The model sees a 41% chance of a Universitatea Cluj win, 26% for a draw and 33% for Petrolul Ploiesti, so the home side is the favourite. The expected goal total is 3.0, but the most likely total is 2, with a 23% chance. The single score that the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.3% probability. Universitatea Cluj, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 2.06 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. Petrolul Ploiesti, on the road, averages 1.23 goals scored and 1.15 conceded against similar opposition. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (98.8%), Under 6.5 (96.6% with a 2% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (94.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (92.3% with a 9% edge), Under 5.5 (91.6% with a 2% edge), Home +2 handicap (84.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (83.0%), and Under 4.5 (81.4%). Universitatea Cluj’s recent form shows two straight defeats before a win, while Petrolul Ploiesti comes off a victory, adding nuance to the model’s edge.
Results analysis
Universitatea Cluj’s recent run of WLLWW, capped by a 1-0 win over Petrolul Ploiesti, set the stage for the Cupa României clash. The Pythia model tipped a home win with a 41% probability, and the prediction proved correct as Cluj edged Petrolul 1-0. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 (98.8%) hit, Under 6.5 (96.6%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (94.5%) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (92.3%) hit, Under 5.5 (91.6%) hit, Home +2 handicap (84.4%) hit, Away under 2.5 goals (83.0%) hit, and Under 4.5 (81.4%) hit. With the favoured result delivered and most picks confirmed, the model’s performance was commendable.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Universitatea Cluj win✓ Hit
40.6%
Avg Implied 62.9% · @ 1.44
Edge
-22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.50
Dafabet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
Unibet
1.46
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 21.6% · @ 4.20
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
4.55
Pinnacle
4.42
Marathonbet
4.35
Superbet
4.35
Betfair
4.33
Petrolul Ploiesti win✗ Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied 15.5% · @ 5.84
Edge
+17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
6.40
Betano
6.30
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
6.16
Dafabet
6.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Universitatea Cluj
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.00
2.00
0.65
1.23
1.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.69
1.03
2.06
0.69
1.23
1.46
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Petrolul Ploiesti
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.40
0.85
1.31
1.12
1.47
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
2.67
0.00
3.00
0.75
2.50
vs Similar (24)
1.12
1.08
1.00
1.00
1.23
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.3%
@ 1.20+4.8%
Under 1.5
18.7%
@ 3.89-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Under
Superbet
4.10
1xBet
4.05
Betano
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Betfair
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.8%
@ 1.69+3.0%
Under 2.5
42.2%
@ 2.05-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.75
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Unibet
1.72
Bet365
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
Betano
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.4%
@ 2.73+1.7%
Under 3.5
64.6%
@ 1.38-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.87
Betano
2.85
Pinnacle
2.73
Under
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.41
Unibet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.4%
@ 1.79+10.4%
No
38.6%
@ 1.86-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.85
Unibet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
Betfair
1.80
No
William Hil
1.95
Betfair
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%@ 7.56+6.5%
2-1
8.9%@ 7.34+3.0%
1-2
7.9%@ 16.30+5.2%
1-0 ✓
6.8%@ 6.58+0.2%
2-2
6.3%@ 16.08+3.6%
2-0
6.3%@ 6.67-0.2%
0-0
6.1%@ 11.28+2.2%
0-1
5.9%@ 14.60+2.9%
Universitatea Cluj goals ↓
Petrolul Ploiesti goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
5.9%
5.0%
2.3%
0.8%
1
6.8%
12%
7.9%
3.7%
1.3%
2
6.3%
8.9%
6.3%
3.0%
1.0%
3
3.3%
4.7%
3.3%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.3%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Universitatea Cluj goals (down), columns = Petrolul Ploiesti goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arges Pitesti
2.33
Viitorul Arad
2.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.33
Gloria Bistriţa
2.29
Agricola Borcea
2.25
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
2.25
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.20
ACS Mediaş 2022
2.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
2.00
Plopeni
2.00
Oltul Curtişoara
2.00
Farul Constanta
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
Metalul Buzău
2.00
Jiul Petroşani
2.00
Săcele
2.00
LPS HD Clinceni
2.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.00
Cetatea
2.00
Păușești
2.00
Gheorgheni
2.00
Universitatea Cluj
2.00
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Concordia
