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Varnsdorf vs Prostějov Result & Analysis

Date: 27/04/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Varnsdorf
Varnsdorf
Vs
51%
25%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Prostějov
Prostějov
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varnsdorf win✓ Hit
51.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Prostějov win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VarnsdorfVarnsdorf

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D10W03L21W12L21W22D12L30WA·SLA03/11H·BAN10/11A·OPA01/03H·ZBR09/03H·SPA16/03A·CHR29/03H·ART06/04A·VYŠ12/04H·TÁB16/04A·SIG20/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.471.071.711.561.25
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (29)1.341.411.081.621.561.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Prostějov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ProstějovProstějov

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W03L21W13L10W03L00D11D00DH·SIG08/11A·OPA16/11A·ZLI03/03H·VIK07/03A·VLA14/03H·BAN28/03A·VYS04/04H·SLA11/04A·ZBR16/04H·OPA20/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.401.500.931.061.81
vs Stronger (8)1.381.001.330.331.401.40
vs Similar (22)1.231.551.551.090.912.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Varnsdorf) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.0%
Under 1.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.5%
Under 2.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.2%
Under 3.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.5%
No
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-0 ✓
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.4%
Varnsdorf goals ↓
Prostějov goals →
01234
05.4%4.4%3.4%1.4%0.4%
17.2%11%6.4%2.7%0.8%
27.7%9.7%6.0%2.5%0.8%
34.8%6.1%3.8%1.6%0.5%
42.3%2.8%1.8%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Varnsdorf goals (down), columns = Prostějov goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zlin
2.37
Chrudim
1.77
Vyškov
1.53
Táborsko
1.37
Vlašim
1.33
Sparta Praha II
1.33
Zbrojovka Brno
1.30
Artis
1.30
Viktoria Žižkov
1.30
Vysočina Jihlava
1.23
Slavia Praha II
1.23
Prostějov
1.23
Opava
1.20
Baník Ostrava II
1.13
Varnsdorf
1.07
Sigma Olomouc II
0.80
Varnsdorf is 0.17 points worse than Prostějov in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Viktoria Žižkov
1.70
Chrudim
1.57
Zlin
1.50
Vlašim
1.43
Slavia Praha II
1.37
Sparta Praha II
1.37
Zbrojovka Brno
1.30
Varnsdorf
1.30
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Táborsko
1.13
Vyškov
1.10
Sigma Olomouc II
1.03
Artis
1.03
Prostějov
1.03
Opava
0.97
Varnsdorf is 0.27 goals better than Prostějov in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlin
0.47
Vyškov
0.80
Chrudim
1.00
Táborsko
1.00
Artis
1.17
Slavia Praha II
1.23
Opava
1.30
Vysočina Jihlava
1.30
Vlašim
1.30
Sparta Praha II
1.30
Zbrojovka Brno
1.37
Prostějov
1.40
Baník Ostrava II
1.53
Varnsdorf
1.57
Viktoria Žižkov
1.63
Sigma Olomouc II
1.80
Varnsdorf is 0.17 goals worse than Prostějov in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VarnsdorfVarnsdorf

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W01L11D01L21W12L01L00DA·SLA03/11H·BAN10/11A·OPA01/03H·ZBR09/03H·SPA16/03A·CHR29/03H·ART06/04A·VYŠ12/04H·TÁB16/04A·SIG20/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.570.710.560.50
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.590.590.620.690.560.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Prostějov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ProstějovProstějov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D01L00D00D00D02L00D01L00DH·SIG08/11A·OPA16/11A·ZLI03/03H·VIK07/03A·VLA14/03H·BAN28/03A·VYS04/04H·SLA11/04A·ZBR16/04H·OPA20/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.570.360.560.88
vs Stronger (8)0.380.500.000.000.600.80
vs Similar (22)0.640.680.730.450.550.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Varnsdorf) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Varnsdorf over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VarnsdorfVarnsdorf

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D02L10W11D00D10W11D30WA·SLA03/11H·BAN10/11A·OPA01/03H·ZBR09/03H·SPA16/03A·CHR29/03H·ART06/04A·VYŠ12/04H·TÁB16/04A·SIG20/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.870.501.001.000.75
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (29)0.760.830.460.921.000.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Prostějov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ProstějovProstějov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W02L21W13L10W01L00D10W00DH·SIG08/11A·OPA16/11A·ZLI03/03H·VIK07/03A·VLA14/03H·BAN28/03A·VYS04/04H·SLA11/04A·ZBR16/04H·OPA20/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.770.930.570.500.94
vs Stronger (8)1.000.501.330.330.800.60
vs Similar (22)0.590.860.820.640.361.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Varnsdorf) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Varnsdorf over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prostějov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
ZLI (27)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (10)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZLI (6)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
SPI (5)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
ZLI (13)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
VAR wins
2
Draws
1
PRO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Varnsdorf vs Prostějov · H/A from VAR
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24AProstějov Vs VAR1-1
21/04/24HVAR Vs Prostějov5-1
23/09/23AProstějov Vs VAR1-0
04/03/23AProstějov Vs VAR1-1
14/08/22HVAR Vs Prostějov2-0

VarnsdorfVarnsdorf

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/25ASigma Olomouc II Vs VAR0-3
16/04/25HVAR Vs Táborsko1-2
12/04/25AVyškov Vs VAR2-2
06/04/25HVAR Vs Artis2-1
29/03/25AChrudim Vs VAR2-1
16/03/25HVAR Vs Sparta Praha II2-1
09/03/25HVAR Vs Zbrojovka Brno0-3
01/03/25AOpava Vs VAR0-1
10/11/24HVAR Vs Baník Ostrava II0-0
03/11/24ASlavia Praha II Vs VAR2-1

ProstějovProstějov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/25HPRO Vs Opava0-0
16/04/25AZbrojovka Brno Vs PRO1-1
11/04/25HPRO Vs Slavia Praha II0-0
04/04/25AVysočina Jihlava Vs PRO3-0
28/03/25HPRO Vs Baník Ostrava II1-0
14/03/25AVlašim Vs PRO3-1
07/03/25HPRO Vs Viktoria Žižkov2-1
03/03/25AZlin Vs PRO3-0
16/11/24AOpava Vs PRO1-2
08/11/24HPRO Vs Sigma Olomouc II2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Varnsdorf
Varnsdorf
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW1.26
HomeDLWWL1.38
AwayLWLDW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%27%
AVG goals3.083.382.81
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %62%71%54%
Over 3.5 %30%38%23%
Scored1.561.711.42
Conceded1.521.671.38
BTTS70%75%65%
Clean Sheet12%8%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Prostějov
Prostějov
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDD1.32
HomeWWWDD1.75
AwayWLLLD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%50%23%
AVG goals2.742.542.92
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %56%46%65%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored1.261.501.04
Conceded1.481.041.88
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZlinZlin3071
70%
2.4
4514+31
2.0
67%
33%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.50.5
-
2ChrudimChrudim3053
50%
1.8
4730+17
2.6
77%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
3VyškovVyškov3046
40%
1.5
3324+9
1.9
60%
33%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.8
-
4TáborskoTáborsko3041
37%
1.4
3430+4
2.1
60%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.0
-
5VlašimVlašim3040
30%
1.3
4339+4
2.7
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.3
-
6Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3040
33%
1.3
4139+2
2.7
70%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov3039
37%
1.3
5149+2
3.3
80%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.6
-
8Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno3039
30%
1.3
3941-2
2.7
77%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.31.4
-
9ArtisArtis3039
30%
1.3
3135-4
2.2
70%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.01.2
-
10Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II3037
30%
1.2
4137+4
2.6
73%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3261.41.2
-
11Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3037
27%
1.2
3539-4
2.5
87%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
12ProstějovProstějov3037
30%
1.2
3142-11
2.4
73%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.4
-
13OpavaOpava3036
30%
1.2
2939-10
2.3
63%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.3
-
14Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II3034
30%
1.1
3546-11
2.7
67%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.21.5
-
15VarnsdorfVarnsdorf3032
27%
1.1
3947-8
2.9
87%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
16Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II3024
20%
0.8
3154-23
2.8
77%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
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Czech-Republic: FNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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