PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Van II vs Noah II Result & Analysis

Date: 16/10/2025
Time: 11:30
Final 6-1
Van II
Van II
Vs
31%
26%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Noah II
Noah II
Armenia: First League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Van II win✓ Hit
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Noah II win✗ Miss
42.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Van IIVan II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-613L01L03L10W01L00D02L11D16L02LH·SAR16/08H·ARA19/08A·HAY23/08H·ARA28/08A·AND02/09H·SYU10/09A·BEN23/09H·MIK01/10H·BAN07/10A·SHI11/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.361.910.671.830.002.00
vs Stronger (2)0.503.001.003.000.003.00
vs Similar (6)0.172.000.332.330.001.67
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.000.500.002.00
Clean sheet %18% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Noah II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Noah IINoah II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D02L00D06L53W02L33D01L02L00DH·BKM06/08A·LER12/08H·PYU19/08A·SAR25/08H·ARA29/08H·HAY12/09A·ARA22/09H·AND01/10A·SYU07/10H·BEN10/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.371.751.191.791.57
vs Stronger (9)1.221.892.001.750.602.00
vs Similar (14)1.641.071.121.002.331.17
vs Weaker (7)2.711.292.751.002.671.67
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Van II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.3%
Under 2.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.9%
Under 3.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
7.1%
0-2
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
5.8%
Van II goals ↓
Noah II goals →
01234
06.2%7.1%6.7%3.6%1.5%
15.8%12%9.1%4.9%2.0%
24.7%7.6%6.2%3.3%1.4%
32.1%3.4%2.8%1.5%0.6%
40.7%1.2%0.9%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Van II goals (down), columns = Noah II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sardarapat
2.53
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Syunik
2.21
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Van II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Shirak II
0.60
Van II is 0.23 points worse than Noah II in terms of average points per game (0.80 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Syunik
2.76
Sardarapat
2.70
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Banants II
1.53
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Van II
1.10
Mika
1.07
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Van II is 0.20 goals worse than Noah II in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.30).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sardarapat
0.60
Hayq
0.80
Syunik
0.90
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Van II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Van II and Noah II are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.93).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Van IIVan II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L02L10W00D00D01L01L02L00DH·SAR16/08H·ARA19/08A·HAY23/08H·ARA28/08A·AND02/09H·SYU10/09A·BEN23/09H·MIK01/10H·BAN07/10A·SHI11/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.181.000.331.000.001.00
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (6)0.000.830.001.000.000.67
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.500.500.001.00
Clean sheet %36% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Noah II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Noah IINoah II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D03L22D02L22D01L00D00DH·BKM06/08A·LER12/08H·PYU19/08A·SAR25/08H·ARA29/08H·HAY12/09A·ARA22/09H·AND01/10A·SYU07/10H·BEN10/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.601.000.590.540.62
vs Stronger (10)0.500.800.801.000.200.60
vs Similar (13)0.850.381.000.500.600.20
vs Weaker (7)1.140.711.250.251.001.33
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Van II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Van II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Van IIVan II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D01L00D01L00D01L10W14L02LH·SAR16/08H·ARA19/08A·HAY23/08H·ARA28/08A·AND02/09H·SYU10/09A·BEN23/09H·MIK01/10H·BAN07/10A·SHI11/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.180.910.330.830.001.00
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (6)0.171.170.331.330.001.00
vs Weaker (3)0.330.330.500.000.001.00
Clean sheet %45% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Noah II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Noah IINoah II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L00D03L31W00D11D00D02L00DH·BKM06/08A·LER12/08H·PYU19/08A·SAR25/08H·ARA29/08H·HAY12/09A·ARA22/09H·AND01/10A·SYU07/10H·BEN10/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.800.710.651.001.00
vs Stronger (10)0.701.101.000.800.401.40
vs Similar (13)0.540.690.120.501.201.00
vs Weaker (7)1.570.571.500.751.670.33
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Van II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Van II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Van II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Noah II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (23)
€2m
SYU (23)
€2m
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (9)
€1m
SAR (7)
€1m
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SYU (6)
€0m
AND (8)
€0m
SAR (4)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (12)
€1m
SYU (8)
€0m
AND (11)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VI wins
0
Draws
0
NI wins

Head-to-head

Van II vs Noah II · H/A from VI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Van IIVan II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/10/25AShirak II Vs VI2-0
07/10/25HVI Vs Banants II1-6
01/10/25HVI Vs Mika1-1
23/09/25ABentonit Ijevan Vs VI2-0
10/09/25HVI Vs Syunik0-0
02/09/25AAndranik Vs VI1-0
28/08/25HVI Vs Ararat-Armenia II1-0
23/08/25AHayq Vs VI3-0
19/08/25HVI Vs Araks Ararat0-1
16/08/25HVI Vs Sardarapat1-3

Noah IINoah II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/10/25HNI Vs Bentonit Ijevan0-0
07/10/25ASyunik Vs NI2-0
01/10/25HNI Vs Andranik0-1
22/09/25AArarat-Armenia II Vs NI3-3
12/09/25HNI Vs Hayq0-2
29/08/25HNI Vs Ararat II5-3
25/08/25ASardarapat Vs NI6-0
19/08/25HNI Vs Pyunik II0-0
12/08/25ALernayin Artsakh Vs NI2-0
06/08/25HNI Vs BKMA II1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Van II
Van II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL0.45
HomeLWDDL0.83
AwayLLLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %9%17%0%
AVG goals2.272.502.00
Over 1.5 %64%50%80%
Over 2.5 %27%33%20%
Over 3.5 %18%33%0%
Scored0.360.670.00
Conceded1.911.832.00
BTTS27%50%0%
Clean Sheet18%33%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Noah II
Noah II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD1.48
HomeDWLLD1.58
AwayDLLDL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%42%42%
AVG goals3.103.043.17
Over 1.5 %76%65%88%
Over 2.5 %54%46%62%
Over 3.5 %34%35%33%
Scored1.701.961.42
Conceded1.401.081.75
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet26%35%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SardarapatSardarapat3076
80%
2.5
8118+63
3.3
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.70.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II3071
73%
2.4
7731+46
3.6
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.0
-
3HayqHayq3068
73%
2.3
5924+35
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
4AndranikAndranik3066
70%
2.2
7630+46
3.5
73%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.51.0
-
5SyunikSyunik2964
72%
2.2
8026+54
3.7
83%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.80.9
-
6Pyunik IIPyunik II3044
40%
1.5
4343+0
2.9
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
7Ararat IIArarat II3038
40%
1.3
4358-15
3.4
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Araks AraratAraks Ararat3037
37%
1.2
3851-13
3.0
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Banants IIBanants II3036
30%
1.2
4654-8
3.3
77%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
10Noah IINoah II3031
27%
1.0
3958-19
3.2
73%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
11Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
77%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
12MikaMika3028
23%
0.9
3260-28
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II3024
20%
0.8
4662-16
3.6
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
14Van IIVan II3024
20%
0.8
3358-25
3.0
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2923
24%
0.8
2271-49
3.2
76%
62%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
16Shirak IIShirak II3018
13%
0.6
3489-55
4.1
80%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.0
-
Armenia: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

← all matches