62

Under

Bet365

1.44

Betfair

1.36

Marathonbet

1.36

1xBet

1.36

Tukums over/under 3.5

Over

19.1%

@ 5.50+2.1%

Under

80.9%

@ 1.12-2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

6.00

Bet365

5.00

Under

Bet365

1.14

Betfair

1.10

Ogre United over/under 0.5

Over

73.9%

@ 1.29+2.5%

Under

26.1%

@ 3.22-2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.30

Betfair

1.30

Marathonbet

1.29

1xBet

1.29

Bet365

1.25

Under

Bet365

3.75

Betfair

3.20

1xBet

3.08

Marathonbet

3.08

10Bet

3.00

Ogre United over/under 1.5

Over

38.9%

@ 2.44+1.0%

Under

61.1%

@ 1.48-1.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.63

1xBet

2.45

10Bet

2.45

Marathonbet

2.45

Bet365

2.20

Under

Bet365

1.62

Marathonbet

1.46

1xBet

1.46

Betfair

1.44

10Bet

1.44

Ogre United over/under 2.5

Over

15.3%

@ 5.45-1.6%

Under

84.7%

@ 1.11+1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

6.00

Marathonbet

5.65

1xBet

5.65

Bet365

4.50

Under

Bet365

1.17

Betfair

1.10

1xBet

1.08

Marathonbet

1.08

Ogre United over/under 3.5

Over

4.8%

@ 9.00-5.6%

Under

95.2%

@ 1.04+5.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

9.00

Under

Bet365

1.04

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Tukums, so a minus line means Tukums give that many goals of a start and Ogre United receive them. At -1, Tukums must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Tukums win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Tukums)

Tukums -2

19.0%

@ 5.38+2.5%

Draw -2

17.2%

@ 5.00-0.5%

Ogre United +2

63.8%

@ 1.34-2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.25

Draw

Bet365

5.00

Marathonbet

5.00

Away

Bet365

1.36

Marathonbet

1.33

Handicap -1 (Tukums)

Tukums -1

36.2%

@ 2.94+6.1%

Draw -1

20.8%

@ 3.78-2.7%

Ogre United +1

43.0%

@ 1.91-3.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

3.00

Bet365

3.00

10Bet

2.95

Marathonbet

2.83

Draw

Bet365

4.00

Betfair

3.75

10Bet

3.70

Marathonbet

3.66

Away

10Bet

1.95

Bet365

1.91

Betfair

1.91

Marathonbet

1.88

Handicap +1 (Tukums)

Tukums +1

78.6%

@ 1.23+6.4%

Draw +1

12.1%

@ 5.47-4.1%

Ogre United -1

9.3%

@ 7.65-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.28

Marathonbet

1.18

Draw

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.45

Away

Bet365

8.00

Marathonbet

7.30

Handicap +2 (Tukums)

Tukums +2

90.7%

@ 1.08+4.6%

Draw +2

6.2%

@ 11.00-2.3%

Ogre United -2

3.1%

@ 17.00-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.08

Draw

Bet365

11.00

Away

Bet365

17.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tukums

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.60	0.90	0.56	1.00	0.64	0.79
vs Stronger (18)	0.61	1.17	0.67	1.33	0.56	1.00
vs Similar (12)	0.58	0.50	0.43	0.57	0.80	0.40
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	40% (+12pp vs league)

This opponent (Ogre United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ogre United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.87	0.60	0.93	0.27	0.80	0.93
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	2.50	0.00	1.00	1.00	4.00
vs Similar (14)	0.71	0.71	0.86	0.29	0.57	1.14
vs Weaker (14)	1.07	0.21	1.14	0.14	1.00	0.29
Clean sheet %	67% (+38pp vs league)

