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Ústí nad Labem vs Dukla Praha Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 3-1
Ústí nad Labem
Ústí nad Labem
Vs
31%
29%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dukla Praha
Dukla Praha
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

This match between *st*í nad Labem and Dukla Praha is finely balanced, with the home side coming off a draw against Arsenal Česká Lípa and the away side looking to build on their recent win over Hanácká. The model's selection is the away win, which has a 41% chance of occurring, while the home side has a 30% chance and the draw a 29% chance.

The expected total number of goals is 2.6, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The single most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.7% chance. *st*í nad Labem have scored an average of 1.75 goals at home, but have conceded 0.88 goals, while Dukla Praha have scored 0.83 goals away from home, but have conceded 1.42 goals.

The model's selection for the match outcome is the away win, with a 41% chance. The model also suggests the selection "Over 1.5" with a 74.7% chance and "Under 3.5" with a 73.4% chance. The home side has a 30% chance of winning, a 29% chance of drawing, and a 41% chance of losing, while the away side has a 41% chance of winning, a 29% chance of drawing, and a 30% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The win for \u00dast\u00ed nad Labem extends their unbeaten run, a surprise that left the pre-match favourite, Dukla Praha, unable to deliver. The final score was 3-1, a home victory that contradicted the model’s pick of an away win, which had a 40 % probability. The model’s call was therefore wrong. Every suggested selection was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.5 %, Under 6.5 hit at 98.3 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.0 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.6 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.0 %, Under 5.5 hit at 95.1 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.7 %, and Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 88.2 %. All probabilities were expressed as percentages.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ústí nad Labem win✓ Hit
31.1%
Avg Implied 35.5% · @ 2.56
Edge
-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.90
888Sport
2.75
Betano
2.60
Dafabet
2.60
BetVictor
2.60
Draw✗ Miss
28.7%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.38
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.60
BetVictor
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Betano
3.45
Dafabet
3.45
Dukla Praha win✗ Miss
40.1%
Avg Implied 37.6% · @ 2.42
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.55
BetVictor
2.50
Dafabet
2.50
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
2.47

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L21W21W21W13L21W20W33D30W00DA·ZBR02/05H·OPA06/05A·BAN10/05H·SLA16/05A·VYS23/05H·KLA24/07A·HAN01/08H·ARS07/08A·KAR12/08A·TŘI17/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.531.791.211.811.81
vs Stronger (1)5.004.00--5.004.00
vs Similar (24)1.751.541.821.091.691.92
vs Weaker (5)1.401.001.671.671.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukla Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dukla PrahaDukla Praha

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L21W02L03L20W22D20W30W13LA·ZLI02/05H·SLO09/05A·MLA12/05A·TEP16/05H·BAN23/05H·ARS24/07A·TÁB31/07H·HAN07/08A·VYK11/08H·SLA14/08← Czech LigaFNL →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.370.801.330.931.40
vs Stronger (3)0.002.330.002.500.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.881.360.731.361.001.36
vs Weaker (2)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.5%
@ 1.22-1.2%
Under 1.5
25.5%
@ 3.80+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.24
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
888Sport
3.80
Marathonbet
3.78
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.2%
@ 1.73-5.4%
Under 2.5
51.8%
@ 2.00+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.79
10Bet
1.75
888Sport
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Under
Bet365
2.08
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.4%
@ 2.80-6.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
@ 1.37+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.90
10Bet
2.90
BetVictor
2.88
Betfair
2.88
888Sport
2.88
Under
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.9%
@ 1.59-4.0%
No
46.1%
@ 2.19+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
888Sport
1.60
10Bet
1.60
William Hil
1.60
No
Betano
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.20

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%@ 6.11+6.5%
0-1
9.1%@ 8.87+4.1%
1-2
8.7%@ 8.53+3.5%
0-0
8.7%@ 11.25+4.7%
1-0
7.7%@ 9.15+2.9%
2-1
7.5%@ 8.74+2.5%
0-2
7.2%@ 11.83+3.5%
2-0
5.4%@ 13.10+2.0%
Ústí nad Labem goals ↓
Dukla Praha goals →
01234
08.7%9.1%7.2%3.4%1.2%
17.7%14%8.7%4.1%1.4%
25.4%7.5%5.2%2.4%0.9%
32.2%3.0%2.1%1.0%0.3%
40.7%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ústí nad Labem goals (down), columns = Dukla Praha goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Ústí nad Labem is 0.67 points better than Dukla Praha in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Ústí nad Labem and Dukla Praha are level in goals scored per game (both 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Ústí nad Labem is 0.67 goals better than Dukla Praha in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ústí nad Labem or Draw✓ Hit
59.9%
Avg Implied 62.5% · @ 1.47
Edge
-2.6%
31%
29%
40%
covers Ústí nad Labem + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.53
888Sport
1.53
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Ústí nad Labem or Dukla Praha✓ Hit
71.3%
Avg Implied 73.0% · @ 1.26
Edge
-1.7%
31%
29%
40%
covers Ústí nad Labem + Dukla Praha
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.28
Draw or Dukla Praha✗ Miss
68.9%
Avg Implied 64.5% · @ 1.42
Edge
+4.4%
31%
29%
40%
covers Draw + Dukla Praha
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
William Hil
1.44

