This opponent (Mallorca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.20
1.06
0.88
0.86
1.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.00
1.42
1.18
1.00
0.75
2.00
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.82
0.80
0.60
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.9%
No
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
Valladolid goals ↓
Mallorca goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
5.6%
3.6%
1.3%
0.3%
1
9.5%
13%
6.1%
2.2%
0.6%
2
9.0%
9.7%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
3
5.1%
5.5%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.2%
2.3%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valladolid goals (down), columns = Mallorca goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rayo Vallecano
1.81
Huesca
1.79
Sporting Gijon
1.69
Zaragoza
1.69
Valladolid
1.60
Numancia
1.55
Oviedo
1.55
Cadiz
1.52
Osasuna
1.52
Granada CF
1.45
Tenerife
1.40
Lugo
1.31
Reus Deportiu
1.24
Alcorcon
1.24
Gimnastic
1.24
Cordoba
1.21
Albacete
1.17
Almeria
1.14
Cultural Leonesa
1.14
Barcelona B
1.05
Mallorca
0.79
Sevilla B
0.76
Valladolid is 0.81 points better than Mallorca in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 0.79).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.64
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Huesca
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Tenerife
1.38
Cordoba
1.36
Zaragoza
1.36
Granada CF
1.31
Oviedo
1.29
Cultural Leonesa
1.29
Numancia
1.24
Barcelona B
1.10
Gimnastic
1.05
Osasuna
1.05
Cadiz
1.00
Lugo
0.93
Almeria
0.90
Alcorcon
0.88
Mallorca
0.88
Albacete
0.83
Reus Deportiu
0.74
Sevilla B
0.69
Valladolid is 0.76 goals better than Mallorca in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 0.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cadiz
0.69
Osasuna
0.81
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Huesca
0.95
Numancia
0.98
Reus Deportiu
1.00
Alcorcon
1.00
Zaragoza
1.05
Almeria
1.07
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.14
Lugo
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Granada CF
1.19
Gimnastic
1.19
Barcelona B
1.29
Valladolid
1.31
Sevilla B
1.43
Cordoba
1.55
Cultural Leonesa
1.60
Mallorca
1.62
Valladolid is 0.31 goals better than Mallorca in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Valladolid
For 7.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 13.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 17.1 · Total 31.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mallorca
For 5.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.5 · Against 17.7 · Total 34.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Valladolid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.4
12.7
12.1
2.0
2.0
2.0
31.7
32.3
31.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
11.7
12.5
11.2
1.9
1.5
2.2
30.5
30.2
30.7
vs Weaker (18)
13.2
12.8
14.0
2.1
2.6
1.5
33.2
34.0
32.0
% over line
78%
78%
78%
32%
32%
32%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
22%
22%
22%
68%
68%
68%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Mallorca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.1
10.6
1.7
1.6
1.8
32.3
33.0
31.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
10.0
9.3
10.8
1.8
1.6
1.9
32.0
33.0
30.8
vs Weaker (18)
9.6
8.7
10.2
1.7
1.6
1.7
32.7
33.0
32.5
% over line
50%
22%
78%
28%
28%
28%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
78%
22%
72%
72%
72%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Valladolid
12.4
Almeria
11.4
Zaragoza
11.2
Rayo Vallecano
11.0
Numancia
10.8
Huesca
10.6
Lugo
10.5
Granada CF
10.2
Barcelona B
10.2
Cadiz
10.1
Cultural Leonesa
10.1
Sporting Gijon
10.0
Mallorca
9.8
Tenerife
9.8
Cordoba
9.7
Oviedo
9.5
Albacete
9.3
Gimnastic
9.1
Reus Deportiu
9.1
Alcorcon
9.1
Sevilla B
8.7
Osasuna
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sevilla B
6.8
Tenerife
5.8
Gimnastic
5.8
Zaragoza
5.7
Oviedo
5.6
Numancia
5.6
Osasuna
5.5
Valladolid
5.4
Almeria
5.4
Huesca
5.3
Alcorcon
5.3
Cadiz
5.2
Rayo Vallecano
5.1
Granada CF
5.0
Albacete
5.0
Lugo
4.9
Sporting Gijon
4.9
Mallorca
4.8
Cultural Leonesa
4.8
Barcelona B
4.7
Cordoba
4.3
Reus Deportiu
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Albacete
34.4
Lugo
33.6
Alcorcon
32.9
Mallorca
32.3
Valladolid
31.7
Tenerife
31.5
Oviedo
31.4
Gimnastic
31.0
Cordoba
30.8
Zaragoza
30.3
Reus Deportiu
29.9
Cultural Leonesa
29.9
Cadiz
29.8
Almeria
29.7
Sevilla B
29.5
Sporting Gijon
29.1
Huesca
28.3
Numancia
28.2
Barcelona B
28.1
Granada CF
28.0
Rayo Vallecano
27.8
Osasuna
27.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
69.8%
Under 9.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.4%
Under 3.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.6%
Under 21.5
3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Valladolid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.75
0.44
0.64
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.56
1.00
0.11
0.56
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
1.17
0.43
0.86
0.80
1.60
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Mallorca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.63
0.56
0.44
0.14
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.84
0.55
0.55
0.12
1.25
vs Weaker (11)
0.36
0.27
0.60
0.20
0.17
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valladolid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mallorca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mallorca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mallorca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Valladolid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.77
1.12
0.75
0.79
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.50
1.11
0.56
0.56
0.44
vs Weaker (12)
1.17
1.17
1.14
1.00
1.20
1.40
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Mallorca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.50
0.44
0.71
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.58
0.64
0.45
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.55
0.20
0.40
0.83
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valladolid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mallorca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mallorca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mallorca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
92.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Valladolid · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luis Chacón33%
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thiago Ojeda67%
Julien Ponceau33%
Juanmi Latasa33%
David Torres33%
Yeray Cabanzon33%
Iván Alejo0%
Luis Chacón0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
Luis Chacón0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luis Chacón33%
Yeray Cabanzon33%
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Mallorca · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Fuentes33%
Antonio Raíllo33%
Alex Sala33%
Pablo Torre33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Antoniu Roca0%
Adrian Liso0%
Miguel Calatayud0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miguel Calatayud67%
Antonio Raíllo33%
Alex Sala33%
Antoniu Roca33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Adrian Fuentes0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Pablo Torre0%
Adrian Liso0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alex Sala67%
Zito Luvumbo33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Adrian Fuentes0%
Antonio Raíllo0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Pablo Torre0%
Antoniu Roca0%
Adrian Liso0%
Miguel Calatayud0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antoniu Roca33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Adrian Fuentes0%
Antonio Raíllo0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Alex Sala0%
Pablo Torre0%
Adrian Liso0%
Miguel Calatayud0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
ALB (27)
€18m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
CL (20)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Valladolid's squad is €22m less valuable than Mallorca's (€26m vs €48m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALM (11)
€38m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
GC (5)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
CL (8)
€3m
HUE (9)
€2m
Valladolid's attack is €14m less valuable than Mallorca's (€10m vs €23m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (4)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
CL (4)
€1m
Valladolid's midfield is €3m less valuable than Mallorca's (€6m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
MAL (10)
€16m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€2m
HUE (8)
€2m
Valladolid's defence is €6m less valuable than Mallorca's (€10m vs €16m).
Spain: Segunda División 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Rayo Vallecano
Huesca
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
Numancia
Oviedo
Cadiz
Osasuna
Granada CF
Tenerife
Lugo
Alcorcon
Gimnastic
Cordoba
Albacete
Almeria
Cultural Leonesa