This opponent (Tukums) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5

Over 0.5

70.7%

@ 1.24-3.7%

Under 0.5

29.3%

@ 3.58+3.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.25

10Bet

1.25

1xBet

1.23

Marathonbet

1.23

Betfair

1.22

Under

Betfair

3.75

Bet365

3.75

10Bet

3.55

1xBet

3.42

Marathonbet

3.42

Half Time Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

37.4%

@ 2.19-4.5%

Under 1.5

62.6%

@ 1.58+4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.25

Bet365

2.20

Betano

2.20

Marathonbet

2.18

1xBet

2.18

Under

10Bet

1.62

Bet365

1.62

Marathonbet

1.59

1xBet

1.59

Betfair

1.57

Half Time Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

19.3%

@ 4.70-0.2%

Under 2.5

80.7%

@ 1.14+0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

5.00

1xBet

4.65

Marathonbet

4.65

Bet365

4.50

Under

Bet365

1.17

Betfair

1.14

1xBet

1.12

Marathonbet

1.12

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Tukums over/under 0.5 HT

Over

53.3%

@ 1.58-4.8%

Under

46.7%

@ 2.19+4.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.61

1xBet

1.55

Under

1xBet

2.30

Marathonbet

2.09

Tukums over/under 1.5 HT

Over

19.8%

@ 3.76-4.5%

Under

80.2%

@ 1.21+4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.92

1xBet

3.60

Under

1xBet

1.24

Marathonbet

1.18

Tukums over/under 2.5 HT

Over

4.3%

@ 10.00-4.8%

Under

95.7%

@ 1.01+4.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

10.00

Under

1xBet

1.01

Ogre United over/under 0.5 HT

Over

37.5%

@ 2.08-6.7%

Under

62.5%

@ 1.65+6.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

2.09

1xBet

2.06

Under

1xBet

1.68

Marathonbet

1.61

Ogre United over/under 1.5 HT

Over

11.1%

@ 6.67-2.6%

Under

88.9%

@ 1.06+2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

6.85

1xBet

6.50

Under

1xBet

1.07

Marathonbet

1.05

Ogre United over/under 2.5 HT

Over

1.8%

Under

98.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tukums

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

0.3

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.50	1.10	0.75	1.00	0.21	1.21
vs Stronger (18)	0.39	1.22	0.67	0.89	0.11	1.56
vs Similar (12)	0.67	0.92	0.86	1.14	0.40	0.60
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	33% (+5pp vs league)

This opponent (Ogre United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ogre United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.23	0.70	1.13	0.67	1.33	0.73
vs Stronger (2)	0.00	1.00	0.00	2.00	0.00	0.00
vs Similar (14)	0.86	0.86	0.86	0.86	0.86	0.86
vs Weaker (14)	1.79	0.50	1.57	0.29	2.00	0.71
Clean sheet %	53% (+25pp vs league)

