This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Darmstadt 98
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.87
1.53
1.40
1.60
2.33
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
4.00
0.00
6.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.78
1.65
1.75
1.08
1.82
2.27
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.6%
@ 2.04+8.4%
Under 2.5
45.4%
@ 1.75-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.3%
Under 3.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.7%
No
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
7.7%
2-1 ✓
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
Ulm goals ↓
SV Darmstadt 98 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
7.7%
6.9%
3.6%
1.4%
1
6.3%
13%
9.0%
4.7%
1.8%
2
4.9%
7.6%
5.9%
3.1%
1.2%
3
2.1%
3.3%
2.6%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.7%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ulm goals (down), columns = SV Darmstadt 98 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
1. FC Köln
1.87
Hamburger SV
1.76
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.71
Hannover 96
1.66
SC Paderborn 07
1.66
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Elversberg
1.63
1. FC Magdeburg
1.58
Karlsruher SC
1.58
FC Saarbrücken
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.50
Hertha BSC
1.34
SV Darmstadt 98
1.21
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.21
FC Schalke 04
1.18
Preußen Münster
1.16
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.02
Ulm
0.88
SSV Ulm 1846
0.88
Jahn Regensburg
0.74
Regensburg
0.74
Ulm is 0.33 points worse than SV Darmstadt 98 in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hamburger SV
2.39
1. FC Nürnberg
1.92
SV Elversberg
1.87
1. FC Magdeburg
1.79
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.74
Karlsruher SC
1.68
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.66
SV Darmstadt 98
1.63
SC Paderborn 07
1.61
1. FC Köln
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.47
FC Schalke 04
1.47
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.37
Hannover 96
1.29
Preußen Münster
1.24
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.07
Ulm
1.06
SSV Ulm 1846
1.06
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Jahn Regensburg
0.68
Regensburg
0.68
Ulm is 0.57 goals worse than SV Darmstadt 98 in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.63).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Saarbrücken
1.00
Hannover 96
1.03
1. FC Köln
1.03
SV Elversberg
1.08
Preußen Münster
1.18
SC Paderborn 07
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.24
1. FC Magdeburg
1.39
Ulm
1.41
SSV Ulm 1846
1.41
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.45
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.55
SV Darmstadt 98
1.61
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.63
1. FC Nürnberg
1.66
FC Schalke 04
1.71
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.77
Jahn Regensburg
2.09
Regensburg
2.09
Ulm is 0.19 goals better than SV Darmstadt 98 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
1. FC Magdeburg
58%
Hamburger SV
55%
FC Schalke 04
54%
Hertha BSC
53%
FC Saarbrücken
53%
1. FC Köln
53%
SV Elversberg
52%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
52%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
52%
1. FC Nürnberg
51%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
50%
Hannover 96
49%
Karlsruher SC
49%
SSV Ulm 1846
46%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
45%
Preußen Münster
43%
Jahn Regensburg
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
U
Ulm
For 4.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 15.1 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Darmstadt 98
For 3.3 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 14.0 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
U
Ulm
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (26)
9.6
9.3
9.9
5.5
6.3
4.8
25.2
23.8
26.4
vs Stronger (23)
9.9
9.4
10.4
5.8
6.9
4.8
24.1
23.5
24.8
vs Similar (3)
7.3
9.0
6.5
3.3
0.0
5.0
33.0
27.0
36.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
33%
43%
85%
83%
86%
85%
75%
93%
% under line
62%
67%
57%
15%
17%
14%
15%
25%
7%
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Darmstadt 98
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.0
10.1
5.0
5.0
5.0
22.8
22.7
23.0
vs Stronger (15)
8.7
7.6
10.0
3.9
3.5
4.4
20.7
20.4
21.0
vs Similar (31)
9.8
10.1
9.5
5.3
5.7
4.9
23.8
23.9
23.7
vs Weaker (4)
10.5
6.0
15.0
6.0
5.0
7.0
23.8
23.0
24.5
% over line
48%
40%
56%
70%
64%
76%
70%
68%
72%
% under line
52%
60%
44%
30%
36%
24%
30%
32%
28%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Köln
11.1
SC Paderborn 07
11.0
1. FC Magdeburg
11.0
Hamburger SV
11.0
Hertha BSC
10.9
SV Elversberg
10.9
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.8
1. FC Nürnberg
10.7
Jahn Regensburg
10.7
Hannover 96
10.5
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.3
Karlsruher SC
10.3
Regensburg
10.1
SSV Ulm 1846
9.7
Ulm
9.6
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.6
Preußen Münster
9.6
SV Darmstadt 98
9.5
FC Schalke 04
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SSV Ulm 1846
6.2
Ulm
5.5
1. FC Magdeburg
5.2
Preußen Münster
5.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
5.2
Hamburger SV
5.1
1. FC Nürnberg
5.1
Jahn Regensburg
5.0
FC Schalke 04
5.0
SV Darmstadt 98
5.0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
4.9
1. FC Köln
4.9
Regensburg
4.8
SC Paderborn 07
4.7
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.5
SV Elversberg
4.5
Hertha BSC
4.5
Hannover 96
4.3
Karlsruher SC
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Jahn Regensburg
26.4
Regensburg
25.7
Preußen Münster
25.6
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.3
SSV Ulm 1846
25.2
Ulm
25.2
Hannover 96
25.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
24.1
Hamburger SV
23.4
1. FC Nürnberg
23.3
1. FC Magdeburg
23.1
1. FC Köln
23.0
Eintracht Braunschweig
22.9
SV Darmstadt 98
22.8
SC Paderborn 07
22.6
Hertha BSC
22.6
SV Elversberg
21.8
Karlsruher SC
21.5
Fortuna Düsseldorf
21.5
FC Schalke 04
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.3%
Under 9.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.1%
Under 3.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
68.8%
Under 21.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
U
Ulm
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.58
0.35
0.67
0.08
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (23)
0.52
0.35
0.45
0.09
0.58
0.58
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.33
3.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Darmstadt 98
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.87
0.87
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
3.00
0.00
5.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.65
0.92
0.50
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ulm over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
U
Ulm
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
0.88
0.42
1.08
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (23)
0.35
0.96
0.27
1.09
0.42
0.83
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.33
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
38% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Darmstadt 98) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Darmstadt 98
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.00
0.67
0.53
1.00
1.47
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.96
1.00
0.83
0.58
1.09
1.45
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ulm over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulm over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Darmstadt 98 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
SV Darmstadt 98
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Isac Lidberg39%
Fraser Hornby28%
Philipp Förster17%
Killian Corredor17%
Oscar Vilhelmsson15%
Aleksandar Vukotić11%
Kai Klefisch11%
Luca Marseiler9%
Sergio López9%
Fabian Nürnberger6%
Tobias Kempe6%
Andreas Müller6%
Fynn Lakenmacher3%
Matondo-Merveille Papela3%
Clemens Riedel3%
Paul Will0%
Matthias Bader0%
Klaus Gjasula0%
Marcel Schuhen0%
Jean-Paul Boëtius0%
Marco Thiede0%
Matej Maglica0%
Guille Bueno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Vukotić34%
Matej Maglica33%
Philipp Förster26%
Klaus Gjasula25%
Jean-Paul Boëtius25%
Clemens Riedel25%
Paul Will20%
Matthias Bader20%
Andreas Müller20%
Tobias Kempe18%
Fraser Hornby17%
Kai Klefisch15%
Matondo-Merveille Papela15%
Fabian Nürnberger13%
Sergio López12%
Killian Corredor11%
Isac Lidberg10%
Guille Bueno8%
Oscar Vilhelmsson8%
Luca Marseiler6%
Marcel Schuhen6%
Marco Thiede5%
Fynn Lakenmacher3%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Paul Will20%
Isac Lidberg19%
Tobias Kempe18%
Killian Corredor17%
Jean-Paul Boëtius17%
Luca Marseiler12%
Fynn Lakenmacher12%
Sergio López9%
Philipp Förster9%
Guille Bueno8%
Fraser Hornby7%
Fabian Nürnberger6%
Aleksandar Vukotić6%
Kai Klefisch4%
Clemens Riedel3%
Matthias Bader0%
Klaus Gjasula0%
Marcel Schuhen0%
Marco Thiede0%
Oscar Vilhelmsson0%
Andreas Müller0%
Matondo-Merveille Papela0%
Matej Maglica0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Killian Corredor37%
Fraser Hornby34%
Isac Lidberg29%
Aleksandar Vukotić9%
Oscar Vilhelmsson8%
Kai Klefisch7%
Fabian Nürnberger6%
Philipp Förster4%
Fynn Lakenmacher3%
Paul Will0%
Matthias Bader0%
Klaus Gjasula0%
Tobias Kempe0%
Marcel Schuhen0%
Jean-Paul Boëtius0%
Marco Thiede0%
Luca Marseiler0%
Sergio López0%
Andreas Müller0%
Matondo-Merveille Papela0%
Matej Maglica0%
Clemens Riedel0%
Guille Bueno0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
SV Darmstadt 98
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SC Paderborn 07
Hannover 96
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SV Elversberg
1. FC Magdeburg
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Nürnberg
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
FC Schalke 04
Preußen Münster
Eintracht Braunschweig
SSV Ulm 1846
Jahn Regensburg
FC Saarbrücken