UE Santa Coloma II vs Atlètic Amèrica Result & Analysis

Date: 17/05/2025

Time: 18:30

Final 1-1

UE Santa Coloma II

27%

22%

51%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Atlètic Amèrica

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Referee: -

Match preview & prediction

UE Santa Coloma II are coming off a draw against Atlético América, a match that ended 1-1, and have shown a recent trend of inconsistency, as evidenced by their last five results: DLLWW. Meanwhile, Atlético América have been unbeaten in their last five matches, including a draw against UE Santa Coloma II.

The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.9 goals and a most likely total of 6+. The most likely score is 1-2, with a probability of 8.4%. The home side, UE Santa Coloma II, have averaged 2 goals scored and 2.57 conceded at home, while the away side, Atlético América, have averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded away against weaker opponents.

The model's selection is an away win, with a 51% probability. The suggested picks include Over 1.5 (91% probability), Over 2.5 (74.9% probability), and BTTS Yes (73.2% probability). The probabilities for the match result are 27% for a home win, 22% for a draw, and 51% for an away win.

Results analysis

In a stunning upset, UE Santa Coloma II drew 1-1 with Atlético América, spoiling the pre-match favourite's chances. The model's selection, Atlético América to win, was wrong, with a pre-match probability of 51%. The model's call was incorrect as UE Santa Coloma II came from behind to secure a draw. Meanwhile, the model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 91%, as the game had three goals. The selection of Over 2.5 goals missed, with a probability of 74.9%, as the match ended 1-1. BTTS Yes also hit, with a probability of 73.2%, as both teams scored. This draw extends UE Santa Coloma II's run of draws with Atlético América, who were unbeaten in their last 5 games, but ultimately couldn't convert their dominance into a win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UE Santa Coloma II win✗ Miss

27.4%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✓ Hit

21.6%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Atlètic Amèrica win✗ Miss

51.0%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

UE Santa Coloma II

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.6

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

1.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.53	1.83	1.93	1.93	1.13	1.73
vs Stronger (6)	1.50	2.17	2.00	2.00	1.00	2.33
vs Similar (20)	1.55	1.70	1.70	1.70	1.40	1.70
vs Weaker (4)	1.50	2.00	3.00	3.00	0.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	17% (-8pp vs league)

This opponent (Atlètic Amèrica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Atlètic Amèrica

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.3

Avg scored

2.2

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.63	2.23	1.79	2.21	1.50	2.25
vs Stronger (5)	0.60	5.00	1.00	8.00	0.50	4.25
vs Similar (1)	0.00	1.00	0.00	1.00	-	-
vs Weaker (24)	1.92	1.71	2.00	1.83	1.83	1.58
Clean sheet %	20% (-5pp vs league)

This opponent (UE Santa Coloma II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (20%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

91.0%

Under 1.5

9.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

74.9%

Under 2.5

25.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

55.0%

Under 3.5

45.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

73.2%

26.8%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-2

8.4%

1-1 ✓

8.2%

2-2

7.0%

1-3

6.4%

2-1

6.2%

2-3

5.3%

0-2

5.1%

0-3

3.9%

UE Santa Coloma II goals ↓

	Atlètic Amèrica goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.7%	3.8%	5.1%	3.9%	2.2%
1	2.5%	8.2%	8.4%	6.4%	3.6%
2	2.7%	6.2%	7.0%	5.3%	3.0%
3	1.5%	3.4%	3.8%	2.9%	1.6%
4	0.6%	1.4%	1.6%	1.2%	0.7%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = UE Santa Coloma II goals (down), columns = Atlètic Amèrica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Carroi

2.19

Atlètic Amèrica

1.88

City Escaldes

1.44

UE Santa Coloma II

1.00

Ranger's II

0.62

UE Santa Coloma II is 0.88 points worse than Atlètic Amèrica in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Carroi

2.50

Atlètic Amèrica

2.19

City Escaldes

1.88

UE Santa Coloma II

1.31

Ranger's II

1.00

UE Santa Coloma II is 0.88 goals worse than Atlètic Amèrica in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 2.19).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Carroi

0.88

Atlètic Amèrica

1.00

UE Santa Coloma II

1.81

City Escaldes

1.81

Ranger's II

3.38

UE Santa Coloma II is 0.81 goals worse than Atlètic Amèrica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	91.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Over 2.5	74.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
BTTS Yes	73.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (34)

€5m

ACI (35)

€5m

USC (26)

€5m

CAR (29)

€3m

CE (51)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

UE Santa Coloma II vs Atlètic Amèrica · H/A from USC

Date	H/A	Game	Score
09/02/25	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs USC	3-0
18/01/25	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs USC	0-2
09/11/24	H	USC Vs Atlètic Amèrica	1-4
18/02/23	H	USC Vs Atlètic Amèrica	0-3
30/10/22	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs USC	4-1

UE Santa Coloma II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
04/05/25	A	City Escaldes Vs USC	1-0
13/04/25	A	Carroi Vs USC	1-0
05/04/25	H	USC Vs Ranger's II	3-1
29/03/25	H	USC Vs Ranger's II	4-1
23/02/25	A	City Escaldes Vs USC	1-0
16/02/25	A	Carroi Vs USC	2-0
09/02/25	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs USC	3-0
25/01/25	H	USC Vs Carroi	0-4
18/01/25	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs USC	0-2
01/12/24	A	Ranger's II Vs USC	2-1

Atlètic Amèrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
10/05/25	A	Carroi Vs AA	0-1
13/04/25	H	AA Vs Ranger's II	5-0
06/04/25	H	AA Vs City Escaldes	2-0
30/03/25	H	AA Vs Carroi	3-0
22/02/25	A	Ranger's II Vs AA	1-4
19/02/25	A	Carroi Vs AA	1-1
09/02/25	H	AA Vs UE Santa Coloma II	3-0
02/02/25	H	AA Vs City Escaldes	1-3
26/01/25	A	City Escaldes Vs AA	4-2
18/01/25	H	AA Vs UE Santa Coloma II	0-2

📊 12. Overall Statistics

UE Santa Coloma II

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWWLL	0.90
Home	LDLWW	1.17
Away	LLLLL	0.64

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	33%	20%
AVG goals	3.96	4.58	3.36
Over 1.5 %	88%	96%	80%
Over 2.5 %	78%	83%	72%
Over 3.5 %	57%	71%	44%
Scored	1.31	1.58	1.04
Conceded	2.65	3.00	2.32
BTTS	57%	62%	52%
Clean Sheet	10%	8%	12%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Atlètic Amèrica

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWWWW	1.14
Home	LWWWW	1.08
Away	WLDWW	1.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	32%	36%
AVG goals	3.72	3.64	3.80
Over 1.5 %	86%	88%	84%
Over 2.5 %	70%	72%	68%
Over 3.5 %	48%	44%	52%
Scored	1.48	1.52	1.44
Conceded	2.24	2.12	2.36
BTTS	48%	52%	44%
Clean Sheet	18%	24%	12%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 13. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Carroi	16	35	69%	2.2	40	14	+26	3.4	75%	62%	44%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	0	0	0	2.5	0.9	-
2	Atlètic Amèrica	16	30	56%	1.9	35	16	+19	3.2	88%	56%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.0	-
3	City Escaldes	16	23	44%	1.4	30	29	+1	3.7	75%	69%	56%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.9	1.8	-
4	UE Santa Coloma II	16	16	25%	1.0	21	29	-8	3.1	75%	56%	44%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	1.3	1.8	-
5	Ranger's II	16	10	19%	0.6	16	54	-38	4.4	88%	81%	69%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	1.0	3.4	-
6	Atlètic Club II	0	0	0%	0.0	0	0	+0	-	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	-

Andorra: 2a Divisió 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 2a Divisió stats & trends →

← all matches

UE Santa Coloma II vs Atlètic Amèrica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

UE Santa Coloma II

Atlètic Amèrica

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

UE Santa Coloma II

Atlètic Amèrica

📊 12. Overall Statistics

🏆 13. League Table

A Pro feature