Universitatea Craiova’s recent form, coming off a 0-1 loss to Ararat-Armenia, contrasts with Universitatea Cluj’s 2-3 defeat to Petrolul Ploiesti after two straight losses. The model sees a home win as the most likely outcome, with a 61% chance, a 25% draw and a 15% away win. The expected total goals is 2.6, with the most probable total being 2 goals at 26%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Craiova, carrying a 12.5% probability.
Craiova averages 1.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded at home against similarly strong opponents, while Cluj averages 1.08 scored and 1.5 conceded on the road. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.2% with a 7% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Under 6.5 (98.3% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.5% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 goals (95.5% with an 8% edge) and Home +2 handicap (95.4% with an 8% edge).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Universitatea Craiova win
60.7%
Avg Implied 57.1% · @ 1.61
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.68
Dafabet
1.65
Betfair
1.62
Betano
1.62
10Bet
1.61
Draw
24.6%
Avg Implied 23.8% · @ 3.87
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.26
1xBet
4.10
William Hil
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
Universitatea Cluj win
14.6%
Avg Implied 19.1% · @ 4.81
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
5.05
Betfair
5.00
Pinnacle
5.00
1xBet
4.99
10Bet
4.85
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Universitatea Craiova
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.87
2.07
0.71
0.75
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.05
1.00
2.00
0.75
0.42
1.17
vs Weaker (10)
2.00
0.60
2.17
0.67
1.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Universitatea Cluj
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.00
2.00
0.65
1.23
1.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.69
1.03
2.06
0.69
1.23
1.46
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.1%
@ 1.20-3.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
@ 4.07+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Unibet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.25
BetVictor
4.10
Betano
4.10
1xBet
4.05
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.8%
@ 1.70-7.3%
Under 2.5
52.2%
@ 2.09+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Unibet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.18
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.1%
@ 2.72-8.0%
Under 3.5
73.9%
@ 1.41+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.88
Betano
2.80
Pinnacle
2.76
10Bet
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
10Bet
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
Both teams to score
Yes
46.4%
@ 1.71-7.7%
No
53.6%
@ 2.01+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Unibet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
No
Betano
2.05
BetVictor
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.5%@ 7.25+6.3%
2-0
12.3%@ 7.88+6.6%
1-1
11.7%@ 7.15+5.4%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.42+3.5%
0-0
8.6%@ 12.15+4.9%
3-0
7.4%@ 11.95+3.6%
3-1
5.8%@ 11.58+1.9%
0-1
4.8%@ 13.62+1.5%
Universitatea Craiova goals ↓
Universitatea Cluj goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
4.8%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
1
13%
12%
4.1%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
9.6%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
3
7.4%
5.8%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
4
3.3%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Universitatea Craiova goals (down), columns = Universitatea Cluj goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
Rapid
1.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.71
Universitatea Craiova
1.57
FCSB
1.57
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.43
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.43
Arges Pitesti
1.43
FC Botosani
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
FC Voluntari
0.71
Csikszereda
0.14
Universitatea Craiova is 0.07 points better than Universitatea Cluj in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Universitatea Craiova
2.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.00
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.83
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
FCSB
1.43
Farul Constanta
1.43
Oţelul
1.29
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.14
Rapid
1.14
FC Voluntari
1.00
FC Botosani
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Uta Arad
0.86
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.57
Csikszereda
0.57
Arges Pitesti
0.57
Universitatea Craiova is 0.50 goals better than Universitatea Cluj in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.43
Corvinul Hunedoara
0.57
Rapid
0.57
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.71
Arges Pitesti
0.71
FC Botosani
1.14
FCSB
1.14
Farul Constanta
1.14
Oţelul
1.14
Universitatea Craiova
1.29
Uta Arad
1.43
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.43
Universitatea Cluj
1.50
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.67
Csikszereda
1.86
FC Voluntari
2.57
Universitatea Craiova is 0.21 goals better than Universitatea Cluj in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
60%
FCSB
58%
Universitatea Cluj
57%
Dinamo Bucuresti
56%
Oţelul
55%
CFR 1907 Cluj
55%
FC Botosani
53%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
49%
Farul Constanta
48%
Uta Arad
46%
Corvinul Hunedoara
44%
Arges Pitesti
44%
Petrolul Ploiesti
42%
Csikszereda
42%
FC Voluntari
41%
Universitatea Craiova is 3.0 percentage points better than Universitatea Cluj in terms of average possession (60% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Universitatea Craiova
For 4.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 9.4 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Universitatea Cluj
For 4.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Universitatea Craiova
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
9.2
7.4
3.8
4.0
3.6
23.4
22.2
24.5
vs Stronger (1)
8.0
8.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
24.0
24.0
-
vs Similar (30)
8.2
9.2
7.5
3.6
3.5
3.7
23.7
23.3
23.9
vs Weaker (19)
8.4
9.2
7.2
4.1
4.7
3.4
22.9
21.1
26.0
% over line
32%
45%
20%
52%
62%
42%
62%
55%
70%
% under line
68%
55%
80%
48%
38%
58%
38%
45%
30%
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Universitatea Cluj
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.6
10.2
3.3
2.6
4.1
21.2
20.8
21.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
10.0
9.5
10.5
3.4
2.6
4.3
21.2
20.9
21.6
vs Weaker (3)
8.7
10.0
6.0
1.3
2.0
0.0
20.7
20.0
22.0
% over line
47%
48%
45%
44%
33%
57%
47%
43%
50%
% under line
53%
52%
55%
56%
67%
43%
53%
57%
50%
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FCSB
10.2
Universitatea Cluj
10.0
Rapid
9.9
Farul Constanta
9.9
FC Botosani
9.8
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.7
Uta Arad
9.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.5
Oţelul
9.5
Dinamo Bucuresti
9.4
Arges Pitesti
9.4
FC Voluntari
8.8
Csikszereda
8.8
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.7
Universitatea Craiova
8.7
Corvinul Hunedoara
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Universitatea Craiova
5.1
FC Botosani
5.0
Arges Pitesti
5.0
FCSB
4.9
Corvinul Hunedoara
4.7
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.7
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.7
Uta Arad
4.7
Rapid
4.6
FC Voluntari
4.6
Csikszereda
4.5
Farul Constanta
4.4
Oţelul
4.3
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.2
Universitatea Cluj
4.1
CFR 1907 Cluj
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Botosani
26.6
Oţelul
26.6
Arges Pitesti
25.3
Petrolul Ploiesti
25.3
Csikszereda
25.0
FCSB
24.9
Uta Arad
24.3
Corvinul Hunedoara
24.0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
23.9
FC Voluntari
23.8
Universitatea Craiova
23.8
Dinamo Bucuresti
23.6
Rapid
23.5
Farul Constanta
23.2
CFR 1907 Cluj
22.7
Universitatea Cluj
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.2%
@ 2.08+3.8%
Under 9.5
51.8%
@ 1.66-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.10
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Under
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
Unibet
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.64
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
75.2%
Under 3.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
56.5%
Under 21.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Universitatea Craiova or Draw
85.4%
Avg Implied 80.5% · @ 1.16
Edge
+4.8%
61%
25%
15%
covers Universitatea Craiova + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Universitatea Craiova or Universitatea Cluj
75.4%
Avg Implied 77.0% · @ 1.21
Edge
-1.6%
61%
25%
15%
covers Universitatea Craiova + Universitatea Cluj
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Draw or Universitatea Cluj
39.3%
Avg Implied 42.5% · @ 2.19
Edge
-3.2%
61%
25%
15%
covers Draw + Universitatea Cluj
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.27
Betano
2.27
Betfair
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Marathonbet
2.21
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Universitatea Craiova over/under 0.5
Over
83.6%
@ 1.11+0.2%
Under
16.4%
@ 5.57-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Universitatea Craiova over/under 1.5
Over
53.9%
@ 1.64-3.0%
Under
46.1%
@ 2.16+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.68
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
BetVictor
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
Universitatea Craiova over/under 2.5
Over
27.1%
@ 2.99-3.8%
Under
72.9%
@ 1.34+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.02
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Universitatea Craiova over/under 3.5
Over
11.0%
@ 7.03-2.5%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.09+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.03
Universitatea Cluj over/under 0.5
Over
54.2%
@ 1.49-8.0%
Under
45.8%
@ 2.45+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Under
BetVictor
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.50
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Universitatea Cluj over/under 1.5
Over
18.4%
@ 3.39-8.9%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.27+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.64
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.48
Marathonbet
3.48
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Universitatea Cluj over/under 2.5
Over
4.5%
@ 9.44-5.4%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.03+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.50
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
9.40
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Universitatea Cluj over/under 3.5
Over
0.8%
@ 20.75-3.8%
Under
99.2%
@ 1.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Universitatea Craiova, so a minus line means Universitatea Craiova give that many goals of a start and Universitatea Cluj receive them. At -1, Universitatea Craiova must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Universitatea Craiova win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Universitatea Craiova)
Universitatea Craiova -2
16.9%
@ 5.16-0.5%
Draw -2
19.2%
@ 4.71+0.1%
Universitatea Cluj +2
63.9%
@ 1.41+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Draw
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Handicap -1 (Universitatea Craiova)
Universitatea Craiova -1
36.1%
@ 2.63+2.2%
Draw -1
24.6%
@ 3.52-0.7%
Universitatea Cluj +1
39.3%
@ 2.18-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.57
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.56
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Unibet
3.35
Away
Marathonbet
2.21
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Unibet
2.10
Handicap +1 (Universitatea Craiova)
Universitatea Craiova +1
85.4%
@ 1.15+8.6%
Draw +1
10.0%
@ 6.10-4.4%
Universitatea Cluj -1
4.6%
@ 10.09-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Draw
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.00
Marathonbet
4.40
Away
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
