The model favours a home win, with a 56% chance for \u00dast\u00ed nad Labem, 26% for a draw and 18% for Opava. The expected total is 2.6 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.3% probability. \u00dast\u00ed nad Labem, playing at home against a similarly-tier opponent, averages 1.82 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Opava, on the road, averages 0.62 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Under 6.5 (98.2%), Under 5.5 (95.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (94.0%), Home +2 handicap (93.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (90.2%) and Under 4.5 (87.5%). The home side has been unbeaten in their last five, winning, drawing, winning, drawing, winning, and most recently beat T\u00e1borsko 1-0, while Opava has drawn, drawn, lost, drawn, lost, and most recently drew 3-3 with Slavia Praha II.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ústí nad Labem win
56.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Opava win
17.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ústí nad Labem
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.33
1.79
1.14
1.50
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.68
1.40
1.82
1.00
1.57
1.71
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
1.00
1.67
1.67
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Opava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.23
1.93
1.14
0.75
1.31
vs Stronger (6)
1.83
1.00
2.33
0.67
1.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
1.14
1.27
1.89
1.22
0.62
1.31
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.6%
Under 2.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
Ústí nad Labem goals ↓
Opava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
5.3%
2.8%
0.8%
0.2%
1
12%
12%
4.9%
1.5%
0.3%
2
11%
9.7%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
3
6.3%
5.6%
2.5%
0.7%
0.2%
4
2.8%
2.4%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ústí nad Labem goals (down), columns = Opava goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Ústí nad Labem is 1.33 points better than Opava in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Ústí nad Labem is 0.50 goals better than Opava in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Ústí nad Labem is 0.83 goals better than Opava in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ústí nad Labem or Draw
82.2%
Avg Implied -
56%
26%
18%
covers Ústí nad Labem + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem or Opava
74.2%
Avg Implied -
56%
26%
18%
covers Ústí nad Labem + Opava
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Opava
43.6%
Avg Implied -
56%
26%
18%
covers Draw + Opava
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 0.5
Over
82.4%
Under
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 1.5
Over
51.8%
Under
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 2.5
Over
25.2%
Under
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 3.5
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 0.5
Over
58.7%
Under
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5
Over
22.2%
Under
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 3.5
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ústí nad Labem, so a minus line means Ústí nad Labem give that many goals of a start and Opava receive them. At -1, Ústí nad Labem must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ústí nad Labem win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ústí nad Labem)
Ústí nad Labem -2
14.6%
Draw -2
17.8%
Opava +2
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ústí nad Labem)
Ústí nad Labem -1
32.3%
Draw -1
24.0%
Opava +1
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ústí nad Labem)
Ústí nad Labem +1
82.2%
Draw +1
11.7%
Opava -1
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ústí nad Labem)
Ústí nad Labem +2
93.9%
Draw +2
4.6%
Opava -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ústí nad Labem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.53
1.00
0.36
0.81
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.60
0.91
0.36
0.86
0.79
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.20
1.33
0.33
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Opava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
1.21
0.71
0.31
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.67
1.33
0.33
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.68
0.64
1.33
0.78
0.23
0.54
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ústí nad Labem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.79
0.79
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.80
0.91
0.64
0.71
0.93
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.80
0.33
1.33
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Opava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Opava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.71
0.43
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.33
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.64
0.56
0.44
0.38
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Opava over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Ústí nad Labem and Opava have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Ústí nad Labem and Opava have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Ústí nad Labem and Opava have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Ústí nad Labem and Opava have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Slavia Praha II
Karviná
Příbram
Táborsko
Dukla Praha
Kladno
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Baník Ostrava II
Vysočina Jihlava
Vlašim
Prostějov
Třinec
Hanácká
Viktoria Žižkov