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Valerenga vs Fredrikstad Result & Analysis

Date: 06/10/2024
Time: 18:00
Final 0-0
Valerenga
Valerenga
Vs
12%
15%
74%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Norway: NM Cupen
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valerenga win✗ Miss
11.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
14.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad win✗ Miss
73.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ValerengaValerenga

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W30W41W42W20W50W11D41W22D42WA·MOS03/08H·RAU11/08A·LEV18/08H·LYN24/08A·SAN01/09H·ASA16/09A·BRY21/09H·AAL24/09A·KON28/09H·MJO02/10
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
3.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.701.032.931.072.471.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.871.201.881.381.861.00
vs Weaker (15)3.530.874.140.713.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FredrikstadFredrikstad

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W22D00D10W04L01L20W16L32W10WA·HAM21/07H·ROS27/07H·KFU04/08H·HAU14/08H·BRA18/08A·HAU25/08H·ODD31/08A·MOL14/09H·VIK22/09A·SAR28/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.171.210.932.311.38
vs Stronger (3)1.331.671.502.001.001.00
vs Similar (17)1.411.410.711.141.901.60
vs Weaker (10)2.600.601.800.203.401.00
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Valerenga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%22%29%2%04%112%217%319%417%529%6+
The model estimates around 4.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
94.2%
Under 1.5
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
82.3%
Under 2.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.3%
Under 3.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.3%
No
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-3
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
1-4
6.3%
0-3
6.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-3
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
Valerenga goals ↓
Fredrikstad goals →
01234
01.6%3.2%5.8%6.1%4.8%
11.0%5.2%7.5%7.9%6.3%
21.0%3.1%4.9%5.2%4.1%
30.4%1.3%2.1%2.3%1.8%
40.1%0.4%0.7%0.7%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valerenga goals (down), columns = Fredrikstad goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molde
2.71
Ham-Kam
2.50
Viking
2.50
Stromsgodset
2.50
Sandnes ULF
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Stabaek
2.40
Tromso
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.25
Bryne
2.25
Raufoss
2.25
Eidsvold
2.25
Fredrikstad
2.14
Rosenborg
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Brann
2.00
Lillestrom
2.00
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Asane
2.00
hodd
2.00
Ranheim
2.00
Egersund
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Levanger
2.00
Arendal
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Kjelsås
2.00
Råde
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Valerenga
1.80
Sogndal
1.67
Aalesund
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Strommen
1.50
Moss
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Elverum
1.50
Bærum
1.50
Fløya
1.50
Fram
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.50
Træff
1.50
Vard
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Melhus
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Hønefoss
1.50
Eik-Tønsberg
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Sotra
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Torvastad
0.50
Askøy
0.50
Stord
0.50
Sandefjord
0.00
Brattvåg
0.00
Grorud
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Førde
0.00
Brodd
0.00
Eide
0.00
Fjøra
0.00
Gjelleråsen
0.00
Heming
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Åskollen
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sarpsborg
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Asker
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Express
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Lyngbø
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Volda
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Lørenskog
0.00
Flint
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Rana
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Follo
0.00
Nardo
0.00
Os
0.00
Sandviken (Norway)
0.00
Madla
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Fana
0.00
Mjølner
0.00
Senja
0.00
Surnadal
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Bossekop
0.00
Hei
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Toten
0.00
Valerenga is 0.34 points worse than Fredrikstad in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 2.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
5.00
Alta
5.00
Bryne
4.75
Stromsgodset
4.25
Brann
4.00
Lillestrom
4.00
Tromso
4.00
Strommen
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Sandviken (Norway)
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Viking
3.75
Stabaek
3.60
Ham-Kam
3.50
Raufoss
3.50
Bodo/Glimt
3.33
Sandnes ULF
3.17
Rosenborg
3.00
Asane
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Ranheim
3.00
Træff
3.00
Bjarg
3.00
Askøy
3.00
Tromsdalen Uil
3.00
Hønefoss
3.00
Madla
3.00
Fredrikstad
2.71
hodd
2.67
ODD Ballklubb
2.67
Molde
2.57
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Vard
2.50
Strindheim
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Moss
2.00
Førde
2.00
Fjøra
2.00
Gjelleråsen
2.00
Trygg/Lade
2.00
Torvastad
2.00
Eidsvold
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Nardo
2.00
Stord
2.00
KFUM Oslo
1.83
Valerenga
1.80
Arendal
1.67
Kjelsås
1.67