12.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.35
Handicap +2 (Universitatea Craiova)
Universitatea Craiova +2
95.4%
@ 1.03+4.6%
Draw +2
3.6%
@ 15.00-2.7%
Universitatea Cluj -2
1.0%
@ 32.50-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Away
Betfair
36.00
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Universitatea Craiova
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.40
0.57
0.50
0.44
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.45
0.62
0.50
0.25
0.42
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.30
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Universitatea Cluj
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.94
0.24
0.38
0.92
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.69
0.55
0.94
0.25
0.38
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.2%
@ 1.31-0.7%
Under 0.5
29.8%
@ 3.20+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.25
1xBet
3.22
10Bet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
35.1%
@ 2.48-2.3%
Under 1.5
64.9%
@ 1.48+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.60
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.52
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Under
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.8%
@ 5.89-1.9%
Under 2.5
86.2%
@ 1.09+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Universitatea Craiova over/under 0.5 HT
Over
53.1%
@ 1.63-3.8%
Under
46.9%
@ 2.15+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Unibet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
1xBet
2.22
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Unibet
2.08
Universitatea Craiova over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.9%
@ 4.04-6.0%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.20+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
Betano
4.05
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Universitatea Craiova over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.0%
@ 9.62-4.7%
Under
95.0%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Universitatea Cluj over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.2%
@ 2.56-1.9%
Under
65.8%
@ 1.45+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.75
Betano
2.60
Marathonbet
2.58
Unibet
2.50
1xBet
2.47
Under
10Bet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.45
Unibet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Universitatea Cluj over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.0%
@ 9.20-3.1%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.03+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
9.30
10Bet
8.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Universitatea Cluj over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Universitatea Craiova
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.47
1.50
0.21
0.31
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.55
1.38
0.25
0.17
0.75
vs Weaker (10)
1.30
0.30
1.67
0.17
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Cluj) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Universitatea Cluj
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.47
1.06
0.41
0.85
0.54
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.00
0.48
1.12
0.44
0.85
0.54
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Universitatea Craiova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.6%
@ 1.19+0.2%
Under 0.5
21.4%
@ 4.29-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Betano
4.40
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.0%
@ 1.91-7.6%
Under 1.5
59.0%
@ 1.81+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.00
Unibet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.91
10Bet
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Under
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.9%
@ 3.83-4.3%
Under 2.5
80.1%
@ 1.22+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.68
1xBet
3.68
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Universitatea Craiova over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.4%
@ 1.42-6.8%
Under
41.6%
@ 2.67+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.70
Betano
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Universitatea Craiova over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.3%
@ 2.95-9.0%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.35+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.04
10Bet
3.00
Betano
2.90
1xBet
2.85
Under
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Universitatea Craiova over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.6%
@ 7.13-6.4%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.07+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.50
1xBet
7.40
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Universitatea Cluj over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.2%
@ 2.10-1.8%
Under
57.8%
@ 1.66+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Under
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.62
Universitatea Cluj over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.4%
@ 6.85-3.2%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.07+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.90
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Universitatea Cluj over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
@ 17.50-3.3%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.8%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.5%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
95.5%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
+5.4%
Home +2 handicap
95.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-
+4.6%
Under 5.5
95.2%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+5.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+4.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.4%
1.07
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+6.4%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+3.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.6%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
+3.2%
Home under 3.5 goals
89.0%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.03
