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Ústí nad Labem vs Baník Ostrava II Result & Analysis

Date: 24/10/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 4-1
Ústí nad Labem
Ústí nad Labem
Vs
49%
26%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Baník Ostrava II
Baník Ostrava II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ústí nad Labem win✓ Hit
48.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II win✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L12L54W32W11D12L02L11D01L33DH·ART18/08A·TÁB23/08A·KRÁ27/08H·ČES31/08A·CHR13/09H·PRO19/09H·ZLI24/09A·VIK28/09H·ZBR03/10A·OPA17/10
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.211.792.001.902.441.67
vs Stronger (2)4.004.003.004.005.004.00
vs Similar (15)1.801.331.621.382.001.29
vs Weaker (2)3.503.004.004.003.002.00
Clean sheet %16% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W22D02L20W30W01L02L22D12L14LA·TÁB08/08H·CHR17/08A·PŘÍ22/08H·PRO31/08H·HAN03/09A·OPA15/09H·VIK21/09A·VYS26/09H·SLA05/10A·ZBR18/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.231.801.200.931.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.291.171.731.090.921.23
vs Weaker (6)1.671.502.001.501.001.50
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.1%
Under 2.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.7%
Under 3.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.6%
No
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
Ústí nad Labem goals ↓
Baník Ostrava II goals →
01234
06.4%5.3%3.8%1.5%0.5%
18.1%12%6.7%2.7%0.8%
28.0%9.6%5.8%2.3%0.7%
34.6%5.5%3.3%1.3%0.4%
42.0%2.4%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ústí nad Labem goals (down), columns = Baník Ostrava II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zbrojovka Brno
2.53
Táborsko
1.77
Artis
1.73
Ústí nad Labem
1.60
Baník Ostrava II
1.57
Příbram
1.53
Opava
1.47
Viktoria Žižkov
1.37
Slavia Praha II
1.27
Vlašim
1.27
Chrudim
1.17
České Budějovice
1.13
Hanácká
1.13
Prostějov
1.00
Vysočina Jihlava
0.97
Sparta Praha II
0.83
Ústí nad Labem is 0.03 points better than Baník Ostrava II in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zbrojovka Brno
2.07
Ústí nad Labem
1.77
Artis
1.67
Táborsko
1.63
Baník Ostrava II
1.50
Opava
1.40
Slavia Praha II
1.40
Vlašim
1.37
Chrudim
1.27
Viktoria Žižkov
1.27
Vysočina Jihlava
1.07
Hanácká
1.07
Prostějov
1.07
České Budějovice
1.03
Příbram
0.97
Sparta Praha II
0.90
Ústí nad Labem is 0.27 goals better than Baník Ostrava II in terms of goals scored per game (1.77 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zbrojovka Brno
0.73
Příbram
1.00
Opava
1.03
Táborsko
1.10
Vlašim
1.13
Artis
1.23
Baník Ostrava II
1.27
Vysočina Jihlava
1.30
České Budějovice
1.43
Hanácká
1.43
Prostějov
1.47
Ústí nad Labem
1.53
Slavia Praha II
1.57
Chrudim
1.67
Viktoria Žižkov
1.73
Sparta Praha II
1.80
Ústí nad Labem is 0.27 goals worse than Baník Ostrava II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.27).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L21W00D10W01L01L10W01L22DH·ART18/08A·TÁB23/08A·KRÁ27/08H·ČES31/08A·CHR13/09H·PRO19/09H·ZLI24/09A·VIK28/09H·ZBR03/10A·OPA17/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.320.841.100.801.560.89
vs Stronger (2)1.502.001.003.002.001.00
vs Similar (15)1.070.670.750.621.430.71
vs Weaker (2)3.001.004.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %42% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W22D01L10W00D01L00D21W01L01LA·TÁB08/08H·CHR17/08A·PŘÍ22/08H·PRO31/08H·HAN03/09A·OPA15/09H·VIK21/09A·VYS26/09H·SLA05/10A·ZBR18/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.670.600.530.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.620.500.730.550.540.46
vs Weaker (6)0.500.500.500.750.500.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D33D32W01L11D01L01L00D11DH·ART18/08A·TÁB23/08A·KRÁ27/08H·ČES31/08A·CHR13/09H·PRO19/09H·ZLI24/09A·VIK28/09H·ZBR03/10A·OPA17/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.890.950.901.100.890.78
vs Stronger (2)2.502.002.001.003.003.00
vs Similar (15)0.730.670.880.750.570.57
vs Weaker (2)0.502.000.004.001.000.00
Clean sheet %42% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D01L10W30W00D02L01L11D13LA·TÁB08/08H·CHR17/08A·PŘÍ22/08H·PRO31/08H·HAN03/09A·OPA15/09H·VIK21/09A·VYS26/09H·SLA05/10A·ZBR18/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.731.130.600.400.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.670.671.000.550.380.77
vs Weaker (6)1.171.001.500.750.501.50
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
Ústí nad Labem and Baník Ostrava II have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (10)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
Ústí nad Labem and Baník Ostrava II have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (8)
€2m
SPI (5)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
Ústí nad Labem and Baník Ostrava II have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
Ústí nad Labem and Baník Ostrava II have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ÚNL wins
0
Draws
0
BOI wins

