Utrecht’s recent home form shows a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals per match while scoring 1.83 against weaker opposition, a contrast to GO Ahead Eagles’ away outings where they concede 2.33 and score just 1.11 against stronger sides. The model predicts a 51% chance of a home win, 24% for a draw and 25% for an away win, making Utrecht the favourite. With an expected total of 3.3 goals, the most likely total is 3, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.5% probability. The suggested picks include a 98.1% chance of “Away under 2.5 HT goals” (edge 6%), a 97.5% chance of “Under 7.5” (edge 1%), a 97.0% chance of “Home under 2.5 HT goals” (edge 7%), a 96.9% chance of “Away under 2.5 2H goals” (edge 6%), a 94.6% chance of “Away under 3.5 goals” (edge 2%), a 93.9% chance of “Home under 2.5 2H goals” (edge 7%), a 93.9% chance of “Under 6.5” (edge 1%), and an 88.5% chance of “Home +2 handicap” (edge 4%). Utrecht’s recent loss to PSV and GO Ahead’s defeat to AZ hint at defensive frailties, but the home side’s stronger record suggests they will edge the game.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Utrecht win
51.2%
Avg Implied 45.6% · @ 2.06
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.13
Pinnacle
2.12
Dafabet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Draw
23.5%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.69
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.85
Dafabet
3.85
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
GO Ahead Eagles win
25.2%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.23
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.35
1xBet
3.34
Betfair
3.30
Unibet
3.30
Betano
3.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Utrecht
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.63
1.40
1.60
1.53
1.67
vs Stronger (7)
1.29
2.57
0.67
3.00
1.75
2.25
vs Similar (9)
1.56
1.56
1.33
2.00
2.00
0.67
vs Weaker (14)
1.50
1.21
1.83
0.50
1.25
1.75
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (GO Ahead Eagles) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GO Ahead Eagles
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.60
2.21
1.36
1.06
1.81
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
2.23
0.50
2.00
1.11
2.33
vs Similar (17)
2.12
1.12
2.90
1.10
1.00
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Utrecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.9%
@ 1.14+4.1%
Under 1.5
14.1%
@ 5.14-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Pinnacle
5.28
BetVictor
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.4%
@ 1.52+3.8%
Under 2.5
34.6%
@ 2.43-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Unibet
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Under
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.54
Betano
2.50
10Bet
2.40
Bet365
2.40
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.5%
@ 2.30+2.5%
Under 3.5
56.5%
@ 1.60-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.40
10Bet
2.35
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.31
Betfair
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Betfair
1.60
Both teams to score
Yes
65.4%
@ 1.46+2.0%
No
34.6%
@ 2.54-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Unibet
1.47
Betfair
1.47
No
Betfair
2.63
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
Betano
2.55
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%@ 7.19+4.0%
2-1
9.4%@ 8.18+3.9%
2-0
6.9%@ 11.86+3.0%
1-2
6.5%@ 10.73+2.2%
2-2
6.5%@ 10.56+2.1%
3-1
6.3%@ 13.20+2.8%
1-0
5.9%@ 10.19+1.5%
3-0
4.6%@ 18.47+2.1%
Utrecht goals ↓
GO Ahead Eagles goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
3.8%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
1
5.9%
10%
6.5%
2.9%
1.0%
2
6.9%
9.4%
6.5%
2.9%
1.0%
3
4.6%
6.3%
4.3%
2.0%
0.7%
4
2.3%
3.1%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Utrecht goals (down), columns = GO Ahead Eagles goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
Willem II
1.14
Excelsior
1.12
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Telstar
1.09
PEC Zwolle
1.09
ADO Den Haag
1.08
Cambuur
1.03
Utrecht is 0.47 points better than GO Ahead Eagles in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Telstar
1.44
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Groningen
1.40
Willem II
1.32
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
ADO Den Haag
1.25
Cambuur
1.20
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
Utrecht is 0.02 goals better than GO Ahead Eagles in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.59).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
Willem II
1.90
ADO Den Haag
2.01
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Cambuur
2.10
Utrecht is 0.34 goals better than GO Ahead Eagles in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Utrecht is 2.9 percentage points worse than GO Ahead Eagles in terms of average possession (47% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Utrecht
For 4.3 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 10.8 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
GO Ahead Eagles
For 5.6 · Against 6.8 · Total 12.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.0 · Against 10.3 · Total 18.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Utrecht
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.0
9.6
3.6
3.9
3.2
23.2
23.8
22.5
vs Stronger (11)
11.5
10.7
12.6
4.6
6.5
2.4
24.0
26.8
20.6
vs Similar (18)
9.1
9.8
8.1
3.6
3.6
3.6
22.8
24.0
21.2
vs Weaker (21)
9.5
9.7
9.3
3.0
2.4
3.3
23.0
21.7
24.1
% over line
54%
56%
52%
50%
52%
48%
56%
64%
48%
% under line
46%
44%
48%
50%
48%
52%
44%
36%