1.80
Csikszereda
1.75
FC Botosani
1.75
Uta Arad
1.75
Sporting Lieşti
1.67
Universitatea Craiova
1.67
Dumbrăviţa
1.67
Sighetu Marmaţiei
1.67
Timişul Şag
1.50
Pucioasa
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
CSM FC Vaslui
1.50
Progresul Fundulea
1.50
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.50
AFC Hermannstadt
1.50
Tunari
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Ştefăneşti
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
1.50
Sânmartin
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.50
Sănătatea Cluj
1.43
Slatina
1.40
Rapid
1.33
FCSB
1.33
Oţelul
1.33
CSM Satu Mare
1.33
Viitorul Onesti
1.33
Gloria Băneasa
1.33
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.25
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.25
Metaloglobus
1.25
CS Dinamo București
1.17
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Minaur Baia Mare
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
Aerostar Bacau
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Viitorul Cluj
1.00
Voința Crevedia
0.99
CSM Targu Jiu
0.99
Bradul Putna
0.99
Berca
0.99
Cetatea Suceava
0.99
Inter Sibiu
0.99
Progresul Mogosoaia
0.99
Corona Braşov
0.99
Chiesd
0.99
Unirea Sântana
0.99
Caransebes
0.99
Unirea DMO
0.99
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
0.99
Domnesti IF
0.99
Bihorul Beiuş
0.99
Bolintin Vale
0.99
Victoria Traian
0.99
Agigea
0.99
ASA Targu Mures
0.96
Baicoi
0.67
Râmnicu Sărat
0.50
Bihor Oradea
0.50
Progresul Pecica
0.50
CS Afumati
0.50
CSM Adjud
0.00
U Craiova 1948
0.00
Crişul Sântandrei
0.00
CSM Reşiţa
0.00
USV Iaşi
0.00
CIL Blaj
0.00
Progresul Spartac
0.00
Minerul Lupeni
0.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
0.00
Valenii de Munte
0.00
Unirea Dej
0.00
Alexandria
0.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
0.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
0.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.00
Unirea Bascov
0.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
0.00
Academica Balș
0.00
Târgu Secuiesc
0.00
Axiopolis
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Blejoi
0.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
0.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
0.00
Gilortul
0.00
Tricolorul Breaza
0.00
Filiaşi
0.00
Unirea Braniştea
0.00
Stiinta Miroslava
0.00
Păuleşti
0.00
Urban Titu
0.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
0.00
Universitatea Cluj is 0.75 points better than Petrolul Ploiesti in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
CSM FC Vaslui
8.00
Timişul Şag
5.00
CSM Satu Mare
4.00
Ştefăneşti
4.00
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
3.75
Râmnicu Sărat
3.50
Csikszereda
3.50
Metalul Buzău
2.83
Concordia
2.80
Gloria Bistriţa
2.57
Progresul Fundulea
2.50
Chindia Targoviste
2.50
ACS Mediaş 2022
2.33
Sporting Lieşti
2.33
Oltul Curtişoara
2.33
Săcele
2.33
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.33
Sănătatea Cluj
2.14
U Craiova 1948
2.00
Slatina
2.00
USV Iaşi
2.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
2.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
2.00
Tunari
2.00
Rapid
2.00
Metaloglobus
2.00
Târgu Secuiesc
2.00
Cetatea
2.00
Agricola Borcea
2.00
Tricolorul Breaza
2.00
Gheorgheni
2.00
Gloria Băneasa
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
2.00
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2.00
Arges Pitesti
1.83
Universitatea Craiova
1.83
FCSB
1.67
Oţelul
1.67
Viitorul Arad
1.67
Baicoi
1.67
Pucioasa
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
Plopeni
1.50
Progresul Pecica
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Farul Constanta
1.50
FC Botosani
1.50
Dumbrăviţa
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
Uta Arad
1.50
Voința Crevedia
1.41
CSM Targu Jiu
1.41
Bradul Putna
1.41
Berca
1.41
Cetatea Suceava
1.41
Inter Sibiu
1.41
Progresul Mogosoaia
1.41
Corona Braşov
1.41
Chiesd
1.41
Unirea Sântana
1.41
Caransebes
1.41
Unirea DMO
1.41
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
1.41
Domnesti IF
1.41
Bihorul Beiuş
1.41
Bolintin Vale
1.41
Victoria Traian
1.41
Agigea
1.41
ASA Targu Mures
1.37
Jiul Petroşani
1.33
Sighetu Marmaţiei
1.33
Păușești
1.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
1.33
AFC Hermannstadt
1.25
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.25
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.20
Crişul Sântandrei
1.00
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.00
Unirea Dej
1.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
1.00
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.00
CS Dinamo București
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
CS Afumati
1.00
Unirea Bascov
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
LPS HD Clinceni
1.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
1.00
Academica Balș
1.00
Axiopolis
1.00
Sânmartin
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Blejoi
1.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
1.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
1.00
Gilortul
1.00
Unirea Braniştea
1.00
Stiinta Miroslava
1.00
Păuleşti
1.00
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.00
Viitorul Onesti
0.67
Bihor Oradea
0.50
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
0.50
Viitorul Cluj
0.50
CSM Adjud
0.00
CSM Reşiţa
0.00
CIL Blaj
0.00
Progresul Spartac
0.00
Minerul Lupeni
0.00
Minaur Baia Mare
0.00
Valenii de Munte
0.00
Alexandria
0.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
0.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.00
Aerostar Bacau
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Filiaşi
0.00
Urban Titu
0.00
Universitatea Cluj is 0.25 goals better than Petrolul Ploiesti in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Minaur Baia Mare
0.00
Aerostar Bacau
0.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.20
Farul Constanta
0.25
LPS HD Clinceni
0.33
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.33
Agricola Borcea
0.50
Viitorul Cluj
0.50
Uta Arad
0.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.50
ACS Mediaş 2022
0.67
Unirea Alba Iulia
0.67
Universitatea Craiova
0.67
Viitorul Onesti
0.67
Sighetu Marmaţiei
0.67
Păușești
0.67
Csikszereda
0.75
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.75
Universitatea Cluj
0.83
CSM Adjud
1.00
CSM Reşiţa
1.00
Minerul Lupeni
1.00
Plopeni
1.00
Unirea Tășnad
1.00
Bihor Oradea
1.00
Alexandria
1.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
1.00
Rapid
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
Viitorul Arad
1.00
Jiul Petroşani
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1.00
SCM Zalău
1.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
1.00
Gloria Băneasa
1.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.00
Concordia
1.00
Arges Pitesti
1.17
AFC Hermannstadt
1.25
Gloria Bistriţa
1.29
Sănătatea Cluj
1.43
Timişul Şag
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
CSM FC Vaslui
1.50
Tunari
1.50
FC Botosani
1.50
Chindia Targoviste
1.50
Dumbrăviţa
1.50
CS Afumati
1.50
Ştefăneşti
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
Flacăra Moreni
1.50
Popești-Leordeni
1.50
CSM Satu Mare
1.67
Metalul Buzău
1.67
Săcele
1.67
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.75
Metaloglobus
1.75
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
1.75
Slatina
1.80
Crişul Sântandrei
2.00
CIL Blaj
2.00
Progresul Spartac
2.00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
2.00
Oltul Curtişoara
2.00
Progresul Pecica
2.00
FCSB
2.00
Oţelul
2.00
CS Dinamo București
2.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
2.00
Unirea Bascov
2.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
2.00
Academica Balș
2.00
Înainte Modelu
2.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
2.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
2.00
Baicoi
2.00
Păuleşti
2.00
Urban Titu
2.00
Voința Crevedia
2.14
CSM Targu Jiu
2.14
Bradul Putna
2.14
Berca
2.14
Cetatea Suceava
2.14
Inter Sibiu
2.14
Progresul Mogosoaia
2.14
Corona Braşov
2.14
Chiesd
2.14
Unirea Sântana
2.14
Caransebes
2.14
Unirea DMO
2.14
Hidro Mecanica Sugag
2.14
Domnesti IF
2.14
Bihorul Beiuş
2.14
Bolintin Vale
2.14
Victoria Traian
2.14
Agigea
2.14
ASA Targu Mures
2.20
Pucioasa
2.50
Progresul Fundulea
2.50
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2.50
Cetatea
2.67
Gheorgheni
2.67
U Craiova 1948
3.00
Sporting Lieşti
3.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
3.00
Târgu Secuiesc
3.00
Blejoi
3.00
Gilortul
3.00
Tricolorul Breaza
3.00
Unirea Braniştea
3.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3.00
Râmnicu Sărat
4.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
4.00
Valenii de Munte
4.00
Unirea Dej
4.00
Stiinta Miroslava
4.00
FC Voluntari
4.50
USV Iaşi
5.00
Axiopolis
5.00
Sânmartin
5.50
Filiaşi
9.00
Universitatea Cluj is 0.92 goals better than Petrolul Ploiesti in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.75).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Universitatea Cluj or Draw✓ Hit
67.0%
Avg Implied 84.1% · @ 1.10
Edge
-17.1%
41%
26%
33%
covers Universitatea Cluj + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Universitatea Cluj or Petrolul Ploiesti✓ Hit
73.6%
Avg Implied 79.3% · @ 1.16
Edge
-5.7%
41%
26%
33%
covers Universitatea Cluj + Petrolul Ploiesti
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.19
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Draw or Petrolul Ploiesti✗ Miss
59.4%
Avg Implied 36.6% · @ 2.52
Edge
+22.8%
41%
26%
33%
covers Draw + Petrolul Ploiesti
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.70
Betano
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.57
Superbet
2.52
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Universitatea Cluj over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.6%
@ 1.11-4.0%
Under
20.4%
@ 5.65+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.13
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Under
1xBet
6.20
Superbet
5.90
Betano
5.60
Unibet
4.90
Universitatea Cluj over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
47.2%
@ 1.56-12.4%
Under
52.8%
@ 2.29+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Unibet
1.54
Under
Marathonbet
2.33
Pinnacle
2.32
Betano
2.32
1xBet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Universitatea Cluj over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.4%
@ 2.71-12.9%
Under
78.6%
@ 1.41+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.80
1xBet
2.70
Unibet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.68
Betano
2.65
Under
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Unibet
1.40
Universitatea Cluj over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 5.42-9.5%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.13+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.65
1xBet
5.60
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
75.7%
@ 1.61+18.4%
Under
24.3%
@ 2.16-18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Unibet
1.63
Superbet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.14
Betano
2.12
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.4%
@ 3.96+17.9%
Under
58.6%
@ 1.21-17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Betano
4.00
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.0%
@ 10.17+7.8%
Under
83.0%
@ 1.03-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
1xBet
10.50
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 37.00-94.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
37.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Universitatea Cluj, so a minus line means Universitatea Cluj give that many goals of a start and Petrolul Ploiesti receive them. At -1, Universitatea Cluj must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Universitatea Cluj win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap +1 (Universitatea Cluj)Actual: Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Cluj +1
67.0%
@ 1.13-10.1%
Draw +1
17.4%
@ 5.98+2.9%
Petrolul Ploiesti -1
15.6%
@ 10.35+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Unibet
1.10
Draw
Unibet
7.00
Superbet
6.70
Marathonbet
4.25
Away
Unibet
12.50
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Handicap +2 (Universitatea Cluj)Actual: Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Cluj +2
84.4%
Draw +2
9.9%
Petrolul Ploiesti -2
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Universitatea Cluj
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
1.00
0.24
0.38
0.92
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.72
0.55
1.00
0.25
0.38
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Petrolul Ploiesti
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.57
0.38
0.62
0.41
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.46
0.45
0.55
0.54
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Unibet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
3.18
Unibet
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.62
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
William Hil
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Under
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Betano
5.80
Superbet
5.80
Unibet
5.50
Under
Superbet
1.13
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Unibet
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Universitatea Cluj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.58
Superbet
1.56
Unibet
1.54
Under
Unibet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.24
Betano
2.22
Pinnacle
2.20
Universitatea Cluj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Universitatea Cluj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
11.00
Superbet
9.80
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.90
Unibet
2.85
Superbet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.76
1xBet
2.60
Under
1xBet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.36
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Universitatea Cluj
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.47
1.00
0.41
0.85
0.54
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.97
0.48
1.06
0.44
0.85
0.54
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrolul Ploiesti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Petrolul Ploiesti
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.46
0.69
0.71
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.67
0.00
2.00
0.75
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.62
0.55
0.45
0.69
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.35
Superbet
4.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
Unibet
1.93
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Under
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Unibet
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
3.70
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Universitatea Cluj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Under
Betano
2.85
1xBet
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Universitatea Cluj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.90
1xBet
2.80
Betano
2.70
Under
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Universitatea Cluj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.20
Superbet
7.10
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Superbet
2.32
1xBet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.80
1xBet
7.60
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Petrolul Ploiesti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
30.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.3%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
-
-
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.6%
1.04
Superbet
1.06
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Betfair
1.02
BetVictor
1.02
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
83.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-7.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.4%
1.13
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.3%
1.20
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Unibet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.16
+4.8%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
79.6%
1.11
Unibet
1.13
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
-
-4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
78.6%
1.41
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Unibet
1.40
+12.9%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
75.7%
1.61
Betano
1.67
Unibet
1.63
Superbet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
+18.4%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
75.2%
1.27
Superbet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+4.9%
-
Home or Away
73.6%
1.16
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.19
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
-5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.6%
1.27
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.24
-
-
-1.5%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Universitatea Cluj
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alibek Aliev50%
Mouhamadou Drammeh40%
Jovo Lukić33%
Oucasse Mendy25%
Dorin Codrea0%
Iulian Cristea0%
Ovidiu Bic0%
Dan Nistor0%
Alexandru Chipciu0%
Dino Mikanović0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Marius Ștefănescu0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Issouf Macalou0%
Pedro Pinho0%
Adams Friday0%
Alin Chinteș0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dorin Codrea40%
Pedro Pinho40%
Marius Ștefănescu33%
Alin Chinteș33%
Alexandru Chipciu20%
Dino Mikanović20%
Mouhamadou Drammeh20%
Iulian Cristea17%
Ovidiu Bic17%
Dan Nistor17%
Alibek Aliev17%
Issouf Macalou17%
Jovo Lukić0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Oucasse Mendy0%
Adams Friday0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dan Nistor33%
Alibek Aliev33%
Jovo Lukić33%
Adams Friday20%
Dorin Codrea0%
Iulian Cristea0%
Ovidiu Bic0%
Alexandru Chipciu0%
Dino Mikanović0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Mouhamadou Drammeh0%
Marius Ștefănescu0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Oucasse Mendy0%
Issouf Macalou0%
Pedro Pinho0%
Alin Chinteș0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jovo Lukić33%
Oucasse Mendy25%
Mouhamadou Drammeh20%
Dan Nistor17%
Alibek Aliev17%
Dorin Codrea0%
Iulian Cristea0%
Ovidiu Bic0%
Alexandru Chipciu0%
Dino Mikanović0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Marius Ștefănescu0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Issouf Macalou0%
Pedro Pinho0%
Adams Friday0%
Alin Chinteș0%
Petrolul Ploiesti
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alejandro Bran40%
Dan N'Lundulu33%
Breston Malula25%
Robert Jerdea20%
Rodrigo Martins17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Paul Papp0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Paul Papp50%
Adam Zaian40%
Rodrigo Martins33%
Dan N'Lundulu33%
Mario Ioniță33%
Mark Țuțu33%
Breston Malula25%
Alejandro Bran20%
Robert Jerdea20%
Lukáš Zima17%
Andres Dumitrescu17%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Lucho Vega0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rodrigo Martins17%
Léo Teixeira17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Paul Papp0%
Dan N'Lundulu0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Breston Malula0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Alejandro Bran0%
Robert Jerdea0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paul Papp33%
Alejandro Bran20%
Rodrigo Martins17%
Dan N'Lundulu17%
Léo Teixeira17%
Lukáš Zima0%
Sergiu Hanca0%
Tiberiu Căpuşă0%
Calal Huseinov0%
Breston Malula0%
Andres Dumitrescu0%
Lucho Vega0%
Robert Jerdea0%
Mario Ioniță0%
Mark Țuțu0%
Adam Zaian0%
Rareș Leescu0%
Liviu Argeșanu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
AH (37)
€11m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
ATM (22)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
Universitatea Cluj's squad is €11m more valuable than Petrolul Ploiesti's (€17m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
AH (13)
€5m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
PP (5)
€1m
ATM (7)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
Universitatea Cluj's attack is €5m more valuable than Petrolul Ploiesti's (€7m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
AH (9)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
ATM (4)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
Universitatea Cluj's midfield is €3m more valuable than Petrolul Ploiesti's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
AH (15)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
ATM (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
Universitatea Cluj's defence is €3m more valuable than Petrolul Ploiesti's (€5m vs €3m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Bucuresti
Rapid
Universitatea Craiova
FCSB
Corvinul Hunedoara
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda