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US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
US Mondorf-les-bains
US Mondorf-les-bains
Vs
42%
28%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Progres Niederkorn
Progres Niederkorn
Luxembourg: National Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

US Mondorf-les-bains are tipped to lift the trophy at home, the model’s pick for a home win. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, with the most likely total being two goals at a 26% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% chance. Mondorf-les-bains average 2.0 goals scored and 0.92 conceded against similarly matched opponents, while Progres Niederkorn, on the road, averages 1.0 scored and 1.11 conceded. The home win probability sits at 42%, a draw at 28%, and an away win at 30%. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.0%), Under 6.5 (98.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.9%), Over 2.5 cards (95.3%), and Under 5.5 (94.4%) with a 2% edge. Mondorf-les-bains are on a four-game winning streak, having edged AS Jeunesse Esch 3-1, whereas Progres Niederkorn return from a defeat, losing 0-1 to UNA Strassen.

Results analysis

US Mondorf-les-bains extended a five-game winning streak with a 2-1 victory over Progres Niederkorn, matching the model’s predicted home win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 42% probability and proved correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit with a 99.4% chance, Under 6.5 goals hit at 98.0%, Away under 3.5 goals hit with 96.6%, and Under 5.5 goals hit at 94.4%. The final score of 2-1 confirmed the home advantage and the low-scoring nature anticipated by the model. All predictions settled as expected, underscoring the model’s reliability in this fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

US Mondorf-les-bains win✓ Hit
42.3%
Avg Implied 45.8% · @ 1.98
Edge
-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
2.05
Dafabet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied 27.2% · @ 3.33
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
Betano
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Progres Niederkorn win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.35
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.45
Unibet
3.45
1xBet
3.41
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.38

