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US Hostert vs Etzella Ettelbruck Result & Analysis

Date: 27/11/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-3
US Hostert
US Hostert
Vs
53%
26%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Etzella Ettelbruck
Etzella Ettelbruck
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

US Hostert win✗ Miss
53.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck win✓ Hit
20.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

US HostertUS Hostert

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L01L22D23L21W10W00D12L10W14LA·F9121/08H·UN 26/08A·VIC04/09H·WIL11/09A·AS 18/09H·PRO09/10H·MON16/10A·RAC23/10H·UNA06/11A·UNI13/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.921.830.671.331.172.33
vs Stronger (6)0.672.170.671.330.673.00
vs Similar (6)1.171.500.671.331.671.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Etzella Ettelbruck) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D02L03L04L04L11D13L12L06L01LA·FOL20/08H·FC 28/08A·US 04/09H·SWI10/09A·F9118/09H·UN 09/10A·VIC16/10H·WIL23/10A·AS 06/11H·PRO13/11
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.582.250.671.670.502.83
vs Stronger (12)0.582.250.671.670.502.83
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.9%
Under 1.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.1%
Under 2.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.1%
Under 3.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
5.6%
0-1
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
US Hostert goals ↓
Etzella Ettelbruck goals →
01234
08.0%5.6%3.3%1.1%0.3%
110%13%5.6%1.8%0.5%
29.9%9.7%4.8%1.6%0.4%
35.6%5.5%2.7%0.9%0.2%
42.4%2.3%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = US Hostert goals (down), columns = Etzella Ettelbruck goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Swift Hesperange
2.57
Progres Niederkorn
2.33
F91 Dudelange
2.23
Union Titus Petange
1.97
FC Differdange 03
1.50
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.50
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.30
Wiltz
1.20
Victoria Rosport
1.07
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Mondercange
0.97
UN Kaerjeng 97
0.90
Fola Esch
0.87
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.77
US Hostert
0.60
Bettembourg
0.00
US Hostert is 0.17 points worse than Etzella Ettelbruck in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 0.77).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Swift Hesperange
3.33
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
F91 Dudelange
2.87
Progres Niederkorn
2.23
Union Titus Petange
2.07
FC Differdange 03
2.00
Bettembourg
2.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Victoria Rosport
1.60
Wiltz
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.47
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.43
Mondercange
1.37
Fola Esch
1.26
UNA Strassen
1.10
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.07
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.06
US Hostert
0.67
US Hostert is 0.40 goals worse than Etzella Ettelbruck in terms of goals scored per game (0.67 vs 1.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Swift Hesperange
0.93
Progres Niederkorn
1.03
F91 Dudelange
1.27
Union Titus Petange
1.27
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.30
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.30
FC Differdange 03
1.43
UNA Strassen
1.53
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.73
Mondercange
1.83
Victoria Rosport
1.93
Wiltz
1.97
US Hostert
2.17
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.29
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.37
Fola Esch
2.39
Jeunesse Canach
3.00
Bettembourg
3.00
US Hostert is 0.20 goals better than Etzella Ettelbruck in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 2.37).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

US HostertUS Hostert

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

US HostertUS Hostert

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (12)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Etzella Ettelbruck) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (12)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (12)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (0)---------
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (US Hostert) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
FC Differdange 03
12.5
F91 Dudelange
9.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
9.0
Fola Esch
7.0
F91 Dudelange
5.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
F91 Dudelange
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

US HostertUS Hostert

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D02L00D10W00D02L00D03LA·F9121/08H·UN 26/08A·VIC04/09H·WIL11/09A·AS 18/09H·PRO09/10H·MON16/10A·RAC23/10H·UNA06/11A·UNI13/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.170.750.170.670.170.83
vs Stronger (6)0.330.670.330.330.331.00
vs Similar (6)0.000.830.001.000.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %58% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Etzella Ettelbruck) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L02L02L00D01L00D03L00DA·FOL20/08H·FC 28/08A·US 04/09H·SWI10/09A·F9118/09H·UN 09/10A·VIC16/10H·WIL23/10A·AS 06/11H·PRO13/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.000.830.000.330.001.33
vs Stronger (12)0.000.830.000.330.001.33
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
US Hostert over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

US HostertUS Hostert

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D22D21W21W00D00D10W10W11DA·F9121/08H·UN 26/08A·VIC04/09H·WIL11/09A·AS 18/09H·PRO09/10H·MON16/10A·RAC23/10H·UNA06/11A·UNI13/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.751.080.500.671.001.50
vs Stronger (6)0.331.500.331.000.332.00
vs Similar (6)1.170.670.670.331.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Etzella Ettelbruck) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L02L02L02L11D12L12L03L01LA·FOL20/08H·FC 28/08A·US 04/09H·SWI10/09A·F9118/09H·UN 09/10A·VIC16/10H·WIL23/10A·AS 06/11H·PRO13/11
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.581.420.671.330.501.50
vs Stronger (12)0.581.420.671.330.501.50
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
US Hostert over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etzella Ettelbruck over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
US Hostert and Etzella Ettelbruck have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
US Hostert and Etzella Ettelbruck have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
US Hostert and Etzella Ettelbruck have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
US Hostert and Etzella Ettelbruck have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
UH wins
0
Draws
0
EE wins

Head-to-head

US Hostert vs Etzella Ettelbruck · H/A from UH
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

US HostertUS Hostert

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/11/22AUnion Titus Petange Vs UH4-1
06/11/22HUH Vs UNA Strassen1-0
23/10/22ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs UH2-1
16/10/22HUH Vs Mondercange0-0
09/10/22HUH Vs Progres Niederkorn1-0
18/09/22AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs UH1-2
11/09/22HUH Vs Wiltz2-3
04/09/22AVictoria Rosport Vs UH2-2
26/08/22HUH Vs UN Kaerjeng 970-1
21/08/22AF91 Dudelange Vs UH3-1

Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/11/22HEE Vs Progres Niederkorn0-1
06/11/22AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs EE6-0
23/10/22HEE Vs Wiltz1-2
16/10/22AVictoria Rosport Vs EE3-1
09/10/22HEE Vs UN Kaerjeng 971-1
18/09/22AF91 Dudelange Vs EE4-0
10/09/22HEE Vs Swift Hesperange0-4
04/09/22AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs EE3-0
28/08/22HEE Vs FC Differdange 030-2
20/08/22AFola Esch Vs EE0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

US Hostert
US Hostert
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL0.92
HomeLLWDW1.17
AwayLDWLL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%33%17%
AVG goals2.752.003.50
Over 1.5 %67%33%100%
Over 2.5 %58%33%83%
Over 3.5 %42%33%50%
Scored0.920.671.17
Conceded1.831.332.33
BTTS50%17%83%
Clean Sheet25%50%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Etzella Ettelbruck
Etzella Ettelbruck
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL0.67
HomeLLDLL0.67
AwayDLLLL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%17%17%
AVG goals2.832.333.33
Over 1.5 %83%83%83%
Over 2.5 %58%33%83%
Over 3.5 %33%17%50%
Scored0.580.670.50
Conceded2.251.672.83
BTTS33%33%33%
Clean Sheet17%17%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3077
80%
2.6
10028+72
4.3
93%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.30.9
-
2Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3070
73%
2.3
6731+36
3.3
73%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.21.0
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3067
73%
2.2
8638+48
4.1
93%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.91.3
-
4Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3059
60%
2.0
6238+24
3.3
87%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.3
-
5FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033045
47%
1.5
6043+17
3.4
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.4
-
6US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3045
47%
1.5
5252+0
3.5
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.71.7
-
7AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3043
40%
1.4
4439+5
2.8
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.3
-
8Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3043
37%
1.4
4339+4
2.7
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.41.3
-
9UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3039
40%
1.3
3346-13
2.6
70%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.5
-
10WiltzWiltz3036
33%
1.2
4859-11
3.6
90%
77%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
-
11Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3032
27%
1.1
4858-10
3.5
87%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
12MondercangeMondercange3029
23%
1.0
4155-14
3.2
83%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
13UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 973128
19%
0.9
3371-38
3.4
84%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.3
-
14Fola EschFola Esch3127
26%
0.9
3974-35
3.6
81%
71%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.4
-
15Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck3023
20%
0.8
3271-39
3.4
90%
77%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.4
-
16US HostertUS Hostert3018
13%
0.6
2065-45
2.8
67%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.2
-
17Jeunesse CanachJeunesse Canach11
0%
1.0
33+0
6.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.03.0
-
18BettembourgBettembourg10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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