This opponent (Tukums) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5

Over 0.5

83.1%

@ 1.13+1.8%

Under 0.5

16.9%

@ 4.90-1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.17

1xBet

1.11

Marathonbet

1.11

Under

Bet365

5.00

Marathonbet

4.85

1xBet

4.85

Second Half Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

46.3%

@ 1.74-6.7%

Under 1.5

53.7%

@ 1.97+6.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.80

10Bet

1.77

Marathonbet

1.70

1xBet

1.70

Under

1xBet

2.01

Marathonbet

2.01

10Bet

1.95

Bet365

1.91

Second Half Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

20.2%

@ 3.22-8.2%

Under 2.5

79.8%

@ 1.28+8.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.50

Marathonbet

3.08

1xBet

3.08

Under

Marathonbet

1.28

1xBet

1.28

Bet365

1.28

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Tukums over/under 0.5 2H

Over

61.6%

@ 1.37-5.9%

Under

38.4%

@ 2.85+5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.37

Under

1xBet

2.85

Tukums over/under 1.5 2H

Over

25.2%

@ 2.79-7.6%

Under

74.8%

@ 1.36+7.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

2.83

1xBet

2.75

Under

1xBet

1.39

Marathonbet

1.34

Tukums over/under 2.5 2H

Over

7.6%

@ 6.80-5.9%

Under

92.4%

@ 1.06+5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.80

Under

1xBet

1.06

Ogre United over/under 0.5 2H

Over

46.4%

@ 1.78-5.1%

Under

53.6%

@ 1.90+5.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.79

1xBet

1.77

Under

1xBet

1.94

Marathonbet

1.85

Ogre United over/under 1.5 2H

Over

14.9%

@ 4.92-3.6%

Under

85.1%

@ 1.12+3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.95

1xBet

4.90

Under

1xBet

1.13

Marathonbet

1.12

Ogre United over/under 2.5 2H

Over

2.2%

Under

97.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Away under 2.5 2H goals	97.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Under 7.5	96.9%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals	95.7%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.8%
Away under 3.5 goals	95.2%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.6%
Under 6.5	92.7%	1.03	1xBet 1.05	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	+2.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals	92.4%	1.06	1xBet 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.9%
Home +2 handicap	90.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.6%
Home over 0.5 goals	89.5%	1.10	Betfair 1.11	Bet365 1.10	10Bet 1.10	1xBet 1.08	-	+5.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals	88.9%	1.06	1xBet 1.07	Marathonbet 1.05	-	-	-	+2.6%
Over 1.5	88.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.17	Unibet 1.17	Betfair 1.14	Marathonbet 1.12	1xBet 1.12	+7.8%
Away under 1.5 2H goals	85.1%	1.12	1xBet 1.13	Marathonbet 1.12	-	-	-	+3.6%
Away under 2.5 goals	84.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.17	Betfair 1.10	1xBet 1.08	Marathonbet 1.08	-	+1.6%
Under 5.5	84.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.08	Betfair 1.07	1xBet 1.05	Marathonbet 1.05	-	-2.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals	83.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.17	1xBet 1.11	Marathonbet 1.11	-	-	+1.8%
Home under 3.5 goals	80.9%	1.12	Bet365 1.14	Betfair 1.10	-	-	-	-2.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals	80.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.17	Betfair 1.14	1xBet 1.12	Marathonbet 1.12	-	+0.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals	80.2%	1.21	1xBet 1.24	Marathonbet 1.18	-	-	-	+4.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals	79.8%	1.28	Marathonbet 1.28	1xBet 1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	+8.2%
Home or Draw	78.6%	1.20	Betano 1.23	Bet365 1.22	10Bet 1.20	Betfair 1.20	1xBet 1.18	+2.9%
Home +1 handicap	78.6%	1.23	Bet365 1.28	Marathonbet 1.18	-	-	-	+6.4%
Home or Away	78.4%	1.19	Betano 1.24	Betfair 1.20	Unibet 1.19	Marathonbet 1.18	10Bet 1.18	+2.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals	74.8%	1.36	1xBet 1.39	Marathonbet 1.34	-	-	-	+7.6%
Away over 0.5 goals	73.9%	1.29	10Bet 1.30	Betfair 1.30	Marathonbet 1.29	1xBet 1.29	Bet365 1.25	+2.5%
Under 4.5	70.7%	1.22	Betfair 1.22	Bet365 1.22	10Bet 1.22	1xBet 1.21	Marathonbet 1.21	-5.4%
Over 0.5 HT goals	70.7%	1.24	Bet365 1.25	10Bet 1.25	1xBet 1.23	Marathonbet 1.23	Betfair 1.22	-3.7%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (27)

€16m

RF (29)

€11m

AUD (25)

€6m

FL (21)

€5m

OU (27)

€3m

SN (24)

€3m

GRO (25)

€3m

FJ (23)

€3m

BD (21)

€3m

TUK (20)

€2m

Tukums's squad is €1m less valuable than Ogre United's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (10)

€7m

RF (15)

€6m

AUD (11)

€3m

FL (7)

€2m

OU (12)

€2m

GRO (10)

€1m

SN (8)

€1m

FJ (8)

€1m

TUK (7)

€1m

BD (7)

€1m

Tukums and Ogre United have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (5)

€3m

RF (4)

€2m

SN (6)

€1m

FL (4)

€1m

BD (6)

€1m

OU (4)

€1m

GRO (6)

€1m

FJ (5)

€0m

AUD (3)

€0m

TUK (3)

€0m

Tukums and Ogre United have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (12)

€6m

RF (10)

€3m

AUD (11)

€3m

FL (10)

€2m

FJ (10)

€1m

GRO (9)

€1m

TUK (10)

€1m

OU (11)

€1m

BD (8)

€1m

SN (10)

€1m

Tukums and Ogre United have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings

TUK wins

Draws

OU wins

Head-to-head

Tukums vs Ogre United · H/A from TUK

Date	H/A	Game	Score
No games.

