This opponent (Cultural Leonesa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cultural Leonesa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.29
1.58
1.62
1.31
0.91
1.91
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
2.00
2.00
1.50
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (16)
1.31
1.38
1.44
1.22
1.14
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.9%
Under 2.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.6%
Under 3.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
8.4%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
Valladolid goals ↓
Cultural Leonesa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
3.0%
1.8%
0.6%
0.1%
1
8.4%
9.5%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
2
10%
9.8%
4.6%
1.4%
0.3%
3
7.9%
7.4%
3.5%
1.1%
0.3%
4
4.4%
4.2%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valladolid goals (down), columns = Cultural Leonesa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rayo Vallecano
1.81
Huesca
1.79
Sporting Gijon
1.69
Zaragoza
1.69
Valladolid
1.60
Numancia
1.55
Oviedo
1.55
Cadiz
1.52
Osasuna
1.52
Granada CF
1.45
Tenerife
1.40
Lugo
1.31
Reus Deportiu
1.24
Alcorcon
1.24
Gimnastic
1.24
Cordoba
1.21
Albacete
1.17
Almeria
1.14
Cultural Leonesa
1.14
Barcelona B
1.05
Mallorca
0.79
Sevilla B
0.76
Valladolid is 0.45 points better than Cultural Leonesa in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.64
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Huesca
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Tenerife
1.38
Cordoba
1.36
Zaragoza
1.36
Granada CF
1.31
Oviedo
1.29
Cultural Leonesa
1.29
Numancia
1.24
Barcelona B
1.10
Gimnastic
1.05
Osasuna
1.05
Cadiz
1.00
Lugo
0.93
Almeria
0.90
Alcorcon
0.88
Mallorca
0.88
Albacete
0.83
Reus Deportiu
0.74
Sevilla B
0.69
Valladolid is 0.36 goals better than Cultural Leonesa in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cadiz
0.69
Osasuna
0.81
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Huesca
0.95
Numancia
0.98
Reus Deportiu
1.00
Alcorcon
1.00
Zaragoza
1.05
Almeria
1.07
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.14
Lugo
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Granada CF
1.19
Gimnastic
1.19
Barcelona B
1.29
Valladolid
1.31
Sevilla B
1.43
Cordoba
1.55
Cultural Leonesa
1.60
Mallorca
1.62
Valladolid is 0.29 goals better than Cultural Leonesa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Valladolid
For 4.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 15.1 · Total 30.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cultural Leonesa
For 4.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 17.4 · Total 29.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Valladolid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.6
10.3
2.7
2.6
2.8
31.6
31.8
31.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
10.4
11.3
9.8
2.7
2.1
3.2
31.1
30.3
31.8
vs Weaker (18)
11.7
11.8
11.5
2.8
3.4
2.1
32.2
33.3
30.5
% over line
62%
67%
58%
44%
44%
44%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
38%
33%
42%
56%
56%
56%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Cultural Leonesa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cultural Leonesa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (24)
9.5
10.0
8.8
4.6
5.5
3.5
29.9
28.2
31.8
vs Stronger (8)
8.5
10.0
7.0
5.8
8.5
3.0
28.5
25.8
31.2
vs Similar (16)
9.9
10.0
9.9
4.0
4.2
3.7
30.6
29.3
32.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
54%
27%
71%
85%
55%
88%
77%
100%
% under line
58%
46%
73%
29%
15%
45%
12%
23%
0%
This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Valladolid
11.0
Almeria
10.9
Huesca
10.9
Zaragoza
10.8
Rayo Vallecano
10.7
Numancia
10.5
Lugo
10.3
Sporting Gijon
10.1
Barcelona B
10.1
Granada CF
10.0
Tenerife
9.8
Cadiz
9.8
Mallorca
9.8
Cordoba
9.6
Alcorcon
9.6
Cultural Leonesa
9.5
Gimnastic
9.2
Albacete
9.0
Oviedo
8.9
Sevilla B
8.8
Reus Deportiu
8.7
Osasuna
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sevilla B
6.4
Tenerife
5.8
Huesca
5.7
Valladolid
5.7
Oviedo
5.5
Gimnastic
5.5
Osasuna
5.5
Lugo
5.5
Almeria
5.4
Albacete
5.3
Numancia
5.2
Mallorca
5.2
Granada CF
5.2
Cadiz
5.2
Zaragoza
5.2
Rayo Vallecano
5.1
Alcorcon
5.1
Barcelona B
4.8
Sporting Gijon
4.6
Cultural Leonesa
4.6
Cordoba
4.2
Reus Deportiu
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Albacete
33.7
Alcorcon
32.8
Lugo
32.5
Tenerife
32.1
Valladolid
31.6
Oviedo
31.2
Mallorca
31.0
Almeria
30.2
Gimnastic
30.2
Cordoba
30.0
Cultural Leonesa
29.9
Zaragoza
29.7
Reus Deportiu
29.5
Sevilla B
29.2
Cadiz
29.1
Sporting Gijon
29.1
Huesca
28.8
Granada CF
28.3
Osasuna
28.1
Numancia
27.9
Rayo Vallecano
27.7
Barcelona B
27.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.9%
Under 9.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.2%
Under 3.5
31.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.2%
Under 21.5
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Valladolid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
0.93
0.40
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.53
1.22
0.11
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (11)
0.64
0.82
0.50
0.83
0.80
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Cultural Leonesa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cultural Leonesa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.29
0.71
0.38
0.46
0.18
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.75
0.25
0.50
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.31
0.69
0.44
0.44
0.14
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
42% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valladolid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cultural Leonesa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cultural Leonesa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cultural Leonesa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Valladolid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.73
1.13
0.67
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.63
1.11
0.56
0.50
0.70
vs Weaker (11)
1.09
0.91
1.17
0.83
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Cultural Leonesa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cultural Leonesa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.88
1.23
0.85
0.73
0.91
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.25
1.75
1.00
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (16)
1.00
0.69
1.00
0.78
1.00
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
46% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valladolid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cultural Leonesa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cultural Leonesa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cultural Leonesa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Valladolid · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luis Chacón33%
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thiago Ojeda67%
Julien Ponceau33%
Juanmi Latasa33%
David Torres33%
Yeray Cabanzon33%
Iván Alejo0%
Luis Chacón0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
Luis Chacón0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luis Chacón33%
Yeray Cabanzon33%
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Cultural Leonesa · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luis Chacón20%
Lucas Ribeiro17%
Manu Justo13%
Víctor Moreno12%
Paco Cortés12%
Rafa Tresaco12%
Ivan Calero11%
Diego Collado8%
Agustín Pastoriza Pibe7%
Rubén Sobrino7%
Matia Barzić6%
Sergio Maestre4%
Thiago Ojeda3%
Bicho3%
Roger Hinojo3%
Jordi Mboula0%
Víctor García0%
Daniel Paraschiv0%
Édgar Badía0%
Nemanja Radoja0%
Eneko Satrustegui0%
Quique Fornos0%
Tomás Ribeiro0%
Miguel Bañuz0%
Homam Al-Amin0%
Rodri Suárez0%
Peru Rodríguez0%
Juan Larios0%
Selu Diallo0%
Yayo González0%
Alejandro Morante0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matia Barzić39%
Thiago Ojeda34%
Lucas Ribeiro31%
Sergio Maestre25%
Yayo González19%
Juan Larios18%
Eneko Satrustegui17%
Roger Hinojo16%
Rodri Suárez15%
Víctor García14%
Homam Al-Amin14%
Bicho14%
Paco Cortés12%
Rafa Tresaco12%
Selu Diallo11%
Édgar Badía10%
Ivan Calero9%
Tomás Ribeiro8%
Diego Collado8%
Luis Chacón7%
Agustín Pastoriza Pibe7%
Rubén Sobrino7%
Quique Fornos6%
Víctor Moreno6%
Jordi Mboula0%
Daniel Paraschiv0%
Nemanja Radoja0%
Manu Justo0%
Miguel Bañuz0%
Peru Rodríguez0%
Alejandro Morante0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafa Tresaco16%
Nemanja Radoja12%
Ivan Calero11%
Jordi Mboula8%
Bicho8%
Luis Chacón7%
Agustín Pastoriza Pibe7%
Rubén Sobrino7%
Lucas Ribeiro7%
Víctor García6%
Thiago Ojeda6%
Selu Diallo6%
Manu Justo3%
Roger Hinojo3%
Diego Collado2%
Daniel Paraschiv0%
Édgar Badía0%
Eneko Satrustegui0%
Sergio Maestre0%
Quique Fornos0%
Tomás Ribeiro0%
Miguel Bañuz0%
Homam Al-Amin0%
Rodri Suárez0%
Peru Rodríguez0%
Juan Larios0%
Yayo González0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Matia Barzić0%
Paco Cortés0%
Alejandro Morante0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luis Chacón34%
Víctor Moreno12%
Ivan Calero11%
Agustín Pastoriza Pibe7%
Homam Al-Amin7%
Lucas Ribeiro7%
Manu Justo7%
Rodri Suárez6%
Rafa Tresaco4%
Thiago Ojeda3%
Bicho3%
Selu Diallo3%
Diego Collado2%
Jordi Mboula0%
Rubén Sobrino0%
Víctor García0%
Daniel Paraschiv0%
Édgar Badía0%
Nemanja Radoja0%
Eneko Satrustegui0%
Sergio Maestre0%
Quique Fornos0%
Tomás Ribeiro0%
Miguel Bañuz0%
Peru Rodríguez0%
Juan Larios0%
Yayo González0%
Matia Barzić0%
Roger Hinojo0%
Paco Cortés0%
Alejandro Morante0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
ALB (27)
€18m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
CL (20)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Valladolid's squad is €20m more valuable than Cultural Leonesa's (€26m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALM (11)
€38m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
GC (5)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
CL (8)
€3m
HUE (9)
€2m
Valladolid's attack is €6m more valuable than Cultural Leonesa's (€10m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (4)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
CL (4)
€1m
Valladolid's midfield is €6m more valuable than Cultural Leonesa's (€6m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
MAL (10)
€16m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€2m
HUE (8)
€2m
Valladolid's defence is €8m more valuable than Cultural Leonesa's (€10m vs €2m).
Spain: Segunda División 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Rayo Vallecano
Huesca
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
Numancia
Oviedo
Cadiz
Osasuna
Granada CF
Tenerife
Lugo
Alcorcon
Gimnastic
Cordoba
Albacete
Almeria
Mallorca