-
+2.5%
Over 2.5 cards
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
87.9%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.15
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.12
+6.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.2%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.08
+1.9%
Home or Draw
85.4%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
+4.8%
Home +1 handicap
85.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
-
+8.6%
Home over 0.5 goals
83.6%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
10Bet
1.11
+0.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.1%
1.20
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+6.0%
Away under 1.5 goals
81.6%
1.27
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
+8.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.22
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
+4.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.6%
1.19
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
+0.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.7%
1.35
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
-
+9.0%
Home or Away
75.4%
1.21
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-1.6%
Over 3.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
74.9%
1.20
Unibet
1.26
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.13
-
-1.2%
Under 25.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.1%
1.20
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Unibet
1.21
BetVictor
1.20
-3.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
1.41
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
10Bet
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
+8.0%
Home under 2.5 goals
72.9%
1.34
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
+3.8%
Over 19.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.2%
1.31
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.30
-0.7%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Universitatea Craiova
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Monday Etim40%
Steven Nsimba33%
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Nikola Stevanović20%
Oleksandr Romanchuk20%
Samuel Teles17%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Nicușor Bancu0%
Alexandru Cicâldău0%
Tudor Băluță0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Alexandru Crețu0%
Anzor Mekvabishvili0%
Assad Al-Hamlawi0%
Carlos Mora0%
Răzvan Sava0%
David Matei0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Monday Etim40%
Oleksandr Romanchuk40%
David Matei40%
Nicușor Bancu33%
Samuel Teles33%
Assad Al-Hamlawi33%
Alexandru Crețu25%
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Tudor Băluță20%
Anzor Mekvabishvili20%
Răzvan Sava20%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Alexandru Cicâldău0%
Nikola Stevanović0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Steven Nsimba0%
Carlos Mora0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Tudor Băluță20%
Monday Etim20%
David Matei20%
Nicușor Bancu17%
Carlos Mora17%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Alexandru Cicâldău0%
Nikola Stevanović0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Alexandru Crețu0%
Steven Nsimba0%
Samuel Teles0%
Oleksandr Romanchuk0%
Anzor Mekvabishvili0%
Assad Al-Hamlawi0%
Răzvan Sava0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
David Matei60%
Alexandru Cicâldău40%
Monday Etim40%
Assad Al-Hamlawi33%
Ștefan Baiaram25%
Tudor Băluță20%
Nikola Stevanović20%
Steven Nsimba17%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Nicușor Bancu0%
Vladimir Screciu0%
Alexandru Crețu0%
Samuel Teles0%
Oleksandr Romanchuk0%
Anzor Mekvabishvili0%
Carlos Mora0%
Răzvan Sava0%
Luca Băsceanu0%
Universitatea Cluj
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alibek Aliev50%
Mouhamadou Drammeh40%
Jovo Lukić33%
Oucasse Mendy25%
Dorin Codrea0%
Iulian Cristea0%
Ovidiu Bic0%
Dan Nistor0%
Alexandru Chipciu0%
Dino Mikanović0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Marius Ștefănescu0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Issouf Macalou0%
Pedro Pinho0%
Adams Friday0%
Alin Chinteș0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dorin Codrea40%
Pedro Pinho40%
Marius Ștefănescu33%
Alin Chinteș33%
Alexandru Chipciu20%
Dino Mikanović20%
Mouhamadou Drammeh20%
Iulian Cristea17%
Ovidiu Bic17%
Dan Nistor17%
Alibek Aliev17%
Issouf Macalou17%
Jovo Lukić0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Oucasse Mendy0%
Adams Friday0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dan Nistor33%
Alibek Aliev33%
Jovo Lukić33%
Adams Friday20%
Dorin Codrea0%
Iulian Cristea0%
Ovidiu Bic0%
Alexandru Chipciu0%
Dino Mikanović0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Mouhamadou Drammeh0%
Marius Ștefănescu0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Oucasse Mendy0%
Issouf Macalou0%
Pedro Pinho0%
Alin Chinteș0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jovo Lukić33%
Oucasse Mendy25%
Mouhamadou Drammeh20%
Dan Nistor17%
Alibek Aliev17%
Dorin Codrea0%
Iulian Cristea0%
Ovidiu Bic0%
Alexandru Chipciu0%
Dino Mikanović0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Marius Ștefănescu0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Ștefan Lefter0%
Issouf Macalou0%
Pedro Pinho0%
Adams Friday0%
Alin Chinteș0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
Universitatea Craiova's squad is €20m more valuable than Universitatea Cluj's (€37m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Universitatea Craiova's attack is €7m more valuable than Universitatea Cluj's (€14m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
Universitatea Craiova's midfield is €5m more valuable than Universitatea Cluj's (€10m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
Universitatea Craiova's defence is €8m more valuable than Universitatea Cluj's (€13m vs €5m).
Romania: Liga I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dinamo Bucuresti
Rapid
Petrolul Ploiesti
FCSB
Corvinul Hunedoara
Farul Constanta
Oţelul
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
CFR 1907 Cluj
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda