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US Hostert vs UNA Strassen Result & Analysis

Date: 02/03/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
US Hostert
US Hostert
Vs
23%
25%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
UNA Strassen
UNA Strassen
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

US Hostert win✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen win✗ Miss
52.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

US HostertUS Hostert

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L13L13L42W23L20W43W03L10W42WH·VIC20/10A·US 27/10H·FC 03/11A·JEU09/11A·PRO24/11A·UNI07/12H·ROD11/12A·SWI09/02H·RAC16/02A·MON23/02
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.532.201.332.421.672.06
vs Stronger (14)1.002.861.003.751.002.50
vs Similar (15)2.071.671.501.752.711.57
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-810W02L11D80W50W40W41W22D30W10WA·UNI20/10H·SWI26/10A·MON03/11A·UNI10/11H·AS 24/11A·BET01/12H·VIC08/12A·ROD09/02H·WIL16/02A·RAC22/02
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.930.831.790.642.061.00
vs Stronger (3)2.671.670.000.004.002.50
vs Similar (22)1.680.771.670.671.690.85
vs Weaker (5)2.600.602.500.753.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.3%
No
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.3%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-2 ✓
5.7%
US Hostert goals ↓
UNA Strassen goals →
01234
05.9%7.9%8.3%5.1%2.4%
14.6%12%9.8%6.0%2.8%
23.3%6.2%5.7%3.5%1.6%
31.3%2.4%2.2%1.4%0.6%
40.4%0.7%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = US Hostert goals (down), columns = UNA Strassen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Atert Bissen
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.60
UNA Strassen
2.00
F91 Dudelange
1.90
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.90
Progres Niederkorn
1.83
Swift Hesperange
1.80
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.77
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Union Titus Petange
1.37
US Hostert
1.27
Victoria Rosport
1.13
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Wiltz
0.97
Rodange 91
0.97
Bettembourg
0.74
Fola Esch
0.43
Mondercange
0.40
US Hostert is 0.73 points worse than UNA Strassen in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Differdange 03
2.30
F91 Dudelange
2.23
UNA Strassen
2.07
Swift Hesperange
1.87
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.77
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.67
US Hostert
1.67
Union Titus Petange
1.37
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.37
Rodange 91
1.33
Wiltz
1.23
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Atert Bissen
1.00
Victoria Rosport
0.97
Bettembourg
0.94
Mondercange
0.70
Fola Esch
0.60
US Hostert is 0.40 goals worse than UNA Strassen in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 2.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Atert Bissen
0.00
FC Differdange 03
0.23
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
0.73
UNA Strassen
0.77
Jeunesse Canach
1.00
Progres Niederkorn
1.00
Union Titus Petange
1.07
F91 Dudelange
1.13
Swift Hesperange
1.13
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.30
Victoria Rosport
1.50
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.60
Bettembourg
1.94
Wiltz
2.00
Rodange 91
2.07
US Hostert
2.30
Mondercange
2.47
Fola Esch
2.60
US Hostert is 1.53 goals worse than UNA Strassen in terms of goals conceded per game (2.30 vs 0.77).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

US HostertUS Hostert

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

US HostertUS Hostert

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (22)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (26)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (3)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (38)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (9)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Progres Niederkorn
10.8
FC Differdange 03
10.0
F91 Dudelange
9.3
Swift Hesperange
8.6
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.5
Fola Esch
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
8.8
Progres Niederkorn
7.5
Fola Esch
7.0
Swift Hesperange
5.8
F91 Dudelange
5.1
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
48.0
Swift Hesperange
31.5
Progres Niederkorn
29.0
F91 Dudelange
17.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

US HostertUS Hostert

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L12L11D21W11D10W10W02L00D12LH·VIC20/10A·US 27/10H·FC 03/11A·JEU09/11A·PRO24/11A·UNI07/12H·ROD11/12A·SWI09/02H·RAC16/02A·MON23/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.130.331.080.721.17
vs Stronger (14)0.501.500.502.000.501.30
vs Similar (15)0.670.800.250.621.141.00
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D11D10W30W10W11D10W00DA·BLÔ05/10A·UNI20/10H·SWI26/10A·MON03/11H·AS 24/11A·BET01/12H·VIC08/12A·ROD09/02H·WIL16/02A·RAC22/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.370.710.070.940.62
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (23)0.780.390.670.110.860.57
vs Weaker (5)1.400.001.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
US Hostert over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