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D40W10W01L10W00D32W32W10W31WA·F9119/04H·US 26/04H·SWI03/05A·VIC10/05H·UNI17/05A·UNA23/05H·FC 02/08A·VIC09/08H·F9116/08A·AS 23/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.932.140.861.561.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.730.962.000.921.461.00
vs Weaker (4)2.500.754.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L23L22D12L24L21W10W40W01LH·ROD26/04A·JEU03/05H·FC 08/05H·VIC13/05A·AS 17/05H·F9123/05H·AS 01/08A·RÉS09/08A·ATE16/08H·UNA22/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.331.401.601.331.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.251.401.401.701.101.10
vs Weaker (10)1.601.201.401.401.801.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (US Mondorf-les-bains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.2%
@ 1.23+2.5%
Under 1.5
23.8%
@ 3.44-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Under
10Bet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Superbet
3.35
Unibet
3.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.4%
@ 1.82-0.5%
Under 2.5
49.6%
@ 1.89+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Betano
1.80
Under
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.92
10Bet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.87
Superbet
1.87
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.4%
@ 2.97-2.2%
Under 3.5
71.6%
@ 1.31+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.00
10Bet
3.00
1xBet
2.97
Marathonbet
2.97
Superbet
2.92
Under
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Unibet
1.28
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.4%
@ 1.67+0.9%
No
44.6%
@ 2.00-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.70
Superbet
1.70
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
No
1xBet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
William Hil
2.00
10Bet
2.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 6.17+7.3%
2-1 ✓
9.0%@ 7.88+4.2%
1-0
8.8%@ 7.05+3.5%
0-0
8.0%@ 9.78+4.1%
2-0
7.5%@ 8.93+3.2%
1-2
7.3%@ 10.47+3.7%
0-1
7.0%@ 9.68+3.1%
2-2
5.4%@ 12.00+2.3%
US Mondorf-les-bains goals ↓
Progres Niederkorn goals →
01234
08.0%7.0%5.0%2.0%0.6%
18.8%13%7.3%3.0%0.9%
27.5%9.0%5.4%2.2%0.7%
33.7%4.4%2.7%1.1%0.3%
41.4%1.6%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = US Mondorf-les-bains goals (down), columns = Progres Niederkorn goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
UNA Strassen
3.00
US Mondorf-les-bains
3.00
FC Differdange 03
2.40
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.00
Résidence Walferdange
1.80
Atert Bissen
1.80
Progres Niederkorn
1.80
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
US Rumelange
1.20
F91 Dudelange
1.20
US Hostert
1.20
Victoria Rosport
0.80
Wiltz
0.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
0.60
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.20
Swift Hesperange
0.00
US Mondorf-les-bains is 1.20 points better than Progres Niederkorn in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 1.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
2.60
US Mondorf-les-bains
2.40
Résidence Walferdange
2.20
US Hostert
2.20
FC Differdange 03
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.00
Wiltz
2.00
UNA Strassen
2.00
US Rumelange
1.60
Progres Niederkorn
1.60
AS Jeunesse Esch
1.40
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.00
Swift Hesperange
0.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
0.40
US Mondorf-les-bains is 0.80 goals better than Progres Niederkorn in terms of goals scored per game (2.40 vs 1.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UNA Strassen
0.20
Progres Niederkorn
0.80
FC Differdange 03
0.80
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
1.20
Résidence Walferdange
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains
1.20
Atert Bissen
1.40
F91 Dudelange
1.60
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.80
AS Jeunesse Esch
2.00
US Hostert
2.00
Wiltz
2.20
Victoria Rosport
2.40
US Rumelange
2.40
Etzella Ettelbruck
2.60
Swift Hesperange
4.20
US Mondorf-les-bains is 0.40 goals worse than Progres Niederkorn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 0.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.010.011.50.60.60.625.328.024.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (42)11.5-11.50.60.30.824.0-24.0
vs Weaker (8)10.010.0-0.93.50.028.028.0-
% over line100%100%100%8%9%7%100%100%100%
% under line0%0%0%92%91%93%0%0%0%
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.59.06.00.50.30.722.222.522.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (32)7.711.06.00.70.41.022.022.022.0
vs Weaker (18)7.07.0-0.10.20.023.023.0-
% over line25%50%0%8%4%12%75%100%50%
% under line75%50%100%92%96%88%25%0%50%
This opponent (US Mondorf-les-bains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
US Mondorf-les-bains
11.0
Victoria Rosport
9.8
UN Kaerjeng 97
9.2
Progres Niederkorn
9.1
F91 Dudelange
8.9
AS Jeunesse Esch
8.8
FC Differdange 03
8.7
Atert Bissen
8.6
US Hostert
8.4
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
8.0
Swift Hesperange
7.9
UNA Strassen
7.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Differdange 03
7.7
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
7.0
Atert Bissen
6.6
UN Kaerjeng 97
6.6
US Mondorf-les-bains
6.2
Victoria Rosport
6.2
AS Jeunesse Esch
6.2
US Hostert
6.2
Swift Hesperange
6.2
Progres Niederkorn
6.1
F91 Dudelange
6.0
UNA Strassen
5.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC Differdange 03
35.0
Swift Hesperange
30.4
AS Jeunesse Esch
29.0
US Hostert
29.0
UNA Strassen
28.2
UN Kaerjeng 97
27.0
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
26.5
Atert Bissen
26.0
US Mondorf-les-bains
25.3
Victoria Rosport
25.0
Progres Niederkorn
23.6
F91 Dudelange
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
31.3%
Under 9.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
88.0%
Under 3.5
12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.0%
Under 21.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
US Mondorf-les-bains or Draw✓ Hit
70.3%
Avg Implied 72.9% · @ 1.25
Edge
-2.6%
42%
28%
30%
covers US Mondorf-les-bains + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
US Mondorf-les-bains or Progres Niederkorn✓ Hit
72.0%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.24
Edge
-1.3%
42%
28%
30%
covers US Mondorf-les-bains + Progres Niederkorn
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Draw or Progres Niederkorn✗ Miss
57.7%
Avg Implied 53.8% · @ 1.70
Edge
+3.9%
42%
28%
30%
covers Draw + Progres Niederkorn
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Betfair
1.73
William Hil
1.67
Unibet
1.67