Head-to-head

Ústí nad Labem vs Baník Ostrava II · H/A from ÚNL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/25AOpava Vs ÚNL3-3
03/10/25HÚNL Vs Zbrojovka Brno0-1
28/09/25AViktoria Žižkov Vs ÚNL1-1
24/09/25HÚNL Vs Zlin0-2
19/09/25HÚNL Vs Prostějov1-2
13/09/25AChrudim Vs ÚNL1-1
31/08/25HÚNL Vs České Budějovice3-2
27/08/25AKrálův Dvůr Vs ÚNL4-5
23/08/25ATáborsko Vs ÚNL2-1
18/08/25HÚNL Vs Artis0-2

Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25AZbrojovka Brno Vs BOI4-1
05/10/25HBOI Vs Slavia Praha II1-2
26/09/25AVysočina Jihlava Vs BOI2-2
21/09/25HBOI Vs Viktoria Žižkov0-2
15/09/25AOpava Vs BOI1-0
03/09/25HBOI Vs Hanácká3-0
31/08/25HBOI Vs Prostějov2-0
22/08/25APříbram Vs BOI2-0
17/08/25HBOI Vs Chrudim2-2
08/08/25ATáborsko Vs BOI2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ústí nad Labem
Ústí nad Labem
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLD1.47
HomeLWLLL1.30
AwayLWDDD1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%40%44%
AVG goals4.003.904.11
Over 1.5 %95%90%100%
Over 2.5 %68%70%67%
Over 3.5 %42%40%44%
Scored2.212.002.44
Conceded1.791.901.67
BTTS68%60%78%
Clean Sheet16%10%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Baník Ostrava II
Baník Ostrava II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.21
HomeDWWLL1.29
AwayWLLDL1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%38%27%
AVG goals2.842.862.82
Over 1.5 %72%81%64%
Over 2.5 %58%62%55%
Over 3.5 %37%29%45%
Scored1.331.521.14
Conceded1.511.331.68
BTTS49%43%55%
Clean Sheet30%38%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno3076
80%
2.5
6222+40
2.8
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3252.10.7
-
2TáborskoTáborsko3053
53%
1.8
4933+16
2.7
80%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.1
-
3ArtisArtis3052
50%
1.7
5037+13
2.9
87%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.71.2
-
4Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem3048
50%
1.6
5346+7
3.3
90%
73%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.5
-
5Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II3047
47%
1.6
4538+7
2.8
77%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.51.3
-
6PříbramPříbram3046
43%
1.5
2930-1
2.0
63%
30%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
7OpavaOpava3044
37%
1.5
4231+11
2.4
63%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.0
-
8Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov3041
40%
1.4
3852-14
3.0
80%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.7
-
9VlašimVlašim3038
33%
1.3
4134+7
2.5
67%
40%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.1
-
10Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II3038
37%
1.3
4247-5
3.0
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3261.41.6
-
11ChrudimChrudim3035
30%
1.2
3850-12
2.9
83%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
12HanáckáHanácká3034
33%
1.1
3243-11
2.5
63%
53%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.4
-
13České BudějoviceČeské Budějovice3034
33%
1.1
3143-12
2.5
70%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
14ProstějovProstějov3030
20%
1.0
3244-12
2.5
77%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.5
-
15Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3029
23%
1.0
3239-7
2.4
80%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
16Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3025
23%
0.8
2754-27
2.7
73%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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