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Varnsdorf vs Viktoria Žižkov Result & Analysis

Date: 21/07/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Varnsdorf
Varnsdorf
Vs
54%
24%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Viktoria Žižkov
Viktoria Žižkov
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varnsdorf win✗ Miss
54.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov win✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VarnsdorfVarnsdorf

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-514L41W11D51W12L33D32W11D10W12LA·TÁB06/04H·ZBR14/04A·CHR17/04H·PRO21/04A·VYŠ27/04A·VYS03/05H·HAN08/05A·VIK12/05H·PŘÍ19/05A·SIG25/05
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.672.201.601.201.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.701.672.201.601.201.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W32W05L31W02L32W20W11D21W02LA·VLA05/04H·HAN14/04A·TÁB17/04H·CHR21/04A·SPA28/04H·VYŠ05/05A·ZBR08/05H·VAR12/05A·VYS19/05H·PRO25/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.701.871.801.071.60
vs Stronger (6)1.672.002.673.000.671.00
vs Similar (24)1.421.621.671.501.171.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Varnsdorf) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.2%
Under 1.5
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.6%
Under 2.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.3%
Under 3.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.1%
No
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
1-0
7.0%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.3%
Varnsdorf goals ↓
Viktoria Žižkov goals →
01234
04.9%3.9%3.0%1.2%0.4%
17.0%11%6.0%2.4%0.7%
27.9%9.7%6.0%2.4%0.7%
35.3%6.5%4.0%1.6%0.5%
42.6%3.2%2.0%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Varnsdorf goals (down), columns = Viktoria Žižkov goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zlin
2.37
Chrudim
1.77
Vyškov
1.53
Táborsko
1.37
Vlašim
1.33
Sparta Praha II
1.33
Zbrojovka Brno
1.30
Artis
1.30
Viktoria Žižkov
1.30
Vysočina Jihlava
1.23
Slavia Praha II
1.23
Prostějov
1.23
Opava
1.20
Baník Ostrava II
1.13
Varnsdorf
1.07
Sigma Olomouc II
0.80
Varnsdorf is 0.23 points worse than Viktoria Žižkov in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Viktoria Žižkov
1.70
Chrudim
1.57
Zlin
1.50
Vlašim
1.43
Slavia Praha II
1.37
Sparta Praha II
1.37
Zbrojovka Brno
1.30
Varnsdorf
1.30
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Táborsko
1.13
Vyškov
1.10
Sigma Olomouc II
1.03
Artis
1.03
Prostějov
1.03
Opava
0.97
Varnsdorf is 0.40 goals worse than Viktoria Žižkov in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.70).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlin
0.47
Vyškov
0.80
Chrudim
1.00
Táborsko
1.00
Artis
1.17
Slavia Praha II
1.23
Opava
1.30
Vysočina Jihlava
1.30
Vlašim
1.30
Sparta Praha II
1.30
Zbrojovka Brno
1.37
Prostějov
1.40
Baník Ostrava II
1.53
Varnsdorf
1.57
Viktoria Žižkov
1.63
Sigma Olomouc II
1.80
Varnsdorf is 0.07 goals better than Viktoria Žižkov in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VarnsdorfVarnsdorf

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L21W00D10W11D11D10W01L00D10WA·TÁB06/04H·ZBR14/04A·CHR17/04H·PRO21/04A·VYŠ27/04A·VYS03/05H·HAN08/05A·VIK12/05H·PŘÍ19/05A·SIG25/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.730.800.530.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.630.770.730.800.530.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D02L11D02L21W00D10W00D00DA·VLA05/04H·HAN14/04A·TÁB17/04H·CHR21/04A·SPA28/04H·VYŠ05/05A·ZBR08/05H·VAR12/05A·VYS19/05H·PRO25/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.631.000.670.330.60
vs Stronger (6)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.580.670.750.580.420.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Varnsdorf) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Varnsdorf over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VarnsdorfVarnsdorf

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L20W11D41W01L22D22D10W10W02LA·TÁB06/04H·ZBR14/04A·CHR17/04H·PRO21/04A·VYŠ27/04A·VYS03/05H·HAN08/05A·VIK12/05H·PŘÍ19/05A·SIG25/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.901.470.800.671.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.070.901.470.800.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoria Žižkov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D32W03L20W00D11D20W01L21W02LA·VLA05/04H·HAN14/04A·TÁB17/04H·CHR21/04A·SPA28/04H·VYŠ05/05A·ZBR08/05H·VAR12/05A·VYS19/05H·PRO25/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.070.871.130.731.00
vs Stronger (6)0.671.500.672.000.671.00
vs Similar (24)0.830.960.920.920.751.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Varnsdorf) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Varnsdorf over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varnsdorf over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoria Žižkov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
ZLI (27)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (10)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZLI (6)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
SPI (5)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
ZLI (13)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
VAR wins
1
Draws
0
VŽ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Varnsdorf vs Viktoria Žižkov · H/A from VAR
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/24AViktoria Žižkov Vs VAR1-1
29/10/23HVAR Vs Viktoria Žižkov4-2

VarnsdorfVarnsdorf

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/24ASigma Olomouc II Vs VAR2-1
19/05/24HVAR Vs Příbram1-0
12/05/24AViktoria Žižkov Vs VAR1-1
08/05/24HVAR Vs Hanácká3-2
03/05/24AVysočina Jihlava Vs VAR3-3
27/04/24AVyškov Vs VAR2-1
21/04/24HVAR Vs Prostějov5-1
17/04/24AChrudim Vs VAR1-1
14/04/24HVAR Vs Zbrojovka Brno4-1
06/04/24ATáborsko Vs VAR4-1

Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/24HVŽ Vs Prostějov0-2
19/05/24AVysočina Jihlava Vs VŽ1-2
12/05/24HVŽ Vs Varnsdorf1-1
08/05/24AZbrojovka Brno Vs VŽ0-2
05/05/24HVŽ Vs Vyškov3-2
28/04/24ASparta Praha II Vs VŽ2-0
21/04/24HVŽ Vs Chrudim3-1
17/04/24ATáborsko Vs VŽ5-0
14/04/24HVŽ Vs Hanácká3-2
05/04/24AVlašim Vs VŽ0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Varnsdorf
Varnsdorf
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWL1.20
HomeDWWWW1.75
AwayDLDDL0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%46%12%
AVG goals3.424.082.81
Over 1.5 %84%88%81%
Over 2.5 %58%62%54%
Over 3.5 %40%58%23%
Scored1.742.421.12
Conceded1.681.671.69
BTTS74%75%73%
Clean Sheet10%17%4%
Corners---
Cards---
Viktoria Žižkov
Viktoria Žižkov
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.30
HomeWWWDL1.47
AwayWLLWW1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%40%33%
AVG goals3.173.672.67
Over 1.5 %80%93%67%
Over 2.5 %50%60%40%
Over 3.5 %43%60%27%
Scored1.471.871.07
Conceded1.701.801.60
BTTS57%80%33%
Clean Sheet13%0%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZlinZlin3071
70%
2.4
4514+31
2.0
67%
33%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.50.5
-
2ChrudimChrudim3053
50%
1.8
4730+17
2.6
77%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
3VyškovVyškov3046
40%
1.5
3324+9
1.9
60%
33%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.8
-
4TáborskoTáborsko3041
37%
1.4
3430+4
2.1
60%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.0
-
5VlašimVlašim3040
30%
1.3
4339+4
2.7
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.3
-
6Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3040
33%
1.3
4139+2
2.7
70%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov3039
37%
1.3
5149+2
3.3
80%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.6
-
8Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno3039
30%
1.3
3941-2
2.7
77%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.31.4
-
9ArtisArtis3039
30%
1.3
3135-4
2.2
70%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.01.2
-
10Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II3037
30%
1.2
4137+4
2.6
73%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3261.41.2
-
11Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3037
27%
1.2
3539-4
2.5
87%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
12ProstějovProstějov3037
30%
1.2
3142-11
2.4
73%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.4
-
13OpavaOpava3036
30%
1.2
2939-10
2.3
63%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.3
-
14Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II3034
30%
1.1
3546-11
2.7
67%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.21.5
-
15VarnsdorfVarnsdorf3032
27%
1.1
3947-8
2.9
87%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
16Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II3024
20%
0.8
3154-23
2.8
77%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
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Czech-Republic: FNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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