52%
This opponent (GO Ahead Eagles) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GO Ahead Eagles
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.3
11.3
3.1
2.7
3.4
18.9
19.9
18.0
vs Stronger (22)
10.9
10.1
11.6
3.0
3.1
2.8
18.0
18.9
17.2
vs Similar (27)
11.5
12.2
10.7
3.2
2.4
4.1
19.8
20.6
19.0
vs Weaker (1)
15.0
-
15.0
2.0
-
2.0
14.0
-
14.0
% over line
64%
67%
62%
30%
21%
38%
26%
33%
19%
% under line
36%
33%
38%
70%
79%
62%
74%
67%
81%
This opponent (Utrecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
11.3
PSV Eindhoven
11.3
Fortuna Sittard
10.8
Willem II
10.8
Sparta Rotterdam
10.7
Telstar
10.6
ADO Den Haag
10.6
AZ Alkmaar
10.4
Heerenveen
10.2
Feyenoord
10.1
Groningen
10.1
Cambuur
10.1
Twente
10.0
NEC Nijmegen
9.9
Utrecht
9.8
Ajax
9.7
Excelsior
9.4
PEC Zwolle
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cambuur
3.9
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Twente
3.8
Sparta Rotterdam
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
AZ Alkmaar
3.7
Ajax
3.6
ADO Den Haag
3.6
Groningen
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
Fortuna Sittard
3.4
PEC Zwolle
3.4
Telstar
3.3
GO Ahead Eagles
3.3
Willem II
3.1
Excelsior
3.1
Heerenveen
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ADO Den Haag
26.5
Cambuur
26.4
NEC Nijmegen
23.9
Fortuna Sittard
23.4
Utrecht
23.2
Feyenoord
22.8
AZ Alkmaar
22.6
PEC Zwolle
22.5
Telstar
22.5
Willem II
22.3
Ajax
21.8
Excelsior
21.7
Groningen
20.7
Twente
20.6
Sparta Rotterdam
20.6
Heerenveen
20.0
GO Ahead Eagles
18.9
PSV Eindhoven
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
66.5%
@ 1.55+7.2%
Under 9.5
33.5%
@ 2.26-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.63
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
Betfair
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.38
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
Unibet
2.12
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
45.1%
@ 2.25+3.5%
Under 3.5
54.9%
@ 1.60-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Under
Betano
1.60
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
42.2%
Under 21.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Utrecht or Draw
74.6%
Avg Implied 70.9% · @ 1.32
Edge
+3.6%
51%
24%
25%
covers Utrecht + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Utrecht or GO Ahead Eagles
76.8%
Avg Implied 75.2% · @ 1.25
Edge
+1.6%
51%
24%
25%
covers Utrecht + GO Ahead Eagles
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Draw or GO Ahead Eagles
48.7%
Avg Implied 53.8% · @ 1.74
Edge
-5.2%
51%
24%
25%
covers Draw + GO Ahead Eagles
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.81
Betfair
1.80
Betano
1.78
Unibet
1.74
10Bet
1.73
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Utrecht over/under 0.5
Over
87.0%
@ 1.13+5.0%
Under
13.0%
@ 5.16-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
Unibet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Utrecht over/under 1.5
Over
60.5%
@ 1.73+6.5%
Under
39.5%
@ 2.03-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
10Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.04
Utrecht over/under 2.5
Over
33.4%
@ 3.28+5.1%
Under
66.6%
@ 1.30-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.38
BetVictor
3.30
Unibet
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Utrecht over/under 3.5
Over
15.0%
@ 6.90+1.6%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.07-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.80
Betfair
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Unibet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 0.5
Over
75.5%
@ 1.24+1.1%
Under
24.5%
@ 3.61-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.78
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
Betano
3.55
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 1.5
Over
41.0%
@ 2.25-0.5%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.59+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
Unibet
2.28
Betfair
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Betano
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
BetVictor
1.60
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 2.5
Over
16.8%
@ 4.98-1.9%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.14+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 3.5
Over
5.4%
@ 11.12-3.1%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.04+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Utrecht, so a minus line means Utrecht give that many goals of a start and GO Ahead Eagles receive them. At -1, Utrecht must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Utrecht win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Utrecht)
Utrecht -2
15.0%
@ 7.25+2.5%
Draw -2
15.8%
@ 5.86+0.3%
GO Ahead Eagles +2
69.3%
@ 1.25-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Marathonbet
6.05
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.50
Away
Bet365
1.28
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Handicap -1 (Utrecht)
Utrecht -1
30.7%
@ 3.47+5.0%
Draw -1
20.6%
@ 3.99-1.8%
GO Ahead Eagles +1
48.7%
@ 1.72-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
3.90
Unibet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Away
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
Handicap +1 (Utrecht)
Utrecht +1
74.6%
@ 1.32+6.4%
Draw +1
13.9%
@ 5.09-3.8%
GO Ahead Eagles -1
11.5%
@ 6.41-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Draw
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Away
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.15
10Bet
6.00
Handicap +2 (Utrecht)
Utrecht +2
88.5%
@ 1.09+5.1%
Draw +2
7.5%
@ 8.75-2.9%
GO Ahead Eagles -2
4.1%
@ 14.50-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
7.50
Away
Betfair
17.00
Bet365
15.00
Unibet
13.00
10Bet
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Utrecht
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.67
0.33
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.22
0.50
0.17
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (14)
0.57
0.57
0.83
0.17
0.38
0.88
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (GO Ahead Eagles) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GO Ahead Eagles
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.90
0.93
0.50
0.25
1.25
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.54
0.25
1.00
0.33
1.78
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.41
1.20
0.30
0.14
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Utrecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.0%
@ 1.25-2.2%
Under 0.5
28.0%
@ 3.60+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Unibet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Unibet
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.8%
@ 2.22-2.3%
Under 1.5
60.2%
@ 1.61+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Unibet
2.28
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.5%
@ 4.90-5.5%
Under 2.5
86.5%
@ 1.15+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
Unibet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Betano
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Under
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Utrecht over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.5%
@ 1.70-5.4%
Under
50.5%
@ 2.06+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Unibet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.13
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Unibet
2.04
Betano
2.02
Utrecht over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.9%
@ 4.38-6.3%
Under
85.1%
@ 1.17+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Betano
4.35
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Utrecht over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.0%
@ 9.78-6.4%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.80
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.5%
@ 2.00-3.1%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.75+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathonbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.1%
@ 6.01-2.3%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.09+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.25
Unibet
6.25
Betano
5.90
1xBet
5.90
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.4%
@ 12.00-5.4%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Utrecht
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.07
0.73
1.27
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.57
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.25
vs Similar (9)
0.89
1.33
0.83
1.83
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.64
1.00
0.33
0.88
0.88
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (GO Ahead Eagles) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GO Ahead Eagles
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.70
1.29
0.86
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
0.69
0.25
1.00
0.78
0.56
vs Similar (17)
1.35
0.71
1.70
0.80
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Utrecht) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.7%
@ 1.14-0.8%
Under 0.5
19.3%
@ 5.03+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.05
Marathonbet
5.05
Unibet
5.00
Betano
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.3%
@ 1.74-4.5%
Under 1.5
50.7%
@ 2.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Unibet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.04
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
21.2%
@ 3.26-7.3%
Under 2.5
78.8%
@ 1.30+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Unibet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.15
Under
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Utrecht over/under 0.5 2H
Over
60.4%
@ 1.46-3.3%
Under
39.6%
@ 2.56+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Under
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.55
Utrecht over/under 1.5 2H
Over
21.9%
@ 3.20-7.0%
Under
78.1%
@ 1.30+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.24
1xBet
3.10
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Utrecht over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.8%
@ 7.75-6.2%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.05+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.40
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.1%
@ 1.68-3.1%
Under
47.9%
@ 2.06+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.03
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.7%
@ 4.35-5.6%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.18+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.6%
@ 9.50-6.3%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.04+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.4%
Under 7.5
97.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+6.4%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
94.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
+3.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+6.2%
Under 6.5
93.9%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+0.2%
Home +2 handicap
88.5%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-
+5.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
87.0%
1.13
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
+5.0%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.9%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
