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Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri Result & Analysis

Date: 17/09/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Vs
33%
24%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur Reykjavik win✗ Miss
33.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri win✓ Hit
43.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-603L23L33D20W21W61W22D11D01L01LH·KEF11/07A·IBV17/07A·KR 25/07H·FH 03/08A·IA 08/08H·STJ14/08A·VIK22/08H·FRA29/08A·BRE05/09A·LEI11/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.811.482.301.301.361.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.921.462.671.671.291.29
vs Weaker (8)1.621.501.750.751.502.25
Clean sheet %14% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-543W50W31W01L30W30W42W23L22D21WH·IBV09/07A·LEI17/07A·KEF24/07H·KR 02/08A·FH 07/08H·IA 14/08A·STJ21/08H·VIK28/08A·FRA04/09H·BRE11/09
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.241.731.362.501.10
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.821.351.561.332.121.38
vs Weaker (4)3.250.752.501.504.000.00
Clean sheet %38% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.1%
Under 1.5
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.4%
Under 2.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.1%
Under 3.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.1%
No
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
0-2
5.1%
2-3
4.5%
0-1 ✓
4.4%
Valur Reykjavik goals ↓
KA Akureyri goals →
01234
03.7%4.4%5.1%3.2%1.6%
13.8%9.8%8.5%5.4%2.6%
23.9%7.4%7.1%4.5%2.2%
32.2%4.1%3.9%2.5%1.2%
40.9%1.7%1.6%1.0%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Valur Reykjavik goals (down), columns = KA Akureyri goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Breidablik
2.33
KA Akureyri
1.96
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.78
KR Reykjavik
1.41
Keflavik
1.37
Stjarnan
1.37
Valur Reykjavik
1.30
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.19
Fram Reykjavik
1.15
FH hafnarfjordur
0.93
IA Akranes
0.93
Leiknir R.
0.78
Valur Reykjavik is 0.67 points worse than KA Akureyri in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.96).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Breidablik
2.44
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.44
Keflavik
2.07
KA Akureyri
2.00
Fram Reykjavik
1.96
Valur Reykjavik
1.70
Stjarnan
1.63
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.59
KR Reykjavik
1.56
FH hafnarfjordur
1.33
IA Akranes
1.33
Leiknir R.
1.04
Valur Reykjavik is 0.30 goals worse than KA Akureyri in terms of goals scored per game (1.70 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
1.11
KR Reykjavik
1.48
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.52
Valur Reykjavik
1.63
FH hafnarfjordur
1.70
Keflavik
1.78
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.85
Stjarnan
1.93
IA Akranes
2.33
Fram Reykjavik
2.33
Leiknir R.
2.44
Valur Reykjavik is 0.52 goals worse than KA Akureyri in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L11D10W00D31W12L10W00D00DH·KEF11/07A·IBV17/07A·KR 25/07H·FH 03/08A·IA 08/08H·STJ14/08A·VIK22/08H·FRA29/08A·BRE05/09A·LEI11/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.521.100.500.360.55
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.770.461.170.500.430.43
vs Weaker (8)0.620.621.000.500.250.75
Clean sheet %52% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L20W01L01L20W00D32W11D00D10WH·IBV09/07A·LEI17/07A·KEF24/07H·KR 02/08A·FH 07/08H·IA 14/08A·STJ21/08H·VIK28/08A·FRA04/09H·BRE11/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.620.450.820.900.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.530.590.330.670.750.50
vs Weaker (4)1.250.751.001.501.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L22D22D10W21W30W10W01L01L01LH·KEF11/07A·IBV17/07A·KR 25/07H·FH 03/08A·IA 08/08H·STJ14/08A·VIK22/08H·FRA29/08A·BRE05/09A·LEI11/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.951.200.801.001.09
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.151.001.501.170.860.86
vs Weaker (8)1.000.880.750.251.251.50
Clean sheet %38% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (KA Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W30W00D10W30W10W12L22D11DH·IBV09/07A·LEI17/07A·KEF24/07H·KR 02/08A·FH 07/08H·IA 14/08A·STJ21/08H·VIK28/08A·FRA04/09H·BRE11/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.621.270.551.600.70
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.290.761.220.671.380.88
vs Weaker (4)2.000.001.500.002.500.00
Clean sheet %62% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Valur Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valur Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
KA Akureyri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.588.1%-------✗ Miss
BTTS Yes70.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
Valur Reykjavik's squad is €1m more valuable than KA Akureyri's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
Valur Reykjavik and KA Akureyri have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
Valur Reykjavik and KA Akureyri have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
LR (9)
€0m
Valur Reykjavik and KA Akureyri have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
VR wins
1
Draws
0
KA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Valur Reykjavik vs KA Akureyri · H/A from VR
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/22AKA Akureyri Vs VR1-1

Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/22ALeiknir R. Vs VR1-0
05/09/22ABreidablik Vs VR1-0
29/08/22HVR Vs Fram Reykjavik1-1
22/08/22AVikingur Reykjavik Vs VR2-2
14/08/22HVR Vs Stjarnan6-1
08/08/22AIA Akranes Vs VR1-2
03/08/22HVR Vs FH hafnarfjordur2-0
25/07/22AKR Reykjavik Vs VR3-3
17/07/22AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs VR3-2
11/07/22HVR Vs Keflavik0-3

KA AkureyriKA Akureyri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/22HKA Vs Breidablik2-1
04/09/22AFram Reykjavik Vs KA2-2
28/08/22HKA Vs Vikingur Reykjavik2-3
21/08/22AStjarnan Vs KA2-4
14/08/22HKA Vs IA Akranes3-0
07/08/22AFH hafnarfjordur Vs KA0-3
02/08/22HKA Vs KR Reykjavik0-1
24/07/22AKeflavik Vs KA1-3
17/07/22ALeiknir R. Vs KA0-5
09/07/22HKA Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar4-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Valur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLL1.52
HomeWLWWD2.20
AwayDWDLL0.91
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%70%18%
AVG goals3.293.603.00
Over 1.5 %81%100%64%
Over 2.5 %67%80%55%
Over 3.5 %43%40%45%
Scored1.812.301.36
Conceded1.481.301.64
BTTS67%70%64%
Clean Sheet14%20%9%
Corners---
Cards---
KA Akureyri
KA Akureyri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.90
HomeWLWLW1.82
AwayWWWWD2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %57%55%60%
AVG goals3.333.093.60
Over 1.5 %81%73%90%
Over 2.5 %71%55%90%
Over 3.5 %43%36%50%
Scored2.101.732.50
Conceded1.241.361.10
BTTS52%55%50%
Clean Sheet38%27%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BreidablikBreidablik2763
74%
2.3
6627+39
3.4
78%
70%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.0
-
2KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2753
59%
2.0
5430+24
3.1
78%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.1
-
3Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2748
48%
1.8
6641+25
4.0
93%
89%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.5
-
4KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2738
33%
1.4
4240+2
3.0
70%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.5
-
5KeflavikKeflavik2737
41%
1.4
5648+8
3.9
85%
78%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.11.8
-
6StjarnanStjarnan2737
37%
1.4
4452-8
3.6
93%
70%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.9
-
7Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2735
37%
1.3
4644+2
3.3
81%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.6
-
8IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2732
30%
1.2
4350-7
3.4
85%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.61.9
-
9Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2731
26%
1.1
5363-10
4.3
96%
78%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.02.3
-
10FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2725
22%
0.9
3646-10
3.0
81%
67%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.7
-
11IA AkranesIA Akranes2725
22%
0.9
3663-27
3.7
89%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.32.3
-
12Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2721
19%
0.8
2866-38
3.5
78%
70%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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