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Ústí nad Labem vs Slavia Praha II Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Ústí nad Labem
Ústí nad Labem
Vs
64%
22%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Slavia Praha II
Slavia Praha II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ústí nad Labem win✓ Hit
64.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II win✗ Miss
14.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L31W40W21W10W12L30W03L21W21WH·PŘÍ13/03A·ART21/03H·TÁB03/04A·ČES10/04H·CHR15/04A·PRO18/04H·VIK24/04A·ZBR02/05H·OPA06/05A·BAN10/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.571.791.071.882.00
vs Stronger (1)5.004.00--5.004.00
vs Similar (27)1.741.481.921.081.571.86
vs Weaker (2)1.501.500.001.003.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D01L22D16L10W21W01L03L05L21WH·PRO15/03A·PŘÍ20/03H·VIK05/04A·CHR10/04H·VYS15/04A·OPA19/04H·ZBR26/04H·BAN03/05A·HAN06/05H·TÁB10/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.531.671.200.931.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.311.771.571.141.002.50
vs Weaker (17)1.291.351.751.250.891.44
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.0%
Under 1.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.6%
Under 2.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.2%
Under 3.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.4%
2-1 ✓
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
Ústí nad Labem goals ↓
Slavia Praha II goals →
01234
05.9%3.5%2.0%0.6%0.1%
19.5%10%4.2%1.3%0.3%
211%9.9%4.4%1.3%0.3%
37.7%6.9%3.1%0.9%0.2%
44.0%3.6%1.6%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ústí nad Labem goals (down), columns = Slavia Praha II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zbrojovka Brno
2.53
Táborsko
1.77
Artis
1.73
Ústí nad Labem
1.60
Baník Ostrava II
1.57
Příbram
1.53
Opava
1.47
Viktoria Žižkov
1.37
Slavia Praha II
1.27
Vlašim
1.27
Chrudim
1.17
České Budějovice
1.13
Hanácká
1.13
Prostějov
1.00
Vysočina Jihlava
0.97
Sparta Praha II
0.83
Ústí nad Labem is 0.33 points better than Slavia Praha II in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zbrojovka Brno
2.07
Ústí nad Labem
1.77
Artis
1.67
Táborsko
1.63
Baník Ostrava II
1.50
Opava
1.40
Slavia Praha II
1.40
Vlašim
1.37
Chrudim
1.27
Viktoria Žižkov
1.27
Vysočina Jihlava
1.07
Hanácká
1.07
Prostějov
1.07
České Budějovice
1.03
Příbram
0.97
Sparta Praha II
0.90
Ústí nad Labem is 0.37 goals better than Slavia Praha II in terms of goals scored per game (1.77 vs 1.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zbrojovka Brno
0.73
Příbram
1.00
Opava
1.03
Táborsko
1.10
Vlašim
1.13
Artis
1.23
Baník Ostrava II
1.27
Vysočina Jihlava
1.30
České Budějovice
1.43
Hanácká
1.43
Prostějov
1.47
Ústí nad Labem
1.53
Slavia Praha II
1.57
Chrudim
1.67
Viktoria Žižkov
1.73
Sparta Praha II
1.80
Ústí nad Labem is 0.03 goals better than Slavia Praha II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W11D00D10W20W01L10W01LH·PŘÍ13/03A·ART21/03H·TÁB03/04A·ČES10/04H·CHR15/04A·PRO18/04H·VIK24/04A·ZBR02/05H·OPA06/05A·BAN10/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.630.860.360.940.88
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.850.590.920.380.790.79
vs Weaker (2)1.001.000.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L02L03L00D10W00D01L02L00DH·PRO15/03A·PŘÍ20/03H·VIK05/04A·CHR10/04H·VYS15/04A·OPA19/04H·ZBR26/04H·BAN03/05A·HAN06/05H·TÁB10/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.600.530.400.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.540.690.570.140.501.33
vs Weaker (17)0.470.710.620.880.330.56
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L21W20W10W10W02L10W02L11D20WH·PŘÍ13/03A·ART21/03H·TÁB03/04A·ČES10/04H·CHR15/04A·PRO18/04H·VIK24/04A·ZBR02/05H·OPA06/05A·BAN10/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.930.930.710.941.12
vs Stronger (1)3.003.00--3.003.00
vs Similar (27)0.890.891.000.690.791.07
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D20W13L10W11D01L02L03L21WH·PRO15/03A·PŘÍ20/03H·VIK05/04A·CHR10/04H·VYS15/04A·OPA19/04H·ZBR26/04H·BAN03/05A·HAN06/05H·TÁB10/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.831.070.670.531.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.771.081.001.000.501.17
vs Weaker (17)0.820.651.120.380.560.89
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ústí nad Labem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ústí nad Labem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
Ústí nad Labem's squad is €8m less valuable than Slavia Praha II's (€3m vs €11m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (10)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
Ústí nad Labem's attack is €1m less valuable than Slavia Praha II's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (8)
€2m
SPI (5)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
Ústí nad Labem's midfield is €1m less valuable than Slavia Praha II's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
Ústí nad Labem's defence is €6m less valuable than Slavia Praha II's (€1m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
ÚNL wins
0
Draws
1
SPI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ústí nad Labem vs Slavia Praha II · H/A from ÚNL
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/25ASlavia Praha II Vs ÚNL2-1

Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26ABaník Ostrava II Vs ÚNL1-2
06/05/26HÚNL Vs Opava2-1
02/05/26AZbrojovka Brno Vs ÚNL3-0
24/04/26HÚNL Vs Viktoria Žižkov3-0
18/04/26AProstějov Vs ÚNL2-1
15/04/26HÚNL Vs Chrudim1-0
10/04/26AČeské Budějovice Vs ÚNL1-2
03/04/26HÚNL Vs Táborsko4-0
21/03/26AArtis Vs ÚNL1-3
13/03/26HÚNL Vs Příbram0-2

Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/26HSPI Vs Táborsko2-1
06/05/26AHanácká Vs SPI5-0
03/05/26HSPI Vs Baník Ostrava II0-3
26/04/26HSPI Vs Zbrojovka Brno0-1
19/04/26AOpava Vs SPI1-2
15/04/26HSPI Vs Vysočina Jihlava1-0
10/04/26AChrudim Vs SPI6-1
05/04/26HSPI Vs Viktoria Žižkov2-2
20/03/26APříbram Vs SPI1-0
15/03/26HSPI Vs Prostějov1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ústí nad Labem
Ústí nad Labem
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.62
HomeLWWWW1.65
AwayWWLLW1.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%53%47%
AVG goals3.683.413.94
Over 1.5 %91%82%100%
Over 2.5 %71%65%76%
Over 3.5 %35%35%35%
Scored2.032.002.06
Conceded1.651.411.88
BTTS62%47%76%
Clean Sheet21%24%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Slavia Praha II
Slavia Praha II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.24
HomeDWLLW1.40
AwayLLLWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.702.602.80
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.301.481.12
Conceded1.401.121.68
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno3076
80%
2.5
6222+40
2.8
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3252.10.7
-
2TáborskoTáborsko3053
53%
1.8
4933+16
2.7
80%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.1
-
3ArtisArtis3052
50%
1.7
5037+13
2.9
87%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.71.2
-
4Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem3048
50%
1.6
5346+7
3.3
90%
73%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.5
-
5Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II3047
47%
1.6
4538+7
2.8
77%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.51.3
-
6PříbramPříbram3046
43%
1.5
2930-1
2.0
63%
30%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
7OpavaOpava3044
37%
1.5
4231+11
2.4
63%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.0
-
8Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov3041
40%
1.4
3852-14
3.0
80%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.7
-
9VlašimVlašim3038
33%
1.3
4134+7
2.5
67%
40%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.1
-
10Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II3038
37%
1.3
4247-5
3.0
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3261.41.6
-
11ChrudimChrudim3035
30%
1.2
3850-12
2.9
83%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
12HanáckáHanácká3034
33%
1.1
3243-11
2.5
63%
53%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.11.4
-
13České BudějoviceČeské Budějovice3034
33%
1.1
3143-12
2.5
70%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
14ProstějovProstějov3030
20%
1.0
3244-12
2.5
77%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.5
-
15Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3029
23%
1.0
3239-7
2.4
80%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
16Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3025
23%
0.8
2754-27
2.7
73%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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