This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MTK Budapest
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.40
1.93
1.43
1.25
1.38
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
1.00
2.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
1.64
1.44
2.08
1.25
1.23
1.62
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
-
-
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ujpest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.9%
Under 2.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
Ujpest goals ↓
MTK Budapest goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
5.9%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
1
9.4%
13%
6.4%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.6%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.8%
5.3%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.0%
2.2%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ujpest goals (down), columns = MTK Budapest goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.09
Puskas Academy
2.00
Paks
1.73
Gyori ETO FC
1.61
MTK Budapest
1.39
Diosgyori VTK
1.33
Ujpest
1.24
Nyiregyhaza
1.09
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.03
Debreceni VSC
1.03
Fehérvár FC
0.94
Kecskeméti TE
0.76
Ujpest is 0.15 points worse than MTK Budapest in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
1.97
Ferencvarosi TC
1.94
Puskas Academy
1.76
MTK Budapest
1.61
Debreceni VSC
1.58
Gyori ETO FC
1.48
Diosgyori VTK
1.30
Ujpest
1.15
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.06
Fehérvár FC
1.03
Kecskeméti TE
0.94
Nyiregyhaza
0.94
Ujpest is 0.45 goals worse than MTK Budapest in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.61).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
0.94
Gyori ETO FC
1.12
Puskas Academy
1.15
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.27
Ujpest
1.33
Paks
1.42
MTK Budapest
1.42
Diosgyori VTK
1.55
Fehérvár FC
1.58
Nyiregyhaza
1.58
Kecskeméti TE
1.61
Debreceni VSC
1.79
Ujpest is 0.09 goals better than MTK Budapest in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.42).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
62%
MTK Budapest
55%
Ujpest
51%
Puskas Academy
50%
Debreceni VSC
50%
Paks
48%
Kecskeméti TE
47%
Diosgyori VTK
47%
Fehérvár FC
46%
Zalaegerszegi TE
44%
Ujpest is 3.5 percentage points worse than MTK Budapest in terms of average possession (51% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ujpest
For 3.4 · Against 7.3 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 14.4 · Total 26.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
MTK Budapest
For 3.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 13.6 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ujpest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.8
9.2
3.5
3.4
3.6
25.7
25.9
25.4
vs Stronger (5)
9.0
8.5
9.3
4.4
5.0
4.0
25.0
26.5
23.5
vs Similar (42)
9.5
9.8
9.1
3.5
3.3
3.7
26.1
26.5
25.7
vs Weaker (3)
10.5
11.0
10.0
2.3
3.0
2.0
17.0
17.0
-
% over line
52%
60%
45%
52%
32%
68%
77%
76%
78%
% under line
48%
40%
55%
48%
68%
32%
23%
24%
22%
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MTK Budapest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.0
10.2
3.2
3.0
3.3
23.4
24.5
22.2
vs Stronger (5)
9.6
10.0
9.0
2.2
2.7
1.5
22.5
24.5
20.5
vs Similar (41)
8.9
7.5
10.2
3.4
3.0
3.7
23.3
24.9
21.6
vs Weaker (4)
11.5
10.0
13.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
26.0
18.0
34.0
% over line
46%
33%
60%
38%
33%
42%
60%
72%
47%
% under line
54%
67%
40%
62%
67%
58%
40%
28%
53%
This opponent (Ujpest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
11.2
Debreceni VSC
10.2
Diosgyori VTK
10.1
Fehérvár FC
9.9
Zalaegerszegi TE
9.8
Ujpest
9.4
Ferencvarosi TC
9.3
Kecskeméti TE
9.1
MTK Budapest
9.0
Puskas Academy
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Debreceni VSC
5.2
Puskas Academy
4.8
Kecskeméti TE
4.7
Fehérvár FC
4.7
Paks
4.7
Ujpest
4.5
Diosgyori VTK
4.4
Ferencvarosi TC
4.4
Zalaegerszegi TE
4.1
MTK Budapest
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Debreceni VSC
27.6
Paks
27.6
Puskas Academy
27.5
Kecskeméti TE
26.1
Ujpest
25.7
Ferencvarosi TC
25.2
Diosgyori VTK
24.8
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.6
Fehérvár FC
23.5
MTK Budapest
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.6%
Under 9.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.7%
Under 3.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.2%
Under 21.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ujpest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
0.85
0.15
0.82
0.59
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.96
0.42
0.92
0.17
1.00
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MTK Budapest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.87
0.93
0.93
0.75
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.88
0.92
0.75
0.62
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ujpest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ujpest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ujpest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.67
0.62
0.69
0.47
0.65
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.58
0.69
0.67
0.75
0.50
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MTK Budapest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.56
1.17
0.50
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ujpest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ujpest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ujpest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matija Ljujić35%
Fran Brodić33%
Giorgi Beridze20%
Mamoudou Karamoko13%
Mátyás Tajti12%
Márk Mucsányi12%
Barnabás Bese11%
Tom Lacoux10%
Damian Rasak8%
Adrián Dénes8%
Krisztofer Horváth5%
João Nunes4%
Attila Fiola0%
Krisztián Tamás0%
Aboubakar Keita0%
Daviti Kobouri0%
Bence Gergényi0%
Vincent Onovo0%
Krisztián Simon0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
George Ganea0%
Milan Tučić0%
André Duarte0%
Ognjen Radošević0%
Nimród Baranyai0%
Dominik Kaczvinszki0%
Bálint Geiger0%
Márk Dékei0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Attila Fiola50%
Bence Gergényi35%
Krisztián Tamás25%
George Ganea25%
Nimród Baranyai25%
Tom Lacoux24%
Vincent Onovo22%
João Nunes21%
Matija Ljujić20%
Dominik Kaczvinszki20%
André Duarte18%
Barnabás Bese17%
Fran Brodić17%
Adrián Dénes15%
Márk Mucsányi12%
Bálint Geiger12%
Krisztofer Horváth10%
Daviti Kobouri9%
Mamoudou Karamoko7%
Mátyás Tajti6%
Riccardo Piscitelli4%
Aboubakar Keita0%
Giorgi Beridze0%
Krisztián Simon0%
Damian Rasak0%
Milan Tučić0%
Ognjen Radošević0%
Márk Dékei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bálint Geiger24%
Fran Brodić21%
Krisztofer Horváth20%
Barnabás Bese17%
Márk Mucsányi12%
Daviti Kobouri9%
Damian Rasak8%
João Nunes8%
Mamoudou Karamoko7%
Matija Ljujić5%
Tom Lacoux5%
Bence Gergényi4%
Attila Fiola0%
Krisztián Tamás0%
Aboubakar Keita0%
Giorgi Beridze0%
Vincent Onovo0%
Krisztián Simon0%
Mátyás Tajti0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
George Ganea0%
Milan Tučić0%
André Duarte0%
Ognjen Radošević0%
Nimród Baranyai0%
Adrián Dénes0%
Dominik Kaczvinszki0%
Márk Dékei0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fran Brodić29%
Krisztofer Horváth15%
Matija Ljujić15%
Mátyás Tajti6%
Tom Lacoux5%
André Duarte5%
João Nunes4%
Attila Fiola0%
Krisztián Tamás0%
Aboubakar Keita0%
Barnabás Bese0%
Mamoudou Karamoko0%
Daviti Kobouri0%
Bence Gergényi0%
Giorgi Beridze0%
Vincent Onovo0%
Krisztián Simon0%
Riccardo Piscitelli0%
Damian Rasak0%
George Ganea0%
Milan Tučić0%
Márk Mucsányi0%
Ognjen Radošević0%
Nimród Baranyai0%
Adrián Dénes0%
Dominik Kaczvinszki0%
Bálint Geiger0%
Márk Dékei0%
MTK Budapest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marin Jurina40%
Zsombor Gruber25%
Rajmund Molnár23%
Benedek Varju18%
Róbert Polievka17%
Viktor Hei12%
Márk Kosznovszky10%
István Bognár9%
Ilia Beriashvili8%
Krisztián Németh6%
Bence Végh5%
Tamás Kádár5%
Patrik Kovács5%
Artúr Horváth5%
Nemanja Antonov0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Zsombor Nagy0%
Dávid Bobál0%
Mihály Kata0%
Zoltán Stieber0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Ádin Molnár0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dávid Bobál40%
Mihály Kata33%
Márk Kosznovszky30%
Tamás Kádár29%
Zsombor Nagy25%
Patrik Kovács24%
Benedek Varju24%
Rajmund Molnár23%
Nemanja Antonov20%
Viktor Hei18%
Marin Jurina12%
Krisztián Németh12%
Ádin Molnár10%
István Bognár9%
Ilia Beriashvili8%
Zoltán Stieber7%
Bence Végh5%
Artúr Horváth5%
Patrik Demjén0%
Róbert Polievka0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
István Bognár23%
Artúr Horváth18%
Viktor Hei18%
Rajmund Molnár14%
Zoltán Stieber13%
Zsombor Gruber12%
Nemanja Antonov10%
Márk Kosznovszky10%
Ádin Molnár10%
Tamás Kádár10%
Patrik Kovács5%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Zsombor Nagy0%
Dávid Bobál0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Krisztián Németh0%
Marin Jurina0%
Róbert Polievka0%
Bence Végh0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rajmund Molnár32%
Marin Jurina28%
István Bognár18%
Zsombor Gruber12%
Róbert Polievka11%
Krisztián Németh6%
Tamás Kádár0%
Nemanja Antonov0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Zsombor Nagy0%
Dávid Bobál0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Zoltán Stieber0%
Viktor Hei0%
Márk Kosznovszky0%
Artúr Horváth0%
Bence Végh0%
Gergő Szőke0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Noel Kenesei0%
Ádin Molnár0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
ZT (23)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
Ujpest's squad is €3m more valuable than MTK Budapest's (€14m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
Ujpest's attack is €3m more valuable than MTK Budapest's (€5m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KT (2)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
Ujpest and MTK Budapest have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
Ujpest and MTK Budapest have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Hungary: NB I 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ferencvarosi TC
Puskas Academy
Paks
Gyori ETO FC
Diosgyori VTK
Nyiregyhaza
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE
Fehérvár FC
Kecskeméti TE