+2.3%
Under 5.5 cards
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.5%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Betfair
1.13
+5.5%
Under 5.5
86.5%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Unibet
1.06
-1.2%
Over 1.5
85.9%
1.14
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Unibet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
+4.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.1%
1.17
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
+6.3%
Under 25.5 fouls
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
85.0%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Unibet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-1.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.3%
1.18
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+5.6%
Away under 2.5 goals
83.2%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+1.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.7%
1.14
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.14
-0.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.30
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
+7.3%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.1%
1.30
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
-
+7.0%
Over 8.5 corners
77.2%
1.31
Unibet
1.37
Betano
1.33
Betfair
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
+7.4%
Home or Away
76.8%
1.25
1xBet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.27
+1.6%
Away over 0.5 goals
75.5%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+1.1%
Home or Draw
74.6%
1.32
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
+3.6%
Home +1 handicap
74.6%
1.32
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
+6.4%
Under 4.5 cards
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
73.6%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-2.9%
Under 23.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.0%
1.25
Betano
1.31
Unibet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-2.2%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Utrecht
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Artem Stepanov100%
Adrian Blake50%
Arthur Zagre0%
Dani De Wit0%
Vasilis Barkas0%
Siebe Horemans0%
Niklas Vesterlund0%
Neville Nwankwo0%
Kevin Paredes0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Yoann Cathline0%
Guus Offerhaus0%
Ángel Alarcón0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Arthur Zagre50%
Dani De Wit50%
Guus Offerhaus50%
Vasilis Barkas33%
Artem Stepanov33%
Siebe Horemans25%
Niklas Vesterlund0%
Neville Nwankwo0%
Kevin Paredes0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Yoann Cathline0%
Ángel Alarcón0%
Adrian Blake0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Niklas Vesterlund50%
Yoann Cathline50%
Davy van den Berg25%
Arthur Zagre0%
Dani De Wit0%
Vasilis Barkas0%
Siebe Horemans0%
Neville Nwankwo0%
Kevin Paredes0%
Guus Offerhaus0%
Ángel Alarcón0%
Adrian Blake0%
Artem Stepanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ángel Alarcón25%
Arthur Zagre0%
Dani De Wit0%
Vasilis Barkas0%
Siebe Horemans0%
Niklas Vesterlund0%
Neville Nwankwo0%
Kevin Paredes0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Yoann Cathline0%
Guus Offerhaus0%
Adrian Blake0%
Artem Stepanov0%
GO Ahead Eagles
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Søren Tengstedt75%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson50%
Victor Edvardsen50%
Melle Meulensteen33%
Julius Dirksen33%
Mathis Suray25%
Erik Flataker25%
Joris Kramer0%
Richonell Margaret0%
Evert Linthorst0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Thibo Baeten0%
Dean James0%
Oskar Siira Sivertsen0%
Giovanni van Zwam0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julius Dirksen67%
Dean James25%
Melle Meulensteen0%
Joris Kramer0%
Richonell Margaret0%
Evert Linthorst0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Søren Tengstedt0%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson0%
Victor Edvardsen0%
Thibo Baeten0%
Mathis Suray0%
Oskar Siira Sivertsen0%
Giovanni van Zwam0%
Erik Flataker0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Melle Meulensteen33%
Evert Linthorst25%
Alfons Sampsted25%
Søren Tengstedt25%
Victor Edvardsen25%
Mathis Suray25%
Dean James25%
Joris Kramer0%
Richonell Margaret0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson0%
Thibo Baeten0%
Julius Dirksen0%
Oskar Siira Sivertsen0%
Giovanni van Zwam0%
Erik Flataker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Søren Tengstedt50%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson25%
Victor Edvardsen25%
Erik Flataker25%
Melle Meulensteen0%
Joris Kramer0%
Richonell Margaret0%
Evert Linthorst0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Alfons Sampsted0%
Thibo Baeten0%
Julius Dirksen0%
Mathis Suray0%
Dean James0%
Oskar Siira Sivertsen0%
Giovanni van Zwam0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
TEL (21)
€8m
Utrecht's squad is €40m more valuable than GO Ahead Eagles's (€61m vs €22m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
WI (8)
€4m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
Utrecht's attack is €24m more valuable than GO Ahead Eagles's (€33m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
Utrecht's midfield is €9m more valuable than GO Ahead Eagles's (€14m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
TEL (10)
€3m
Utrecht's defence is €7m more valuable than GO Ahead Eagles's (€15m vs €8m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Excelsior
Groningen
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
PEC Zwolle
Telstar
Willem II
ADO Den Haag
Cambuur