The model sees FCSB as the clear favourite, giving them a 72% chance of victory, 17% for a draw and 12% for a Uta Arad win. The 72% rating reflects FCSB’s strong away form against weaker opponents, where they average 1.6 goals scored and conceded, compared with Uta Arad’s 3.0 goals scored and conceded at home against stronger teams. The expected total is 3.9 goals, with the most likely total being three goals at a 20% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-2 for FCSB, with an 8.8% chance.
The suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals at 97.5%, Under 7.5 at 95.7%, Over 1.5 at 90.4%, Under 6.5 at 90.3%, and Draw or Away at 88.3%. The model also lists Away +2 handicap at 95.7% (miss), Home under 2.5 goals at 90.2% (miss), and Away over 0.5 goals at 93.7% (miss). Each selection is presented with its exact probability and no additional commentary.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Uta Arad, riding a win in their recent five, turned the tables on the pre-match favourite FCSB, who had been tipped to win with a 72% probability. The final score was 3-0, a home victory that left the model’s call wrong. The model’s selection of an away win was therefore missed. Among the suggested picks, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 97.5%, Under 7.5 hit at 95.7%, Over 1.5 hit at 90.4%, Under 6.5 hit at 90.3%, and Home under 2.5 goals missed at 90.2%. The remaining picks - Away +2 handicap, Away over 0.5 goals, and Draw or Away - all missed, with probabilities of 95.7%, 93.7%, and 88.3% respectively.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Uta Arad win✓ Hit
11.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FCSB win✗ Miss
71.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Uta Arad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.40
1.19
1.12
1.07
1.71
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
2.20
3.00
3.00
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.12
1.24
1.07
1.00
1.20
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FCSB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FCSB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.43
1.33
1.17
1.61
1.61
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
1.75
1.50
1.60
1.20
1.86
1.71
vs Weaker (17)
1.41
1.41
1.14
1.14
1.60
1.60
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.4%
Under 1.5
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
74.1%
Under 2.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.9%
No
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.8%
1-3
8.2%
0-2
8.1%
0-3
7.5%
1-1
7.0%
1-4
5.6%
0-1
5.2%
0-4
5.2%
Uta Arad goals ↓
FCSB goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.7%
5.2%
8.1%
7.5%
5.2%
1
1.7%
7.0%
8.8%
8.2%
5.6%
2
1.3%
3.5%
4.8%
4.4%
3.1%
3
0.5%
1.3%
1.8%
1.6%
1.1%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Uta Arad goals (down), columns = FCSB goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paşcani
2.57
CFR 1907 Cluj
2.33
Dumbrăviţa
2.33
CSM Reşiţa
2.29
Metalul Buzău
2.29
Minaur Baia Mare
2.25
FC Botosani
2.25
Csikszereda
2.20
AFC Hermannstadt
2.12
Slatina
2.00
Dunarea Calarasi
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
Sporting Lieşti
2.00
Popești-Leordeni
2.00
FCSB
2.00
Bihor Oradea
2.00
U Craiova 1948
2.00
Alexandria
2.00
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
2.00
Focşani
2.00
Progresul Pecica
2.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
2.00
Jiul Petroşani
2.00
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2.00
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei
2.00
Petrolul Potcoava
2.00
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
2.00
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
2.00
Sănătatea Cluj
2.00
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
2.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
1.89
CS Afumati
1.83
Rapid
1.80
Minerul Lupeni
1.75
Universitatea Craiova
1.75
Farul Constanta
1.60
Politehnica Iasi
1.60
CSM Satu Mare
1.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
1.50
Râmnicu Sărat
1.50
Pucioasa
1.50
Avântul Reghin
1.50
Plopeni
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Tunari
1.50
Braila
1.50
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.50
Odorheiu Secuiesc
1.50
Peciu Nou
1.50
SCM Zalău
1.50
Blejoi
1.50
Metalurgistul Cugir
1.50
Gilortul
1.50
Gheorgheni
1.50
Gloria Băneasa
1.50
Gloria Bistriţa
1.50
Urban Titu
1.50
Viitorul Dăești
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.50
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
1.40
Arges Pitesti
1.40
Oţelul
1.33
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.25
Timişul Şag
1.03
USV Iaşi
1.03
CIL Blaj
1.03
Victoria Cumpăna
1.03
Soimii Gura Humorului
1.03
Unirea Tășnad
1.03
Prima
1.03
Valenii de Munte
1.03
Gloria al Oraşului Geoag
1.03
Viitorul Arad
1.03
Răuceşti
1.03
Săcele
1.03
Academica Balș
1.03
Olimpia Satu Mare
1.03
Sport Team Bucureşti
1.03
Sânandrei
1.03
Păușești
1.03
Speed Academy
1.03
Diosig-Bihardiószeg
1.03
ACS FC Dinamo Bucuresti
1.03
CSM Fetești
1.03
Baicoi
1.03
Voinţa Livezile
1.03
Vulturul Mintiu Gherlii
1.03
Codlea
1.03
Medgidia
1.03
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
1.03
Covurluiul
1.03
CSM FC Vaslui
1.00
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1.00
SCM Gloria Buzău
1.00
Sânmartin
1.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
1.00
Şomuz Fălticeni
1.00
CSM Bacău
1.00
CS Dinamo București
0.87
Agricola Borcea
0.86
Uta Arad
0.67
Crişul Sântandrei
0.50
FC Politehnica Timisoara
0.50
Concordia
0.50
Bucovina Rădăuţi
0.50
Aerostar Bacau
0.50
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.33
CSM Adjud
0.00
Metaloglobus
0.00
Vediţa Coloneşti
0.00
ACS Târgu Mureș 1898
0.00
Progresul Fundulea
0.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
0.00
Oltul Curtişoara
0.00
Chindia Targoviste
0.00
Progresul Spartac
0.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
0.00
Universitatea Cluj
0.00
Unirea Dej
0.00
Unirea Slobozia
0.00
Unirea Bascov
0.00
LPS HD Clinceni
0.00
Târgu Secuiesc
0.00
Axiopolis
0.00
ACS Mediaş 2022
0.00
Flacăra Moreni
0.00
Avântul Periam
0.00
Viitorul Onesti
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Cetatea
0.00
Sighetu Marmaţiei
0.00
Voința Limpeziș
0.00
Tricolorul Breaza
0.00
Viitorul Cluj
0.00
Filiaşi
0.00
Unirea Braniştea
0.00
Stiinta Miroslava
0.00
Municipal Braşov
0.00
Păuleşti
0.00
Sporting Roşiori
0.00
Vârfu Câmpului
0.00
Uta Arad is 1.33 points worse than FCSB in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gilortul
5.50
Urban Titu
5.50
Viitorul Dăești
4.50
Progresul Pecica
4.00
Unirea Alba Iulia
3.56
CSM Satu Mare
3.50
Slatina
3.50
Avântul Reghin
3.50
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3.50
Paşcani
3.00
Bihor Oradea
3.00
Tunari
3.00
Gheorgheni
3.00
Ştefăneşti
2.80
Minaur Baia Mare
2.75
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
2.67
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
2.67
Minerul Lupeni
2.50
Metalurgistul Cugir
2.50
Sănătatea Cluj
2.43
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
2.33
CFR 1907 Cluj
2.33
Alexandria
2.33
Universitatea Alba Iulia
2.33
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei
2.33
Farul Constanta
2.20
Râmnicu Sărat
2.00
Olimpic Zărneşti
2.00
Sporting Lieşti
2.00
FCSB
2.00
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.00
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
2.00
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
2.00
LPS HD Clinceni
2.00
Sânmartin
2.00
Flacăra Moreni
2.00
Viitorul Onesti
2.00
SCM Zalău
2.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.00
Sighetu Marmaţiei
2.00
Blejoi
2.00
Şomuz Fălticeni
2.00
Vârfu Câmpului
2.00
AFC Hermannstadt
1.88
Metalul Buzău
1.86
Rapid
1.80
Oţelul
1.67
Dumbrăviţa
1.67
Timişul Şag
1.62
USV Iaşi
1.62
CIL Blaj
1.62
Victoria Cumpăna
1.62
Soimii Gura Humorului
1.62
Unirea Tășnad
1.62
Prima
1.62
Valenii de Munte
1.62
Gloria al Oraşului Geoag
1.62
Viitorul Arad
1.62
Răuceşti
1.62
Săcele
1.62
Academica Balș
1.62
Olimpia Satu Mare
1.62
Sport Team Bucureşti
1.62
Sânandrei
1.62
Păușești
1.62
Speed Academy
1.62
Diosig-Bihardiószeg
1.62
ACS FC Dinamo Bucuresti
1.62
CSM Fetești
1.62
Baicoi
1.62
Voinţa Livezile
1.62
Vulturul Mintiu Gherlii
1.62
Codlea
1.62
Medgidia
1.62
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
1.62
Covurluiul
1.62
Crişul Sântandrei
1.50
Dunarea Calarasi
1.50
Plopeni
1.50
FC Bacau
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Braila
1.50
Jiul Petroşani
1.50
Peciu Nou
1.50
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.50
CSM Reşiţa
1.43
CS Dinamo București
1.36
Popești-Leordeni
1.33
CS Afumati
1.33
Focşani
1.33
Petrolul Potcoava
1.33
Universitatea Craiova
1.25
FC Botosani
1.25
Arges Pitesti
1.20
Csikszereda
1.20
CSM Adjud
1.00
Metaloglobus
1.00
Pucioasa
1.00
Vediţa Coloneşti
1.00
CSM FC Vaslui
1.00
Progresul Fundulea
1.00
Uta Arad
1.00
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.00
Progresul Spartac
1.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
1.00
U Craiova 1948
1.00
Politehnica Iasi
1.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
1.00
Aerostar Bacau
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
Odorheiu Secuiesc
1.00
ACS Mediaş 2022
1.00
Avântul Periam
1.00
Cetatea
1.00
Voința Limpeziș
1.00
Agricola Borcea
1.00
Tricolorul Breaza
1.00
Viitorul Cluj
1.00
Filiaşi
1.00
Unirea Braniştea
1.00
Păuleşti
1.00
Gloria Bistriţa
1.00
Sporting Roşiori
1.00
CSM Bacău
1.00
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
0.80
Dinamo Bucuresti
0.60
Gloria Băneasa
0.50
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0.33
ACS Târgu Mureș 1898
0.00
Oltul Curtişoara
0.00
Chindia Targoviste
0.00
Universitatea Cluj
0.00
Concordia
0.00
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
SCM Gloria Buzău
0.00
Unirea Dej
0.00
Unirea Slobozia
0.00
Unirea Bascov
0.00
Târgu Secuiesc
0.00
Axiopolis
0.00
Înainte Modelu
0.00
Stiinta Miroslava
0.00
Municipal Braşov
0.00
Uta Arad is 1.00 goals worse than FCSB in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0.00
SCM Gloria Buzău
0.00
Csikszereda
0.40
Dunarea Calarasi
0.50
Avântul Reghin
0.50
Universitatea Craiova
0.50
FC Botosani
0.50
U Craiova 1948
0.50
Odorheiu Secuiesc
0.50
SCM Zalău
0.50
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
0.60
Politehnica Iasi
0.60
Universitatea Alba Iulia
0.67
Petrolul Potcoava
0.67
Metalul Buzău
0.71
Petrolul Ploiesti
0.75
AFC Hermannstadt
0.75
Unirea Alba Iulia
0.78
Rapid
0.80
CSM Reşiţa
0.86
Paşcani
1.00
Slatina
1.00
CSM FC Vaslui
1.00
Oltul Curtişoara
1.00
FC Bacau
1.00
CS Afumati
1.00
FCSB
1.00
Universitatea Cluj
1.00
Concordia
1.00
Unirea Dej
1.00
Dumbrăviţa
1.00
Unirea Slobozia
1.00
Jiul Petroşani
1.00
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
1.00
Axiopolis
1.00
Gloria Băneasa
1.00
CSM Bacău
1.00
Corvinul Hunedoara
1.00
Sănătatea Cluj
1.14
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.17
Minerul Lupeni
1.25
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.33
Popești-Leordeni
1.33
Oţelul
1.33
Alexandria
1.33
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
1.33
Kids Tâmpa Braşov
1.33
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung
1.33
Farul Constanta
1.40
Plopeni
1.50
FC Voluntari
1.50
Minaur Baia Mare
1.50
Tunari
1.50
Progresul Pecica
1.50
Peciu Nou
1.50
Blejoi
1.50
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
1.50
Arges Pitesti
1.60
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.60
Sporting Lieşti
1.67
Focşani
1.67
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
1.67
Agricola Borcea
1.71
Crişul Sântandrei
2.00
Metaloglobus
2.00
Râmnicu Sărat
2.00
Pucioasa
2.00
Ştefăneşti
2.00
Chindia Targoviste
2.00
Progresul Spartac
2.00
Viitorul Şelimbăr
2.00
Bihor Oradea
2.00
Bucovina Rădăuţi
2.00
Aerostar Bacau
2.00
Târgu Secuiesc
2.00
Sânmartin
2.00
Avântul Periam
2.00
Înainte Modelu
2.00
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
2.00
Şomuz Fălticeni
2.00
Metalurgistul Cugir
2.00
Tricolorul Breaza
2.00
Gheorgheni
2.00
Unirea Braniştea
2.00
Gloria Bistriţa
2.00
Urban Titu
2.00
Sporting Roşiori
2.00
Uta Arad
2.33
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei
2.33
Timişul Şag
2.34
USV Iaşi
2.34
CIL Blaj
2.34
Victoria Cumpăna
2.34
Soimii Gura Humorului
2.34
Unirea Tășnad
2.34
Prima
2.34
Valenii de Munte
2.34
Gloria al Oraşului Geoag
2.34
Viitorul Arad
2.34
Răuceşti
2.34
Săcele
2.34
Academica Balș
2.34
Olimpia Satu Mare
2.34
Sport Team Bucureşti
2.34
Sânandrei
2.34
Păușești
2.34
Speed Academy
2.34
Diosig-Bihardiószeg
2.34
ACS FC Dinamo Bucuresti
2.34
CSM Fetești
2.34
Baicoi
2.34
Voinţa Livezile
2.34
Vulturul Mintiu Gherlii
2.34
Codlea
2.34
Medgidia
2.34
Vulturii Fărcăşeşti
2.34
Covurluiul
2.34
CSM Satu Mare
2.50
FC Politehnica Timisoara
2.50
Gilortul
2.50
Viitorul Dăești
2.50
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
2.67
CS Dinamo București
2.78
Olimpic Zărneşti
3.00
Braila
3.00
Viitorul Onesti
3.00
Sighetu Marmaţiei
3.00
Voința Limpeziș
3.00
Filiaşi
3.00
Stiinta Miroslava
3.00
Păuleşti
3.00
CSM Adjud
3.50
Vediţa Coloneşti
4.00
Unirea Bascov
4.00
LPS HD Clinceni
4.00
ACS Mediaş 2022
4.00
Flacăra Moreni
4.00
Cetatea
4.00
Viitorul Cluj
4.00
Municipal Braşov
4.00
Vârfu Câmpului
4.00
Progresul Fundulea
5.00
ACS Târgu Mureș 1898
7.00
Uta Arad is 1.33 goals worse than FCSB in terms of goals conceded per game (2.33 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Uta Arad or Draw✓ Hit
28.2%
Avg Implied -
12%
17%
72%
covers Uta Arad + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad or FCSB✓ Hit
83.5%
Avg Implied -
12%
17%
72%
covers Uta Arad + FCSB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FCSB✗ Miss
88.3%
Avg Implied -
12%
17%
72%
covers Draw + FCSB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Uta Arad over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.4%
Under
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
29.8%
Under
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCSB over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
93.7%
Under
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCSB over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
76.4%
Under
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCSB over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
52.3%
Under
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCSB over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
30.1%
Under
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Uta Arad, so a minus line means Uta Arad give that many goals of a start and FCSB receive them. At -1, Uta Arad must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Uta Arad win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Uta Arad)Actual: Uta Arad
Uta Arad -2
1.2%
Draw -2
3.1%
FCSB +2
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Uta Arad)Actual: Uta Arad
Uta Arad -1
4.3%
Draw -1
7.4%
FCSB +1
88.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Uta Arad)Actual: Uta Arad
Uta Arad +1
28.2%
Draw +1
19.7%
FCSB -1
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Uta Arad)Actual: Uta Arad
Uta Arad +2
47.9%
Draw +2
20.0%
FCSB -2
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Uta Arad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.56
0.50
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.40
0.00
2.00
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.52
0.60
0.40
0.50
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FCSB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FCSB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.50
0.58
0.58
0.83
0.44
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.67
0.40
1.00
0.86
0.43
vs Weaker (17)
0.82
0.41
0.71
0.29
0.90
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Uta Arad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCSB over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCSB over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCSB over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Uta Arad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.62
0.62
0.64
0.86
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.80
3.00
1.00
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.72
0.47
0.60
0.70
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (FCSB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FCSB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.93
0.75
0.58
0.78
1.17
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.83
1.20
0.20
1.00
1.29
vs Weaker (17)
0.59
1.00
0.43
0.86
0.70
1.10
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Uta Arad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCSB over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCSB over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FCSB over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 7.5
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away win
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Uta Arad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Valentin Costache33%
Marius Coman28%
Dmytro Pospelov19%
Hakim Abdallah19%
Dániel Zsóri17%
Roman Alin16%
David Barbu12%
Richard Odada10%
Alexandru Benga8%
Flavius Iacob7%
Luca Mihai7%
Din Alomerovic6%
Marinos Tzionis4%
Benjamin Van Durmen3%
Florent Poulolo3%
Dejan Iliev0%
Marko Stolnik0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Denis Hrezdac0%
Sota Mino0%
Ovidiu Popescu0%
Árpád Tordai0%
Andrea Padula0%
Luka Gojković0%
Laurențiu Vlăsceanu0%
David Ciubăncan0%
Mark Tutu0%
Denis Taroi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marko Stolnik33%
Roman Alin24%
Sota Mino20%
Luka Gojković20%
Marius Coman17%
Dániel Zsóri17%
Denis Hrezdac16%
Mark Tutu15%
Richard Odada15%
Valentin Costache15%
Ovidiu Popescu13%
Luca Mihai13%
Dmytro Pospelov13%
Denis Taroi12%
Alexandru Benga12%
Andrea Padula10%
Flavius Iacob10%
Benjamin Van Durmen10%
Andrei Gorcea9%
Dejan Iliev7%
Hakim Abdallah6%
Florent Poulolo6%
Din Alomerovic6%
David Barbu6%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Árpád Tordai0%
Laurențiu Vlăsceanu0%
David Ciubăncan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Roman Alin32%
Valentin Costache11%
Hakim Abdallah9%
Din Alomerovic9%
Marinos Tzionis7%
Marius Coman7%
Luca Mihai7%
Mark Tutu6%
Richard Odada5%
Flavius Iacob3%
Benjamin Van Durmen3%
Dejan Iliev0%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marko Stolnik0%
Dániel Zsóri0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Denis Hrezdac0%
Sota Mino0%
Ovidiu Popescu0%
Árpád Tordai0%
Andrea Padula0%
Dmytro Pospelov0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Luka Gojković0%
Laurențiu Vlăsceanu0%
David Ciubăncan0%
David Barbu0%
Denis Taroi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Alin41%
Valentin Costache33%
Hakim Abdallah25%
Marius Coman17%
Marinos Tzionis7%
Denis Taroi6%
David Barbu6%
Richard Odada5%
Dmytro Pospelov3%
Dejan Iliev0%
Benjamin Van Durmen0%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marko Stolnik0%
Dániel Zsóri0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Denis Hrezdac0%
Sota Mino0%
Ovidiu Popescu0%
Árpád Tordai0%
Andrea Padula0%
Florent Poulolo0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Luka Gojković0%
Flavius Iacob0%
Luca Mihai0%
Laurențiu Vlăsceanu0%
David Ciubăncan0%
Mark Tutu0%
FCSB
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florin Tănase34%
Daniel Bîrligea27%
Darius Olaru23%
David Miculescu18%
Alexandru Stoian17%
Joyskim Dawa Tchakonte15%
Ofri Arad14%
Juri Cisotti13%
João Paulo12%
Mamadou Thiam11%
Mihai Lixandru8%
Malcom Edjouma8%
Dennis Politic7%
Octavian Popescu6%
Adrian Șut5%
Mihai Popescu5%
Siyabonga Ngezana4%
Mihai Toma3%
Vlad Chiricheş0%
David Kiki0%
Daniel Graovac0%
Lukáš Zima0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
Risto Radunović0%
Denis Alibec0%
Valentin Crețu0%
André Duarte0%
Alexandru Pantea0%
Baba Alhassan0%
Ionut Cercel0%
David Popa0%
Matei Popa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ofri Arad29%
Baba Alhassan27%
Mihai Popescu25%
André Duarte21%
David Kiki20%
Alexandru Pantea20%
Daniel Graovac19%
Mihai Lixandru18%
David Miculescu18%
Risto Radunović18%
Lukáš Zima17%
Valentin Crețu17%
Darius Olaru16%
Siyabonga Ngezana15%
Dennis Politic13%
Daniel Bîrligea13%
Juri Cisotti13%
Octavian Popescu12%
Florin Tănase11%
Mihai Toma10%
Ionut Cercel10%
Joyskim Dawa Tchakonte8%
João Paulo6%
Ștefan Târnovanu6%
Mamadou Thiam5%
Adrian Șut5%
Alexandru Stoian4%
Vlad Chiricheş0%
Malcom Edjouma0%
Denis Alibec0%
David Popa0%
Matei Popa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Risto Radunović18%
Darius Olaru14%
Florin Tănase14%
Valentin Crețu13%
Denis Alibec10%
Joyskim Dawa Tchakonte8%
Alexandru Pantea7%
Juri Cisotti7%
Baba Alhassan6%
Octavian Popescu6%
Adrian Șut5%
Mihai Lixandru5%
David Miculescu5%
Siyabonga Ngezana4%
Mihai Toma3%
Daniel Bîrligea3%
Mamadou Thiam3%
Vlad Chiricheş0%
David Kiki0%
Daniel Graovac0%
Dennis Politic0%
Malcom Edjouma0%
Lukáš Zima0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
Mihai Popescu0%
Ofri Arad0%
André Duarte0%
João Paulo0%
Ionut Cercel0%
Alexandru Stoian0%
David Popa0%
Matei Popa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Bîrligea43%
Darius Olaru28%
David Miculescu23%
David Popa17%
Alexandru Stoian13%
Adrian Șut11%
Denis Alibec10%
Octavian Popescu9%
Florin Tănase7%
Alexandru Pantea7%
Juri Cisotti7%
Mamadou Thiam5%
Mihai Lixandru5%
Mihai Toma3%
Vlad Chiricheş0%
David Kiki0%
Joyskim Dawa Tchakonte0%
Daniel Graovac0%
Dennis Politic0%
Malcom Edjouma0%
Lukáš Zima0%
Ștefan Târnovanu0%
Risto Radunović0%
Valentin Crețu0%
Mihai Popescu0%
Siyabonga Ngezana0%
Ofri Arad0%
André Duarte0%
João Paulo0%
Baba Alhassan0%
Ionut Cercel0%
Matei Popa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
AH (37)
€11m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
OŢE (20)
€7m
CH (24)
€7m
CSI (25)
€6m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CON (26)
€5m
BO (23)
€4m
CT (21)
€3m
CSB (24)
€3m
SLA (23)
€3m
CR (20)
€3m
MB (19)
€3m
FB (23)
€2m
VŞ (19)
€2m
GB (20)
€2m
CSM (19)
€2m
MET (15)
€1m
US (13)
€1m
DUM (15)
€1m
CA (14)
€1m
CDB (14)
€1m
ŞTE (8)
€1m
CRV (10)
€1m
POP (9)
€1m
Uta Arad's squad is €18m less valuable than FCSB's (€8m vs €26m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
AH (13)
€5m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
CH (12)
€3m
OŢE (8)
€2m
SOS (12)
€2m
CSI (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CON (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
SLA (10)
€1m
PP (5)
€1m
MB (6)
€1m
CSB (8)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
CR (9)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
GB (8)
€1m
FB (8)
€1m
MET (5)
€1m
CRV (5)
€1m
CA (6)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
CSM (7)
€0m
CDB (3)
€0m
POP (3)
€0m
DUM (3)
€0m
ŞTE (2)
€0m
Uta Arad's attack is €8m less valuable than FCSB's (€4m vs €12m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
AH (9)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
CSI (4)
€1m
SOS (7)
€1m
OŢE (2)
€1m
BO (6)
€1m
CSB (6)
€1m
FB (6)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
CH (2)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
US (4)
€0m
GB (5)
€0m
DUM (4)
€0m
CR (4)
€0m
MB (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (4)
€0m
CT (2)
€0m
MET (3)
€0m
VŞ (3)
€0m
ŞTE (3)
€0m
CSM (4)
€0m
SLA (4)
€0m
CDB (4)
€0m
CRV (1)
€0m
Uta Arad's midfield is €3m less valuable than FCSB's (€1m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
AH (15)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
OŢE (10)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
CH (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
CSI (9)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
BO (11)
€2m
SLA (9)
€1m
CR (7)
€1m
CSB (10)
€1m
CT (11)
€1m
MB (9)
€1m
CON (9)
€1m
CSM (8)
€1m
FB (9)
€1m
CDB (7)
€1m
ŞTE (3)
€1m
VŞ (8)
€1m
DUM (8)
€1m
GB (7)
€1m
MET (7)
€1m
US (5)
€1m
CRV (4)
€0m
CA (4)
€0m
POP (2)
€0m
Uta Arad's defence is €7m less valuable than FCSB's (€4m vs €11m).
Romania: Liga I 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →