UE Santa Coloma II vs Ranger's II Result & Analysis

Date: 05/04/2025

Time: 18:30

Final 3-1

UE Santa Coloma II

46%

21%

33%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Ranger's II

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Referee: -

Match preview & prediction

This match between UE Santa Coloma II and Ranger's II in the Andorra 2a Divisió is shaping up to be a high-scoring affair. The home side's recent form, coming off a draw against Atlètic Amèrica, suggests they may be due for a win. However, their home form against similar opponents has seen them average 1.71 goals scored and 1.43 conceded.

The away side, Ranger's II, has been struggling, with 5 consecutive defeats, but their away form against similar opponents has seen them average 1 goal scored and 4 conceded. This suggests a high-scoring match, in line with the model's expected total of 4.3 goals.

The model picks a home win, with a 46% chance of UE Santa Coloma II emerging victorious. The most likely correct score is 2-1, with a 7.4% probability. The model's selections include Over 1.5, Over 2.5, and BTTS Yes, with probabilities of 93.2%, 79.8%, and 77.9%, respectively. The home side has a 46% chance of winning, a 21% chance of drawing, and a 33% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The win extends UE Santa Coloma II's recent run, coming off a draw and now having a 3-1 victory. The final score was indeed 3-1, confirming the actual result was a home win. The model correctly picked the home win, which had a pre-match probability of 46%. The model's selection, the home win, was the favourite, and it proved correct.

The model's selection of over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 93.2%, and it also correctly predicted over 2.5 goals, with a 79.8% chance. Both selections were correct, and the model also got BTTS Yes right, with a 77.9% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UE Santa Coloma II win✓ Hit

46.4%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✗ Miss

21.0%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Ranger's II win✗ Miss

32.6%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

UE Santa Coloma II

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.0

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

1.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.53	2.00	1.86	2.00	1.25	2.00
vs Stronger (6)	1.50	2.17	2.00	2.00	1.00	2.33
vs Similar (20)	1.45	1.95	1.56	1.78	1.36	2.09
vs Weaker (4)	2.00	2.00	3.00	3.00	1.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	17% (-8pp vs league)

This opponent (Ranger's II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ranger's II

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.5

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

3.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.08	3.00	0.83	3.33	1.33	2.67
vs Stronger (6)	0.83	3.33	0.67	4.00	1.00	2.67
vs Similar (6)	1.33	2.67	1.00	2.67	1.67	2.67
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	8% (-16pp vs league)

This opponent (UE Santa Coloma II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 4.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (26%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

93.2%

Under 1.5

6.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

79.8%

Under 2.5

20.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

61.6%

Under 3.5

38.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

77.9%

22.1%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

2-1

7.4%

2-2

7.2%

1-1

7.0%

1-2

6.2%

3-1 ✓

5.7%

3-2

5.5%

2-3

4.7%

1-3

4.0%

UE Santa Coloma II goals ↓

	Ranger's II goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.0%	2.1%	2.7%	1.7%	0.8%
1	2.6%	7.0%	6.2%	4.0%	2.0%
2	3.8%	7.4%	7.2%	4.7%	2.3%
3	2.9%	5.7%	5.5%	3.6%	1.7%
4	1.7%	3.3%	3.2%	2.1%	1.0%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = UE Santa Coloma II goals (down), columns = Ranger's II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Carroi

2.19

Atlètic Amèrica

1.88

City Escaldes

1.44

UE Santa Coloma II

1.00

Ranger's II

0.62

UE Santa Coloma II is 0.38 points better than Ranger's II in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Carroi

2.50

Atlètic Amèrica

2.19

City Escaldes

1.88

UE Santa Coloma II

1.31

Ranger's II

1.00

UE Santa Coloma II is 0.31 goals better than Ranger's II in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Carroi