Levanger
1.60
Lyn
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Råde
1.33
Aalesund
1.00
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Grorud
1.00
jerv
1.00
Brodd
1.00
Åskollen
1.00
Sarpsborg
1.00
Express
1.00
Lyngbø
1.00
Volda
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Fløya
1.00
Fram
1.00
Melhus
1.00
Lørenskog
1.00
Notodden
1.00
Follo
1.00
Mjølner
1.00
Senja
1.00
Surnadal
1.00
Bossekop
1.00
Toten
1.00
Flekkerøy
0.50
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Sandefjord
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Eide
0.00
Heming
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Asker
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Flint
0.00
Rana
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Os
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Fana
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Hei
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Valerenga is 0.91 goals worse than Fredrikstad in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 2.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tromso
0.00
Valerenga
0.40
Aalesund
0.50
Mjondalen
0.50
Flekkerøy
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.57
Rosenborg
0.67
Arendal
0.67
Råde
0.67
Molde
0.71
Stromsgodset
0.75
Lysekloster
0.75
Levanger
0.80
KFUM Oslo
0.83
Sandefjord
1.00
Start
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Ranheim
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Moss
1.00
Skeid
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Frøya
1.00
Junkeren
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Skjervøy
1.00
Byåsen
1.00
Hei
1.00
Ham-Kam
1.25
Viking
1.25
Bryne
1.25
Raufoss
1.25
Brann
1.33
Bodo/Glimt
1.33
Asane
1.33
hodd
1.33
Kjelsås
1.33
Alta
1.33
Stabaek
1.40
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
jerv
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Træff
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.67
Sogndal
1.67
Kristiansund BK
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Brattvåg
2.00
Frigg
2.00
Heming
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Randesund
2.00
Årvoll
2.00
Asker
2.00
Express
2.00
Gamle Oslo
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Fram
2.00
Strindheim
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Lørenskog
2.00
Notodden
2.00
Kvik Halden
2.00
Os
2.00
Fana
2.00
Mjølner
2.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
2.00
Ullern
2.00
Lillestrom
2.20
Torvastad
2.50
Elverum
2.50
Bærum
2.50
Melhus
2.50
Oppsal
2.50
Eik-Tønsberg
2.50
Grorud
3.00
Union Carl Berner
3.00
Brodd
3.00
Tiller
3.00
Trygg/Lade
3.00
Ørn Horten
3.00
Åskollen
3.00
Sprint-Jeløy
3.00
Rana
3.00
Follo
3.00
Bossekop
3.00
Toten
3.00
Strommen
3.50
Fløya
3.50
Vard
3.50
Bjarg
3.50
Gjelleråsen
4.00
Mandalskameratene
4.00
Mosjøen
4.00
Nardo
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Stord
4.00
Askøy
4.50
Eide
5.00
Fjøra
5.00
Ridabu
5.00
Sarpsborg
5.00
Varhaug
5.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
5.00
Madla
5.00
Surnadal
5.00
Brønnøysund
6.00
Førde
6.00
Sortland
6.00
Sverresborg
6.00
Volda
6.00
Flint
6.00
Sandviken (Norway)
6.00
Senja
6.00
Bjørkelangen
7.00
Hallingdal
7.00
Lyngbø
7.00
Nybergsund
8.00
Skreia
8.00
Drøbak / Frogn
10.00
Forus og Gausel
10.00
Kirkenes
11.00
Valerenga is 0.17 goals better than Fredrikstad in terms of goals conceded per game (0.40 vs 0.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Valerenga or Draw✓ Hit
26.5%
Avg Implied -
12%
15%
74%
covers Valerenga + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Valerenga or Fredrikstad✗ Miss
85.4%
Avg Implied -
12%
15%
74%
covers Valerenga + Fredrikstad
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Fredrikstad✓ Hit
88.2%
Avg Implied -
12%
15%
74%
covers Draw + Fredrikstad
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Valerenga over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.9%
Under
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.5%
Under
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.4%
Under
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
95.8%
Under
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
82.4%
Under
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
61.3%
Under
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
39.0%
Under
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Valerenga, so a minus line means Valerenga give that many goals of a start and Fredrikstad receive them. At -1, Valerenga must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Valerenga win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Valerenga)Actual: Fredrikstad
Valerenga -2
1.5%
Draw -2
3.2%
Fredrikstad +2
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Valerenga)Actual: Fredrikstad
Valerenga -1
4.7%
Draw -1
7.1%
Fredrikstad +1
88.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Valerenga)Actual: Valerenga
Valerenga +1
26.5%
Draw +1
18.0%
Fredrikstad -1
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Valerenga)Actual: Valerenga
Valerenga +2
44.4%
Draw +2
19.1%
Fredrikstad -2
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ValerengaValerenga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W20W22D00D30W00D20W11D30WA·MOS03/08H·RAU11/08A·LEV18/08H·LYN24/08A·SAN01/09H·ASA16/09A·BRY21/09H·AAL24/09A·KON28/09H·MJO02/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.401.330.331.000.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.930.401.000.500.860.29
vs Weaker (15)1.400.401.710.141.120.62
Clean sheet %70% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FredrikstadFredrikstad

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W00D00D01L00D00D13L20W00DA·HAM21/07H·ROS27/07H·KFU04/08H·HAU14/08H·BRA18/08A·HAU25/08H·ODD31/08A·MOL14/09H·VIK22/09A·SAR28/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.500.570.291.060.69
vs Stronger (3)1.000.331.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.710.650.290.431.000.80
vs Weaker (10)1.000.300.800.201.200.40
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Valerenga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valerenga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ValerengaValerenga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W21W20W20W20W11D21W11D12LA·MOS03/08H·RAU11/08A·LEV18/08H·LYN24/08A·SAN01/09H·ASA16/09A·BRY21/09H·AAL24/09A·KON28/09H·MJO02/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.631.600.731.470.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.930.800.880.881.000.71
vs Weaker (15)2.130.472.430.571.880.38
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Fredrikstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FredrikstadFredrikstad

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D10W03L01L20W03L12L10WA·HAM21/07H·ROS27/07H·KFU04/08H·HAU14/08H·BRA18/08A·HAU25/08H·ODD31/08A·MOL14/09H·VIK22/09A·SAR28/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.670.640.641.250.69
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.502.000.000.00
vs Similar (17)0.710.760.430.710.900.80
vs Weaker (10)1.600.301.000.002.200.60
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Valerenga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valerenga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fredrikstad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away over 0.5 goals95.8%-------✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals95.6%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap95.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.594.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 7.591.6%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away88.2%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap88.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals85.6%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away85.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 6.583.5%-------✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals82.4%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.582.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards80.5%--------
Over 19.5 fouls75.6%--------
Over 2.5 cards74.2%--------
Under 11.5 corners73.8%--------
Away win73.5%-------✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals72.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls71.5%--------
Under 5.570.8%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes70.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Valerenga · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lucas Haren41%
Carl Lange33%
Mathias Grundetjern22%
Mohamed Ofkir17%
Filip Thorvaldsen17%
Elias Sørensen10%
Gabriel Rajkovic9%
Henrik Bjørdal6%
Ivan Näsberg6%
Magnus Westergaard6%
Petter Strand6%
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad0%
Sebastian Jarl0%
Oscar Hedvall0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Kolbeinn Finnsson0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Ambina Fidèle Brice0%
Hakon Sjatil0%
Ole Christian Saeter0%
Aaron Kiil Olsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aaron Kiil Olsen31%
Kolbeinn Finnsson29%
Mathias Grundetjern22%
Ambina Fidèle Brice21%
Ivan Näsberg19%
Carl Lange17%
Ole Christian Saeter17%
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad14%
Sebastian Jarl14%
Henrik Bjørdal12%
Hakon Sjatil12%
Magnus Westergaard11%
Kevin Tshiembe10%
Elias Sørensen10%
Gabriel Rajkovic9%
Lucas Haren6%
Oscar Hedvall0%
Petter Strand0%
Mohamed Ofkir0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Filip Thorvaldsen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kolbeinn Finnsson29%
Henrik Bjørdal25%
Mathias Grundetjern22%
Mohamed Ofkir17%
Ole Christian Saeter17%
Gabriel Rajkovic9%
Filip Thorvaldsen8%
Ambina Fidèle Brice7%
Lucas Haren6%
Magnus Westergaard6%
Carl Lange6%
Petter Strand6%
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad0%
Sebastian Jarl0%
Oscar Hedvall0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Elias Sørensen0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Hakon Sjatil0%
Aaron Kiil Olsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathias Grundetjern33%
Filip Thorvaldsen25%
Elias Sørensen20%
Mohamed Ofkir17%
Henrik Bjørdal12%
Lucas Haren12%
Carl Lange11%
Magnus Westergaard6%
Petter Strand6%
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad0%
Sebastian Jarl0%
Oscar Hedvall0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Kolbeinn Finnsson0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Ambina Fidèle Brice0%
Hakon Sjatil0%
Ole Christian Saeter0%
Aaron Kiil Olsen0%
Gabriel Rajkovic0%
Fredrikstad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Morten Bjorlo32%
Stian Stray Molde19%
Fallou Fall18%
Henrik Kjelsrud Johansen17%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold17%
Mai Traore15%
Oscar Aga14%
Sondre Sørløkk10%
Jeppe Kjaer8%
Júlíus Magnússon7%
Sigurd Kvile4%
Simen Rafn4%
Erlend Segberg0%
Jóannes Bjartalíð0%
Brandur Hendriksson Olsen0%
Ludvik Begby0%
Mads Nielsen0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Daniel Eid0%
Patrick Metcalfe0%
Maxwell Woledzi0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Brage Skaret0%
Samson Tijani0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Samson Tijani33%
Philip Sandvik Aukland31%
Sigurd Kvile21%
Maxwell Woledzi17%
Mai Traore15%
Daniel Eid13%
Mads Nielsen12%
Stian Stray Molde12%
Morten Bjorlo11%
Fallou Fall9%
Oscar Aga7%
Simen Rafn7%
Sondre Sørløkk7%
Júlíus Magnússon7%
Patrick Metcalfe7%
Jonathan Fischer7%
Brandur Hendriksson Olsen5%
Brage Skaret5%
Henrik Kjelsrud Johansen4%
Jeppe Kjaer4%
Erlend Segberg0%
Jóannes Bjartalíð0%
Ludvik Begby0%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jóannes Bjartalíð18%
Mai Traore15%
Morten Bjorlo14%
Stian Stray Molde12%
Júlíus Magnússon10%
Brandur Hendriksson Olsen10%
Ludvik Begby10%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold8%
Sondre Sørløkk7%
Daniel Eid7%
Patrick Metcalfe7%
Brage Skaret5%
Simen Rafn4%
Henrik Kjelsrud Johansen0%
Oscar Aga0%
Erlend Segberg0%
Mads Nielsen0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Maxwell Woledzi0%
Sigurd Kvile0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Jeppe Kjaer0%
Samson Tijani0%
Fallou Fall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oscar Aga21%
Daniel Eid13%
Morten Bjorlo11%
Jeppe Kjaer8%
Mai Traore8%
Brandur Hendriksson Olsen5%
Sondre Sørløkk3%
Júlíus Magnússon0%
Henrik Kjelsrud Johansen0%
Simen Rafn0%
Erlend Segberg0%
Jóannes Bjartalíð0%
Ludvik Begby0%
Mads Nielsen0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Patrick Metcalfe0%
Stian Stray Molde0%
Maxwell Woledzi0%
Sigurd Kvile0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Brage Skaret0%
Samson Tijani0%
Henrik Langaas Skogvold0%
Fallou Fall0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Valerenga and Fredrikstad have a similar squad value (both €16m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Valerenga and Fredrikstad have a similar attack value (both €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Valerenga's midfield is €2m more valuable than Fredrikstad's (€5m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Valerenga's defence is €2m less valuable than Fredrikstad's (€5m vs €8m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VAL wins
0
Draws
0
FRE wins

Head-to-head

Valerenga vs Fredrikstad · H/A from VAL
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

ValerengaValerenga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/24HVAL Vs Mjondalen4-2
28/09/24AKongsvinger Vs VAL2-2
24/09/24HVAL Vs Aalesund4-1
21/09/24ABryne Vs VAL1-1
16/09/24HVAL Vs Asane5-0
01/09/24ASandnes ULF Vs VAL0-2
24/08/24HVAL Vs Lyn4-2
18/08/24ALevanger Vs VAL1-4
11/08/24HVAL Vs Raufoss3-0
03/08/24AMoss Vs VAL0-2

FredrikstadFredrikstad

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24ASarpsborg 08 FF Vs FRE0-1
22/09/24HFRE Vs Viking3-2
14/09/24AMolde Vs FRE6-1
31/08/24HFRE Vs ODD Ballklubb2-0
25/08/24AHaugesund Vs FRE1-0
18/08/24HFRE Vs Brann0-4
14/08/24HFRE Vs Haugesund1-0
04/08/24HFRE Vs KFUM Oslo0-0
27/07/24HFRE Vs Rosenborg2-2
21/07/24AHam-Kam Vs FRE0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Valerenga
Valerenga
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW1.76
HomeWWWWW1.60
AwayWWWDD1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%44%56%
AVG goals3.423.603.24
Over 1.5 %92%88%96%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %48%60%36%
Scored2.142.202.08
Conceded1.281.401.16
BTTS64%64%64%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners10.3510.2010.50
Cards2.952.903.00
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Norway: NM Cupen
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW2.04
HomeDWLWW2.12
AwayLWLLW1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%62%58%
AVG goals3.002.543.42
Over 1.5 %76%67%85%
Over 2.5 %58%54%62%
Over 3.5 %36%33%38%
Scored1.921.672.15
Conceded1.080.881.27
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet38%46%31%
Corners9.799.1710.42
Cards2.652.832.45

🏆 17. League Table

Valerenga plays in Norway - 1. Division
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ValerengaValerenga3069
70%
2.3
8231+51
3.8
97%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6552.71.0
-
2BryneBryne3058
60%
1.9
5029+21
2.6
63%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.71.0
-
3MossMoss3156
55%
1.8
5743+14
3.2
74%
61%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.4
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3348
36%
1.5
5255-3
3.2
85%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.61.7
-
5LynLyn3147
39%
1.5
5741+16
3.2
84%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.81.3
-
6EgersundEgersund3147
45%
1.5
5858+0
3.7
94%
77%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.91.9
-
7StabaekStabaek3042
40%
1.4
5759-2
3.9
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.92.0
-
8RaufossRaufoss3041
37%
1.4
3435-1
2.3
70%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.2
-
9AalesundAalesund3040
40%
1.3
4549-4
3.1
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.51.6
-
10RanheimRanheim3039
33%
1.3
4846+2
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.5
-
11AsaneAsane3037
33%
1.2
4652-6
3.3
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.51.7
-
12StartStart3035
30%
1.2
4557-12
3.4
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.51.9
-
13SogndalSogndal3034
30%
1.1
3440-6
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.3
-
14MjondalenMjondalen3032
27%
1.1
3850-12
2.9
73%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
15LevangerLevanger3029
20%
1.0
4751-4
3.3
83%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3017
13%
0.6
2680-54
3.5
83%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.92.7
-
Norway: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →
Fredrikstad plays in Norway - Eliteserien
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt3062
60%
2.1
7131+40
3.4
80%
60%
50%
10.6
53%
2.8
34%
17.3
10%
75
2227262.41.0
62%
2BrannBrann3059
57%
2.0
5533+22
2.9
87%
60%
33%
11.0
57%
3.7
53%
25.0
80%
27
11791.81.1
63%
3VikingViking3057
53%
1.9
6139+22
3.3
77%
60%
40%
11.3
70%
4.3
60%
23.1
47%
47
2112152.01.3
54%
4RosenborgRosenborg3053
53%
1.8
5239+13
3.0
80%
63%
43%
9.6
47%
4.0
57%
22.6
57%
23
10391.71.3
55%
5MoldeMolde3052
50%
1.7
6436+28
3.3
83%
70%
43%
9.8
40%
3.4
46%
19.5
33%
35
137152.11.2
52%
6FredrikstadFredrikstad3051
47%
1.7
3935+4
2.5
67%
40%
30%
9.2
40%
2.9
34%
18.1
23%
15
5381.31.2
42%
7StromsgodsetStromsgodset3038
33%
1.3
3240-8
2.4
60%
37%
33%
11.8
73%
3.1
38%
19.3
30%
7
3221.11.3
45%
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3037
30%
1.2
3536-1
2.4
70%
43%
23%
8.2
23%
3.5
45%
21.8
43%
8
3241.21.2
49%
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3037
33%
1.2
4355-12
3.3
87%
67%
40%
10.5
63%
3.8
53%
23.0
57%
16
9341.41.8
51%
10HaugesundHaugesund3237
31%
1.2
3146-15
2.4
59%
44%
25%
10.9
62%
4.0
60%
20.5
44%
9
3241.01.4
49%
11SandefjordSandefjord3034
30%
1.1
4146-5
2.9
77%
63%
27%
9.5
50%
3.2
34%
22.1
53%
12
4251.41.5
52%
12Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3034
27%
1.1
3245-13
2.6
73%
50%
33%
11.0
57%
3.2
41%
22.7
57%
13
5431.11.5
43%
13Ham-KamHam-Kam3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
63%
37%
17%
12.1
77%
3.2
33%
19.7
43%
10
4341.11.3
41%
14TromsoTromso3033
30%
1.1
3444-10
2.6
63%
53%
27%
10.3
57%
3.4
37%
19.3
40%
15
4381.11.5
47%
15LillestromLillestrom3024
23%
0.8
3363-30
3.2
87%
70%
33%
10.3
60%
3.8
43%
21.0
50%
14
6451.12.1
52%
16ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3023
17%
0.8
2654-28
2.7
80%
53%
27%
9.6
40%
3.4
31%
23.1
60%
9
3330.91.8
43%
17MossMoss21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
7.0
0%
4.5
100%
21.0
50%
4
2120.01.0
50%
Norway: Eliteserien 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →

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