This opponent (Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.90
1.31
1.00
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
1.05
0.85
1.18
0.91
0.89
0.78
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.88
2.00
0.75
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
56.3%
Under 1.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
28.1%
Under 2.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
11.6%
Under 3.5
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
36.3%
No
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.1%
1-0
16.1%
1-1
14.3%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
1-2 ✓
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
Valladolid goals ↓
Zaragoza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
17%
11%
4.4%
1.1%
0.2%
1
16%
14%
4.8%
1.2%
0.2%
2
9.5%
7.1%
2.7%
0.7%
0.1%
3
3.5%
2.6%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
4
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valladolid goals (down), columns = Zaragoza goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Alaves
1.79
Leganes
1.76
Gimnastic
1.69
Girona
1.57
Cordoba
1.55
Alcorcon
1.52
Zaragoza
1.52
Osasuna
1.52
Oviedo
1.40
Numancia
1.36
Elche
1.36
Tenerife
1.31
Huesca
1.31
Lugo
1.29
Mirandes
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Mallorca
1.17
Almeria
1.14
Ponferradina
1.12
Llagostera
1.05
Albacete
0.93
Ath Bilbao B
0.76
Valladolid is 0.31 points worse than Zaragoza in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.52).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Cordoba
1.40
Leganes
1.40
Numancia
1.36
Gimnastic
1.36
Mirandes
1.31
Oviedo
1.24
Zaragoza
1.19
Alaves
1.17
Huesca
1.14
Alcorcon
1.14
Valladolid
1.12
Osasuna
1.12
Girona
1.10
Tenerife
1.07
Llagostera
1.05
Lugo
1.05
Almeria
1.05
Elche
0.95
Ponferradina
0.93
Albacete
0.93
Mallorca
0.93
Ath Bilbao B
0.83
Valladolid is 0.07 goals worse than Zaragoza in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Girona
0.67
Leganes
0.81
Alaves
0.83
Osasuna
0.95
Gimnastic
0.98
Alcorcon
1.05
Zaragoza
1.05
Mallorca
1.07
Tenerife
1.10
Elche
1.10
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.19
Numancia
1.21
Oviedo
1.21
Almeria
1.21
Valladolid
1.24
Cordoba
1.24
Llagostera
1.29
Ponferradina
1.29
Mirandes
1.33
Ath Bilbao B
1.40
Albacete
1.45
Valladolid is 0.19 goals worse than Zaragoza in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.05).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Valladolid
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Zaragoza
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Valladolid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (33)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (13)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (33)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Not collected for this league yet.
🟨 Total Cards
Not collected for this league yet.
⚠️ Total Fouls
Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Valladolid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.43
0.73
0.40
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.53
0.80
0.50
0.67
0.56
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.27
0.60
0.20
0.50
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.37
0.56
0.44
0.50
0.29
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.35
0.45
0.45
0.67
0.22
vs Weaker (8)
0.62
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valladolid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaragoza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaragoza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaragoza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Valladolid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.60
0.53
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.79
0.60
0.70
0.56
0.89
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.55
0.60
0.20
0.50
0.83
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zaragoza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.53
0.75
0.56
0.21
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.50
0.73
0.45
0.22
0.56
vs Weaker (8)
0.62
0.62
1.00
0.75
0.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Valladolid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valladolid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valladolid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaragoza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaragoza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zaragoza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Valladolid · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luis Chacón33%
