US Hostert’s recent 2-game winning streak has raised expectations at home, yet the Pythia model still favours an FC Differdange 03 victory, assigning a 62% chance to the away side. The model’s rating reflects Differdange’s strong away form - scoring an average of 2.2 goals while conceding only 0.4 against weaker opponents - against Hostert’s struggle at home, where they average 1.14 goals scored and 1.57 conceded against stronger teams. The predicted total of 3.2 goals points to a moderately high-scoring encounter, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 9.9%. The model’s pick, an away win, aligns with the 62% probability for FC Differdange 03. Home win, draw and away win probabilities stand at 16%, 21% and 62% respectively. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Under 7.5 (98.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.8%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.5%), Over 2.5 cards (95.8%), Under 6.5 (95.3%), Over 19.5 fouls (94.6%) and Home under 1.5 HT goals (94.1% with a 3% edge).
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as FC Differdange 03 secured a 0-2 away victory, extending their four-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Away win, carried a 62% probability, and the result matched the forecast. The final score of 0-2 confirmed the away side’s dominance, while the home side’s recent form, a loss in their last outing, reflected the difficulty of breaking through. Every suggested selection hit: Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Under 7.5 at 98.2%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5%, Under 6.5 at 95.3%, and Home under 1.5 HT goals at 94.1%. The model’s choices were spot on, delivering a clean sweep of hits.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
US Hostert win✗ Miss
16.3%
Avg Implied 15.2% · @ 5.95
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.35
10Bet
6.20
Marathonbet
6.10
William Hil
6.00
Draw✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied 21.4% · @ 4.24
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.50
Pinnacle
4.42
Betfair
4.40
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.25
FC Differdange 03 win✓ Hit
62.2%
Avg Implied 63.4% · @ 1.43
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Dafabet
1.47
Unibet
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
US Hostert
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.90
1.50
1.67
1.50
2.06
vs Stronger (16)
1.19
1.88
1.14
1.57
1.22
2.11
vs Similar (13)
1.62
2.00
1.25
2.00
1.78
2.00
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
1.00
5.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Differdange 03) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Differdange 03
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
0.83
2.17
0.72
1.92
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.38
1.15
1.00
0.83
1.71
1.43
vs Weaker (17)
2.59
0.59
2.75
0.67
2.20
0.40
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.3%
@ 1.15+5.4%
Under 1.5
15.7%
@ 4.29-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Under
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
Unibet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.8%
@ 1.57+4.1%
Under 2.5
37.2%
@ 2.23-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.23
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.6%
@ 2.38+2.1%
Under 3.5
59.4%
@ 1.49-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.45
Pinnacle
2.44
Marathonbet
2.35
Unibet
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Under
Superbet
1.51
Pinnacle
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.7%
@ 1.70+4.7%
No
41.3%
@ 1.99-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
William Hil
1.70
10Bet
1.70
No
Superbet
2.05
Betfair
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Unibet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%@ 7.87+5.1%
1-2
9.9%@ 7.33+4.7%
0-2 ✓
9.4%@ 7.05+4.0%
0-1
7.7%@ 7.20+2.4%
1-3
7.2%@ 9.95+3.4%
0-3
6.8%@ 9.07+2.7%
2-2
5.2%@ 13.83+2.5%
0-0
4.8%@ 12.50+1.8%
US Hostert goals ↓
FC Differdange 03 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
7.7%
9.4%
6.8%
3.7%
1
3.2%
9.9%
9.9%
7.2%
3.9%
2
2.2%
4.7%
5.2%
3.8%
2.1%
3
0.8%
1.7%
1.8%
1.3%
0.7%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = US Hostert goals (down), columns = FC Differdange 03 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
UNA Strassen
3.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.80
Atert Bissen
1.80
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
US Rumelange
1.20
F91 Dudelange
1.20
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
0.80
Wiltz
0.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
0.60
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.20
Swift Hesperange
0.00
US Hostert is 1.20 points worse than FC Differdange 03 in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 2.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.60
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.40
Résidence Walferdange
2.20
US Hostert
2.20
FC Differdange 03
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Wiltz
2.00
UNA Strassen
2.00
US Rumelange
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.00
Swift Hesperange
0.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.40
US Hostert and FC Differdange 03 are level in goals scored per game (both 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
UNA Strassen
0.20
Progres Niederkorn
0.80
FC Differdange 03
0.80
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.20
Résidence Walferdange
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.20
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Wiltz
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.40
US Rumelange
2.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.60
