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UN Kaerjeng 97 vs AS Jeunesse Esch Result & Analysis

Date: 23/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-2
UN Kaerjeng 97
UN Kaerjeng 97
Vs
41%
27%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AS Jeunesse Esch
AS Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

This Luxembourg National Division match between UN Kaerjeng 97 and AS Jeunesse Esch is finely balanced, with both teams having a recent form note that could influence the outcome. UN Kaerjeng 97 comes off a win, while AS Jeunesse Esch is looking to bounce back from two straight defeats.

The model predicts a home win, with a 41% chance of UN Kaerjeng 97 taking the three points. The draw is less likely at 27%, and AS Jeunesse Esch's away win is at 32%. The expected total goals is 2.9, with the most likely total goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 12.7%.

UN Kaerjeng 97 has a strong home record, scoring an average of 2.17 goals and conceding 1.33. AS Jeunesse Esch has struggled away from home, scoring 1.17 goals and conceding 1.33.

The model's selections include Over 21.5 fouls (88.3%), Over 3.5 cards (87.5%), and Over 1.5 (79.7%). UN Kaerjeng 97 has a 41% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and a 32% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The away win by AS Jeunesse Esch extends their run of two consecutive victories. In a major upset, the pre-match favourite UN Kaerjeng 97 failed to come through, with the model's selection of home win being incorrect. The model's call was wrong. The model's selection of home win had a pre-match probability of 41%. The suggested pick of Over 1.5 hit, with a pre-match probability of 79.7%. The final score was 0-2, resulting in an away win, which was the actual result.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UN Kaerjeng 97 win✗ Miss
40.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AS Jeunesse Esch win✓ Hit
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 97

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W10W22D20W12L10W25L30W10W02LA·UNI08/03H·UNA15/03A·PRO22/03A·US 04/04H·ATE12/04A·MAM19/04H·RAC26/04A·ROD03/05H·JEU10/05A·FC 17/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.631.801.931.131.33
vs Stronger (18)1.112.061.562.330.671.78
vs Similar (12)2.001.002.171.331.830.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (AS Jeunesse Esch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D23L01L11D11D21W11D03L21WH·JEU08/03A·FC 15/03H·US 22/03H·F9104/04A·US 12/04H·SWI19/04A·VIC26/04H·UNI03/05A·UNA10/05H·PRO17/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.271.201.071.071.47
vs Stronger (15)0.801.330.861.000.751.62
vs Similar (13)1.311.081.430.861.171.33
vs Weaker (2)2.502.002.003.003.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (UN Kaerjeng 97) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
UN Kaerjeng 97 goals ↓
AS Jeunesse Esch goals →
01234
06.6%6.3%5.0%2.3%0.8%
17.4%13%7.8%3.5%1.2%
26.6%8.9%6.0%2.7%0.9%
33.4%4.6%3.1%1.4%0.5%
41.3%1.8%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = UN Kaerjeng 97 goals (down), columns = AS Jeunesse Esch goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Atert Bissen
2.17
FC Differdange 03
2.17
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.00
F91 Dudelange
1.93
UNA Strassen
1.93
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.33
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.33
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.27
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
1.17
Progres Niederkorn
1.13
Swift Hesperange
1.07
Jeunesse Canach
1.03
Résidence Walferdange
1.00
Wiltz
1.00
Mamer
0.97
Rodange 91
0.83
Union Titus Petange
0.83
UN Kaerjeng 97 is 0.07 points worse than AS Jeunesse Esch in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Atert Bissen
2.33
FC Differdange 03
2.10
F91 Dudelange
1.97
UNA Strassen
1.90
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.70
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.47
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.43
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.17
US Hostert
1.17
Victoria Rosport
1.10
Mamer
1.06
Swift Hesperange
1.03
Résidence Walferdange
1.00
Jeunesse Canach
0.97
Rodange 91
0.93
Union Titus Petange
0.87
Wiltz
0.00
UN Kaerjeng 97 is 0.27 goals better than AS Jeunesse Esch in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Wiltz
0.00
FC Differdange 03
0.73
US Mondorf-les-bains
0.80
UNA Strassen
0.87
Atert Bissen
0.90
Résidence Walferdange
1.00
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.13
F91 Dudelange
1.27
Jeunesse Canach
1.45
Swift Hesperange
1.53
Progres Niederkorn
1.57
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.60
Union Titus Petange
1.63
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.67
Victoria Rosport
1.67
US Hostert
1.87
Mamer
1.90
Rodange 91
2.17
UN Kaerjeng 97 is 0.47 goals worse than AS Jeunesse Esch in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 1.13).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
F91 Dudelange
61%
Progres Niederkorn
60%
UNA Strassen
57%
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
56%
FC Differdange 03
54%
US Hostert
53%
Rodange 91
52%
US Mondorf-les-bains
52%
Atert Bissen
51%
Jeunesse Canach
49%
Swift Hesperange
48%
AS Jeunesse Esch
46%
Mamer
45%
Union Titus Petange
45%
UN Kaerjeng 97
41%
Victoria Rosport
40%
UN Kaerjeng 97 is 4.5 percentage points worse than AS Jeunesse Esch in terms of average possession (41% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 97

For 3.5 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

14059344624147106A·VICH·SWIA·US H·F91
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.6

🟨 Cards

90633561212498736A·VICH·SWIA·US H·F91A·AS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 11.3 · Total 27.0

⚠️ Fouls

39021181513113392814H·SWIA·US H·F91
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch

For 3.0 · Against 5.8 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

110363665699116H·RODA·RACH·MAMA·ATE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.2

🟨 Cards

100332346442651046H·RODA·RACH·MAMA·ATEH·UN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 29.0

⚠️ Fouls

320201012141513171530262832H·RODA·RACH·MAMA·ATE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 97

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.26.512.00.70.40.927.026.528.0
vs Stronger (28)7.76.510.00.60.70.527.026.528.0
vs Similar (20)14.0-14.00.80.01.4---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line50%0%100%8%4%12%67%50%100%
% under line50%100%0%92%96%88%33%50%0%
This opponent (AS Jeunesse Esch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.810.07.50.60.80.429.029.029.0
vs Stronger (22)6.0-6.00.20.00.432.0-32.0
vs Similar (20)9.710.09.01.42.40.528.029.026.0
vs Weaker (8)---0.00.00.0---
% over line25%50%0%10%12%8%100%100%100%
% under line75%50%100%90%88%92%0%0%0%
This opponent (UN Kaerjeng 97) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Mamer
10.3
Victoria Rosport
9.8
Rodange 91
9.3
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Jeunesse Canach
8.2
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8
Union Titus Petange
5.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Rodange 91
7.8
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Mamer
6.8
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
Union Titus Petange
6.2
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6
Jeunesse Canach
5.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Jeunesse Canach
30.6
Swift Hesperange
30.4
Mamer
30.3
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
Rodange 91
28.0
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
Union Titus Petange
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
30.4%
Under 9.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
87.5%
Under 3.5
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
88.3%
Under 21.5
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 21.5 fouls88.3%--------
Over 3.5 cards87.5%--------
Over 1.579.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
FD0 (16)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (9)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

UN Kaerjeng 97 vs AS Jeunesse Esch · H/A from UK9
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/25AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs UK91-1
10/03/24AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs UK93-0
17/09/23HUK9 Vs AS Jeunesse Esch1-1
12/02/23HUK9 Vs AS Jeunesse Esch1-4
14/08/22AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs UK90-0

UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 97

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26AFC Differdange 03 Vs UK92-0
10/05/26HUK9 Vs Jeunesse Canach1-0
03/05/26ARodange 91 Vs UK90-3
26/04/26HUK9 Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg2-5
19/04/26AMamer Vs UK90-1
12/04/26HUK9 Vs Atert Bissen1-2
04/04/26AUS Hostert Vs UK90-2
22/03/26AProgres Niederkorn Vs UK92-2
15/03/26HUK9 Vs UNA Strassen1-0
08/03/26AUnion Titus Petange Vs UK91-2

AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26HAJE Vs Progres Niederkorn2-1
10/05/26AUNA Strassen Vs AJE3-0
03/05/26HAJE Vs Union Titus Petange1-1
26/04/26AVictoria Rosport Vs AJE1-2
19/04/26HAJE Vs Swift Hesperange1-1
12/04/26AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs AJE1-1
04/04/26HAJE Vs F91 Dudelange0-1
22/03/26HAJE Vs US Hostert2-3
15/03/26AFC Differdange 03 Vs AJE1-1
08/03/26HAJE Vs Jeunesse Canach0-1

📊 9. Overall Statistics

UN Kaerjeng 97
UN Kaerjeng 97
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.22
HomeWWLLW1.40
AwayDWWWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.923.322.52
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %58%68%48%
Over 3.5 %34%48%20%
Scored1.321.601.04
Conceded1.601.721.48
BTTS56%64%48%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners9.256.5012.00
Cards6.605.507.33
AS Jeunesse Esch
AS Jeunesse Esch
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.38
HomeLLDDW1.62
AwayDDDWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals2.723.002.42
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %42%46%38%
Over 3.5 %30%35%25%
Scored1.321.690.92
Conceded1.401.311.50
BTTS52%58%46%
Clean Sheet20%15%25%
Corners8.7510.007.50
Cards6.207.334.50

🏆 10. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Atert BissenAtert Bissen3065
67%
2.2
7027+43
3.2
83%
60%
37%
8.6
40%
6.6
100%
26.0
80%
0
0002.30.9
51%
2FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033065
63%
2.2
6322+41
2.8
70%
50%
40%
6.0
0%
5.5
100%
28.5
100%
2
1012.10.7
54%
3US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3060
63%
2.0
5124+27
2.5
70%
50%
33%
11.0
100%
6.2
80%
25.3
100%
0
0001.70.8
52%
4UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3058
57%
1.9
5726+31
2.8
70%
53%
37%
7.8
0%
5.6
60%
28.2
100%
3
1111.90.9
57%
5F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3058
57%
1.9
5938+21
3.2
80%
63%
40%
8.0
0%
7.4
80%
24.7
67%
1
0002.01.3
61%
6AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3040
33%
1.3
3534+1
2.3
70%
33%
20%
8.8
25%
6.2
100%
29.0
100%
0
0001.21.1
46%
7Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3040
37%
1.3
4850-2
3.3
77%
57%
43%
7.5
0%
8.8
100%
26.5
100%
1
1011.61.7
56%
8UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 973038
37%
1.3
4348-5
3.0
83%
57%
33%
9.2
50%
6.6
80%
27.0
67%
0
0001.41.6
41%
9US HostertUS Hostert3036
33%
1.2
3556-21
3.0
73%
57%
40%
8.4
0%
6.2
80%
29.0
75%
0
0001.21.9
53%
10Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3035
33%
1.2
3350-17
2.8
73%
60%
27%
9.8
25%
6.2
60%
25.0
100%
0
0001.11.7
40%
11Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3034
30%
1.1
4447-3
3.0
77%
53%
33%
7.5
25%
5.0
80%
22.2
75%
0
0001.51.6
60%
12Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3032
30%
1.1
3146-15
2.6
70%
50%
20%
7.2
20%
6.6
100%
29.6
80%
0
0001.01.5
48%
13Jeunesse CanachJeunesse Canach3132
29%
1.0
3045-15
2.4
58%
48%
29%
8.2
40%
5.6
80%
30.6
100%
0
0001.01.5
49%
14MamerMamer3130
26%
1.0
3359-26
3.0
74%
55%
35%
10.3
67%
6.8
75%
30.3
100%
0
0001.11.9
45%
15Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3025
20%
0.8
2649-23
2.5
70%
47%
17%
5.2
0%
6.2
80%
26.0
67%
0
0000.91.6
45%
16Rodange 91Rodange 913025
20%
0.8
2865-37
3.1
80%
63%
40%
9.3
33%
7.8
100%
28.0
67%
0
0000.92.2
52%
17Résidence WalferdangeRésidence Walferdange11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
18WiltzWiltz11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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