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Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026
Time: 19:15
Final 2-2
Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Vs
59%
18%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
IA Akranes
IA Akranes
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Valur Reykjavik return to the pitch after a 0-2 loss, while IA Akranes come off a 1-1 draw and remain unbeaten in five matches. The model sees a 59% chance of a home win, 18% for a draw and 24% for an away victory, making a Valur triumph the favourite. With an expected 4.9 goals, the most likely total is 6 + goals, a 37% probability. The single scoreline the model favours is 2-1 for Valur, with a 6.3% chance. Valur average home scoring sits at 2.44 goals and conceding 2.0 against similar opponents, whereas IA Akranes average 1.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded on the road. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.5%, Over 1.5 at 96.2%, Home over 0.5 goals at 95.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 90.5%, Home +2 handicap at 88.0% and Under 7.5 at 87.3%. Each selection carries its own probability, with edges ranging from 5% to 9%.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Home win, failed to materialise as Valur Reykjavik and IA Akranes settled for a 2-2 draw, ending Valur’s recent run of a draw and a win. The model had predicted a 59% chance of a home victory, but the outcome was a draw, so the favourite’s call was wrong. Every suggested pick was a hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7%, Over 1.5 at 96.2%, Home over 0.5 goals at 95.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 92.3%, Home +2 handicap at 88.0%, and Under 7.5 at 87.3%. The match confirmed the model’s selections while overturning its favourite.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur Reykjavik win✗ Miss
58.8%
Avg Implied 38.7% · @ 2.35
Edge
+20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.47
Bet365
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.40
Dafabet
2.39
Draw✓ Hit
17.6%
Avg Implied 23.3% · @ 3.91
Edge
-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.15
1xBet
4.00
Betano
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Dafabet
4.00
IA Akranes win✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied 38.1% · @ 2.39
Edge
-14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.47
Superbet
2.47
Dafabet
2.47
Betano
2.45
Unibet
2.45

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-524L02L23L22D23L02L31W05L44D02LA·KR 06/04A·FH 12/07H·FRA18/07A·ZRI30/07H·STJ03/08H·FC 06/08A·BRE09/08A·FC 13/08H·KA 17/08A·VIK23/08
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.632.202.201.931.072.47
vs Stronger (3)0.673.000.002.001.003.50
vs Similar (18)1.892.112.442.001.332.22
vs Weaker (9)1.442.112.201.800.502.50
Clean sheet %7% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W11D12L23L25L51W22D20W31W11DH·HAU06/04H·GRI13/05H·VIK12/06A·KA 12/07A·KEF20/07H·STJ26/07H·VIK02/08H·THO09/08A·IBV16/08H·FH 23/08
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.371.831.002.171.92
vs Stronger (4)1.751.251.751.25--
vs Similar (24)1.831.421.860.931.802.10
vs Weaker (2)4.001.00--4.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

9%19%28%37%1%03%19%214%318%418%537%6+
The model estimates around 4.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (37%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
96.2%
@ 1.05+8.1%
Under 1.5
3.8%
@ 7.75-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Under
Betfair
9.00
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.90
Superbet
7.70
Bet365
7.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
87.0%
@ 1.24+13.0%
Under 2.5
13.0%
@ 3.53-13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
Pinnacle
3.77
10Bet
3.65
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.7%
@ 1.63+15.9%
Under 3.5
27.3%
@ 2.14-15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Under
Betfair
2.30
Pinnacle
2.23
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.17
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
81.9%
@ 1.24+8.2%
No
18.1%
@ 3.48-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
No
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.65
William Hil
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Bet365
3.50

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
6.3%@ 10.04+1.7%
3-1
6.2%@ 14.79+3.1%
2-2 ✓
6.1%@ 9.28+1.1%
3-2
6.1%@ 14.13+2.8%
4-1
4.7%@ 27.51+3.0%
1-1
4.6%@ 9.63-0.2%
4-2
4.5%@ 26.30+2.8%
1-2
4.1%@ 10.26-0.4%
Valur Reykjavik goals ↓
IA Akranes goals →
01234
01.1%1.0%1.4%0.9%0.4%
11.7%4.6%4.1%2.7%1.3%
23.2%6.3%6.1%4.0%1.9%
33.2%6.2%6.1%4.0%1.9%
42.4%4.7%4.5%3.0%1.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valur Reykjavik goals (down), columns = IA Akranes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
KR Reykjavik
2.14
Fram Reykjavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.71
Stjarnan
1.71
FH hafnarfjordur
1.62
IA Akranes
1.50
Keflavik
1.44
Thor Akureyri
1.25
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
0.88
Valur Reykjavik
0.71
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.25
Valur Reykjavik is 0.79 points worse than IA Akranes in terms of average points per game (0.71 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
3.57
Fram Reykjavik
2.56
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.43
IA Akranes
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
1.86
KA Akureyri
1.75
Stjarnan
1.71
Keflavik
1.67
Breidablik
1.25
FH hafnarfjordur
1.12
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.00
Thor Akureyri
0.88
Valur Reykjavik is 0.52 goals worse than IA Akranes in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 2.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FH hafnarfjordur
0.88
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.43
Keflavik
1.44
KR Reykjavik
1.71
Breidablik
1.75
Fram Reykjavik
1.78
IA Akranes
1.88
Thor Akureyri
1.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.12
KA Akureyri
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
2.43
Stjarnan
2.43
Valur Reykjavik is 0.55 goals worse than IA Akranes in terms of goals conceded per game (2.43 vs 1.88).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Valur Reykjavik or Draw✓ Hit
76.4%
Avg Implied 61.2% · @ 1.50
Edge
+15.2%
59%
18%
24%
covers Valur Reykjavik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Valur Reykjavik or IA Akranes✗ Miss
82.4%
Avg Implied 77.7% · @ 1.19
Edge
+4.7%
59%
18%
24%
covers Valur Reykjavik + IA Akranes
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Draw or IA Akranes✓ Hit
41.2%
Avg Implied 61.0% · @ 1.51
Edge
-19.9%
59%
18%
24%
covers Draw + IA Akranes
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
William Hil
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
95.0%
@ 1.10+11.6%
Under
5.0%
@ 5.52-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Under
1xBet
6.20
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.85
Betano
5.60
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
79.9%
@ 1.54+20.6%
Under
20.1%
@ 2.25-20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Under
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.35
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
57.4%
@ 2.71+23.5%
Under
42.6%
@ 1.39-23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.83
Marathonbet
2.77
1xBet
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Valur Reykjavik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
35.0%
@ 5.38+17.8%
Under
65.0%
@ 1.12-17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Betano
5.30
Under
Superbet
1.15
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.09
IA Akranes over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.8%
@ 1.10+2.8%
Under
14.2%
@ 5.37-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.70
Betano
5.50
1xBet
5.50
IA Akranes over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
58.1%
@ 1.56-0.8%
Under
41.9%
@ 2.23+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Under
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.35
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.28
Betano
2.25
IA Akranes over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
31.0%
@ 2.72-2.7%
Under
69.0%
@ 1.39+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.83
Betano
2.80
Superbet
2.80
1xBet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.77
Under
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
IA Akranes over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.4%
@ 5.56-3.2%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.11+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.70
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Betano
5.40
Under
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Valur Reykjavik, so a minus line means Valur Reykjavik give that many goals of a start and IA Akranes receive them. At -1, Valur Reykjavik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Valur Reykjavik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Valur Reykjavik)Actual: IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik -2
24.6%
@ 7.67+12.9%
Draw -2
16.2%
@ 7.00+3.5%
IA Akranes +2
59.2%
@ 1.18-16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Draw
Marathonbet
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Away
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Handicap -1 (Valur Reykjavik)Actual: IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik -1
40.8%
@ 3.85+18.2%
Draw -1
18.0%
@ 4.48-1.4%
IA Akranes +1
41.2%
@ 1.50-16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.25
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.70
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
3.70
Away
10Bet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Handicap +1 (Valur Reykjavik)Actual: Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik +1
76.4%
@ 1.49+17.9%
Draw +1
11.6%
@ 4.50-7.7%
IA Akranes -1
12.0%
@ 3.90-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.40
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
3.75
Away
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.55
Handicap +2 (Valur Reykjavik)Actual: Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik +2
88.0%
@ 1.18+12.3%
Draw +2
6.9%
@ 7.00-5.8%
IA Akranes -2
5.1%
@ 7.73-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Away
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.70
Bet365
7.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D13L21W11D01L10W02L13L00DA·KR 06/04A·FH 12/07H·FRA18/07A·ZRI30/07H·STJ03/08H·FC 06/08A·BRE09/08A·FC 13/08H·KA 17/08A·VIK23/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.070.801.200.600.93
vs Stronger (3)0.671.330.001.001.001.50
vs Similar (18)0.671.060.671.220.670.89
vs Weaker (9)0.781.001.201.200.250.75
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W00D10W02L30W11D10W10W01LH·HAU06/04H·GRI13/05H·VIK12/06A·KA 12/07A·KEF20/07H·STJ26/07H·VIK02/08H·THO09/08A·IBV16/08H·FH 23/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.430.890.330.580.58
vs Stronger (4)0.750.250.750.25--
vs Similar (24)0.790.460.930.360.600.60
vs Weaker (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
Clean sheet %67% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.0%
@ 1.15-3.5%
Under 0.5
23.0%
@ 4.74+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
William Hil
4.80
1xBet
4.75
Superbet
4.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
50.8%
@ 1.76-1.8%
Under 1.5
49.2%
@ 1.96+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.81
William Hil
1.80
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.2%
@ 3.33-4.6%
Under 2.5
76.8%
@ 1.28+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Betano
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Under
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
56.1%
@ 1.60-2.1%
Under
43.9%
@ 2.22+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Under
1xBet
2.26
Pinnacle
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.15
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
27.1%
@ 3.81+2.9%
Under
72.9%
@ 1.22-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.92
Betano
3.80
1xBet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 8.88-4.6%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
IA Akranes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.6%
@ 1.62-9.0%
Under
51.4%
@ 2.20+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Under
1xBet
2.26
Pinnacle
2.22
Superbet
2.20
Betano
2.12
IA Akranes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.4%
@ 3.82-10.8%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.22+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.92
Betano
3.85
1xBet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
IA Akranes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 8.50-8.6%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.04+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D02L10W01L12L01L21W03L31W02LA·KR 06/04A·FH 12/07H·FRA18/07A·ZRI30/07H·STJ03/08H·FC 06/08A·BRE09/08A·FC 13/08H·KA 17/08A·VIK23/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.131.400.730.471.53
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (18)1.221.061.780.780.671.33
vs Weaker (9)0.671.111.000.600.251.75
Clean sheet %27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L12L13L23L21W11D10W21W10WH·HAU06/04H·GRI13/05H·VIK12/06A·KA 12/07A·KEF20/07H·STJ26/07H·VIK02/08H·THO09/08A·IBV16/08H·FH 23/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.930.940.671.581.33
vs Stronger (4)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (24)1.040.960.930.571.201.50
vs Weaker (2)3.500.50--3.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.1%
@ 1.07-5.1%
Under 0.5
17.9%
@ 7.38+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Under
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.80
William Hil
7.50
Betano
6.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
56.4%
@ 1.42-8.5%
Under 1.5
43.6%
@ 2.63+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Under
William Hil
2.70
Betano
2.65
Marathonbet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.62
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.2%
@ 2.28-9.3%
Under 2.5
68.8%
@ 1.55+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.32
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.25
Under
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Marathonbet
1.53

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
68.2%
@ 1.39+1.5%
Under
31.8%
@ 2.78-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.80
Betano
2.80
Superbet
2.75
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
25.6%
@ 2.77-7.8%
Under
74.4%
@ 1.39+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.89
1xBet
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Betano
2.70
Under
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 6.45-6.6%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.07+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.05
IA Akranes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
54.9%
@ 1.39-11.5%
Under
45.1%
@ 2.75+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.80
Betano
2.75
Superbet
2.70
IA Akranes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.4%
@ 2.80-12.7%
Under
79.6%
@ 1.38+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.89
1xBet
2.75
Betano
2.75
Under
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
IA Akranes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 6.50-8.0%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.07+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.7%1.04
Betano
1.04
----+8.6%✓ Hit
Over 1.596.2%1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
+8.1%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals95.0%1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.09
+11.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals94.2%1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
---+4.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals93.9%1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05
---+8.0%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals92.3%1.07
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.05
---+6.6%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap88.0%1.18
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
--+12.3%✓ Hit
Under 7.587.3%1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
---2.9%✓ Hit
Over 2.587.0%1.24
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+13.0%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals86.6%1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
--+10.8%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals86.6%1.11
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
+3.2%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals85.8%1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
+2.8%✓ Hit
Home or Away82.4%1.19
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
+4.7%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals82.1%1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.05
--5.1%✓ Hit
BTTS Yes81.9%1.24
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
+8.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals79.6%1.38
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
--+12.7%✓ Hit
Under 6.577.1%1.09
Pinnacle
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.04
-7.4%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals77.0%1.15
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
-3.5%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals76.8%1.28
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
+4.6%✓ Hit
Home or Draw76.4%1.50
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
+15.2%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap76.4%1.49
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.40
-+17.9%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals74.4%1.39
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
-+7.8%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals72.9%1.22
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
---2.9%✓ Hit
Over 3.572.7%1.63
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
+15.9%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
Valur Reykjavik's squad is €1m more valuable than IA Akranes's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
Valur Reykjavik and IA Akranes have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
Valur Reykjavik and IA Akranes have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
Valur Reykjavik and IA Akranes have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
VR wins
3
Draws
2
IA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Valur Reykjavik vs IA Akranes · H/A from VR
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/26AIA Akranes Vs VR2-1
05/08/25AIA Akranes Vs VR2-2
10/05/25HVR Vs IA Akranes6-1
15/02/25AIA Akranes Vs VR1-1
26/10/24HVR Vs IA Akranes6-1
28/06/24AIA Akranes Vs VR3-2
07/04/24HVR Vs IA Akranes2-0
20/03/24HVR Vs IA Akranes1-1

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/26AVikingur Reykjavik Vs VR2-0
17/08/26HVR Vs KA Akureyri4-4
13/08/26AFC Nordsjaelland Vs VR5-0
09/08/26ABreidablik Vs VR1-3
06/08/26HVR Vs FC Nordsjaelland0-2
03/08/26HVR Vs Stjarnan2-3
30/07/26AZrinjski Vs VR2-2
18/07/26HVR Vs Fram Reykjavik2-3
12/07/26AFH hafnarfjordur Vs VR2-0
06/04/26AKR Reykjavik Vs VR4-2

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/26HIA Vs FH hafnarfjordur1-1
16/08/26AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs IA1-3
09/08/26HIA Vs Thor Akureyri2-0
02/08/26HIA Vs Vikingur Reykjavik2-2
26/07/26HIA Vs Stjarnan5-1
20/07/26AKeflavik Vs IA5-2
12/07/26AKA Akureyri Vs IA3-2
12/06/26HIA Vs Vikingur Reykjavik1-2
13/05/26HIA Vs Grindavik1-1
06/04/26HIA Vs Haukar4-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.50
HomeWLLLD1.88
AwayLDWLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%56%32%
AVG goals3.784.003.56
Over 1.5 %96%96%96%
Over 2.5 %72%76%68%
Over 3.5 %46%48%44%
Scored2.002.521.48
Conceded1.781.482.08
BTTS70%76%64%
Clean Sheet14%16%12%
Corners12.0012.0012.00
Cards2.502.003.00
IA Akranes
IA Akranes
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD1.46
HomeLWDWD1.48
AwayWWLLW1.43
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%41%48%
AVG goals3.602.814.52
Over 1.5 %88%81%96%
Over 2.5 %68%59%78%
Over 3.5 %48%30%70%
Scored1.821.592.09
Conceded1.781.222.43
BTTS60%52%70%
Clean Sheet22%26%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik918
56%
2.0
2316+7
4.3
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.61.8
-
2KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik715
57%
2.1
2512+13
5.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.61.7
-
3KeflavikKeflavik913
44%
1.4
1513+2
3.1
78%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.4
-
4FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur813
38%
1.6
97+2
2.0
62%
25%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.9
-
5Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik712
43%
1.7
1710+7
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.4
-
6IA AkranesIA Akranes812
38%
1.5
1915+4
4.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.9
-
7StjarnanStjarnan712
57%
1.7
1217-5
4.1
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.72.4
-
8Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri810
38%
1.2
715-8
2.8
62%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
9BreidablikBreidablik88
25%
1.0
1014-4
3.0
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.8
-
10KA AkureyriKA Akureyri87
12%
0.9
1419-5
4.1
75%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.82.4
-
11Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik75
14%
0.7
1317-4
4.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.92.4
-
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar82
0%
0.2
817-9
3.1
62%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.02.1
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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