Ümraniyespor vs Keçiörengücü Result & Analysis

The model favours a home win, with a 46 % chance, while draws and away victories sit at 27 % each. Expect about 2.8 goals, most likely a 1-1 draw, which carries a 12.9 % probability. Ümraniyespor, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened side, averages 2.09 goals scored and 0.91 conceded, whereas Keçiörengücü, on the road, averages 1.55 scored and 1.64 conceded. The suggested picks include Under 11.5 corners at 87.6 %, Over 2.5 cards at 82.2 %, Under 10.5 corners at 80.0 %, Over 1.5 goals at 77.7 %, Over 19.5 fouls at 74.9 % (miss), Under 25.5 fouls at 72.3 %, and Under 5.5 cards at 70.9 %. The home side’s recent form shows a draw-heavy run, while the away side also comes off a draw, hinting at a tightly contested match.

The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, a home win with a 46 % probability, failed to materialise. The final score was 1-4 in favour of Keçiörengücü, an away victory that left the model’s call wrong. The home side, coming off a draw in their last five, had a recent form of DLDLW, while Keçiörengücü also ended their last five with a draw, noted as DWLLW. The model’s selections were mixed: Under 11.5 corners hit at 87.6 %, Under 10.5 corners hit at 80.0 %, Over 1.5 hit at 77.7 %, Over 19.5 fouls missed at 74.9 %, and Under 25.5 fouls hit at 72.3 %. The match delivered a surprising 1-4 result, overturning expectations.