Swift Hesperange
4.20
US Hostert is 1.20 goals worse than FC Differdange 03 in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.80).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
US Hostert
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FC Differdange 03
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
US Hostert
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
8.7
8.0
0.6
0.8
0.5
29.0
28.0
32.0
vs Stronger (27)
8.0
8.0
8.0
0.7
0.4
1.1
33.0
34.0
32.0
vs Similar (21)
9.0
9.0
-
0.6
1.5
0.0
25.0
25.0
-
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
0%
8%
8%
8%
75%
67%
100%
% under line
100%
100%
100%
92%
92%
92%
25%
33%
0%
This opponent (FC Differdange 03) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Differdange 03
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
6.0
6.0
-
0.2
0.4
0.0
28.5
28.5
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
6.0
6.0
-
0.2
0.4
0.0
26.0
26.0
-
vs Weaker (23)
6.0
6.0
-
0.3
0.4
0.0
31.0
31.0
-
% over line
0%
0%
-
4%
7%
0%
100%
100%
-
% under line
100%
100%
-
96%
93%
100%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Victoria Rosport
9.8
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Swift Hesperange
30.4
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
34.5%
Under 9.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
89.1%
Under 3.5
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
88.2%
Under 21.5
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
US Hostert or Draw✗ Miss
37.8%
Avg Implied 37.1% · @ 2.47
Edge
+0.7%
16%
21%
62%
covers US Hostert + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.52
1xBet
2.52
William Hil
2.50
US Hostert or FC Differdange 03✓ Hit
78.5%
Avg Implied 78.8% · @ 1.16
Edge
-0.3%
16%
21%
62%
covers US Hostert + FC Differdange 03
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Draw or FC Differdange 03✓ Hit
83.7%
Avg Implied 84.1% · @ 1.09
Edge
-0.3%
16%
21%
62%
covers Draw + FC Differdange 03
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.08
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
US Hostert over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
65.1%
@ 1.55+5.9%
Under
34.9%
@ 2.24-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.63
1xBet
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Unibet
1.48
Under
Unibet
2.28
10Bet
2.25
1xBet
2.22
Pinnacle
2.21
US Hostert over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.3%
@ 3.64+3.2%
Under
71.7%
@ 1.22-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.66
1xBet
3.66
10Bet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
US Hostert over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 9.60-0.5%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.01+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
Under
1xBet
1.01
US Hostert over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Differdange 03 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.8%
@ 1.06+2.7%
Under
11.2%
@ 6.55-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Under
1xBet
7.10
10Bet
6.00
FC Differdange 03 over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
64.2%
@ 1.48+2.0%
Under
35.8%
@ 2.43-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.54
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Unibet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.45
10Bet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.45
Pinnacle
2.41
Unibet
2.38
FC Differdange 03 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
37.3%
@ 2.44-0.4%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.48+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.47
1xBet
2.45
10Bet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
10Bet
1.45
FC Differdange 03 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.8%
@ 4.40-2.9%
Under
82.2%
@ 1.15+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.40
Under
1xBet
1.15
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to US Hostert, so a minus line means US Hostert give that many goals of a start and FC Differdange 03 receive them. At -1, US Hostert must win by two or more to land; a one-goal US Hostert win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (US Hostert)Actual: FC Differdange 03
US Hostert -2
1.7%
Draw -2
4.4%
FC Differdange 03 +2
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (US Hostert)Actual: FC Differdange 03
US Hostert -1
6.1%
Draw -1
10.2%
FC Differdange 03 +1
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (US Hostert)Actual: FC Differdange 03
US Hostert +1
37.8%
@ 2.51+3.5%
Draw +1
22.1%
@ 3.40-3.2%
FC Differdange 03 -1
40.1%
@ 2.13-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.65
Betfair
2.60
Marathonbet
2.52
Unibet
2.28
Draw
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Unibet
3.05
Away
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.12
Unibet
2.02
Handicap +2 (US Hostert)Actual: Draw
US Hostert +2
59.9%
@ 1.53+5.3%
Draw +2
19.0%
@ 3.88-2.6%
FC Differdange 03 -2
21.1%
@ 3.49-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.58
Unibet
1.48
Draw
Marathonbet
4.25
Unibet
3.50
Away
Marathonbet
3.58
Unibet
3.40
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
US Hostert
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.90
0.42
0.92
0.56
0.89
vs Stronger (16)
0.19
0.88
0.29
0.86
0.11
0.89
vs Similar (13)
0.69
1.00
0.00
1.25
1.00
0.89
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Differdange 03) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Differdange 03
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.27
0.78
0.11
1.08
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.38
0.33
0.00
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (17)
1.12
0.18
1.00
0.17
1.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.7%
@ 1.26+2.3%
Under 0.5
25.3%
@ 3.32-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.40
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.5%
@ 2.25+3.0%
Under 1.5
56.5%
@ 1.53-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.34
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
William Hil
2.25
Under
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
William Hil
1.55
10Bet
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.2%
@ 5.20+0.5%
Under 2.5
81.8%
@ 1.12-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.10
William Hil
5.00
Under
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
US Hostert over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
30.1%
@ 2.63-5.2%
Under
69.9%
@ 1.44+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.66
1xBet
2.60
Under
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.43
US Hostert over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.9%
@ 10.00-3.3%
Under
94.1%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
US Hostert over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Differdange 03 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
65.1%
@ 1.52+3.9%
Under
34.9%
@ 2.40-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Under
Pinnacle
2.46
1xBet
2.34
FC Differdange 03 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
33.8%
@ 3.50+7.5%
Under
66.2%
@ 1.25-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.25
FC Differdange 03 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.5%
@ 9.90+6.3%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.01-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Under
1xBet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
US Hostert
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.00
1.08
0.75
0.94
1.17
vs Stronger (16)
1.00
1.00
0.86
0.71
1.11
1.22
vs Similar (13)
0.92
1.00
1.25
0.75
0.78
1.11
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Differdange 03) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Differdange 03
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.57
1.39
0.61
0.83
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.77
0.67
0.83
0.86
0.71
vs Weaker (17)
1.47
0.41
1.75
0.50
0.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
80.1%
@ 1.15-0.3%
Under 0.5
19.9%
@ 4.70+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
52.2%
@ 1.78+0.3%
Under 1.5
47.8%
@ 1.92-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Under
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
28.5%
@ 3.40+1.6%
Under 2.5
71.5%
@ 1.25-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
US Hostert over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
37.3%
@ 2.20-4.6%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.59+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.59
US Hostert over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 7.60-2.1%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.04+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Under
1xBet
1.04
US Hostert over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Differdange 03 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
72.2%
@ 1.36+4.1%
Under
27.8%
@ 2.90-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.90
FC Differdange 03 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
35.9%
@ 2.65+1.0%
Under
64.1%
@ 1.42-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.65
Under
1xBet
1.42
FC Differdange 03 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 6.60-1.1%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.07+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
Under
1xBet
1.07
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
94.1%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
91.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
90.1%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.0%
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
88.8%
1.06
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
87.1%
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
84.5%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-6.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.3%
1.15
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
83.7%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Unibet
1.08
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
82.2%
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.8%
1.12
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
-
-
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-
-
-
-
-0.3%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
78.5%
1.16
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.15
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 4.5 cards
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
77.4%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
-
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.7%
1.26
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 2H goals
72.2%
1.36
1xBet
1.36
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals
71.7%
1.22
1xBet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
71.5%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
US Hostert and FC Differdange 03 have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
US Hostert and FC Differdange 03 have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
US Hostert and FC Differdange 03 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
US Hostert and FC Differdange 03 have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Luxembourg: National Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
UNA Strassen
US Mondorf-les-bains
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Résidence Walferdange
UN Kaerjeng 97
Progres Niederkorn
Atert Bissen
F91 Dudelange
US Rumelange
Wiltz
Victoria Rosport
AS Jeunesse Esch
Etzella Ettelbruck
Swift Hesperange