This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.10
1.60
1.07
1.80
1.13
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.68
1.14
1.57
1.14
1.79
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Urozhay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.4%
Under 2.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.3%
No
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
0-1 ✓
10.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
6.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.4%
Urozhay goals ↓
Khimki goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
11%
9.8%
5.4%
2.2%
1
6.0%
13%
9.6%
5.2%
2.1%
2
3.5%
5.7%
4.7%
2.5%
1.0%
3
1.1%
1.9%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Urozhay goals (down), columns = Khimki goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Khimki
1.94
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.79
Akron
1.74
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Rodina Moskva
1.62
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Enisey
1.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.44
Tyumen
1.41
Torpedo Moskva
1.38
FK Neftekhimik
1.24
Ska-khabarovsk
1.21
KAMAZ
1.21
FK Sokol Saratov
1.12
Chernomorets
1.03
Leningradets
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Urozhay
0.68
Urozhay is 1.26 points worse than Khimki in terms of average points per game (0.68 vs 1.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Khimki
1.65
Enisey
1.62
Rodina Moskva
1.56
Akron
1.41
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.24
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.15
Arsenal Tula
1.15
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.09
Tyumen
1.06
Ska-khabarovsk
0.97
Torpedo Moskva
0.97
FK Sokol Saratov
0.94
FK Neftekhimik
0.91
KAMAZ
0.88
Chernomorets
0.88
Volgar Astrakhan
0.85
Leningradets
0.79
Urozhay
0.59
Urozhay is 1.06 goals worse than Khimki in terms of goals scored per game (0.59 vs 1.65).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.56
Arsenal Tula
0.74
Akron
0.76
Rodina Moskva
0.91
Torpedo Moskva
0.97
Tyumen
1.03
FK Neftekhimik
1.03
Ska-khabarovsk
1.06
KAMAZ
1.06
Chernomorets
1.12
Khimki
1.15
Enisey
1.18
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.21
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.24
Leningradets
1.29
Volgar Astrakhan
1.29
FK Sokol Saratov
1.56
Urozhay
1.56
Urozhay is 0.41 goals worse than Khimki in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.15).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Urozhay
For 3.2 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Khimki
For 5.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Urozhay
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.5
9.2
3.2
3.1
3.2
-
-
-
vs Stronger (20)
9.4
10.2
8.5
2.7
2.8
2.6
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
9.3
9.1
9.5
3.5
3.3
3.6
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
64%
42%
48%
52%
44%
-
-
-
% under line
48%
36%
58%
52%
48%
56%
-
-
-
This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.2
9.9
4.2
4.3
4.1
26.2
25.1
27.2
vs Stronger (14)
8.2
8.0
8.4
5.4
5.8
5.0
25.2
25.4
25.1
vs Similar (36)
10.2
9.7
10.9
3.8
3.8
3.7
28.0
24.8
34.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
47%
50%
58%
52%
64%
67%
56%
78%
% under line
51%
53%
50%
42%
48%
36%
33%
44%
22%
This opponent (Urozhay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.8
Arsenal Tula
10.4
FK Neftekhimik
10.0
Chernomorets
9.9
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Khimki
9.5
Enisey
9.4
Akron
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
KAMAZ
8.8
Rodina Moskva
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Leningradets
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.2
Torpedo Moskva
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
6.0
Rodina Moskva
4.6
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
Khimki
4.4
Urozhay
4.3
Volgar Astrakhan
4.3
Enisey
4.2
Torpedo Moskva
4.2
FK Neftekhimik
4.1
Akron
4.1
Chernomorets
3.8
Tyumen
3.8
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.7
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Leningradets
3.4
Arsenal Tula
3.4
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
FK Sokol Saratov
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Khimki
25.7
Torpedo Moskva
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.2%
Under 9.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.5%
Under 3.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Urozhay
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.77
0.20
0.67
0.33
0.87
vs Stronger (11)
0.09
0.64
0.00
0.40
0.17
0.83
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.84
0.30
0.80
0.44
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.47
0.40
0.80
0.40
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.39
0.43
0.43
0.71
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Urozhay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Urozhay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Urozhay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Urozhay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Urozhay
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.77
0.60
0.33
0.13
1.20
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
1.00
0.80
0.20
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.63
0.50
0.40
0.22
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.70
1.13
0.67
1.00
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
1.11
0.75
1.14
0.71
1.07
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Urozhay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Urozhay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Urozhay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Urozhay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Khimki · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lucas Vera23%
Edgardo Fariña21%
Anton Zabolotnyi21%
Aleksandr Rudenko17%
Zelimkhan Bakaev12%
Reziuan Mirzov12%
Butta Magomedov8%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Dani Fernández0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Boni Amian0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edgardo Fariña50%
Robert Mejía30%
Nemanja Anđelković29%
Sergey Terekhov25%
Dani Fernández25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev24%
Boni Amian20%
Anton Zabolotnyi17%
Reziuan Mirzov15%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi14%
Ilya Sadygov14%
Petar Golubović12%
Georgiy Dzhikiya12%
Aleksandr Rudenko10%
Lucas Vera10%
Oleksandr Filin7%
Danil Stepanov7%
Orinho5%
Álex Corredera5%
Denis Glushakov0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anton Zabolotnyi14%
Lucas Vera13%
Sergey Terekhov12%
Dani Fernández10%
Ilya Sadygov7%
Petar Golubović6%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Álex Corredera5%
Reziuan Mirzov4%
Aleksandr Rudenko3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Zelimkhan Bakaev0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anton Zabolotnyi24%
Orinho9%
Zelimkhan Bakaev8%
Aleksandr Rudenko7%
Dani Fernández5%
Lucas Vera3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Reziuan Mirzov0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Russia: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →