This opponent (1. FC Heidenheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Heidenheim
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.28
1.10
1.33
1.27
1.21
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
1.50
1.50
1.50
2.50
1.50
vs Similar (15)
1.07
1.27
1.12
1.38
1.00
1.14
vs Weaker (10)
1.30
0.70
1.60
1.00
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
34% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Union Berlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.5%
Under 1.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.9%
Under 2.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.8%
Under 3.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-0 ✓
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
Union Berlin goals ↓
1. FC Heidenheim goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.8%
6.1%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
1
9.6%
13%
6.5%
2.4%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.5%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.7%
5.1%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.9%
2.1%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Union Berlin goals (down), columns = 1. FC Heidenheim goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
SC Freiburg
2.12
RB Leipzig
1.97
1. FC Nürnberg
1.91
FC St. Pauli
1.56
VfL Bochum
1.50
Union Berlin
1.44
Karlsruher SC
1.38
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.35
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.35
1. FC Heidenheim
1.32
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.32
SV Sandhausen
1.26
Arminia Bielefeld
1.24
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.03
Munich 1860
1.00
Eintracht Frankfurt
0.94
Duisburg
0.94
SC Paderborn 07
0.82
Union Berlin is 0.12 points better than 1. FC Heidenheim in terms of average points per game (1.44 vs 1.32).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SC Freiburg
2.21
1. FC Nürnberg
2.00
Union Berlin
1.65
VfL Bochum
1.65
RB Leipzig
1.59
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.44
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.44
FC St. Pauli
1.32
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.29
1. FC Heidenheim
1.24
SV Sandhausen
1.18
Arminia Bielefeld
1.12
Karlsruher SC
1.03
Eintracht Frankfurt
0.97
Munich 1860
0.94
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0.94
Duisburg
0.94
SC Paderborn 07
0.82
Union Berlin is 0.41 goals better than 1. FC Heidenheim in terms of goals scored per game (1.65 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
RB Leipzig
0.94
Karlsruher SC
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.12
FC St. Pauli
1.15
Arminia Bielefeld
1.15
SC Freiburg
1.15
VfL Bochum
1.18
1. FC Heidenheim
1.18
1. FC Nürnberg
1.21
Munich 1860
1.35
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.38
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.38
Union Berlin
1.47
SV Sandhausen
1.47
Duisburg
1.59
SC Paderborn 07
1.62
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.62
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.74
Union Berlin is 0.29 goals worse than 1. FC Heidenheim in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Union Berlin
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
1. FC Heidenheim
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Union Berlin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (13)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (1. FC Heidenheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Heidenheim
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Union Berlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Eintracht Frankfurt
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Eintracht Frankfurt
5.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Eintracht Frankfurt
30.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Union Berlin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.55
1.07
0.43
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (14)
1.21
0.57
1.33
0.83
1.12
0.38
vs Weaker (13)
0.62
0.46
0.86
0.14
0.33
0.83
Clean sheet %
59% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Heidenheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Heidenheim
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.41
0.48
0.20
0.60
0.64
0.36
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.33
0.60
0.25
0.62
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (10)
0.30
0.30
0.20
0.40
0.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
59% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Union Berlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Union Berlin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Berlin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Berlin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Heidenheim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Heidenheim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Heidenheim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Union Berlin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.86
0.93
0.93
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.64
0.83
0.83
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (13)
1.00
1.08
1.14
1.00
0.83
1.17
Clean sheet %
45% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Heidenheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Heidenheim
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.86
0.62
1.13
0.67
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.67
0.88
0.75
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.40
1.40
0.60
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
55% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Union Berlin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Union Berlin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Berlin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Union Berlin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Heidenheim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Heidenheim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
1. FC Heidenheim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Union Berlin · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Robert Skov25%
Leopold Querfeld18%
Rani Khedira17%
Woo-Yeong Jeong16%
Andrej Ilić15%
Oliver Burke13%
Ilyas Ansah11%
Danilho Doekhi11%
Josip Juranović9%
Tom Rothe8%
Stanley N'Soki7%
András Schäfer6%
Livan Burcu5%
Tim Skarke4%
Derrick Köhn3%
Diogo Leite0%
Alex Král0%
Frederik Rønnow0%
Christopher Trimmel0%
Janik Haberer0%
Carl Klaus0%
Aljoscha Kemlein0%
Dmytro Bogdanov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Livan Burcu26%
Christopher Trimmel26%
Janik Haberer26%
Rani Khedira20%
Andrej Ilić18%
Leopold Querfeld18%
Derrick Köhn17%
Diogo Leite16%
Aljoscha Kemlein16%
Stanley N'Soki14%
Danilho Doekhi14%
Oliver Burke13%
András Schäfer10%
Josip Juranović9%
Frederik Rønnow6%
Ilyas Ansah6%
Alex Král5%
Tom Rothe4%
Woo-Yeong Jeong0%
Robert Skov0%
Tim Skarke0%
Carl Klaus0%
Dmytro Bogdanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dmytro Bogdanov33%
Andrej Ilić24%
Stanley N'Soki14%
Christopher Trimmel13%
Josip Juranović9%
Derrick Köhn7%
Oliver Burke6%
Janik Haberer6%
Aljoscha Kemlein6%
Livan Burcu5%
Tim Skarke4%
Woo-Yeong Jeong3%
András Schäfer3%
Rani Khedira3%
Ilyas Ansah3%
Danilho Doekhi3%
Diogo Leite0%
Alex Král0%
Robert Skov0%
Frederik Rønnow0%
Carl Klaus0%
Leopold Querfeld0%
Tom Rothe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andrej Ilić29%
Danilho Doekhi14%
Oliver Burke10%
Leopold Querfeld9%
Ilyas Ansah6%
Livan Burcu5%
Tom Rothe4%
Derrick Köhn3%
András Schäfer3%
Stanley N'Soki0%
Diogo Leite0%
Woo-Yeong Jeong0%
Alex Král0%
Robert Skov0%
Frederik Rønnow0%
Josip Juranović0%
Christopher Trimmel0%
Tim Skarke0%
Rani Khedira0%
Janik Haberer0%
Carl Klaus0%
Aljoscha Kemlein0%
Dmytro Bogdanov0%
1. FC Heidenheim · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jan Schöppner75%
Mikkel Kaufmann33%
Marvin Pieringer33%
Budu Zivzivadze25%
Marcel Costly25%
Maximilian Breunig25%
Oualid Mhamdi25%
Marnon Busch0%
Patrick Mainka0%
Mathias Honsak0%
Jonas Föhrenbach0%
Luca Kerber0%
Frank Feller0%
Paul Hennrich0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oualid Mhamdi50%
Luca Kerber33%
Patrick Mainka25%
Mathias Honsak25%
Jan Schöppner25%
Mikkel Kaufmann0%
Budu Zivzivadze0%
Marnon Busch0%
Jonas Föhrenbach0%
Marcel Costly0%
Maximilian Breunig0%
Marvin Pieringer0%
Frank Feller0%
Paul Hennrich0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mikkel Kaufmann33%
Jonas Föhrenbach33%
Marvin Pieringer33%
Luca Kerber33%
Paul Hennrich33%
Mathias Honsak25%
Marcel Costly25%
Budu Zivzivadze0%
Marnon Busch0%
Patrick Mainka0%
Jan Schöppner0%
Maximilian Breunig0%
Oualid Mhamdi0%
Frank Feller0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mikkel Kaufmann67%
Marvin Pieringer33%
Budu Zivzivadze25%
Marcel Costly25%
Maximilian Breunig25%
Marnon Busch0%
Patrick Mainka0%
Mathias Honsak0%
Jonas Föhrenbach0%
Jan Schöppner0%
Luca Kerber0%
Oualid Mhamdi0%
Frank Feller0%
Paul Hennrich0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RL (31)
€506m
EF (26)
€323m
SF (30)
€243m
UB (29)
€123m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FN (28)
€40m
1FH (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
1FK (26)
€28m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
FD (26)
€10m
DUI (26)
€9m
M1 (13)
€2m
Union Berlin's squad is €90m more valuable than 1. FC Heidenheim's (€123m vs €33m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RL (12)
€212m
EF (11)
€174m
SF (10)
€96m
UB (10)
€46m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
SP0 (11)
€14m
1FK (9)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
EB (8)
€7m
AB (8)
€7m
VB (9)
€6m
SGF (6)
€4m
DUI (12)
€4m
FD (8)
€3m
M1 (3)
€0m
Union Berlin's attack is €31m more valuable than 1. FC Heidenheim's (€46m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RL (6)
€109m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
UB (6)
€26m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
1FH (4)
€7m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
1FK (6)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
KS (6)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
FD (5)
€2m
DUI (4)
€2m
M1 (4)
€1m
Union Berlin's midfield is €20m more valuable than 1. FC Heidenheim's (€26m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RL (13)
€185m
SF (15)
€110m
EF (11)
€72m
UB (13)
€50m
FSP (12)
€21m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
1FK (11)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
FD (13)
€5m
DUI (10)
€3m
M1 (6)
€1m
Union Berlin's defence is €39m more valuable than 1. FC Heidenheim's (€50m vs €12m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →