This opponent (Rapid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.90
1.70
0.80
0.90
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.42
0.92
1.67
0.83
1.17
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.88
1.75
0.75
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.3%
Under 1.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.7%
Under 2.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.0%
Under 3.5
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.0%
No
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.1%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
10.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
4.7%
Uta Arad goals ↓
Rapid goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
12%
8.8%
4.0%
1.4%
1
8.2%
14%
8.7%
3.9%
1.3%
2
4.7%
6.4%
4.3%
2.0%
0.7%
3
1.5%
2.1%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Uta Arad goals (down), columns = Rapid goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Farul Constanta
2.12
FCSB
1.85
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.80
Universitatea Craiova
1.68
Rapid
1.60
Dinamo Bucuresti
1.50
AFC Hermannstadt
1.44
U Craiova 1948
1.41
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.33
FC Voluntari
1.30
Universitatea Cluj
1.28
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.25
FC Botosani
1.21
Uta Arad
1.05
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
Arges Pitesti
0.98
CS Mioveni
0.56
SCM Gloria Buzău
0.50
Uta Arad is 0.55 points worse than Rapid in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Bucuresti
4.00
Farul Constanta
1.90
FCSB
1.65
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.59
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.43
Rapid
1.43
Universitatea Craiova
1.30
U Craiova 1948
1.22
FC Voluntari
1.20
Uta Arad
1.07
AFC Hermannstadt
1.03
FC Botosani
1.00
Chindia Targoviste
1.00
Universitatea Cluj
0.95
Petrolul Ploiesti
0.95
Arges Pitesti
0.88
CS Mioveni
0.62
SCM Gloria Buzău
0.50
Uta Arad is 0.35 goals worse than Rapid in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
AFC Hermannstadt
0.92
CFR 1907 Cluj
1.02
Universitatea Craiova
1.02
Farul Constanta
1.02
U Craiova 1948
1.05
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
1.10
FC Voluntari
1.15
Rapid
1.15
Universitatea Cluj
1.18
Uta Arad
1.24
FCSB
1.25
FC Botosani
1.26
Petrolul Ploiesti
1.36
Chindia Targoviste
1.38
Arges Pitesti
1.46
CS Mioveni
1.64
Dinamo Bucuresti
2.50
SCM Gloria Buzău
2.50
Uta Arad is 0.09 goals worse than Rapid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.15).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Universitatea Craiova
55%
U Craiova 1948
54%
Farul Constanta
53%
FCSB
52%
Uta Arad
52%
Petrolul Ploiesti
51%
Universitatea Cluj
51%
Rapid
50%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
50%
FC Voluntari
49%
AFC Hermannstadt
49%
FC Botosani
49%
Dinamo Bucuresti
48%
Arges Pitesti
48%
CFR 1907 Cluj
47%
Chindia Targoviste
45%
SCM Gloria Buzău
45%
CS Mioveni
45%
Uta Arad is 1.4 percentage points better than Rapid in terms of average possession (52% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Uta Arad
For 5.0 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 10.8 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rapid
For 5.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Uta Arad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
9.5
11.7
8.2
2.1
1.7
2.5
23.2
26.0
21.6
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
9.5
11.7
8.2
2.8
2.1
3.6
23.2
26.0
21.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
67%
40%
40%
30%
50%
62%
67%
60%
% under line
50%
33%
60%
60%
70%
50%
38%
33%
40%
This opponent (Rapid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
10.1
10.0
10.2
2.1
1.9
2.4
22.3
21.8
22.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
9.0
8.3
9.5
2.9
2.7
3.2
23.7
24.3
23.2
vs Weaker (8)
14.0
15.0
13.0
1.0
0.8
1.2
17.5
14.0
21.0
% over line
44%
25%
60%
30%
20%
40%
44%
50%
40%
% under line
56%
75%
40%
70%
80%
60%
56%
50%
60%
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rapid
10.1
Petrolul Ploiesti
9.9
FCSB
9.8
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
9.5
Uta Arad
9.5
FC Botosani
9.2
Chindia Targoviste
9.1
U Craiova 1948
9.0
Farul Constanta
8.9
Universitatea Craiova
8.3
CFR 1907 Cluj
8.3
Arges Pitesti
8.1
CS Mioveni
7.9
Universitatea Cluj
7.2
FC Voluntari
7.2
AFC Hermannstadt
6.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Universitatea Craiova
5.5
Uta Arad
5.2
U Craiova 1948
5.2
FC Botosani
5.0
Universitatea Cluj
5.0
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4.9
Rapid
4.8
FC Voluntari
4.7
CFR 1907 Cluj
4.6
AFC Hermannstadt
4.6
FCSB
4.4
Chindia Targoviste
4.3
Petrolul Ploiesti
4.1
Farul Constanta
3.9
Arges Pitesti
3.6
CS Mioveni
2.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
U Craiova 1948
26.2
Universitatea Craiova
25.8
Farul Constanta
25.2
FC Botosani
24.9
Chindia Targoviste
24.6
AFC Hermannstadt
24.2
FCSB
24.2
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
23.7
CFR 1907 Cluj
23.4
Uta Arad
23.2
FC Voluntari
22.9
Rapid
22.3
Universitatea Cluj
22.1
CS Mioveni
22.0
Petrolul Ploiesti
21.0
Arges Pitesti
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.2%
Under 9.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.4%
Under 3.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
68.5%
Under 21.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Uta Arad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.55
0.75
0.80
0.80
0.30
0.70
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.67
0.88
0.75
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.55
0.55
0.80
0.50
0.30
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.58
0.83
0.50
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (8)
0.38
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
55% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Uta Arad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Uta Arad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.65
0.40
0.60
0.20
0.70
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.27
0.73
0.38
0.62
0.14
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.35
0.90
0.30
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.38
1.00
0.25
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
65% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Uta Arad) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Uta Arad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uta Arad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Uta Arad · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ismet Sinani17%
Jayson Papeau14%
Marius Coman14%
Hakim Abdallah14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Dmytro Pospelov0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Roman Alin0%
Richard Odada0%
Denis Țăroi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dmytro Pospelov50%
Peter Ouaneh40%
Alexandru Benga33%
Jayson Papeau29%
Sota Mino29%
Roman Alin29%
Andrea Padula20%
Din Alomerovic20%
Richard Odada17%
Marinos Tzionis14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Marius Coman0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Hakim Abdallah0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Ismet Sinani0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jayson Papeau29%
Roman Alin29%
Dmytro Pospelov25%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Marius Coman0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Hakim Abdallah0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Richard Odada0%
Andrei Dorobanțu0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Ismet Sinani0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Alin43%
Marius Coman29%
Ismet Sinani17%
Hakim Abdallah14%
Andrei Dorobanțu14%
Alexandru Benga0%
Marinos Tzionis0%
Peter Ouaneh0%
Jayson Papeau0%
Andrei Gorcea0%
Sota Mino0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Andrea Padula0%
Dmytro Pospelov0%
Din Alomerovic0%
Richard Odada0%
Denis Țăroi0%
Rapid · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alex Dobre33%
Claudiu Petrila33%
Olimpiu Moruțan33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Alexandru Paşcanu25%
Daniel Graovac0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Vladan Bubanja0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Constantin Grameni0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cătălin Vulturar50%
Alexandru Paşcanu50%
Robert Sălceanu40%
Alex Dobre33%
Lars Kramer33%
Vladan Bubanja33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Mohammed Kamara25%
Denis Ciobotariu25%
Marian Aioani17%
Constantin Grameni17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Claudiu Petrila0%
Olimpiu Moruțan0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Olimpiu Moruțan33%
Timotej Jambor33%
Omar El Sawy25%
Vladan Bubanja17%
Constantin Grameni17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Alex Dobre0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Claudiu Petrila0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Filip Stojilković0%
Alexandru Paşcanu0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Rareș Pop0%
Jason Kodor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Claudiu Petrila33%
Filip Stojilković33%
Rareș Pop33%
Alexandru Paşcanu25%
Alex Dobre17%
Olimpiu Moruțan17%
Vladan Bubanja17%
Daniel Graovac0%
Mohammed Kamara0%
Lars Kramer0%
Marian Aioani0%
Cătălin Vulturar0%
Denis Ciobotariu0%
Răzvan Onea0%
Constantin Grameni0%
Timotej Jambor0%
Robert Sălceanu0%
Omar El Sawy0%
Jason Kodor0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (25)
€37m
RAP (31)
€30m
FCS (27)
€26m
DB (26)
€20m
UC (26)
€17m
C1C (22)
€14m
AP (26)
€13m
AH (37)
€11m
FC (32)
€11m
FB (25)
€9m
UA (21)
€8m
SOS (31)
€6m
PP (20)
€6m
FV (24)
€6m
CT (21)
€3m
Uta Arad's squad is €21m less valuable than Rapid's (€8m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (10)
€14m
RAP (13)
€14m
FCS (9)
€12m
C1C (6)
€8m
DB (10)
€8m
UC (8)
€7m
AH (13)
€5m
FC (10)
€4m
FB (8)
€4m
AP (11)
€4m
UA (8)
€4m
SOS (12)
€2m
FV (11)
€2m
CT (8)
€2m
PP (5)
€1m
Uta Arad's attack is €10m less valuable than Rapid's (€4m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (6)
€10m
DB (4)
€5m
UC (6)
€4m
FCS (5)
€4m
RAP (4)
€3m
AP (6)
€3m
AH (9)
€2m
FC (7)
€2m
C1C (5)
€2m
PP (7)
€2m
FB (5)
€2m
SOS (7)
€1m
UA (3)
€1m
FV (2)
€1m
CT (2)
€0m
Uta Arad's midfield is €2m less valuable than Rapid's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UC (9)
€13m
RAP (14)
€12m
FCS (13)
€11m
DB (12)
€7m
AP (9)
€6m
UC (12)
€5m
AH (15)
€5m
FC (15)
€4m
C1C (11)
€4m
UA (10)
€4m
FB (12)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
PP (8)
€3m
SOS (12)
€2m
CT (11)
€1m
Uta Arad's defence is €9m less valuable than Rapid's (€4m vs €12m).
Romania: Liga I 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Romania: Liga I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Farul Constanta
CFR 1907 Cluj
FCSB
Universitatea Craiova
U Craiova 1948
AFC Hermannstadt
FC Voluntari
Petrolul Ploiesti
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Universitatea Cluj
FC Botosani
Arges Pitesti
Chindia Targoviste
CS Mioveni
Dinamo Bucuresti
SCM Gloria Buzău