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
US Mondorf-les-bains over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.3%
@ 1.19-0.0%
Under
22.7%
@ 4.05+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Under
1xBet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
US Mondorf-les-bains over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
43.6%
@ 1.95-3.4%
Under
56.4%
@ 1.73+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Pinnacle
1.98
10Bet
1.93
Unibet
1.89
Under
Pinnacle
1.79
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Unibet
1.71
1xBet
1.70
US Mondorf-les-bains over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.7%
@ 3.95-4.6%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.20+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.95
Under
1xBet
1.20
US Mondorf-les-bains over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.1%
@ 1.38+4.4%
Under
29.9%
@ 2.65-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Under
10Bet
2.75
1xBet
2.65
Unibet
2.55
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.0%
@ 2.78+1.2%
Under
66.0%
@ 1.36-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.80
1xBet
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Under
1xBet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 6.40-2.1%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.07+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Under
1xBet
1.07
Progres Niederkorn over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to US Mondorf-les-bains, so a minus line means US Mondorf-les-bains give that many goals of a start and Progres Niederkorn receive them. At -1, US Mondorf-les-bains must win by two or more to land; a one-goal US Mondorf-les-bains win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (US Mondorf-les-bains)Actual: Progres Niederkorn
US Mondorf-les-bains -2
8.3%
Draw -2
13.0%
Progres Niederkorn +2
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (US Mondorf-les-bains)Actual: Draw
US Mondorf-les-bains -1
21.3%
@ 3.54-3.2%
Draw -1
21.0%
@ 3.56-3.3%
Progres Niederkorn +1
57.7%
@ 1.69+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
3.05
Draw
Marathonbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Unibet
3.05
Away
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Handicap +1 (US Mondorf-les-bains)Actual: US Mondorf-les-bains
US Mondorf-les-bains +1
70.3%
@ 1.24-1.0%
Draw +1
16.9%
@ 5.15-0.3%
Progres Niederkorn -1
12.8%
@ 7.70+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.24
Draw
Marathonbet
5.15
Away
Marathonbet
7.70
Handicap +2 (US Mondorf-les-bains)Actual: US Mondorf-les-bains
US Mondorf-les-bains +2
87.2%
Draw +2
8.7%
Progres Niederkorn -2
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W00D01L10W00D21W21W10W20WA·F9119/04H·US 26/04H·SWI03/05A·VIC10/05H·UNI17/05A·UNA23/05H·FC 02/08A·VIC09/08H·F9116/08A·AS 23/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.431.070.360.750.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.880.461.000.380.770.54
vs Weaker (4)1.000.252.000.000.670.33
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L20W10W11D10W01L10W10W00DH·ROD26/04A·JEU03/05H·FC 08/05H·VIC13/05A·AS 17/05H·F9123/05H·AS 01/08A·RÉS09/08A·ATE16/08H·UNA22/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.530.530.600.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.500.350.600.500.400.20
vs Weaker (10)0.700.600.400.601.000.60
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (US Mondorf-les-bains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
72.9%
@ 1.34+4.8%
Under 0.5
27.1%
@ 2.87-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.00
Pinnacle
2.94
10Bet
2.88
1xBet
2.79
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.1%
@ 2.62+1.3%
Under 1.5
63.9%
@ 1.39-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Marathonbet
2.67
Pinnacle
2.67
1xBet
2.67
10Bet
2.62
Under
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
William Hil
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.3%
@ 6.40-2.1%
Under 2.5
87.7%
@ 1.08+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
1xBet
6.20
William Hil
6.00
Under
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
US Mondorf-les-bains over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
54.8%
@ 1.81+3.7%
Under
45.2%
@ 1.90-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.84
1xBet
1.79
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.90
US Mondorf-les-bains over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.2%
@ 5.00+0.7%
Under
80.8%
@ 1.13-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Under
1xBet
1.13
US Mondorf-les-bains over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.2%
@ 2.33-3.7%
Under
63.8%
@ 1.55+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
1xBet
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 8.10-3.8%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.03+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
Under
1xBet
1.03
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W10W00D00D00D11D11D00D11DA·F9119/04H·US 26/04H·SWI03/05A·VIC10/05H·UNI17/05A·UNA23/05H·FC 02/08A·VIC09/08H·F9116/08A·AS 23/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.501.070.500.810.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.850.501.000.540.690.46
vs Weaker (4)1.500.502.000.001.330.67
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Progres Niederkorn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D03L12L01L14L20W00D30W01LH·ROD26/04A·JEU03/05H·FC 08/05H·VIC13/05A·AS 17/05H·F9123/05H·AS 01/08A·RÉS09/08A·ATE16/08H·UNA22/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.900.871.070.730.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.751.050.801.200.700.90
vs Weaker (10)0.900.601.000.800.800.40
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (US Mondorf-les-bains) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.3%
@ 1.21+2.0%
Under 0.5
21.7%
@ 3.90-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.21
Under
1xBet
3.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
45.8%
@ 2.00-0.3%
Under 1.5
54.2%
@ 1.71+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
10Bet
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
21.2%
@ 4.20-0.8%
Under 2.5
78.8%
@ 1.18+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.20
Under
1xBet
1.18

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
US Mondorf-les-bains over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
61.8%
@ 1.57+2.8%
Under
38.2%
@ 2.26-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.57
Under
1xBet
2.26
US Mondorf-les-bains over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
25.7%
@ 3.70+1.0%
Under
74.3%
@ 1.22-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.70
Under
1xBet
1.22
US Mondorf-les-bains over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Progres Niederkorn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.1%
@ 1.96-2.1%
Under
54.9%
@ 1.75+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.96
Under
1xBet
1.75
Progres Niederkorn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.5%
@ 6.00-1.7%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.08+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Under
1xBet
1.08
Progres Niederkorn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals95.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards95.3%--------
Under 5.594.4%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+2.3%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls93.4%--------
Home under 2.5 2H goals92.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.6%1.03
1xBet
1.03
----+3.8%✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards88.0%--------
Away under 2.5 goals87.8%1.07
1xBet
1.07
----+2.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals87.7%1.08
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
--+2.1%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap87.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners87.1%--------
Away under 1.5 2H goals86.5%1.08
1xBet
1.08
----+1.7%✓ Hit
Under 4.586.4%1.07
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
---+1.8%✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls86.0%--------
Home under 2.5 goals81.3%1.20
1xBet
1.20
----+4.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals80.8%1.13
1xBet
1.13
-----0.7%✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners79.2%--------
Under 2.5 2H goals78.8%1.18
1xBet
1.18
----+0.8%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap78.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals78.3%1.21
1xBet
1.21
----+2.0%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals77.3%1.19
1xBet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
----0.0%✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards76.3%--------
Over 1.576.2%1.23
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
+2.5%✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls75.0%--------
Home under 1.5 2H goals74.3%1.22
1xBet
1.22
-----1.0%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals72.9%1.34
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
+4.8%✗ Miss
Home or Away72.0%1.24
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
-1.3%✓ Hit
Under 3.571.6%1.31
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Unibet
1.28
+2.2%✓ Hit
Home or Draw70.3%1.25
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-2.6%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap70.3%1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
-----1.0%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals70.1%1.38
1xBet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
--+4.4%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (19)
€3m
AB (19)
€3m
UK9 (18)
€2m
UM (22)
€2m
FD0 (16)
€2m
PN (19)
€2m
VR (15)
€2m
RFU (15)
€1m
AJE (17)
€1m
FD (16)
€1m
UH (16)
€1m
SH (12)
€1m
RW (3)
€0m
EE (6)
€0m
WIL (2)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
US Mondorf-les-bains and Progres Niederkorn have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UK9 (5)
€1m
FD0 (6)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
PN (8)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
AB (4)
€1m
UM (5)
€0m
UH (6)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
FD (6)
€0m
RW (1)
€0m
SH (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (3)
€0m
UR (1)
€0m
US Mondorf-les-bains and Progres Niederkorn have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
US (5)
€1m
UM (6)
€1m
AB (5)
€1m
UK9 (5)
€0m
FD (4)
€0m
RFU (3)
€0m
VR (4)
€0m
UH (3)
€0m
FD0 (3)
€0m
AJE (4)
€0m
SH (3)
€0m
EE (2)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
RW (0)
€0m
PN (0)
€0m
WIL (0)
€0m
US Mondorf-les-bains and Progres Niederkorn have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AB (10)
€1m
US (9)
€1m
PN (11)
€1m
UM (11)
€1m
FD0 (7)
€1m
AJE (9)
€1m
UK9 (8)
€1m
VR (6)
€1m
RFU (6)
€1m
FD (6)
€0m
UH (7)
€0m
SH (7)
€0m
RW (2)
€0m
WIL (1)
€0m
EE (1)
€0m
UR (0)
€0m
US Mondorf-les-bains and Progres Niederkorn have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
UM wins
1
Draws
5
PN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn · H/A from UM
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/26HUM Vs Progres Niederkorn1-0
09/08/25AProgres Niederkorn Vs UM1-0
27/04/25HUM Vs Progres Niederkorn2-1
03/11/24AProgres Niederkorn Vs UM1-1
05/05/24HUM Vs Progres Niederkorn2-4
26/11/23AProgres Niederkorn Vs UM3-0
14/05/23HUM Vs Progres Niederkorn0-1
11/12/22AProgres Niederkorn Vs UM4-2

US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/26AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs UM1-3
16/08/26HUM Vs F91 Dudelange1-0
09/08/26AVictoria Rosport Vs UM2-3
02/08/26HUM Vs FC Differdange 033-2
23/05/26AUNA Strassen Vs UM0-0
17/05/26HUM Vs Union Titus Petange1-0
10/05/26AVictoria Rosport Vs UM1-0
03/05/26HUM Vs Swift Hesperange1-0
26/04/26HUM Vs US Hostert4-0
19/04/26AF91 Dudelange Vs UM1-1

Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26HPN Vs UNA Strassen0-1
16/08/26AAtert Bissen Vs PN0-4
09/08/26ARésidence Walferdange Vs PN0-1
01/08/26HPN Vs AS Jeunesse Esch2-1
23/05/26HPN Vs F91 Dudelange2-4
17/05/26AAS Jeunesse Esch Vs PN2-1
13/05/26HPN Vs Victoria Rosport2-2
08/05/26HPN Vs FC Differdange 032-3
03/05/26AJeunesse Canach Vs PN1-0
26/04/26HPN Vs Rodange 911-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

US Mondorf-les-bains
US Mondorf-les-bains
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.06
HomeWWWWW2.30
AwayDLDWW1.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%74%59%
AVG goals2.802.872.74
Over 1.5 %78%74%81%
Over 2.5 %58%57%59%
Over 3.5 %34%48%22%
Scored1.862.091.67
Conceded0.940.781.07
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet34%43%26%
Corners11.0010.0011.50
Cards6.204.678.50
Progres Niederkorn
Progres Niederkorn
Luxembourg: National Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.54
HomeLDLWL1.46
AwayWLLWW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%42%50%
AVG goals2.982.883.08
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.681.541.81
Conceded1.301.331.27
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet20%17%23%
Corners7.509.006.00
Cards5.004.005.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UNA StrassenUNA Strassen515
100%
3.0
101+9
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.2
-
2US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains515
100%
3.0
126+6
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.41.2
-
3FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 03512
80%
2.4
114+7
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
4Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg510
60%
2.0
136+7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.61.2
-
5Résidence WalferdangeRésidence Walferdange59
60%
1.8
116+5
3.4
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
6UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 9759
60%
1.8
139+4
4.4
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.61.8
-
7Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn59
60%
1.8
84+4
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.60.8
-
8Atert BissenAtert Bissen59
60%
1.8
77+0
2.8
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.4
-
9US HostertUS Hostert56
40%
1.2
1110+1
4.2
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.22.0
-
10F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange56
40%
1.2
58-3
2.6
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.6
-
11US RumelangeUS Rumelange56
40%
1.2
812-4
4.0
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.4
-
12WiltzWiltz54
20%
0.8
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
13Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport54
20%
0.8
1012-2
4.4
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.02.4
-
14AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch53
20%
0.6
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
15Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck51
0%
0.2
213-11
3.0
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.6
-
16Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange50
0%
0.0
221-19
4.6
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.44.2
-
Luxembourg: National Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Luxembourg: National Division stats & trends →

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