US HostertUS Hostert

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L02L21W12L10W33D01L10W30WH·VIC20/10A·US 27/10H·FC 03/11A·JEU09/11A·PRO24/11A·UNI07/12H·ROD11/12A·SWI09/02H·RAC16/02A·MON23/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.071.001.330.940.89
vs Stronger (14)0.501.360.501.750.501.20
vs Similar (15)1.400.871.251.121.570.57
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (UNA Strassen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W00D02L00D40W10W31W11D20W10WA·BLÔ05/10A·UNI20/10H·SWI26/10A·MON03/11H·AS 24/11A·BET01/12H·VIC08/12A·ROD09/02H·WIL16/02A·RAC22/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.601.070.570.810.62
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.000.000.003.00
vs Similar (23)0.960.521.000.560.930.50
vs Weaker (5)1.200.601.500.750.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (US Hostert) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
US Hostert over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
US Hostert over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
UNA Strassen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
WIL (2)
€0m
US Hostert's squad is €1m less valuable than UNA Strassen's (€1m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
US Hostert and UNA Strassen have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
US Hostert and UNA Strassen have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
US Hostert and UNA Strassen have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
UH wins
0
Draws
2
US wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

US Hostert vs UNA Strassen · H/A from UH
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/24AUNA Strassen Vs UH2-1
16/04/23AUNA Strassen Vs UH2-0
06/11/22HUH Vs UNA Strassen1-0

US HostertUS Hostert

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/02/25AMondercange Vs UH2-4
16/02/25HUH Vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg1-0
09/02/25ASwift Hesperange Vs UH3-0
11/12/24HUH Vs Rodange 914-3
07/12/24AUnion Titus Petange Vs UH0-2
24/11/24AProgres Niederkorn Vs UH3-2
09/11/24AJeunesse Junglinster Vs UH2-4
03/11/24HUH Vs FC Differdange 031-3
27/10/24AUS Mondorf-les-bains Vs UH3-1
20/10/24HUH Vs Victoria Rosport1-4

UNA StrassenUNA Strassen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25ARacing FC Union Luxembourg Vs US0-1
16/02/25HUS Vs Wiltz3-0
09/02/25ARodange 91 Vs US2-2
08/12/24HUS Vs Victoria Rosport4-1
01/12/24ABettembourg Vs US0-4
24/11/24HUS Vs AS Jeunesse Esch5-0
10/11/24AUnion Kayl-Tétange Vs US0-8
03/11/24AMondercange Vs US1-1
26/10/24HUS Vs Swift Hesperange0-2
20/10/24AUnion Titus Petange Vs US0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

US Hostert
US Hostert
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW0.94
HomeDLLWW0.78
AwayWLWLW1.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%22%30%
AVG goals3.423.223.59
Over 1.5 %76%65%85%
Over 2.5 %64%57%70%
Over 3.5 %50%48%52%
Scored1.240.911.52
Conceded2.182.302.07
BTTS54%43%63%
Clean Sheet18%22%15%
Corners---
Cards---
UNA Strassen
UNA Strassen
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.66
HomeDLWWW1.74
AwayDWWDW1.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%43%44%
AVG goals2.622.302.89
Over 1.5 %74%65%81%
Over 2.5 %42%35%48%
Over 3.5 %28%26%30%
Scored1.641.571.70
Conceded0.980.741.19
BTTS44%48%41%
Clean Sheet40%39%41%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 033078
83%
2.6
697+62
2.5
70%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.30.2
-
2UNA StrassenUNA Strassen3060
60%
2.0
6223+39
2.8
77%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.8
-
3F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange3057
57%
1.9
6734+33
3.4
90%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.1
-
4Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg3057
57%
1.9
5022+28
2.4
67%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.70.7
-
5Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn3055
53%
1.8
5430+24
2.8
73%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
6Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange3054
53%
1.8
5634+22
3.0
80%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.1
-
7US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3053
53%
1.8
5339+14
3.1
90%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.81.3
-
8AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch3042
37%
1.4
4148-7
3.0
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.6
-
9Union Titus PetangeUnion Titus Petange3041
37%
1.4
4132+9
2.4
60%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
10US HostertUS Hostert3038
37%
1.3
5069-19
4.0
93%
83%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.72.3
-
11Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport3034
27%
1.1
2945-16
2.5
80%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.5
-
12WiltzWiltz3130
26%
1.0
3862-24
3.2
84%
65%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
13Rodange 91Rodange 913029
23%
1.0
4062-22
3.4
87%
60%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.1
-
14BettembourgBettembourg3123
23%
0.7
2960-31
2.9
77%
65%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
15Fola EschFola Esch3013
13%
0.4
1878-60
3.2
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
16MondercangeMondercange3012
10%
0.4
2174-53
3.2
87%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.5
-
17Atert BissenAtert Bissen13
100%
3.0
10+1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.0
-
18Jeunesse CanachJeunesse Canach11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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