0.88

Atlètic Amèrica

1.00

UE Santa Coloma II

1.81

City Escaldes

1.81

Ranger's II

3.38

UE Santa Coloma II is 1.56 goals better than Ranger's II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.81 vs 3.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	93.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Over 2.5	79.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
BTTS Yes	77.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (34)

€5m

ACI (35)

€5m

USC (26)

€5m

CAR (29)

€3m

CE (51)

€0m

UE Santa Coloma II and Ranger's II have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

UE Santa Coloma II vs Ranger's II · H/A from USC

Date	H/A	Game	Score
29/03/25	H	USC Vs Ranger's II	4-1
01/12/24	A	Ranger's II Vs USC	2-1
26/10/24	A	Ranger's II Vs USC	0-1

UE Santa Coloma II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
29/03/25	H	USC Vs Ranger's II	4-1
23/02/25	A	City Escaldes Vs USC	1-0
16/02/25	A	Carroi Vs USC	2-0
09/02/25	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs USC	3-0
25/01/25	H	USC Vs Carroi	0-4
18/01/25	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs USC	0-2
01/12/24	A	Ranger's II Vs USC	2-1
24/11/24	H	USC Vs City Escaldes	2-2
09/11/24	H	USC Vs Atlètic Amèrica	1-4
26/10/24	A	Ranger's II Vs USC	0-1

Ranger's II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
29/03/25	A	UE Santa Coloma II Vs RI	4-1
22/02/25	H	RI Vs Atlètic Amèrica	1-4
15/02/25	H	RI Vs City Escaldes	1-6
01/02/25	H	RI Vs Carroi	0-8
19/01/25	A	Carroi Vs RI	4-1
14/12/24	A	City Escaldes Vs RI	1-4
01/12/24	H	RI Vs UE Santa Coloma II	2-1
24/11/24	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs RI	1-1
10/11/24	A	Carroi Vs RI	3-1
26/10/24	H	RI Vs UE Santa Coloma II	0-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

UE Santa Coloma II

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLLLW	0.89
Home	DLDLW	1.09
Away	LWLLL	0.70

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	26%	30%	22%
AVG goals	4.09	4.61	3.57
Over 1.5 %	91%	96%	87%
Over 2.5 %	80%	83%	78%
Over 3.5 %	59%	70%	48%
Scored	1.33	1.52	1.13
Conceded	2.76	3.09	2.43
BTTS	59%	61%	57%
Clean Sheet	11%	9%	13%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Ranger's II

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLLLL	0.83
Home	LWLLL	1.00
Away	LDWLL	0.67

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	25%	33%	17%
AVG goals	4.08	4.17	4.00
Over 1.5 %	83%	67%	100%
Over 2.5 %	75%	67%	83%
Over 3.5 %	58%	50%	67%
Scored	1.08	0.83	1.33
Conceded	3.00	3.33	2.67
BTTS	67%	50%	83%
Clean Sheet	8%	17%	0%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 13. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Carroi	16	35	69%	2.2	40	14	+26	3.4	75%	62%	44%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	0	0	0	2.5	0.9	-
2	Atlètic Amèrica	16	30	56%	1.9	35	16	+19	3.2	88%	56%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.0	-
3	City Escaldes	16	23	44%	1.4	30	29	+1	3.7	75%	69%	56%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.9	1.8	-
4	UE Santa Coloma II	16	16	25%	1.0	21	29	-8	3.1	75%	56%	44%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	1.3	1.8	-
5	Ranger's II	16	10	19%	0.6	16	54	-38	4.4	88%	81%	69%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	1.0	3.4	-
6	Atlètic Club II	0	0	0%	0.0	0	0	+0	-	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	-

Andorra: 2a Divisió 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 2a Divisió stats & trends →

← all matches

UE Santa Coloma II vs Ranger's II Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

UE Santa Coloma II

Ranger's II

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

UE Santa Coloma II

Ranger's II

📊 12. Overall Statistics

🏆 13. League Table

A Pro feature