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UE Santa Coloma II vs Carroi Result & Analysis

Date: 20/10/2024
Time: 10:00
Final 2-2
UE Santa Coloma II
UE Santa Coloma II
Vs
36%
22%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UE Santa Coloma II win✗ Miss
36.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
21.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Carroi win✗ Miss
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

UE Santa Coloma IIUE Santa Coloma II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W22D31W04L13L10W32W14L02L44DH·RAN18/02A·FC 25/02H·LA 03/03A·UE 24/03A·UE 14/04H·LA 28/04H·UE 05/05A·RAN12/05H·FC 19/05H·CIT06/10
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.403.001.443.121.362.86
vs Stronger (6)1.172.831.671.670.674.00
vs Similar (21)1.432.481.272.731.602.20
vs Weaker (3)1.677.002.007.501.006.00
Clean sheet %10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-603L04L23L02L06L02L11D10W01L12LH·UE 06/04A·FC 14/04H·ATL20/04A·ESP27/04A·INT05/05H·PEN12/05A·ORD19/05A·RAN25/05H·RAN29/05A·ATL29/09← 1a Divisió2a Divisió →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.702.670.382.770.942.59
vs Stronger (16)0.813.500.713.570.893.44
vs Similar (11)0.452.000.002.200.831.83
vs Weaker (3)1.000.670.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (UE Santa Coloma II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%2%05%114%219%320%416%523%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.4%
Under 1.5
7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
78.0%
Under 2.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.0%
Under 3.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
76.8%
No
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-2 ✓
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-3
5.2%
3-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
UE Santa Coloma II goals ↓
Carroi goals →
01234
02.3%2.8%3.7%2.6%1.4%
12.5%7.6%7.4%5.2%2.8%
23.2%6.8%7.3%5.2%2.8%
32.1%4.5%4.8%3.4%1.8%
41.0%2.2%2.4%1.7%0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = UE Santa Coloma II goals (down), columns = Carroi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Carroi
2.19
Atlètic Amèrica
1.88
City Escaldes
1.44
UE Santa Coloma II
1.00
Ranger's II
0.62
UE Santa Coloma II is 1.19 points worse than Carroi in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Carroi
2.50
Atlètic Amèrica
2.19
City Escaldes
1.88
UE Santa Coloma II
1.31
Ranger's II
1.00
UE Santa Coloma II is 1.19 goals worse than Carroi in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Carroi
0.88
Atlètic Amèrica
1.00
UE Santa Coloma II
1.81
City Escaldes
1.81
Ranger's II
3.38
UE Santa Coloma II is 0.94 goals worse than Carroi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 0.88).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

UE Santa Coloma IIUE Santa Coloma II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L00D10W01L03L01L01L00D01LA·ATL10/03H·UE 06/04A·FC 14/04H·ATL20/04A·ESP27/04A·INT05/05H·PEN12/05A·ORD19/05A·RAN25/05H·RAN29/05← 1a Divisió2a Divisió →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.171.270.081.310.241.24
vs Stronger (15)0.271.730.141.570.381.88
vs Similar (12)0.000.920.001.200.000.71
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (UE Santa Coloma II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
UE Santa Coloma II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

UE Santa Coloma IIUE Santa Coloma II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L04L13L01L03L01L10W10W00DA·ATL10/03H·UE 06/04A·FC 14/04H·ATL20/04A·ESP27/04A·INT05/05H·PEN12/05A·ORD19/05A·RAN25/05H·RAN29/05← 1a Divisió2a Divisió →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.330.311.460.761.24
vs Stronger (15)0.531.870.572.000.501.75
vs Similar (12)0.580.920.001.001.000.86
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (UE Santa Coloma II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
UE Santa Coloma II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UE Santa Coloma II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.578.0%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes76.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USC (24)
€5m
CAR (21)
€2m
CE (3)
€0m
UE Santa Coloma II's squad is €2m more valuable than Carroi's (€5m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USC (9)
€2m
CAR (4)
€0m
CE (2)
€0m
UE Santa Coloma II's attack is €1m more valuable than Carroi's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USC (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
CE (0)
€0m
UE Santa Coloma II and Carroi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USC (11)
€2m
CAR (10)
€1m
CE (1)
€0m
UE Santa Coloma II and Carroi have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
USC wins
0
Draws
2
CAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

UE Santa Coloma II vs Carroi · H/A from USC
DateH/AGameScore
04/12/22HUSC Vs Carroi0-6
18/09/22ACarroi Vs USC1-0

UE Santa Coloma IIUE Santa Coloma II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24HUSC Vs City Escaldes4-4
19/05/24HUSC Vs FC Santa Coloma II0-2
12/05/24ARanger's Vs USC4-1
05/05/24HUSC Vs UE Sant Julia3-2
28/04/24HUSC Vs La Massana1-0
14/04/24AUE Engordany Vs USC3-1
24/03/24AUE Engordany Vs USC4-0
03/03/24HUSC Vs La Massana3-1
25/02/24AFC Santa Coloma II Vs USC2-2
18/02/24HUSC Vs Ranger's2-0

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/24AAtlètic Amèrica Vs CAR2-1
29/05/24HCAR Vs Ranger's0-1
25/05/24ARanger's Vs CAR0-1
19/05/24AOrdino Vs CAR1-1
12/05/24HCAR Vs Penya Encarnada0-2
05/05/24AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs CAR6-0
27/04/24AEsperança d'Andorra Vs CAR2-0
20/04/24HCAR Vs Atlètic Amèrica2-3
14/04/24AFC Santa Coloma Vs CAR4-0
06/04/24HCAR Vs UE Santa Coloma0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

UE Santa Coloma II
UE Santa Coloma II
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD0.86
HomeWWWLD1.11
AwayLDLLL0.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%18%
AVG goals4.404.674.12
Over 1.5 %94%94%94%
Over 2.5 %86%78%94%
Over 3.5 %63%61%65%
Scored1.371.441.29
Conceded3.033.222.82
BTTS63%56%71%
Clean Sheet9%11%6%
Corners---
Cards---
Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 2a Divisió
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.14
HomeDLLLL1.13
AwayLLDWL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%35%33%
AVG goals3.643.833.48
Over 1.5 %90%91%89%
Over 2.5 %70%65%74%
Over 3.5 %50%57%44%
Scored1.521.651.41
Conceded2.122.172.07
BTTS46%35%56%
Clean Sheet24%26%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CarroiCarroi1635
69%
2.2
4014+26
3.4
75%
62%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.50.9
-
2Atlètic AmèricaAtlètic Amèrica1630
56%
1.9
3516+19
3.2
88%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
3City EscaldesCity Escaldes1623
44%
1.4
3029+1
3.7
75%
69%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.8
-
4UE Santa Coloma IIUE Santa Coloma II1616
25%
1.0
2129-8
3.1
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.8
-
5RangerRanger's II1610
19%
0.6
1654-38
4.4
88%
81%
69%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.4
-
6Atlètic Club IIAtlètic Club II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Andorra: 2a Divisió 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 2a Divisió stats & trends →

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