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.0%
@ 1.25-3.5%
Under
30.0%
@ 3.48+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Under
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Betano
3.55
Superbet
3.40
Ústí nad Labem over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
33.9%
@ 2.25-7.2%
Under
66.1%
@ 1.57+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.45
888Sport
2.38
Pinnacle
2.24
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Under
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Ústí nad Labem over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
12.1%
@ 4.87-6.8%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.14+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
5.50
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.85
Marathonbet
4.85
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Ústí nad Labem over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 12.33-4.3%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.04+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
15.00
Bet365
13.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Dukla Praha over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.3%
@ 1.22+0.1%
Under
24.7%
@ 3.69-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Under
888Sport
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.65
Marathonbet
3.58
Dukla Praha over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.7%
@ 2.16-2.1%
Under
59.3%
@ 1.61+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
Unibet
2.23
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.19
Under
888Sport
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
Dukla Praha over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.6%
@ 4.67-3.2%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.15+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.85
Marathonbet
4.85
888Sport
4.60
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Dukla Praha over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 11.25-3.2%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.04+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
888Sport
12.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ústí nad Labem, so a minus line means Ústí nad Labem give that many goals of a start and Dukla Praha receive them. At -1, Ústí nad Labem must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ústí nad Labem win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ústí nad Labem)Actual: Draw
Ústí nad Labem -2
4.4%
@ 8.78-5.4%
Draw -2
9.1%
@ 6.10-4.9%
Dukla Praha +2
86.5%
@ 1.12+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Ústí nad Labem)Actual: Ústí nad Labem
Ústí nad Labem -1
13.5%
@ 4.88-4.4%
Draw -1
17.6%
@ 4.19-3.2%
Dukla Praha +1
68.9%
@ 1.43+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
6.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.00
Draw
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
Unibet
3.45
Away
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Handicap +1 (Ústí nad Labem)Actual: Ústí nad Labem
Ústí nad Labem +1
59.9%
@ 1.44-0.7%
Draw +1
20.6%
@ 4.10-0.6%
Dukla Praha -1
19.5%
@ 4.79+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.37
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Unibet
3.55
Away
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Unibet
4.25
Handicap +2 (Ústí nad Labem)Actual: Ústí nad Labem
Ústí nad Labem +2
80.5%
@ 1.14+4.6%
Draw +2
12.3%
@ 6.12-1.9%
Dukla Praha -2
7.2%
@ 8.72-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.45

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W01L20W03L11D10W30W30W00DA·ZBR02/05H·OPA06/05A·BAN10/05H·SLA16/05A·VYS23/05H·KLA24/07A·HAN01/08H·ARS07/08A·KAR12/08A·TŘI17/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.570.930.360.940.75
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.880.620.820.360.920.85
vs Weaker (5)1.000.201.330.330.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukla Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dukla PrahaDukla Praha

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D10W00D01L00D10W10W10W10WA·ZLI02/05H·SLO09/05A·MLA12/05A·TEP16/05H·BAN23/05H·ARS24/07A·TÁB31/07H·HAN07/08A·VYK11/08H·SLA14/08← Czech LigaFNL →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.570.470.530.400.60
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.001.500.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.480.520.550.450.430.57
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.500.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.3%
@ 1.31+3.1%
Under 0.5
26.7%
@ 3.09-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
William Hil
3.25
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.13
10Bet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.09
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.2%
@ 2.50+2.6%
Under 1.5
60.8%
@ 1.45-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Betano
2.57
BetVictor
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
Unibet
2.50
Under
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.9%
@ 5.92+0.4%
Under 2.5
84.1%
@ 1.09-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
William Hil
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.95
Under
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
53.5%
@ 1.96+6.6%
Under
46.5%
@ 1.73-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.77
Superbet
1.74
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Ústí nad Labem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.2%
@ 5.93+1.8%
Under
82.8%
@ 1.08-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.15
Marathonbet
6.15
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Ústí nad Labem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 10.50-4.8%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Dukla Praha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.9%
@ 1.96+2.8%
Under
50.1%
@ 1.74-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
Superbet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Dukla Praha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 5.90-3.8%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.09+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.15
Marathonbet
6.15
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Dukla Praha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 10.50-6.8%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.02+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D20W01L10W10W10W03L00D00DA·ZBR02/05H·OPA06/05A·BAN10/05H·SLA16/05A·VYS23/05H·KLA24/07A·HAN01/08H·ARS07/08A·KAR12/08A·TŘI17/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.970.860.860.881.06
vs Stronger (1)3.003.00--3.003.00
vs Similar (24)0.880.921.000.730.771.08
vs Weaker (5)0.400.800.331.330.500.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukla Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dukla PrahaDukla Praha

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L11D02L02L20W12L10W20W03LA·ZLI02/05H·SLO09/05A·MLA12/05A·TEP16/05H·BAN23/05H·ARS24/07A·TÁB31/07H·HAN07/08A·VYK11/08H·SLA14/08← Czech LigaFNL →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.800.330.800.530.80
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.400.840.180.910.570.79
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.500.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukla Praha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukla Praha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukla Praha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.3%1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
--+3.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.0%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+6.8%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
888Sport
1.03
--+4.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.0%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+4.8%✓ Hit
Under 5.595.1%1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
+4.5%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals94.7%1.04
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
--+3.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals88.2%1.09
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
--+3.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals87.9%1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
+6.8%✗ Miss
Under 4.587.7%1.12
Betano
1.16
888Sport
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.12
+5.8%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap86.5%1.12
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
---+10.3%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals84.1%1.09
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
-0.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals83.4%1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
+3.2%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals82.8%1.08
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
---1.8%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap80.5%1.14
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.11
---+4.6%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals75.3%1.22
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
888Sport
1.22
1xBet
1.22
+0.1%✓ Hit
Over 1.574.5%1.22
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.24
888Sport
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-1.2%✓ Hit
Under 3.573.6%1.37
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Betfair
1.36
+6.4%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals73.3%1.31
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
+3.1%✓ Hit
Home or Away71.3%1.26
Bet365
1.30
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.28
-1.7%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals70.0%1.25
888Sport
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
-3.5%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Dukla Praha · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Kroupa22%
Dario Kreiker14%
Kevin-Prince Milla13%
Dantaye Gilbert12%
Rajmund Mikuš11%
Marcel Čermák9%
Jan Peterka8%
Jacques Fokam-Sandeu8%
Zlatan Šehović8%
Namory Cissé8%
Lukas Penxa8%
Jakub Kadák7%
Michal Černák6%
Marios Pourzitidis4%
Rihards Matrevics0%
Tomáš Pekhart0%
Jaroslav Svozil0%
Daniel Kozma0%
Marek Hanousek0%
Dominik Hašek0%
Hugo Jan Bačkovský0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Samson Tijani0%
Adam Jagrik0%
Štěpán Šebrle0%
Seif Ali Hindi0%
Martin Ambler0%
Eric Hunal0%
Matěj Žitný0%
Pavel Gaszczyk0%
Jiří Hrubeš0%
Tomáš Jedlička0%
Boubou Diallo0%
Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré0%
Diego Velasquez0%
Samuel Isife0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eric Hunal45%
Boubou Diallo36%
Daniel Kozma33%
Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré27%
Tomáš Pekhart25%
Samuel Isife24%
Samson Tijani23%
Zlatan Šehović19%
Marek Hanousek18%
Martin Ambler18%
Michal Černák18%
Dominik Hašek16%
Namory Cissé15%
Hugo Jan Bačkovský14%
Jakub Kadák13%
Kevin-Prince Milla13%
Diego Velasquez12%
Rihards Matrevics11%
Rajmund Mikuš11%
Jaroslav Svozil9%
Jan Peterka8%
Bruno Unušić8%
Jacques Fokam-Sandeu8%
Marios Pourzitidis8%
Štěpán Šebrle8%
Lukas Penxa8%
Tomáš Jedlička6%
Dantaye Gilbert6%
Marcel Čermák6%
Matěj Žitný5%
Adam Jagrik0%
Dario Kreiker0%
Seif Ali Hindi0%
Pavel Gaszczyk0%
Jiří Hrubeš0%
Michal Kroupa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcel Čermák15%
Samuel Isife12%
Michal Kroupa11%
Lukas Penxa8%
Jakub Kadák7%
Michal Černák6%
Matěj Žitný5%
Marios Pourzitidis4%
Zlatan Šehović4%
Rihards Matrevics0%
Tomáš Pekhart0%
Jaroslav Svozil0%
Daniel Kozma0%
Marek Hanousek0%
Dominik Hašek0%
Jan Peterka0%
Hugo Jan Bačkovský0%
Rajmund Mikuš0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Samson Tijani0%
Adam Jagrik0%
Namory Cissé0%
Štěpán Šebrle0%
Kevin-Prince Milla0%
Dario Kreiker0%
Seif Ali Hindi0%
Martin Ambler0%
Eric Hunal0%
Pavel Gaszczyk0%
Jiří Hrubeš0%
Tomáš Jedlička0%
Boubou Diallo0%
Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Jacques Fokam-Sandeu0%
Diego Velasquez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin-Prince Milla33%
Namory Cissé15%
Marcel Čermák15%
Marek Hanousek9%
Jakub Kadák7%
Rihards Matrevics0%
Marios Pourzitidis0%
Zlatan Šehović0%
Tomáš Pekhart0%
Jaroslav Svozil0%
Daniel Kozma0%
Dominik Hašek0%
Jan Peterka0%
Hugo Jan Bačkovský0%
Rajmund Mikuš0%
Michal Černák0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Samson Tijani0%
Adam Jagrik0%
Štěpán Šebrle0%
Dario Kreiker0%
Seif Ali Hindi0%
Martin Ambler0%
Eric Hunal0%
Matěj Žitný0%
Pavel Gaszczyk0%
Jiří Hrubeš0%
Tomáš Jedlička0%
Boubou Diallo0%
Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Lukas Penxa0%
Jacques Fokam-Sandeu0%
Diego Velasquez0%
Samuel Isife0%
Michal Kroupa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Ústí nad Labem's squad is €4m less valuable than Dukla Praha's (€3m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Ústí nad Labem's attack is €2m less valuable than Dukla Praha's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Ústí nad Labem and Dukla Praha have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Ústí nad Labem's defence is €1m less valuable than Dukla Praha's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ÚNL wins
0
Draws
0
DP wins

