Turan vs Zira Result & Analysis

Turan’s home advantage is highlighted by a 44% chance of victory, making a home win the model’s pick. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, with the most likely total being two goals at 26%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 13.3% probability. Turan, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.62 conceded, while Zira, on the road, averages 0.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Under 6.5 (97.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.7%), Under 5.5 (94.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.2%), Away under 2.5 goals (88.2%), Home +2 handicap (87.8% miss) and Under 4.5 (86.2%). The probabilities for the match result are Home win 44%, Draw 28%, Away win 29%. Turan’s recent form shows a draw, while Zira is on a two-game winning streak.

The upset came early, as Turan failed to convert their pre-match favourite, a home win at 44 percent, and Zira secured a 0-2 victory. The model’s call was wrong, but its other selections largely held. Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.3 percent, Under 6.5 at 97.9 percent, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.7 percent, Under 5.5 at 94.3 percent, Home under 3.5 goals at 93.2 percent, Away under 2.5 goals at 88.2 percent, and Under 4.5 at 86.2 percent all proved correct. The Home +2 handicap missed, reflecting the narrow margin. Turan’s recent form, a draw in their last match, contrasted with Zira’s two-game winning streak, underscoring the surprise outcome.