UN Kaerjeng 97 hosts US Hostert in the Luxembourg National Division. Recent form notes a concerning trend for the home team, with three straight defeats, including a 1-5 loss to Racing FC Union Luxembourg. In contrast, US Hostert comes off a defeat but has shown resilience in their last five matches.
The model predicts a home win, with a 41% probability, making it the favourite match result. The expected total goals are 3.5, and the most likely score is 1-1, occurring with a 10% probability. UN Kaerjeng 97 has averaged 2.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded at home, while US Hostert averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.62 conceded away from home against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Over 1.5 goals, with an 87.6% probability and a 10% edge, Over 3.5 cards at 85.3%, and Under 9.5 corners at 80.2%. The home team has a 41% chance of winning, a 24% chance of drawing, and a 35% chance of losing.
The win extends their run, as UN Kaerjeng 97 secured a 4-2 victory over US Hostert. The home team's recent form has been impressive, coming off a win and now having a streak of mixed results. The model's selection, a Home win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 41%. The model's call was also vindicated by the final score, which saw the favourite secure a convincing win. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals also hit, with a probability of 87.6%.
UN Kaerjeng 97| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.47 | 1.63 | 1.71 | 1.79 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 1.29 | 1.59 | 1.38 | 1.62 | 1.22 | 1.56 |
| vs Similar (13) | 1.69 | 1.69 | 2.17 | 2.00 | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (+0pp vs league) | |||||
US Hostert| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.33 | 1.90 | 1.08 | 1.67 | 1.50 | 2.06 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 1.00 | 2.06 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.56 |
| vs Similar (12) | 1.58 | 1.83 | 1.25 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 4.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-3pp vs league) | |||||
| US Hostert goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 10% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
UN Kaerjeng 97
US Hostert
UN Kaerjeng 97| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.2 | 6.5 | 12.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 27.0 | 26.5 | 28.0 |
| vs Stronger (26) | 7.7 | 6.5 | 10.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 27.0 | 26.5 | 28.0 |
| vs Similar (24) | 14.0 | - | 14.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 50% | 0% | 100% | 8% | 4% | 12% | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| % under line | 50% | 100% | 0% | 92% | 96% | 88% | 33% | 50% | 0% |
US Hostert| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.4 | 8.7 | 8.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 29.0 | 28.0 | 32.0 |
| vs Stronger (27) | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 33.0 | 34.0 | 32.0 |
| vs Similar (22) | 9.0 | 9.0 | - | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | - |
| vs Weaker (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 75% | 67% | 100% |
| % under line | 100% | 100% | 100% | 92% | 92% | 92% | 25% | 33% | 0% |
UN Kaerjeng 97| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.77 | 0.64 | 0.86 | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 0.71 | 0.59 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.67 | 0.44 |
| vs Similar (13) | 0.62 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.71 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
US Hostert| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.43 | 0.83 | 0.17 | 0.92 | 0.61 | 0.78 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 0.18 | 0.82 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.11 | 0.89 |
| vs Similar (12) | 0.67 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
UN Kaerjeng 97| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.87 | 1.07 | 0.93 | 0.56 | 0.81 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 0.59 | 1.00 | 0.62 | 0.88 | 0.56 | 1.11 |
| vs Similar (13) | 1.08 | 0.69 | 1.67 | 1.00 | 0.57 | 0.43 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+14pp vs league) | |||||
US Hostert| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.90 | 1.07 | 0.92 | 0.75 | 0.89 | 1.28 |
| vs Stronger (17) | 0.82 | 1.24 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.89 | 1.67 |
| vs Similar (12) | 0.92 | 0.92 | 1.25 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+7pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 95.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 94.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 3.5 cards | 88.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 88.0% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 87.6% | 1.18 | 1.20 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.16 | +10.1% | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 86.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 10.5 corners | 78.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 77.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 4.5 cards | 77.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 05/10/25 | H | 2-2 | |
| 31/05/24 | H | 1-1 | |
| 26/02/23 | H | 0-0 | |
| 26/08/22 | A | 0-1 |
UN Kaerjeng 97| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 | A | 5-1 | |
| 23/05/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 17/05/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 10/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 2-5 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 22/03/26 | A | 2-2 |
US Hostert| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 | A | 3-2 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 2-4 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 4-2 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 4-0 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 22/03/26 | A | 2-3 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 5 | 15 | 100% | 3.0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.2 | - |
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 5 | 15 | 100% | 3.0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 3.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 4 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 3.8 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.6 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Résidence Walferdange | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 3.4 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 6 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 4.4 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 7 | Progres Niederkorn | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 2.4 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | Atert Bissen | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 9 | US Hostert | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 4.2 | 100% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 10 | F91 Dudelange | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2.6 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - |
| 11 | US Rumelange | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4.0 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 2.4 | - |
| 12 | Wiltz | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4.2 | 100% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 13 | Victoria Rosport | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 4.4 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 2.4 | - |
| 14 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 2.0 | - |
| 15 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3.0 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 2.6 | - |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 2 | 21 | -19 | 4.6 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 4.2 | - |