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Turan vs Sabah FA Result & Analysis

Date: 12/04/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 2-1
Turan
Turan
Vs
33%
28%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sabah FA
Sabah FA
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Turan win✓ Hit
32.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA win✗ Miss
39.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TuranTuran

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W11D12L10W10W02L11D12L14L00DA·QAR26/01H·SƏB01/02A·SAB09/02H·ARA16/02A·ŞAM23/02H·ZIR04/03A·NEF10/03H·SUM16/03H·QAR28/03A·SƏB05/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.201.441.191.431.21
vs Stronger (8)1.121.380.751.501.501.25
vs Similar (14)1.211.071.121.121.331.00
vs Weaker (8)2.121.252.751.001.501.50
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabah FA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sabah FASabah FA

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D11D40W22D01L11D33D21W01LH·TUR09/02A·SƏB17/02A·QAR22/02A·SUM27/02H·ARA04/03A·ŞAM09/03H·ZIR15/03A·SUM29/03A·NEF02/04H·KAP06/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.201.150.921.591.41
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.181.091.001.001.331.17
vs Weaker (19)1.531.261.250.881.731.55
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Turan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.9%
Under 1.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.1%
Under 2.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.1%
Under 3.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
8.1%
2-1 ✓
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.5%
Turan goals ↓
Sabah FA goals →
01234
08.1%8.5%6.8%3.2%1.1%
17.5%14%8.7%4.1%1.4%
25.5%7.8%5.5%2.6%0.9%
32.3%3.3%2.3%1.1%0.4%
40.7%1.0%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Turan goals (down), columns = Sabah FA goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Qarabag
2.47
Zira
2.06
Araz
1.61
Turan
1.53
Sabah FA
1.33
Neftchi Baku
1.19
Şamaxı FK
1.00
Sumqayıt
0.92
Kapaz
0.89
Səbail
0.61
Turan is 0.19 points better than Sabah FA in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Qarabag
2.39
Zira
1.64
Sabah FA
1.39
Turan
1.25
Neftchi Baku
1.08
Araz
0.94
Şamaxı FK
0.89
Sumqayıt
0.86
Səbail
0.78
Kapaz
0.78
Turan is 0.14 goals worse than Sabah FA in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Qarabag
0.53
Zira
0.75
Araz
0.81
Turan
1.08
Sabah FA
1.28
Şamaxı FK
1.28
Neftchi Baku
1.36
Sumqayıt
1.47
Səbail
1.64
Kapaz
1.81
Turan is 0.19 goals better than Sabah FA in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TuranTuran

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W00D10W01L00D11D12L00DA·QAR26/01H·SƏB01/02A·SAB09/02H·ARA16/02A·ŞAM23/02H·ZIR04/03A·NEF10/03H·SUM16/03H·QAR28/03A·SƏB05/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.500.810.560.860.43
vs Stronger (8)0.620.620.500.750.750.50
vs Similar (14)0.570.500.380.750.830.17
vs Weaker (8)1.500.382.000.001.000.75
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabah FA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sabah FASabah FA

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D11D00D11D01L10W11D11D01LH·TUR09/02A·SƏB17/02A·QAR22/02A·SUM27/02H·ARA04/03A·ŞAM09/03H·ZIR15/03A·SUM29/03A·NEF02/04H·KAP06/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.540.540.710.82
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.640.600.400.670.83
vs Weaker (19)0.630.740.500.620.730.82
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Turan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Turan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TuranTuran

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L02L10W00D01L11D01L02L00DA·QAR26/01H·SƏB01/02A·SAB09/02H·ARA16/02A·ŞAM23/02H·ZIR04/03A·NEF10/03H·SUM16/03H·QAR28/03A·SƏB05/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.620.620.570.79
vs Stronger (8)0.500.750.250.750.750.75
vs Similar (14)0.640.570.750.380.500.83
vs Weaker (8)0.620.880.751.000.500.75
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sabah FA) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sabah FASabah FA

