US Mondorf-les-bains are favourites to win at home against F91 Dudelange, with the model predicting a home win. The recent form of both teams is worth noting, with US Mondorf-les-bains coming off a win and F91 Dudelange coming off a defeat. The expected total number of goals is 2.9, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 12.3%.
US Mondorf-les-bains have a strong home record, scoring an average of 3 goals and conceding 0.75 per game against weaker opponents. In contrast, F91 Dudelange have struggled away from home, scoring 1.6 goals and conceding 1.8 per game against stronger opponents.
The model suggests picking over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 79.9%. The probabilities for the match result are 48% for a home win, 26% for a draw, and 26% for an away win. The home win percentage is 48%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 26%.
The win extends their run, as US Mondorf-les-bains secured a 1-0 victory over F91 Dudelange. The home win was the model's selection, with a pre-match probability of 49%. The model's call was correct. The model's selection, Home win, was the favourite.
The model's selection, Home win, was correct, but several other selections were missed. The model suggested Over 1.5, which had a probability of 79.6% and missed, and no other selections were made.
US Mondorf-les-bains| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.97 | 0.93 | 2.23 | 0.92 | 1.76 | 0.94 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (25) | 1.72 | 0.96 | 2.08 | 1.00 | 1.38 | 0.92 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 3.20 | 0.80 | 4.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+10pp vs league) | |||||
F91 Dudelange| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.67 | 1.20 | 1.73 | 1.13 | 1.60 | 1.27 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 1.73 | 1.32 | 1.60 | 1.10 | 1.83 | 1.50 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 1.50 | 0.88 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (+0pp vs league) | |||||
| F91 Dudelange goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.3% | 12% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
US Mondorf-les-bains
F91 Dudelange
US Mondorf-les-bains| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 11.0 | 10.0 | 11.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 25.3 | 28.0 | 24.0 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (42) | 11.5 | - | 11.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 24.0 | - | 24.0 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 10.0 | 10.0 | - | 0.9 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 28.0 | - |
| % over line | 100% | 100% | 100% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| % under line | 0% | 0% | 0% | 92% | 91% | 93% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
F91 Dudelange| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.0 | 9.0 | 7.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 24.7 | 25.0 | 24.5 |
| vs Stronger (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (34) | 9.0 | 9.0 | - | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | - |
| vs Weaker (15) | 7.5 | - | 7.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 24.5 | - | 24.5 |
| % over line | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 12% | 4% | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| % under line | 100% | 100% | 100% | 92% | 88% | 96% | 33% | 0% | 50% |
US Mondorf-les-bains| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 0.47 | 1.08 | 0.38 | 0.88 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (25) | 0.88 | 0.48 | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.77 | 0.54 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 1.40 | 0.40 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
F91 Dudelange| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.47 | 0.80 | 0.47 | 0.60 | 0.47 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.73 | 0.50 | 0.80 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 0.62 | 0.38 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
US Mondorf-les-bains| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.00 | 0.47 | 1.15 | 0.54 | 0.88 | 0.41 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (25) | 0.84 | 0.48 | 1.08 | 0.58 | 0.62 | 0.38 |
| vs Weaker (5) | 1.80 | 0.40 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.75 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+40pp vs league) | |||||
F91 Dudelange| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 0.73 | 0.93 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 1.00 | 0.82 | 0.80 | 0.60 | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 0.88 | 0.50 | 1.20 | 0.80 | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 95.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 93.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 3.5 cards | 87.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 86.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 85.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 79.6% | 1.25 | 1.28 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.23 | +6.7% | ✗ Miss |
| Under 10.5 corners | 77.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 4.5 cards | 76.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 75.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home or Draw | 74.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Home or Away | 73.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 26/10/25 | H | 3-1 | |
| 13/04/25 | A | 3-0 | |
| 20/10/24 | H | 2-2 | |
| 10/03/24 | A | 2-1 | |
| 17/09/23 | H | 4-0 | |
| 08/04/23 | A | 4-0 | |
| 23/10/22 | H | 0-7 |
US Mondorf-les-bains| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 02/08/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 1-2 |
F91 Dudelange| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 04/08/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 2-4 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 0-3 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 0-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | UNA Strassen | 5 | 15 | 100% | 3.0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.2 | - |
| 2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 5 | 15 | 100% | 3.0 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 3.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 3 | FC Differdange 03 | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 3.0 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 4 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 3.8 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.6 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Résidence Walferdange | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 3.4 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 6 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 4.4 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 7 | Progres Niederkorn | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 2.4 | 60% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | - |
| 8 | Atert Bissen | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.8 | 100% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | - |
| 9 | US Hostert | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 4.2 | 100% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 10 | F91 Dudelange | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2.6 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | - |
| 11 | US Rumelange | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4.0 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 2.4 | - |
| 12 | Wiltz | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4.2 | 100% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 13 | Victoria Rosport | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 4.4 | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 2.4 | - |
| 14 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 2.0 | - |
| 15 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3.0 | 60% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 2.6 | - |
| 16 | Swift Hesperange | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 2 | 21 | -19 | 4.6 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 4.2 | - |