This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.50
1.60
2.60
1.00
2.40
2.20
vs Stronger (9)
1.56
2.22
1.60
1.80
1.50
2.75
vs Similar (19)
2.84
1.42
3.00
0.62
2.73
2.00
vs Weaker (2)
3.50
0.50
3.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.8%
Under 1.5
11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
70.7%
Under 2.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.7%
Under 3.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.3%
No
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
2-0 ✓
5.6%
3-2
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
Turku PS goals ↓
SJK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.4%
3.2%
3.2%
1.7%
0.7%
1
4.5%
9.3%
6.7%
3.5%
1.4%
2
5.6%
8.8%
7.0%
3.7%
1.5%
3
3.8%
6.1%
4.8%
2.5%
1.0%
4
2.0%
3.2%
2.5%
1.3%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Turku PS goals (down), columns = SJK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
KuPS
1.95
Inter Turku
1.91
HJK Helsinki
1.68
Gnistan
1.64
AC Oulu
1.55
VPS
1.50
Lahti
1.45
Turku PS
1.41
Ilves
1.14
SJK
0.86
FF Jaro
0.68
Mariehamn
0.64
Turku PS is 0.55 points better than SJK in terms of average points per game (1.41 vs 0.86).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
KuPS
1.73
HJK Helsinki
1.64
Gnistan
1.64
Ilves
1.55
VPS
1.32
Inter Turku
1.32
Turku PS
1.27
Lahti
1.18
SJK
1.14
AC Oulu
1.14
FF Jaro
0.82
Mariehamn
0.77
Turku PS is 0.14 goals better than SJK in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Inter Turku
0.73
Lahti
0.86
VPS
1.00
KuPS
1.05
Turku PS
1.05
AC Oulu
1.14
HJK Helsinki
1.23
Gnistan
1.32
SJK
1.50
Ilves
1.68
Mariehamn
1.95
FF Jaro
2.00
Turku PS is 0.45 goals better than SJK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Inter Turku
58%
KuPS
57%
Lahti
56%
HJK Helsinki
55%
SJK
50%
Turku PS
50%
Ilves
49%
VPS
48%
AC Oulu
48%
FF Jaro
47%
Mariehamn
45%
Gnistan
44%
Turku PS is 0.4 percentage points worse than SJK in terms of average possession (50% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Turku PS
For 7.5 · Against 5.0 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 17.5 · Total 31.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SJK
For 5.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 8.5 · Total 19.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Turku PS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.5
-
12.5
0.2
0.0
0.4
31.0
-
31.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
15.0
-
15.0
0.3
0.0
0.6
37.0
-
37.0
vs Weaker (24)
10.0
-
10.0
0.2
0.0
0.3
25.0
-
25.0
% over line
100%
-
100%
4%
0%
7%
100%
-
100%
% under line
0%
-
0%
96%
100%
93%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.4
10.9
1.2
1.1
1.2
18.9
17.7
19.9
vs Stronger (15)
10.8
12.5
9.0
1.1
1.1
1.0
20.0
18.0
22.0
vs Similar (31)
10.6
9.6
11.5
1.4
1.3
1.4
18.5
17.6
19.2
vs Weaker (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
47%
57%
38%
18%
16%
20%
33%
14%
50%
% under line
53%
43%
62%
82%
84%
80%
67%
86%
50%
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gnistan
12.6
Turku PS
12.5
FF Jaro
10.9
SJK
10.7
Ilves
10.6
Mariehamn
10.5
HJK Helsinki
10.2
Inter Turku
10.1
AC Oulu
10.1
VPS
10.0
Lahti
9.9
KuPS
9.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Turku PS
6.0
Lahti
4.8
Mariehamn
4.2
Inter Turku
4.1
SJK
4.0
AC Oulu
4.0
Gnistan
3.9
Ilves
3.9
KuPS
3.7
FF Jaro
3.7
VPS
3.6
HJK Helsinki
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Turku PS
31.0
Ilves
24.1
SJK
24.0
Lahti
23.5
Inter Turku
23.5
Mariehamn
23.2
KuPS
22.4
VPS
22.3
AC Oulu
22.2
HJK Helsinki
20.7
Gnistan
20.6
FF Jaro
18.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.9%
Under 9.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.8%
Under 3.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
38.4%
Under 21.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Turku PS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.63
1.33
0.53
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.15
0.46
1.25
0.50
1.00
0.40
vs Weaker (17)
0.94
0.76
1.43
0.57
0.60
0.90
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.67
1.47
0.40
1.07
0.93
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (19)
1.42
0.58
1.62
0.12
1.27
0.91
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Turku PS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Turku PS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.97
1.20
0.93
1.20
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.92
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
1.41
0.94
1.43
0.86
1.40
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (SJK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SJK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.93
1.13
0.60
1.33
1.27
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.22
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.75
vs Similar (19)
1.42
0.84
1.38
0.50
1.45
1.09
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.50
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Turku PS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Turku PS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turku PS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SJK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
BTTS Yes
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Turku PS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Albijon Muzaci50%
T. Tsirigotis33%
S. Anini33%
Pau Juvanteny14%
Luke Ivanovic0%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
M. Kauppila0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Tobias Karkulowski0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
E. Turkki0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Eetu Turkki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Anini67%
Eetu Turkki67%
Oscar Haggstrom50%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Atte Sihvonen25%
L. Ikonen25%
Tobias Karkulowski17%
Pau Juvanteny14%
M. Hrádecký0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
E. Turkki0%
Albijon Muzaci0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eetu Turkki67%
N. Talo33%
E. Turkki33%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Tobias Karkulowski17%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
S. Anini0%
Pau Juvanteny0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Elmer Vauhkonen0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Albijon Muzaci0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
E. Turkki33%
Luke Ivanovic25%
Elmer Vauhkonen25%
Albijon Muzaci25%
Atte Sihvonen0%
M. Hrádecký0%
L. Ikonen0%
T. Tsirigotis0%
M. Kauppila0%
S. Anini0%
Pau Juvanteny0%
Elmo Henriksson0%
Timo Zaal0%
O. Häggström0%
N. Talo0%
Marius Könkkölä0%
Tobias Karkulowski0%
Oscar Haggstrom0%
Eetu Turkki0%
SJK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
E. Mastokangas25%
K. Paananen20%
O. Tessilimi20%
J. Streng0%
Rangel0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
M. Arsalo0%
O. Väistö0%
A. Boström0%
A. Wilson0%
S. Yussif0%
Caio Araújo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Yussif50%
O. Tessilimi40%
A. Boström33%
Rangel25%
K. Paananen20%
M. Arsalo17%
J. Streng0%
E. Mastokangas0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
O. Väistö0%
A. Wilson0%
Caio Araújo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Streng20%
Rangel0%
E. Mastokangas0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
M. Arsalo0%
K. Paananen0%
O. Väistö0%
A. Boström0%
O. Tessilimi0%
A. Wilson0%
S. Yussif0%
Caio Araújo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Wilson33%
Rangel25%
J. Streng20%
K. Paananen20%
E. Mastokangas0%
Samuel Johansen Chukwudi0%
R. Paunio0%
J. Moisio0%
M. Arsalo0%
O. Väistö0%
A. Boström0%
O. Tessilimi0%
S. Yussif0%
Caio Araújo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (30)
€7m
HH (28)
€7m
IT (25)
€5m
ILV (23)
€4m
SJK (26)
€4m
AO (23)
€4m
VPS (22)
€3m
GNI (21)
€3m
LAH (22)
€3m
MAR (23)
€2m
TP (22)
€2m
FJ (20)
€2m
Turku PS's squad is €1m less valuable than SJK's (€2m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (10)
€2m
KUP (9)
€2m
IT (9)
€2m
SJK (8)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
ILV (7)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
GNI (6)
€1m
LAH (9)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
Turku PS and SJK have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KUP (9)
€3m
HH (6)
€1m
ILV (5)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
AO (6)
€1m
SJK (9)
€1m
FJ (6)
€1m
VPS (5)
€1m
MAR (4)
€1m
GNI (5)
€1m
LAH (3)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
Turku PS and SJK have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HH (12)
€3m
KUP (12)
€3m
IT (11)
€2m
ILV (11)
€2m
SJK (9)
€2m
VPS (12)
€1m
AO (11)
€1m
GNI (10)
€1m
LAH (10)
€1m
TP (10)
€1m
MAR (10)
€1m
FJ (7)
€1m
Turku PS and SJK have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Finland: Veikkausliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Finland: Veikkausliiga stats & trends →
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KuPS
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
AC Oulu
VPS
Lahti
Ilves
FF Jaro
Mariehamn