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D00D40W11D00D01L22D10W00DH·TUR09/02A·SƏB17/02A·QAR22/02A·SUM27/02H·ARA04/03A·ŞAM09/03H·ZIR15/03A·SUM29/03A·NEF02/04H·KAP06/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.620.380.880.59
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.450.400.600.670.33
vs Weaker (19)0.890.530.750.251.000.73
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Turan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Turan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sabah FA over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Sabah FA · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Veljko Simić75%
Joy Lance Mickels50%
Christian Nwachukwu33%
Steve Solvet25%
Patrick Orphe M'Bina25%
Xander Severina25%
Umarali Rakhmonaliev25%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Akim Zedadka0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Aleksey Isayev0%
Stas Pokatilov0%
Rahman Dashdamirov0%
Abdulakh Khaybulaev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Veljko Simić25%
Ivan Lepinjica25%
Joy Lance Mickels25%
Akim Zedadka0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Aleksey Isayev0%
Stas Pokatilov0%
Rahman Dashdamirov0%
Steve Solvet0%
Patrick Orphe M'Bina0%
Abdulakh Khaybulaev0%
Xander Severina0%
Umarali Rakhmonaliev0%
Christian Nwachukwu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tymoteusz Puchacz50%
Aleksey Isayev50%
Akim Zedadka25%
Joy Lance Mickels25%
Patrick Orphe M'Bina25%
Umarali Rakhmonaliev25%
Veljko Simić0%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Stas Pokatilov0%
Rahman Dashdamirov0%
Steve Solvet0%
Abdulakh Khaybulaev0%
Xander Severina0%
Christian Nwachukwu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joy Lance Mickels50%
Umarali Rakhmonaliev50%
Christian Nwachukwu33%
Aleksey Isayev25%
Patrick Orphe M'Bina25%
Xander Severina25%
Veljko Simić0%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Akim Zedadka0%
Tymoteusz Puchacz0%
Stas Pokatilov0%
Rahman Dashdamirov0%
Steve Solvet0%
Abdulakh Khaybulaev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (25)
€25m
SF (24)
€17m
NB (23)
€13m
ZIR (23)
€12m
TUR (23)
€10m
SUM (22)
€9m
ARA (19)
€6m
KAP (24)
€5m
ŞF (15)
€4m
SƏB (4)
€1m
Turan's squad is €7m less valuable than Sabah FA's (€10m vs €17m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (9)
€8m
ZIR (10)
€6m
SF (7)
€5m
NB (7)
€4m
SUM (7)
€4m
TUR (7)
€3m
ARA (7)
€3m
ŞF (6)
€1m
KAP (8)
€1m
SƏB (0)
€0m
Turan's attack is €2m less valuable than Sabah FA's (€3m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SF (7)
€5m
QAR (3)
€3m
NB (6)
€3m
SUM (4)
€2m
TUR (4)
€2m
ARA (5)
€2m
KAP (6)
€2m
ŞF (3)
€1m
ZIR (3)
€1m
SƏB (1)
€0m
Turan's midfield is €4m less valuable than Sabah FA's (€2m vs €5m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (13)
€14m
SF (10)
€7m
NB (10)
€6m
ZIR (10)
€6m
TUR (12)
€5m
SUM (11)
€4m
KAP (10)
€3m
ARA (7)
€2m
ŞF (6)
€2m
SƏB (3)
€1m
Turan's defence is €2m less valuable than Sabah FA's (€5m vs €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
TUR wins
4
Draws
2
SF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Turan vs Sabah FA · H/A from TUR
DateH/AGameScore
09/02/25ASabah FA Vs TUR2-1
03/12/24HTUR Vs Sabah FA1-1
24/11/24HTUR Vs Sabah FA1-1
15/09/24ASabah FA Vs TUR2-2
06/04/24HTUR Vs Sabah FA2-0
03/02/24ASabah FA Vs TUR1-1
11/11/23HTUR Vs Sabah FA2-3
01/09/23ASabah FA Vs TUR0-3

TuranTuran

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/25ASəbail Vs TUR0-0
28/03/25HTUR Vs Qarabag1-4
16/03/25HTUR Vs Sumqayıt1-2
10/03/25ANeftchi Baku Vs TUR1-1
04/03/25HTUR Vs Zira0-2
23/02/25AŞamaxı FK Vs TUR0-1
16/02/25HTUR Vs Araz1-0
09/02/25ASabah FA Vs TUR2-1
01/02/25HTUR Vs Səbail1-1
26/01/25AQarabag Vs TUR1-2

Sabah FASabah FA

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/25HSF Vs Kapaz0-1
02/04/25ANeftchi Baku Vs SF1-2
29/03/25ASumqayıt Vs SF3-3
15/03/25HSF Vs Zira1-1
09/03/25AŞamaxı FK Vs SF1-0
04/03/25HSF Vs Araz2-2
27/02/25ASumqayıt Vs SF0-4
22/02/25AQarabag Vs SF1-1
17/02/25ASəbail Vs SF0-0
09/02/25HSF Vs Turan2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Turan
Turan
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD1.54
HomeDWLLL1.73
AwayWLWDD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%29%
AVG goals2.642.772.50
Over 1.5 %72%77%67%
Over 2.5 %46%46%46%
Over 3.5 %24%27%21%
Scored1.401.541.25
Conceded1.241.231.25
BTTS62%65%58%
Clean Sheet32%31%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Sabah FA
Sabah FA
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.48
HomeDWDDL1.48
AwayDWLDW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%35%41%
AVG goals2.542.432.63
Over 1.5 %72%70%74%
Over 2.5 %40%39%41%
Over 3.5 %28%30%26%
Scored1.361.301.41
Conceded1.181.131.22
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet28%30%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1QarabagQarabag3689
78%
2.5
8619+67
2.9
78%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
25
83142.40.5
-
2ZiraZira3674
64%
2.1
5927+32
2.4
67%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6161.60.8
-
3ArazAraz3658
42%
1.6
3429+5
1.8
53%
17%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3220.90.8
-
4TuranTuran3655
39%
1.5
4539+6
2.3
64%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.21.1
-
5Sabah FASabah FA3648
28%
1.3
5046+4
2.7
75%
42%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
5571.41.3
-
6Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku3643
28%
1.2
3949-10
2.4
75%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4361.11.4
-
7Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK3636
25%
1.0
3246-14
2.2
61%
36%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.3
-
8SumqayıtSumqayıt3633
25%
0.9
3153-22
2.3
61%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4240.91.5
-
9KapazKapaz3632
22%
0.9
2865-37
2.6
67%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1230.81.8
-
10SəbailSəbail3622
11%
0.6
2859-31
2.4
67%
39%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.6
-
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

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