This opponent (Gefle IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gefle IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.60
1.56
1.69
0.86
1.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.75
0.00
4.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.38
1.42
1.79
1.29
0.92
1.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Utsikten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.4%
Under 2.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.1%
No
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
0-0 ✓
8.8%
0-1
6.0%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
Utsikten goals ↓
Gefle IF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
6.0%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
1
11%
13%
5.5%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
9.6%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
5.6%
5.2%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.3%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Utsikten goals (down), columns = Gefle IF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Degerfors IF
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Helsingborg
1.57
Stockholm Internazionale
1.50
Orgryte IS
1.47
Sandviken
1.43
Trelleborg
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Utsikten
1.37
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.30
Orebro SK
1.30
Oddevold
1.20
Ostersunds FK
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.16
Gefle IF
1.07
Skövde AIK
0.83
Lund
0.00
Utsikten is 0.30 points better than Gefle IF in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osters IF
1.83
Degerfors IF
1.67
Orgryte IS
1.67
Sandviken
1.63
Landskrona BoIS
1.53
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.53
Helsingborg
1.37
Utsikten
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Oddevold
1.13
Trelleborg
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
IK brage
1.03
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Lund
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.97
Skövde AIK
0.87
Utsikten is 0.07 goals better than Gefle IF in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.23).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Degerfors IF
0.93
IK brage
0.97
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Osters IF
1.03
Landskrona BoIS
1.13
Helsingborg
1.13
Orebro SK
1.20
Utsikten
1.27
Trelleborg
1.27
GIF Sundsvall
1.31
Sandviken
1.37
Orgryte IS
1.43
Ostersunds FK
1.44
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.47
Oddevold
1.57
Skövde AIK
1.73
Gefle IF
1.80
Lund
2.50
Utsikten is 0.53 goals better than Gefle IF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.80).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
64%
Sandviken
61%
Osters IF
58%
Lund
56%
IK brage
55%
Orebro SK
51%
Ostersunds FK
51%
GIF Sundsvall
50%
Helsingborg
48%
Trelleborg
48%
Degerfors IF
47%
Skövde AIK
47%
Orgryte IS
47%
Gefle IF
46%
Utsikten
46%
Stockholm Internazionale
43%
Oddevold
43%
Varbergs BoIS FC
40%
Utsikten is 0.5 percentage points worse than Gefle IF in terms of average possession (46% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Utsikten
For 5.1 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 14.2 · Total 29.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gefle IF
For 4.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 14.1 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Utsikten
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
8.2
11.2
4.3
4.5
4.1
30.1
30.5
29.7
vs Stronger (2)
6.5
4.0
9.0
5.5
5.0
6.0
31.5
33.0
30.0
vs Similar (45)
10.0
8.4
11.3
4.1
4.3
3.9
30.7
31.5
30.0
vs Weaker (3)
9.0
8.5
10.0
6.3
6.0
7.0
22.7
22.0
24.0
% over line
50%
33%
65%
60%
62%
58%
92%
89%
95%
% under line
50%
67%
35%
40%
38%
42%
8%
11%
5%
This opponent (Gefle IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gefle IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (31)
10.2
10.1
10.2
4.0
4.2
3.8
27.4
27.5
27.3
vs Stronger (4)
12.0
10.0
14.0
4.0
3.0
5.0
28.8
35.5
22.0
vs Similar (27)
9.9
10.2
9.6
4.0
4.4
3.6
27.2
26.2
28.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
59%
60%
57%
52%
50%
53%
79%
80%
79%
% under line
41%
40%
43%
48%
50%
47%
21%
20%
21%
This opponent (Utsikten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Skövde AIK
11.8
GIF Sundsvall
11.1
Helsingborg
10.9
Orgryte IS
10.8
Degerfors IF
10.7
Orebro SK
10.7
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.5
Landskrona BoIS
10.5
Ostersunds FK
10.4
Osters IF
10.3
Trelleborg
10.3
Gefle IF
10.2
Utsikten
9.9
IK brage
9.2
Sandviken
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.6
Orgryte IS
4.6
Ostersunds FK
4.6
Osters IF
4.5
Helsingborg
4.4
Sandviken
4.3
Landskrona BoIS
4.3
Gefle IF
4.3
Varbergs BoIS FC
4.3
Trelleborg
4.0
Orebro SK
4.0
Degerfors IF
3.9
Skövde AIK
3.8
IK brage
3.5
GIF Sundsvall
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandviken
35.0
Utsikten
29.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
28.5
Gefle IF
27.4
Skövde AIK
26.4
Trelleborg
26.0
Ostersunds FK
26.0
Orgryte IS
26.0
Landskrona BoIS
25.2
IK brage
24.8
Osters IF
24.6
Helsingborg
24.3
Orebro SK
24.0
Degerfors IF
23.9
GIF Sundsvall
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.3%
Under 9.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.4%
Under 3.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.1%
Under 21.5
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Utsikten
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
1.14
0.64
0.25
0.38
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.56
1.15
0.69
0.21
0.43
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Gefle IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gefle IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.77
0.44
0.88
0.36
0.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.25
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.46
0.69
0.50
0.71
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Utsikten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Utsikten over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utsikten over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utsikten over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gefle IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gefle IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gefle IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Utsikten
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
1.00
0.64
0.81
0.75
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.85
0.74
0.77
0.69
0.93
0.79
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
4.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Gefle IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gefle IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
1.12
0.81
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.00
2.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.73
1.29
0.57
0.50
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Utsikten) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Utsikten over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utsikten over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Utsikten over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gefle IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gefle IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gefle IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Utsikten
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Filip Trpčevski40%
Lucas Lima29%
Kalipha Jawla25%
Karl Bohm20%
Abundance Salaou20%
Albin Skoglund12%
Malkolm Moenza9%
Ivo Pekalski8%
Predrag Ranđelović8%
Erik Westermark8%
Allan Mohideen7%
Robin Book7%
Jesper Brandt7%
Alexander Faltsetas0%
Elia Hadaya0%
Suleman Zurmati0%
Fredrik Martinsson0%
Kevin Rodeblad Lowe0%
Daniel Hermansson0%
Sebastian Lagerlund0%
Wiggo Hjort0%
Lorent Mehmeti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivo Pekalski50%
Albin Skoglund50%
Sebastian Lagerlund36%
Kevin Rodeblad Lowe33%
Karl Bohm30%
Allan Mohideen29%
Jesper Brandt27%
Kalipha Jawla25%
Fredrik Martinsson20%
Abundance Salaou20%
Predrag Ranđelović15%
Alexander Faltsetas15%
Erik Westermark15%
Lucas Lima7%
Elia Hadaya7%
Robin Book0%
Malkolm Moenza0%
Suleman Zurmati0%
Daniel Hermansson0%
Filip Trpčevski0%
Wiggo Hjort0%
Lorent Mehmeti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fredrik Martinsson20%
Abundance Salaou20%
Malkolm Moenza18%
Karl Bohm10%
Erik Westermark8%
Allan Mohideen7%
Robin Book7%
Jesper Brandt0%
Predrag Ranđelović0%
Alexander Faltsetas0%
Ivo Pekalski0%
Albin Skoglund0%
Elia Hadaya0%
Suleman Zurmati0%
Kevin Rodeblad Lowe0%
Daniel Hermansson0%
Lucas Lima0%
Sebastian Lagerlund0%
Filip Trpčevski0%
Wiggo Hjort0%
Lorent Mehmeti0%
Kalipha Jawla0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Albin Skoglund50%
Kalipha Jawla25%
Karl Bohm20%
Fredrik Martinsson20%
Filip Trpčevski20%
Abundance Salaou20%
Alexander Faltsetas15%
Ivo Pekalski8%
Allan Mohideen7%
Lucas Lima7%
Robin Book0%
Jesper Brandt0%
Predrag Ranđelović0%
Malkolm Moenza0%
Erik Westermark0%
Elia Hadaya0%
Suleman Zurmati0%
Kevin Rodeblad Lowe0%
Daniel Hermansson0%
Sebastian Lagerlund0%
Wiggo Hjort0%
Lorent Mehmeti0%
Gefle IF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jacob Hjelte33%
Gustav Friberg25%
Leo Englund22%
Constantino Capotondi20%
Samuel Adrian14%
Anton Lundin14%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt11%
Martin Rauschenberg Brorsen0%
Henrik Bellman0%
Adrian Edqvist0%
York Rafael0%
Kevin Persson0%
Tobias Johansson0%
Iu Ranera Grau0%
Sebastian Friman0%
Mathias Nilsson0%
Christoffer Aspgren0%
Niclas Hakansson0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Lundin43%
Mathias Nilsson33%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt33%
Samuel Adrian29%
Tobias Johansson25%
Niclas Hakansson25%
Gustav Friberg25%
Martin Rauschenberg Brorsen22%
Adrian Edqvist11%
York Rafael11%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson11%
Henrik Bellman0%
Jacob Hjelte0%
Kevin Persson0%
Iu Ranera Grau0%
Sebastian Friman0%
Christoffer Aspgren0%
Leo Englund0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Constantino Capotondi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gustav Friberg25%
Constantino Capotondi20%
Jacob Hjelte17%
Samuel Adrian14%
Anton Lundin14%
Martin Rauschenberg Brorsen0%
Henrik Bellman0%
Adrian Edqvist0%
York Rafael0%
Kevin Persson0%
Tobias Johansson0%
Iu Ranera Grau0%
Sebastian Friman0%
Mathias Nilsson0%
Christoffer Aspgren0%
Leo Englund0%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt0%
Niclas Hakansson0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jacob Hjelte33%
Anton Lundin14%
Leo Englund11%
Samuel Adrian0%
Martin Rauschenberg Brorsen0%
Henrik Bellman0%
Adrian Edqvist0%
York Rafael0%
Kevin Persson0%
Tobias Johansson0%
Iu Ranera Grau0%
Sebastian Friman0%
Mathias Nilsson0%
Christoffer Aspgren0%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt0%
Niclas Hakansson0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Jesper Merbom Adolfsson0%
Gustav Friberg0%
Constantino Capotondi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Sweden: Superettan 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
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Degerfors IF
Osters IF
Landskrona BoIS
Helsingborg
Orgryte IS
Sandviken
Trelleborg
IK brage
Varbergs BoIS FC
Orebro SK
Ostersunds FK
GIF Sundsvall
Oddevold
Skövde AIK
Stockholm Internazionale
Lund