Head-to-head

Ústí nad Labem vs Dukla Praha · H/A from ÚNL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/26ATřinec Vs ÚNL0-0
12/08/26AKarlovy Vary Vs ÚNL0-3
07/08/26HÚNL Vs Arsenal Česká Lípa3-3
01/08/26AHanácká Vs ÚNL0-2
24/07/26HÚNL Vs Kladno2-1
23/05/26AVysočina Jihlava Vs ÚNL3-1
16/05/26HÚNL Vs Slavia Praha II2-1
10/05/26ABaník Ostrava II Vs ÚNL1-2
06/05/26HÚNL Vs Opava2-1
02/05/26AZbrojovka Brno Vs ÚNL3-0

Dukla PrahaDukla Praha

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/26HDP Vs Slavia Praha II1-3
11/08/26AVykan Vs DP0-3
07/08/26HDP Vs Hanácká2-0
31/07/26ATáborsko Vs DP2-2
24/07/26HDP Vs Arsenal Česká Lípa2-0
23/05/26HDP Vs Baník Ostrava0-3
16/05/26ATeplice Vs DP2-0
12/05/26AMlada Boleslav Vs DP1-2
09/05/26HDP Vs Slovácko0-1
02/05/26AZlin Vs DP2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ústí nad Labem
Ústí nad Labem
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD1.68
HomeWWWWD1.75
AwayWLWWD1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %51%55%48%
AVG goals3.563.503.62
Over 1.5 %90%85%95%
Over 2.5 %71%70%71%
Over 3.5 %34%35%33%
Scored2.002.051.95
Conceded1.561.451.67
BTTS61%55%67%
Clean Sheet24%20%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Dukla Praha
Dukla Praha
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.08
HomeLLWWL1.17
AwayLWLDW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%30%22%
AVG goals2.322.222.41
Over 1.5 %80%83%78%
Over 2.5 %38%30%44%
Over 3.5 %18%13%22%
Scored0.980.961.00
Conceded1.341.261.41
BTTS44%39%48%
Clean Sheet28%30%26%
Corners9.109.658.59
Cards4.264.054.45

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem614
67%
2.3
115+6
2.7
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.80.8
-
2Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II612
50%
2.0
1610+6
4.3
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3262.71.7
-
3KarvináKarviná612
67%
2.0
127+5
3.2
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
4122.01.2
-
4PříbramPříbram612
50%
2.0
118+3
3.2
83%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.3
-
5TáborskoTáborsko611
50%
1.8
84+4
2.0
50%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.30.7
-
6Dukla PrahaDukla Praha610
50%
1.7
119+2
3.3
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.81.5
-
7KladnoKladno68
33%
1.3
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.31.2
-
8Arsenal Česká LípaArsenal Česká Lípa68
33%
1.3
912-3
3.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.0
-
9Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II67
33%
1.2
118+3
3.2
67%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.81.3
-
10Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava67
33%
1.2
76+1
2.2
50%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
11VlašimVlašim66
17%
1.0
109+1
3.2
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.71.5
-
12OpavaOpava66
17%
1.0
810-2
3.0
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.7
-
13ProstějovProstějov65
17%
0.8
89-1
2.8
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.5
-
14TřinecTřinec64
0%
0.7
610-4
2.7
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
15HanáckáHanácká64
17%
0.7
313-10
2.7
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.52.2
-
16Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov63
17%
0.5
315-12
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.52.5
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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