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thiago Ojeda67%
Julien Ponceau33%
Juanmi Latasa33%
David Torres33%
Yeray Cabanzon33%
Iván Alejo0%
Luis Chacón0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
Luis Chacón0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Yeray Cabanzon0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luis Chacón33%
Yeray Cabanzon33%
Julien Ponceau0%
Iván Alejo0%
Juanmi Latasa0%
David Torres0%
Thiago Ojeda0%
Alvaro Aceves0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Zaragoza · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dani Gómez26%
Sinan Bakış20%
Kenan Kodro15%
Rober González13%
Samed Baždar12%
Paul Akouokou9%
Jawad El Yamiq8%
Sebas Moyano8%
Alberto Rodríguez8%
Mario Soberón7%
Toni Moya4%
Martín Aguirregabiria4%
Marcos Cuenca3%
Yussif Saidu3%
Francho Serrano3%
Esteban Andrada0%
Aleksandar Radovanović0%
Nikola Čumić0%
Keidi Bare0%
Carlos Pomares0%
Raúl Guti0%
Paulino de la Fuente0%
Valery Fernández0%
Pablo Insua0%
William Agada0%
Juan Sebastian Serrano0%
Adrián Rodríguez0%
Dani Tasende0%
Juan Larios0%
Terrer Lucas0%
Pau Sans0%
Hugo Pinilla0%
Mawuli Mensah0%
Juan Sebastian Serrano0%
Ale Gomes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alberto Rodríguez54%
Pablo Insua47%
Paul Akouokou45%
Carlos Pomares35%
Juan Larios35%
Esteban Andrada33%
Jawad El Yamiq33%
William Agada33%
Keidi Bare32%
Aleksandar Radovanović29%
Juan Sebastian Serrano29%
Nikola Čumić25%
Martín Aguirregabiria23%
Ale Gomes23%
Sinan Bakış20%
Raúl Guti19%
Yussif Saidu19%
Marcos Cuenca17%
Pau Sans17%
Dani Tasende16%
Mawuli Mensah15%
Rober González13%
Adrián Rodríguez13%
Paulino de la Fuente12%
Toni Moya12%
Dani Gómez12%
Juan Sebastian Serrano11%
Mario Soberón7%
Hugo Pinilla6%
Kenan Kodro6%
Valery Fernández5%
Sebas Moyano4%
Francho Serrano0%
Samed Baždar0%
Terrer Lucas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Francho Serrano18%
Dani Tasende12%
Hugo Pinilla12%
Pau Sans8%
Rober González7%
Marcos Cuenca7%
Toni Moya4%
Raúl Guti4%
Martín Aguirregabiria4%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Paul Akouokou0%
Esteban Andrada0%
Sinan Bakış0%
Aleksandar Radovanović0%
Jawad El Yamiq0%
Nikola Čumić0%
Keidi Bare0%
Carlos Pomares0%
Kenan Kodro0%
Paulino de la Fuente0%
Valery Fernández0%
Pablo Insua0%
Sebas Moyano0%
William Agada0%
Mario Soberón0%
Dani Gómez0%
Juan Sebastian Serrano0%
Adrián Rodríguez0%
Juan Larios0%
Samed Baždar0%
Terrer Lucas0%
Yussif Saidu0%
Mawuli Mensah0%
Juan Sebastian Serrano0%
Ale Gomes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jawad El Yamiq17%
Kenan Kodro15%
Rober González13%
Dani Gómez12%
Francho Serrano12%
Mario Soberón11%
Sebas Moyano8%
Marcos Cuenca7%
Raúl Guti4%
Martín Aguirregabiria4%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Toni Moya0%
Paul Akouokou0%
Esteban Andrada0%
Sinan Bakış0%
Aleksandar Radovanović0%
Nikola Čumić0%
Keidi Bare0%
Carlos Pomares0%
Paulino de la Fuente0%
Valery Fernández0%
Pablo Insua0%
William Agada0%
Juan Sebastian Serrano0%
Adrián Rodríguez0%
Dani Tasende0%
Juan Larios0%
Samed Baždar0%
Terrer Lucas0%
Pau Sans0%
Yussif Saidu0%
Hugo Pinilla0%
Mawuli Mensah0%
Juan Sebastian Serrano0%
Ale Gomes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ELC (27)
€79m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
VAL (29)
€26m
ALB (27)
€18m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Valladolid's squad is €17m more valuable than Zaragoza's (€26m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
ELC (13)
€34m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
LEG (11)
€14m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Valladolid's attack is €5m more valuable than Zaragoza's (€10m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
ALA (8)
€22m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Valladolid's midfield is €4m more valuable than Zaragoza's (€6m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
GIR (9)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
LEG (10)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Valladolid's defence is €8m more valuable than Zaragoza's (€10m vs €3m).
Spain: Segunda División 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Alaves
Leganes
Gimnastic
Girona
Cordoba
Osasuna
Alcorcon
Oviedo
Numancia
Elche
Huesca
Tenerife
Lugo
Mirandes
Mallorca
Almeria
Ponferradina
Albacete