The model favours a home win, with a 43% chance for UNA Strassen, a 29% chance for a draw and a 28% chance for Atert Bissen to come away victorious. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly active match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.7% probability. UNA Strassen, playing at home against a similarly-strong opponent, averages 2.17 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, while Atert Bissen, on the road, averages 2.33 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.4%), Over 2.5 cards (95.6%) and Under 5.5 (95.3%) with a 3% edge. UNA Strassen’s recent four-game winning streak, capped by a 1-0 victory over Progres Niederkorn, and Atert Bissen’s return from a win against Résidence Walferdange, set the tone for a tightly contested encounter.
Results analysis
The match saw UNA Strassen extend their five-game winning streak with a 2-1 victory over Atert Bissen, confirming the model’s prediction of a home win. The favourite, selected with a 43% probability, proved correct. The final score of 2-1 matched the actual result, and the most likely scoreline of 1-1 was not achieved. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.5% probability was correct, as were Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6%, Under 6.5 at 98.4%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.8%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.4%, and Under 5.5 at 95.3%. All picks performed as forecasted.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
UNA Strassen win✓ Hit
43.1%
Avg Implied 45.2% · @ 2.00
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.09
Superbet
2.05
Unibet
2.05
Betano
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.36
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.70
Dafabet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.41
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Atert Bissen win✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.24
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.39
Pinnacle
3.39
Marathonbet
3.32
Betfair
3.30
Dafabet
3.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
UNA Strassen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
0.70
2.12
0.56
1.57
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
4.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.91
0.70
2.17
0.67
1.64
0.73
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
0.40
2.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Atert Bissen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atert Bissen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.27
0.90
2.13
0.87
2.40
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.88
1.06
1.60
0.80
2.33
1.50
vs Weaker (14)
2.71
0.71
3.20
1.00
2.44
0.56
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
@ 1.23+0.4%
Under 1.5
25.9%
@ 3.44-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Under
10Bet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Unibet
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.6%
@ 1.80-3.9%
Under 2.5
52.4%
@ 1.91+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Under
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.9%
@ 2.94-5.0%
Under 3.5
74.1%
@ 1.32+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Superbet
2.82
Under
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Unibet
1.26
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.0%
@ 1.65-2.3%
No
47.0%
@ 2.04+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.66
William Hil
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Unibet
1.64
No
William Hil
2.10
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.04
10Bet
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 6.17+7.6%
1-0
9.8%@ 7.33+4.6%
2-1 ✓
9.0%@ 7.88+4.2%
0-0
8.8%@ 10.12+5.1%
2-0
8.0%@ 9.13+3.8%
0-1
7.3%@ 9.62+3.4%
1-2
7.0%@ 10.27+3.3%
2-2
5.1%@ 11.83+1.9%
UNA Strassen goals ↓
Atert Bissen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
7.3%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
1
9.8%
14%
7.0%
2.6%
0.7%
2
8.0%
9.0%
5.1%
1.9%
0.5%
3
3.8%
4.3%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.4%
1.6%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = UNA Strassen goals (down), columns = Atert Bissen goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
UNA Strassen
3.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.80
Atert Bissen
1.80
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
US Rumelange
1.20
F91 Dudelange
1.20
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
0.80
Wiltz
0.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
0.60
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.20
Swift Hesperange
0.00
UNA Strassen is 1.20 points better than Atert Bissen in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.60
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.40
Résidence Walferdange
2.20
US Hostert
2.20
FC Differdange 03
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Wiltz
2.00
UNA Strassen
2.00
US Rumelange
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.00
Swift Hesperange
0.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.40
UNA Strassen is 0.60 goals better than Atert Bissen in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
UNA Strassen
0.20
Progres Niederkorn
0.80
FC Differdange 03
0.80
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.20
Résidence Walferdange
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.20
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Wiltz
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.40
US Rumelange
2.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.60
Swift Hesperange
4.20
UNA Strassen is 1.20 goals better than Atert Bissen in terms of goals conceded per game (0.20 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
UNA Strassen
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Atert Bissen
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
UNA Strassen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.8
7.5
8.0
0.6
0.4
0.7
28.2
29.0
27.5
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
6.5
6.0
7.0
0.3
0.1
0.5
29.0
26.0
32.0
vs Weaker (9)
9.0
9.0
9.0
1.8
1.8
1.8
27.5
32.0
23.0
% over line
0%
0%
0%
6%
4%
8%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
100%
100%
100%
94%
96%
92%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Atert Bissen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atert Bissen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (40)
8.6
9.0
8.3
0.8
0.8
0.9
26.0
29.0
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
9.2
12.0
8.3
1.3
0.9
1.8
24.5
26.0
24.0
vs Weaker (18)
6.0
6.0
-
0.2
0.6
0.0
32.0
32.0
-
% over line
40%
50%
33%
12%
11%
14%
80%
100%
67%
% under line
60%
50%
67%
88%
89%
86%
20%
0%
33%
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Victoria Rosport
9.8
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Swift Hesperange
30.4
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
33.4%
Under 9.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
88.6%
Under 3.5
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.8%
Under 21.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
UNA Strassen or Draw✓ Hit
71.7%
Avg Implied 72.0% · @ 1.27
Edge
-0.2%
43%
29%
28%
covers UNA Strassen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
UNA Strassen or Atert Bissen✓ Hit
71.4%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.25
Edge
-1.9%
43%
29%
28%
covers UNA Strassen + Atert Bissen
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Draw or Atert Bissen✗ Miss
56.9%
Avg Implied 54.7% · @ 1.67
Edge
+2.1%
43%
29%
28%
covers Draw + Atert Bissen
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.70
Marathonbet
1.67
William Hil
1.67
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.5%
@ 1.18-0.9%
Under
23.5%
@ 4.03+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.15
10Bet
3.90
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
42.4%
@ 1.96-4.4%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.73+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.96
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.63
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.8%
@ 3.75-6.9%
Under
82.2%
@ 1.23+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.75
Under
1xBet
1.23
UNA Strassen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.7%
@ 1.38+0.8%
Under
32.3%
@ 2.77-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
10Bet
1.35
Under
10Bet
2.80
1xBet
2.75
Atert Bissen over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.2%
@ 2.71-2.6%
Under
68.8%
@ 1.38+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.82
Marathonbet
2.72
1xBet
2.70
Unibet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Unibet
1.35
Atert Bissen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 6.30-3.9%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.07+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.30
Under
1xBet
1.07
Atert Bissen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to UNA Strassen, so a minus line means UNA Strassen give that many goals of a start and Atert Bissen receive them. At -1, UNA Strassen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal UNA Strassen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (UNA Strassen)Actual: Atert Bissen
UNA Strassen -2
8.3%
Draw -2
13.3%
Atert Bissen +2
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (UNA Strassen)Actual: Draw
UNA Strassen -1
21.6%
@ 3.60-2.5%
Draw -1
21.6%
@ 3.55-2.8%
Atert Bissen +1
56.9%
@ 1.68+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.58
Unibet
3.30
Draw
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.66
Unibet
3.10
Away
Betfair
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.67
Unibet
1.58
Handicap +1 (UNA Strassen)Actual: UNA Strassen
UNA Strassen +1
71.7%
@ 1.25+4.3%
Draw +1
16.6%
@ 4.42-2.4%
Atert Bissen -1
11.7%
@ 6.20-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Draw
Marathonbet
5.00
Unibet
3.85
Away
Marathonbet
7.10
Unibet
5.30
Handicap +2 (UNA Strassen)Actual: UNA Strassen
UNA Strassen +2
88.3%
Draw +2
8.1%
Atert Bissen -2
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
UNA Strassen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.30
0.69
0.19
0.57
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.30
0.42
0.25
0.64
0.36
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.20
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
77% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Atert Bissen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atert Bissen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.30
0.60
0.13
1.40
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.38
0.40
0.20
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (14)
1.29
0.21
1.00
0.00
1.44
0.33
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.7%
@ 1.32-1.3%
Under 0.5
32.3%
@ 2.95+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Under
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
Pinnacle
3.04
10Bet
2.88
1xBet
2.86
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.4%
@ 2.57-4.2%
Under 1.5
68.6%
@ 1.42+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.62
1xBet
2.60
Betfair
2.60
Marathonbet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.57
Under
Pinnacle
1.45
William Hil
1.44
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.1%
@ 6.43-3.3%
Under 2.5
88.9%
@ 1.08+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
1xBet
6.30
William Hil
6.00
Under
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.5%
@ 1.82-2.5%
Under
51.5%
@ 1.90+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
1.85
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.2%
@ 5.30-4.2%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.11+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.30
Under
1xBet
1.11
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.8%
@ 2.25-5.4%
Under
64.2%
@ 1.58+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
1xBet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.57
Atert Bissen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 7.60-4.3%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.04+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Under
1xBet
1.04
Atert Bissen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
UNA Strassen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.40
1.44
0.38
1.00
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.39
0.39
1.75
0.42
1.00
0.36
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.20
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Atert Bissen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atert Bissen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.60
1.53
0.73
1.00
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.12
0.69
1.20
0.60
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (14)
1.43
0.50
2.20
1.00
1.00
0.22
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.6%
@ 1.20-2.3%
Under 0.5
25.4%
@ 4.00+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.20
Under
1xBet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.3%
@ 1.97-4.5%
Under 1.5
57.7%
@ 1.73+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.5%
@ 4.10-3.8%
Under 2.5
81.5%
@ 1.18+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.5%
@ 1.60-5.4%
Under
47.5%
@ 2.20+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.60
Under
1xBet
2.20
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.4%
@ 3.90-5.2%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.20+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.20
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atert Bissen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
43.0%
@ 1.88-6.2%
Under
57.0%
@ 1.82+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Under
1xBet
1.82
Atert Bissen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 5.50-5.4%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.10+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
Under
1xBet
1.10
Atert Bissen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.3%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.3%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.4%
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.08
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.7%
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.1%
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.2%
1.23
1xBet
1.23
-
-
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.6%
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.5%
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 4.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
76.5%
1.18
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
-
-
-
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.6%
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-
-
-
-
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.1%
1.32
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Unibet
1.26
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.1%
1.23
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
71.7%
1.27
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
71.7%
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.4%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
-1.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
UNA Strassen and Atert Bissen have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
UNA Strassen and Atert Bissen have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
UNA Strassen and Atert Bissen have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
UNA Strassen and Atert Bissen have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Luxembourg: National Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →