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UNA Strassen vs Progres Niederkorn Result & Analysis

Date: 23/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
UNA Strassen
UNA Strassen
Vs
37%
24%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Progres Niederkorn
Progres Niederkorn
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNA Strassen win✗ Miss
37.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn win✓ Hit
38.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L32W21W04L13L02L00D43W02LA·FOL07/08H·FC 14/08A·US 21/08H·SWI28/08A·F9104/09H·UN 11/09A·VIC18/09H·WIL09/10A·AS 16/10
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.222.111.752.750.801.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.172.331.503.001.002.00
vs Weaker (3)1.331.672.002.500.000.00
Clean sheet %11% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L23L11D10W21W21W40W01L00DA·SWI07/08H·F9114/08A·UN 21/08H·VIC28/08A·WIL04/09H·AS 11/09H·MON18/09A·US 09/10H·RAC16/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.561.221.800.801.251.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)1.332.331.001.502.004.00
vs Weaker (6)1.670.672.330.331.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%413%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
87.7%
Under 1.5
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
68.6%
Under 2.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.1%
Under 3.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.7%
No
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
UNA Strassen goals ↓
Progres Niederkorn goals →
01234
03.8%4.3%4.6%2.8%1.2%
14.2%10%8.1%4.8%2.2%
24.5%8.0%7.1%4.2%1.9%
32.6%4.6%4.2%2.5%1.1%
41.1%2.0%1.8%1.1%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = UNA Strassen goals (down), columns = Progres Niederkorn goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swift Hesperange
2.57
Progres Niederkorn
2.33
F91 Dudelange
2.23
Union Titus Petange
1.97
FC Differdange 03
1.50
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.50
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.30
Wiltz
1.20
Victoria Rosport
1.07
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Mondercange
0.97
UN Kaerjeng 97
0.90
Fola Esch
0.87
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.77
US Hostert
0.60
Bettembourg
0.00
UNA Strassen is 1.03 points worse than Progres Niederkorn in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 2.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swift Hesperange
3.33
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
F91 Dudelange
2.87
Progres Niederkorn
2.23
Union Titus Petange
2.07
FC Differdange 03
2.00
Bettembourg
2.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Victoria Rosport
1.60
Wiltz
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.47
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
Mondercange
1.37
Fola Esch
1.26
UNA Strassen
1.10
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.07
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.06
US Hostert
0.67
UNA Strassen is 1.13 goals worse than Progres Niederkorn in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 2.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Swift Hesperange
0.93
Progres Niederkorn
1.03
F91 Dudelange
1.27
Union Titus Petange
1.27
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.30
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.30
FC Differdange 03
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.53
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Mondercange
1.83
Victoria Rosport
1.93
Wiltz
1.97
US Hostert
2.17
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.29
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.37
Fola Esch
2.39
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
Bettembourg
3.00
UNA Strassen is 0.50 goals worse than Progres Niederkorn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (3)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (6)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FC Differdange 03
12.5
F91 Dudelange
9.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
9.0
Fola Esch
7.0
F91 Dudelange
5.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
F91 Dudelange
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D21W01L01L11D00D00D32W02LA·FOL07/08H·FC 14/08A·US 21/08H·SWI28/08A·F9104/09H·UN 11/09A·VIC18/09H·WIL09/10A·AS 16/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.781.001.251.000.401.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.671.171.001.000.501.25
vs Weaker (3)1.000.671.501.000.000.00
Clean sheet %22% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D00D10W10W20W20W01L00DA·SWI07/08H·F9114/08A·UN 21/08H·VIC28/08A·WIL04/09H·AS 11/09H·MON18/09A·US 09/10H·RAC16/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.890.331.200.200.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.670.670.500.501.001.00
vs Weaker (6)1.000.171.670.000.330.33
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D20W03L02L02L00D11D00DA·FOL07/08H·FC 14/08A·US 21/08H·SWI28/08A·F9104/09H·UN 11/09A·VIC18/09H·WIL09/10A·AS 16/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.441.110.501.750.400.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.501.170.502.000.500.75
vs Weaker (3)0.331.000.501.500.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L12L11D00D11D01L20W00D00DA·SWI07/08H·F9114/08A·UN 21/08H·VIC28/08A·WIL04/09H·AS 11/09H·MON18/09A·US 09/10H·RAC16/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.890.600.600.751.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (3)0.671.670.501.001.003.00
vs Weaker (6)0.670.500.670.330.670.67
Clean sheet %44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UNA Strassen and Progres Niederkorn have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UNA Strassen and Progres Niederkorn have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
UNA Strassen and Progres Niederkorn have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UNA Strassen and Progres Niederkorn have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
US wins
0
Draws
0
PN wins

Head-to-head

UNA Strassen vs Progres Niederkorn · H/A from US
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/10/22AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs US2-0
09/10/22HUS Vs Wiltz4-3
18/09/22AVictoria Rosport Vs US0-0
11/09/22HUS Vs UN Kaerjeng 970-2
04/09/22AF91 Dudelange Vs US3-1
28/08/22HUS Vs Swift Hesperange0-4
21/08/22AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs US1-2
14/08/22HUS Vs FC Differdange 033-2
07/08/22AFola Esch Vs US2-1

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/10/22HPN Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg0-0
09/10/22AUS Hostert Vs PN1-0
18/09/22HPN Vs Mondercange4-0
11/09/22HPN Vs AS Jeunesse Esch2-1
04/09/22AWiltz Vs PN1-2
28/08/22HPN Vs Victoria Rosport1-0
21/08/22AUN Kaerjeng 97 Vs PN1-1
14/08/22HPN Vs F91 Dudelange2-3
07/08/22ASwift Hesperange Vs PN4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

UNA Strassen
UNA Strassen
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL1.11
HomeWLLW1.50
AwayLWLDL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%50%20%
AVG goals3.334.502.40
Over 1.5 %89%100%80%
Over 2.5 %67%75%60%
Over 3.5 %44%75%20%
Scored1.221.750.80
Conceded2.112.751.60
BTTS56%50%60%
Clean Sheet11%0%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Progres Niederkorn
Progres Niederkorn
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.56
HomeLWWWD2.00
AwayLDWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%60%25%
AVG goals2.782.603.00
Over 1.5 %67%60%75%
Over 2.5 %56%60%50%
Over 3.5 %33%40%25%
Scored1.561.801.25
Conceded1.220.801.75
BTTS56%40%75%
Clean Sheet33%60%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3077
80%
2.6
10028+72
4.3
93%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.30.9
-
2Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3070
73%
2.3
6731+36
3.3
73%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.21.0
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3067
73%
2.2
8638+48
4.1
93%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.91.3
-
4Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3059
60%
2.0
6238+24
3.3
87%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.3
-
5FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033045
47%
1.5
6043+17
3.4
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.4
-
6US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3045
47%
1.5
5252+0
3.5
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.71.7
-
7AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3043
40%
1.4
4439+5
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.3
-
8Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3043
37%
1.4
4339+4
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.41.3
-
9UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3039
40%
1.3
3346-13
2.6
70%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.5
-
10WiltzWiltz3036
33%
1.2
4859-11
3.6
90%
77%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
-
11Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3032
27%
1.1
4858-10
3.5
87%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
12MondercangeMondercange3029
23%
1.0
4155-14
3.2
83%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
13UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 973128
19%
0.9
3371-38
3.4
84%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.3
-
14Fola EschFola Esch3127
26%
0.9
3974-35
3.6
81%
71%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.4
-
15Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck3023
20%
0.8
3271-39
3.4
90%
77%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.4
-
16US HostertUS Hostert3018
13%
0.6
2065-45
2.8
67%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.2
-
17Jeunesse CanachJeunesse Canach11
0%
1.0
33+0
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.03.0
-
18BettembourgBettembourg10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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