Tukums

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
29/08/26	H	TUK Vs FS Jelgava	1-4
21/08/26	A	Auda Vs TUK	3-0
08/08/26	A	BFC Daugavpils Vs TUK	2-0
02/08/26	H	TUK Vs FK Liepaja	2-1
27/07/26	H	TUK Vs Rīgas FS	0-1
18/07/26	A	Riga Vs TUK	3-1
05/07/26	A	Grobiņa Vs TUK	3-1
01/07/26	H	TUK Vs Super Nova	1-2
09/11/25	H	TUK Vs FS Jelgava	1-1
02/11/25	A	Auda Vs TUK	0-1

Ogre United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
30/08/26	H	OU Vs Rīgas FS	0-3
22/08/26	H	OU Vs FS Jelgava	2-3
09/08/26	A	Riga Vs OU	4-1
27/07/26	A	Grobiņa Vs OU	2-2
19/07/26	H	OU Vs BFC Daugavpils	0-4
06/07/26	A	Super Nova Vs OU	1-2
30/06/26	A	FK Liepaja Vs OU	4-0
08/11/25	A	Mārupe Vs OU	0-1
01/11/25	H	OU Vs Skanste	3-0
25/10/25	A	Riga FC II Vs OU	2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tukums

Latvia: Virsliga

Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWLLL	0.86
Home	DLLWL	1.08
Away	WLLLL	0.65

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	22%	29%	15%
AVG goals	3.08	3.00	3.15
Over 1.5 %	78%	75%	81%
Over 2.5 %	56%	58%	54%
Over 3.5 %	32%	33%	31%
Scored	1.02	1.21	0.85
Conceded	2.06	1.79	2.31
BTTS	54%	58%	50%
Clean Sheet	16%	17%	15%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Ogre United

Latvia: Virsliga

Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LDLLL	1.64
Home	DWLLL	2.00
Away	WLWDL	1.31

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	48%	58%	38%
AVG goals	3.42	3.50	3.35
Over 1.5 %	88%	88%	88%
Over 2.5 %	74%	75%	73%
Over 3.5 %	44%	42%	46%
Scored	2.02	2.38	1.69
Conceded	1.40	1.12	1.65
BTTS	54%	54%	54%
Clean Sheet	32%	38%	27%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Rīgas FS	7	17	71%	2.4	18	6	+12	3.4	71%	57%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	11	6	2	3	2.6	0.9	-
2	Riga	7	16	71%	2.3	21	8	+13	4.1	100%	86%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	16	7	3	6	3.0	1.1	-
3	FK Liepaja	8	15	62%	1.9	16	10	+6	3.2	88%	75%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	2.0	1.2	-
4	Auda	7	14	57%	2.0	8	4	+4	1.7	57%	14%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	0	3	1.1	0.6	-
5	BFC Daugavpils	8	13	50%	1.6	12	7	+5	2.4	62%	50%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.5	0.9	-
6	Super Nova	6	8	33%	1.3	7	6	+1	2.2	83%	50%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.2	1.0	-
7	Grobiņa	7	7	29%	1.0	8	18	-10	3.7	86%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.1	2.6	-
8	FS Jelgava	7	6	29%	0.9	8	12	-4	2.9	71%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	1	1.1	1.7	-
9	Ogre United	7	4	14%	0.6	7	21	-14	4.0	100%	100%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	2	1	1	1.0	3.0	-
10	Tukums	8	3	12%	0.4	6	19	-13	3.1	88%	75%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	0.8	2.4	-

Latvia: Virsliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: Virsliga stats & trends →

← all matches

Tukums vs Ogre United Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tukums

Ogre United

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tukums

Ogre United

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tukums

Ogre United

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Tukums

Ogre United

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature