Valerenga and Tromsø face a finely balanced encounter, with the model favouring a home win at 36%. The expected total goals hover at 2.6, most likely yielding a 2-goal match. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.7% chance. Valerenga, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded, while Tromsø, on the road, averages 1.71 scored and 1.86 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.6%), Under 5.5 (94.9%), Under 4.5 (87.4%), Home under 2.5 goals (85.5%), and Away under 2.5 goals (85.4%). The probabilities for a home win, draw, and away win are 36%, 29%, and 36% respectively. Both sides have recently struggled, with Valerenga coming off a 3-4 loss to Molde and Tromsø ending a 0-0 draw with Sarpsborg 08 FF. The match remains open, but the model’s pick points to a Valerenga victory.
Results analysis
Valerenga’s run of losses ended in a 0-0 draw that left the pre-match favourite - a home win at 36% - on the wrong side of the result. The model’s call was therefore incorrect. The match delivered exactly the 0-0 score, a draw that matched the model’s 29% draw probability. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.4%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.2%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 95.6%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 95.6%, Under 5.5 hit at 94.9%, Under 4.5 hit at 87.4%, Home under 2.5 goals hit at 85.5%, and Away under 2.5 goals hit at 85.4%. The low-scoring affair confirmed the model’s emphasis on a quiet game, even though the home side’s win was not achieved.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Valerenga win✗ Miss
35.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tromso win✗ Miss
35.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Valerenga
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.57
1.00
1.86
1.75
1.31
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.25
1.00
2.00
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (20)
1.15
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.30
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
2.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
3.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Tromso) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tromso
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.30
1.53
1.40
2.27
1.20
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.50
2.00
3.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
1.79
1.71
1.86
1.57
1.71
1.86
vs Weaker (14)
2.00
0.86
1.14
1.00
2.86
0.71
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Valerenga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.7%
Under 2.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-0 ✓
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
Valerenga goals ↓
Tromso goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
8.3%
6.3%
2.7%
0.9%
1
8.3%
14%
8.2%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.2%
8.2%
5.4%
2.3%
0.8%
3
2.7%
3.6%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.9%
1.2%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valerenga goals (down), columns = Tromso goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Molde
2.71
Viking
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Stromsgodset
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Sandnes ULF
2.50
Stabaek
2.40
Tromso
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.25
Raufoss
2.25
Bryne
2.25
Eidsvold
2.25
Fredrikstad
2.14
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
hodd
2.00
KFUM Oslo
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Lillestrom
2.00
Egersund
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Råde
2.00
Kjelsås
2.00
Ranheim
2.00
Levanger
2.00
Arendal
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Brann
2.00
Rosenborg
2.00
Asane
2.00
Valerenga
1.80
Sogndal
1.67
Elverum
1.50
Skjervøy
1.50
Hønefoss
1.50
Moss
1.50
Flekkerøy
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
jerv
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Fram
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.50
Træff
1.50
Melhus
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Vard
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Eik-Tønsberg
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Strommen
1.50
Fløya
1.50
Bærum
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Start
1.00
Sotra
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Torvastad
0.50
Askøy
0.50
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Stord
0.50
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Flint
0.00
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Asker
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Lørenskog
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Volda
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Express
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Brodd
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Førde
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Toten
0.00
Follo
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Fana
0.00
Mjølner
0.00
Gjelleråsen
0.00
Sandviken (Norway)
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Lyngbø
0.00
Os
0.00
Grorud
0.00
Hei
0.00
Nardo
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Heming
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Madla
0.00
Surnadal
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Sarpsborg
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Rana
0.00
Senja
0.00
Bossekop
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Åskollen
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Fjøra
0.00
Brattvåg
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Eide
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Valerenga is 0.53 points worse than Tromso in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 2.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Alta
5.00
Kongsvinger
5.00
Bryne
4.75
Stromsgodset
4.25
Lillestrom
4.00
Sandviken (Norway)
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Tromso
4.00
Eik-Tønsberg
4.00
Brann
4.00
Strommen
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Viking
3.75
Stabaek
3.60
Ham-Kam
3.50
Raufoss
3.50
Bodo/Glimt
3.33
Sandnes ULF
3.17
Sogndal
3.00
Hønefoss
3.00
Tromsdalen Uil
3.00
Askøy
3.00
Træff
3.00
Ranheim
3.00
Madla
3.00
Bjarg
3.00
Rosenborg
3.00
Asane
3.00
Fredrikstad
2.71
hodd
2.67
ODD Ballklubb
2.67
Molde
2.57
Elverum
2.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.50
Vard
2.50
Strindheim
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Trygg/Lade
2.00
Moss
2.00
Torvastad
2.00
Førde
2.00
Gjelleråsen
2.00
Nardo
2.00
Frøya
2.00
Eidsvold
2.00
Fjøra
2.00
Stord
2.00
KFUM Oslo
1.83
Valerenga
1.80
Kjelsås
1.67
Arendal
1.67
Levanger
1.60
Skjervøy
1.50
Lyn
1.50
Frigg
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Ull/Kisa
1.50
Mjondalen
1.50
Oppsal
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
Råde
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Lørenskog
1.00
Volda
1.00
Start
1.00
Express
1.00
Brodd
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
jerv
1.00
Toten
1.00
Follo
1.00
Mjølner
1.00
Fram
1.00
Lyngbø
1.00
Grorud
1.00
Melhus
1.00
Notodden
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Surnadal
1.00
Sarpsborg
1.00
Fløya
1.00
Senja
1.00
Bærum
1.00
Bossekop
1.00
Åskollen
1.00
Brattvåg
1.00
Flekkerøy
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Mandalskameratene
0.50
Sprint-Jeløy
0.00
Ullern
0.00
Flint
0.00
Asker
0.00
Mosjøen
0.00
Sverresborg
0.00
Nordstrand
0.00
Varhaug
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
Gamle Oslo
0.00
Kvik Halden
0.00
Nybergsund
0.00
Skreia
0.00
Tiller
0.00
Ridabu
0.00
Fana
0.00
Ørn Horten
0.00
Sandefjord
0.00
Os
0.00
Hei
0.00
Sortland
0.00
Drøbak / Frogn
0.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
0.00
Byåsen
0.00
Randesund
0.00
Heming
0.00
Hallingdal
0.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
0.00
Årvoll
0.00
Union Carl Berner
0.00
Bjørkelangen
0.00
Rana
0.00
Kirkenes
0.00
Brønnøysund
0.00
Forus og Gausel
0.00
Eide
0.00
Vidar
0.00
Valerenga is 2.20 goals worse than Tromso in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 4.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Tromso
0.00
Valerenga
0.40
Flekkerøy
0.50
Aalesund
0.50
Pors Grenland
0.50
Mjondalen
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.57
Råde
0.67
Arendal
0.67
Rosenborg
0.67
Molde
0.71
Stromsgodset
0.75
Lysekloster
0.75
Levanger
0.80
KFUM Oslo
0.83
Skjervøy
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Hønefoss
1.00
Start
1.00
Moss
1.00
Egersund
1.00
Skeid
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Ranheim
1.00
Hei
1.00
Frøya
1.00
Byåsen
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Junkeren
1.00
Vidar
1.00
Viking
1.25
Ham-Kam
1.25
Raufoss
1.25
Bryne
1.25
Bodo/Glimt
1.33
hodd
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kjelsås
1.33
Brann
1.33
Asane
1.33
Stabaek
1.40
Lyn
1.50
jerv
1.50
Kongsvinger
1.50
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.50
Stjørdals-Blink
1.50
Træff
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Sogndal
1.67
Sandnes ULF
1.67
Ullern
2.00
Asker
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Lørenskog
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
Gamle Oslo
2.00
Express
2.00
Kvik Halden
2.00
Frigg
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Fana
2.00
Mjølner
2.00
Fram
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Os
2.00
Notodden
2.00
Funnefoss / Vormsund
2.00
Randesund
2.00
Heming
2.00
Strindheim
2.00
Kristiansund BK
2.00
Årvoll
2.00
Brattvåg
2.00
Lillestrom
2.20
Elverum
2.50
Torvastad
2.50
Melhus
2.50
Eik-Tønsberg
2.50
Oppsal
2.50
Bærum
2.50
Sprint-Jeløy
3.00
Trygg/Lade
3.00
Brodd
3.00
Tiller
3.00
Toten
3.00
Follo
3.00
Ørn Horten
3.00
Grorud
3.00
Union Carl Berner
3.00
Rana
3.00
Bossekop
3.00
Åskollen
3.00
Vard
3.50
Bjarg
3.50
Strommen
3.50
Fløya
3.50
Mosjøen
4.00
Gjelleråsen
4.00
Sotra
4.00
Nardo
4.00
Mandalskameratene
4.00
Djerv
4.00
Stord
4.00
Askøy
4.50
Varhaug
5.00
Ridabu
5.00
Gjøvik-Lyn
5.00
Madla
5.00
Surnadal
5.00
Sarpsborg
5.00
Fjøra
5.00
Eide
5.00
Flint
6.00
Sverresborg
6.00
Volda
6.00
Førde
6.00
Sandviken (Norway)
6.00
Sortland
6.00
Senja
6.00
Brønnøysund
6.00
Lyngbø
7.00
Hallingdal
7.00
Bjørkelangen
7.00
Nybergsund
8.00
Skreia
8.00
Drøbak / Frogn
10.00
Forus og Gausel
10.00
Kirkenes
11.00
Valerenga is 0.40 goals worse than Tromso in terms of goals conceded per game (0.40 vs 0.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Valerenga or Draw✓ Hit
64.3%
Avg Implied -
36%
29%
36%
covers Valerenga + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Valerenga or Tromso✗ Miss
71.2%
Avg Implied -
36%
29%
36%
covers Valerenga + Tromso
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Tromso✓ Hit
64.4%
Avg Implied -
36%
29%
36%
covers Draw + Tromso
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Valerenga over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.0%
Under
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.7%
Under
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.5%
Under
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.1%
Under
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.8%
Under
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.6%
Under
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Valerenga, so a minus line means Valerenga give that many goals of a start and Tromso receive them. At -1, Valerenga must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Valerenga win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Valerenga)Actual: Tromso
Valerenga -2
5.8%
Draw -2
10.7%
Tromso +2
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Valerenga)Actual: Tromso
Valerenga -1
16.4%
Draw -1
19.2%
Tromso +1
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Valerenga)Actual: Valerenga
Valerenga +1
64.3%
Draw +1
19.2%
Tromso -1
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Valerenga)Actual: Valerenga
Valerenga +2
83.5%
Draw +2
10.7%
Tromso -2
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Valerenga
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.43
0.86
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.75
0.50
0.80
0.40
0.70
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Tromso) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tromso
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.53
0.73
0.67
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.21
0.71
0.29
0.86
0.14
0.57
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.43
0.71
0.43
1.14
0.43
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Valerenga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valerenga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Valerenga
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.73
0.57
1.00
1.19
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.75
0.50
1.20
0.90
0.30
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Tromso) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tromso
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.70
1.00
0.67
1.60
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
1.57
1.00
1.57
0.71
1.57
1.29
vs Weaker (14)
1.07
0.43
0.43
0.57
1.71
0.29
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Valerenga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valerenga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valerenga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tromso over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Valerenga · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lucas Haren41%
Carl Lange33%
Mathias Grundetjern22%
Mohamed Ofkir17%
Filip Thorvaldsen17%
Elias Sørensen10%
Gabriel Rajkovic9%
Henrik Bjørdal6%
Ivan Näsberg6%
Magnus Westergaard6%
Petter Strand6%
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad0%
Sebastian Jarl0%
Oscar Hedvall0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Kolbeinn Finnsson0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Ambina Fidèle Brice0%
Hakon Sjatil0%
Ole Christian Saeter0%
Aaron Kiil Olsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aaron Kiil Olsen31%
Kolbeinn Finnsson29%
Mathias Grundetjern22%
Ambina Fidèle Brice21%
Ivan Näsberg19%
Carl Lange17%
Ole Christian Saeter17%
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad14%
Sebastian Jarl14%
Henrik Bjørdal12%
Hakon Sjatil12%
Magnus Westergaard11%
Kevin Tshiembe10%
Elias Sørensen10%
Gabriel Rajkovic9%
Lucas Haren6%
Oscar Hedvall0%
Petter Strand0%
Mohamed Ofkir0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Filip Thorvaldsen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kolbeinn Finnsson29%
Henrik Bjørdal25%
Mathias Grundetjern22%
Mohamed Ofkir17%
Ole Christian Saeter17%
Gabriel Rajkovic9%
Filip Thorvaldsen8%
Ambina Fidèle Brice7%
Lucas Haren6%
Magnus Westergaard6%
Carl Lange6%
Petter Strand6%
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad0%
Sebastian Jarl0%
Oscar Hedvall0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Elias Sørensen0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Hakon Sjatil0%
Aaron Kiil Olsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathias Grundetjern33%
Filip Thorvaldsen25%
Elias Sørensen20%
Mohamed Ofkir17%
Henrik Bjørdal12%
Lucas Haren12%
Carl Lange11%
Magnus Westergaard6%
Petter Strand6%
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad0%
Sebastian Jarl0%
Oscar Hedvall0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Kolbeinn Finnsson0%
Ivan Näsberg0%
Odin Thiago Holm0%
Ambina Fidèle Brice0%
Hakon Sjatil0%
Ole Christian Saeter0%
Aaron Kiil Olsen0%
Gabriel Rajkovic0%
Tromso
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vegard Erlien30%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås25%
Leo Cornic20%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas14%
David Edvardsson10%
Ruben Jenssen7%
Mamadou Barry7%
Anders Jenssen4%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal4%
Vetle Skjaervik4%
Jens Hjertø-Dahl3%
Kent-Are Antonsen3%
Jakob Haugaard0%
Sakarias Opsahl0%
Christophe Psyche0%
Lasse Nilsen0%
Felix Winther0%
Yaw Paintsil0%
Markus Johnsgard0%
Jesper Bergset Robertsen0%
Isak Kjelsrud Vik0%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim0%
Isak Vadebu0%
Heine Larsen0%
Frederik Christensen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamadou Barry27%
Jesper Bergset Robertsen22%
Leo Cornic20%
Christophe Psyche14%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås14%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim14%
Anders Jenssen13%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal12%
Ruben Jenssen11%
Felix Winther11%
Jakob Haugaard11%
Vetle Skjaervik11%
Vegard Erlien9%
Yaw Paintsil7%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas7%
Kent-Are Antonsen7%
Sakarias Opsahl0%
Lasse Nilsen0%
Markus Johnsgard0%
David Edvardsson0%
Isak Kjelsrud Vik0%
Isak Vadebu0%
Heine Larsen0%
Frederik Christensen0%
Jens Hjertø-Dahl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Runar Robinsonn Norheim17%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas14%
Kent-Are Antonsen13%
Vegard Erlien13%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås11%
Anders Jenssen4%
Jakob Haugaard0%
Sakarias Opsahl0%
Christophe Psyche0%
Ruben Jenssen0%
Lasse Nilsen0%
Leo Cornic0%
Felix Winther0%
Yaw Paintsil0%
Markus Johnsgard0%
David Edvardsson0%
Vetle Skjaervik0%
Jesper Bergset Robertsen0%
Isak Kjelsrud Vik0%
Isak Vadebu0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Heine Larsen0%
Frederik Christensen0%
Jens Hjertø-Dahl0%
Mamadou Barry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lasse Selvåg Nordås32%
Vegard Erlien26%
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas14%
Leo Cornic10%
Yaw Paintsil3%
Jens Hjertø-Dahl3%
Jakob Haugaard0%
Sakarias Opsahl0%
Christophe Psyche0%
Ruben Jenssen0%
Anders Jenssen0%
Kent-Are Antonsen0%
Lasse Nilsen0%
Felix Winther0%
Markus Johnsgard0%
David Edvardsson0%
Vetle Skjaervik0%
Jesper Bergset Robertsen0%
Isak Kjelsrud Vik0%
Runar Robinsonn Norheim0%
Isak Vadebu0%
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal0%
Heine Larsen0%
Frederik Christensen0%
Mamadou Barry0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Valerenga and Tromso have a similar squad value (both €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Valerenga's attack is €2m more valuable than Tromso's (€6m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Valerenga's midfield is €2m more valuable than Tromso's (€5m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
HAU (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Valerenga's defence is €3m less valuable than Tromso's (€5m vs €8m).
Norway: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →
Norway: Eliteserien 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bryne
Moss
Kongsvinger
Lyn
Egersund
Stabaek
Raufoss
Aalesund
Ranheim
Asane
Start
Sogndal
Mjondalen
Levanger
Sandnes ULF
Bodo/Glimt
Brann
Viking
Rosenborg
Molde
Fredrikstad
Stromsgodset
KFUM Oslo
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Haugesund
Sandefjord
Kristiansund BK
Ham-Kam
Lillestrom
ODD Ballklubb