This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.11
1.07
1.00
0.93
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.09
1.32
1.27
1.18
0.91
1.45
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
39% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Urozhay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.5%
Under 1.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.6%
Under 2.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.4%
Under 3.5
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.8%
No
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.3%
Urozhay goals ↓
Akron goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.1%
5.3%
1.8%
0.4%
1
12%
14%
6.6%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.2%
8.3%
4.2%
1.4%
0.4%
3
3.4%
3.5%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.1%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Urozhay goals (down), columns = Akron goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rubin
2.03
Baltika
1.97
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.82
Enisey
1.59
Rodina Moskva
1.47
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
FK Neftekhimik
1.38
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.35
Akron
1.35
Ska-khabarovsk
1.29
Volgar Astrakhan
1.29
KAMAZ
1.29
Arsenal Tula
1.21
Urozhay
1.09
Veles
0.97
Krasnodar 2
0.91
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.88
FC UFA
0.88
Urozhay is 0.26 points worse than Akron in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.35).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.65
Baltika
1.65
Rubin
1.56
Ska-khabarovsk
1.47
Enisey
1.26
Rodina Moskva
1.24
Akron
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.09
Volgar Astrakhan
1.09
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.06
Urozhay
1.06
Veles
1.03
KAMAZ
1.03
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Krasnodar 2
0.94
FC UFA
0.94
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.74
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.68
Urozhay is 0.06 goals worse than Akron in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.76
Rubin
0.79
Baltika
0.88
FK Neftekhimik
0.97
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.03
Enisey
1.03
Akron
1.06
KAMAZ
1.06
Rodina Moskva
1.12
Ska-khabarovsk
1.15
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.21
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.21
Volgar Astrakhan
1.21
Urozhay
1.21
Arsenal Tula
1.35
FC UFA
1.35
Krasnodar 2
1.59
Veles
1.62
Urozhay is 0.15 goals worse than Akron in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Urozhay
For 4.5 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Akron
For 5.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Urozhay
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
10.0
9.8
10.2
1.9
1.9
1.9
-
-
-
vs Stronger (7)
10.7
11.0
10.5
1.9
1.3
2.2
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
9.8
9.6
10.0
1.9
2.0
1.7
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
50%
50%
29%
36%
21%
-
-
-
% under line
50%
50%
50%
71%
64%
79%
-
-
-
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (28)
10.5
10.6
10.4
1.8
0.6
2.9
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
10.9
11.8
10.2
1.6
0.8
2.5
-
-
-
vs Weaker (6)
9.3
6.0
11.0
2.2
0.0
4.3
-
-
-
% over line
58%
60%
57%
29%
14%
43%
-
-
-
% under line
42%
40%
43%
71%
86%
57%
-
-
-
This opponent (Urozhay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Neftekhimik
10.7
Akron
10.5
Arsenal Tula
10.4
Urozhay
10.0
Krasnodar 2
10.0
Rubin
10.0
Baltika
9.7
Shinnik Yaroslavl
9.6
FC UFA
9.6
Veles
9.5
Enisey
9.2
Rodina Moskva
8.9
Volgar Astrakhan
8.6
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.2
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.1
KAMAZ
7.9
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
6.9
Ska-khabarovsk
6.8
Krasnodar 2
5.5
Enisey
5.5
Dinamo Makhachkala
5.5
Akron
5.4
Rubin
5.2
Urozhay
5.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
5.2
Volgar Astrakhan
5.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
5.0
Baltika
4.8
FK Neftekhimik
4.8
Veles
4.7
FC UFA
4.6
Arsenal Tula
4.5
Rodina Moskva
4.3
Shinnik Yaroslavl
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
62.6%
Under 9.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
78.0%
Under 3.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Urozhay
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.36
0.50
0.21
0.43
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.71
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.24
0.55
0.09
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
68% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
0.46
0.64
0.29
0.64
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.55
0.82
0.36
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
61% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Urozhay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Urozhay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Urozhay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Urozhay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Urozhay
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
0.79
0.79
0.64
0.50
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.71
0.00
0.33
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.76
0.81
1.00
0.73
0.50
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
39% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.36
0.64
0.43
0.71
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.36
0.77
0.45
0.82
0.27
0.73
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.17
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
64% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Urozhay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Urozhay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Urozhay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Urozhay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Akron · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gilson Tavares33%
Yomar Rocha20%
Kevin Arevalo20%
Stefan Lončar17%
Arseniy Dmitriev17%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Dudu0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristijan Bistrović50%
Joao Escoval40%
Arseniy Dmitriev33%
Dudu25%
Nikita Bazilevskiy25%
Roberto Fernández20%
Stefan Lončar17%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin17%
Gilson Tavares17%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Kevin Arevalo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dudu25%
Roberto Fernández20%
Konstantin Maradishvili17%
Stefan Lončar17%
Gilson Tavares17%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
Kevin Arevalo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefan Lončar33%
Gilson Tavares33%
Kevin Arevalo20%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Joao Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Vyacheslav Bardybakhin0%
Slobodan Tedić0%
Vitali Gudiev0%
Marat Bokoev0%
Yuriy Zheleznov0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Dudu0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Russia: First League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →