Vasas are favoured to win, with a 60% chance of triumph, 22% for a draw and 18% for a Nyiregyhaza victory. The model predicts a high-scoring affair, averaging 3.2 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 10.2% probability. Vasas, playing at home against a similarly-sized opponent, have been scoring 1.88 goals per game while conceding just 0.88. Nyiregyhaza, on the road, average 1.0 goal scored and 1.93 conceded against comparable teams. Recent form shows Vasas after two straight defeats, losing 1-3 to Ujpest, while Nyiregyhaza comes off a 1-1 draw with Paks. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.3% with a 4% edge, Under 7.5 at 98.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.5% with a 7% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.8% with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.7% with a 4% edge, Under 6.5 at 95.5% with a 4% edge, Home +2 handicap at 93.3%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.1% with a 7% edge.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Vasas win
60.3%
Avg Implied 41.6% · @ 2.21
Edge
+18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.30
William Hil
2.30
Betano
2.27
Dafabet
2.26
Bet365
2.25
Draw
22.1%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.41
Edge
-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.57
Unibet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.45
10Bet
3.45
Nyiregyhaza win
17.5%
Avg Implied 31.4% · @ 2.93
Edge
-13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.15
Superbet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.99
Dafabet
2.95
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Vasas
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.77
2.13
0.73
1.53
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
1.93
1.07
1.88
0.88
2.00
1.29
vs Weaker (13)
1.77
0.54
2.33
0.67
1.29
0.43
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.63
1.53
1.40
1.13
1.87
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.29
1.61
1.57
1.29
1.00
1.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.9%
@ 1.21+7.2%
Under 1.5
16.1%
@ 3.98-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Under
Betfair
4.33
Unibet
4.20
Pinnacle
4.08
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.2%
@ 1.71+7.5%
Under 2.5
37.8%
@ 2.06-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.77
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.08
Unibet
2.08
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.07
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.0%
@ 2.74+6.2%
Under 3.5
60.0%
@ 1.40-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.87
10Bet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Under
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
Unibet
1.41
Both teams to score
Yes
59.2%
@ 1.57+0.4%
No
40.8%
@ 2.24-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Betano
1.57
No
Betfair
2.30
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%@ 6.10+3.1%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.95+4.4%
2-0
9.1%@ 10.62+5.1%
1-0
7.7%@ 8.42+2.5%
3-1
7.0%@ 14.21+4.0%
3-0
6.5%@ 19.51+4.3%
2-2
5.4%@ 10.73+1.3%
1-2
5.0%@ 9.38+0.4%
Vasas goals ↓
Nyiregyhaza goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
3.4%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
1
7.7%
10%
5.0%
1.8%
0.5%
2
9.1%
9.9%
5.4%
1.9%
0.5%
3
6.5%
7.0%
3.8%
1.4%
0.4%
4
3.4%
3.7%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vasas goals (down), columns = Nyiregyhaza goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Ujpest
1.67
Gyori ETO FC
1.50
MTK Budapest
1.50
Paks
1.33
Vasas
1.33
Budapest Honved
1.20
Nyiregyhaza
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.50
Vasas is 0.17 points better than Nyiregyhaza in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
2.17
Ujpest
2.17
MTK Budapest
2.17
Gyori ETO FC
1.83
Vasas
1.67
Puskas Academy
1.67
Ferencvarosi TC
1.60
Budapest Honved
1.60
Kisvarda FC
1.17
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Nyiregyhaza
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83
Vasas is 0.67 goals better than Nyiregyhaza in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.17
Vasas
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.33
Puskas Academy
1.33
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.60
Ujpest
1.67
MTK Budapest
1.67
Nyiregyhaza
1.67
Paks
2.17
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50
Vasas is 0.50 goals better than Nyiregyhaza in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
58%
Debreceni VSC
55%
Gyori ETO FC
53%
Budapest Honved
52%
Ujpest
51%
Nyiregyhaza
51%
Paks
50%
MTK Budapest
50%
Zalaegerszegi TE
49%
Puskas Academy
45%
Vasas
43%
Kisvarda FC
42%
Vasas is 8.0 percentage points worse than Nyiregyhaza in terms of average possession (43% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Vasas
For 1.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 10.0 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nyiregyhaza
For 6.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 17.0 · Total 32.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vasas
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
4.5
5.0
4.0
0.2
0.2
0.1
23.0
21.0
25.0
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
4.5
5.0
4.0
0.4
0.5
0.3
23.0
21.0
25.0
vs Weaker (28)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
0%
0%
0%
2%
4%
0%
50%
0%
100%
% under line
100%
100%
100%
98%
96%
100%
50%
100%
0%
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.0
-
0.1
0.2
0.0
32.0
32.0
-
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
11.0
11.0
-
0.1
0.3
0.0
32.0
32.0
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
-
2%
4%
0%
100%
100%
-
% under line
0%
0%
-
98%
96%
100%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nyiregyhaza
11.0
Paks
10.4
Gyori ETO FC
10.0
Debreceni VSC
9.9
Ujpest
9.9
Kisvarda FC
9.9
MTK Budapest
9.8
Puskas Academy
9.7
Ferencvarosi TC
9.7
Budapest Honved
9.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
8.9
Vasas
4.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nyiregyhaza
6.0
Paks
5.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.1
Debreceni VSC
5.1
Ujpest
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.8
Gyori ETO FC
4.8
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
MTK Budapest
4.4
Budapest Honved
4.1
Kisvarda FC
4.1
Vasas
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Nyiregyhaza
32.0
Paks
28.6
Ferencvarosi TC
27.9
Debreceni VSC
27.8
Puskas Academy
27.7
Ujpest
26.2
Gyori ETO FC
24.9
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.8
MTK Budapest
24.6
Kisvarda FC
24.1
Vasas
23.0
Budapest Honved
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.6%
@ 1.85-6.7%
Under 9.5
56.4%
@ 1.87+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.84
10Bet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.85
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.6%
Under 3.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
78.6%
Under 21.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vasas or Draw
82.5%
Avg Implied 68.5% · @ 1.35
Edge
+14.0%
60%
22%
18%
covers Vasas + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
William Hil
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Vasas or Nyiregyhaza
77.9%
Avg Implied 73.5% · @ 1.26
Edge
+4.4%
60%
22%
18%
covers Vasas + Nyiregyhaza
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.25
Draw or Nyiregyhaza
39.7%
Avg Implied 58.1% · @ 1.59
Edge
-18.4%
60%
22%
18%
covers Draw + Nyiregyhaza
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.63
Superbet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vasas over/under 0.5
Over
88.1%
@ 1.20+10.3%
Under
11.9%
@ 4.18-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Under
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.25
Superbet
4.15
1xBet
4.10
Vasas over/under 1.5
Over
62.7%
@ 2.02+16.6%
Under
37.3%
@ 1.73-16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Under
Superbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Vasas over/under 2.5
Over
35.8%
@ 4.23+13.9%
Under
64.2%
@ 1.19-13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Vasas over/under 3.5
Over
16.7%
@ 9.44+6.7%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.04-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.70
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5
Over
66.1%
@ 1.28-6.1%
Under
33.9%
@ 3.34+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.49
Betano
3.35
10Bet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5
Over
29.5%
@ 2.39-9.4%
Under
70.5%
@ 1.52+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.50
Superbet
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Bet365
2.38
10Bet
2.38
Under
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5
Over
9.6%
@ 5.43-7.4%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.11+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.45
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Nyiregyhaza over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
@ 12.58-5.1%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.03+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Vasas, so a minus line means Vasas give that many goals of a start and Nyiregyhaza receive them. At -1, Vasas must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vasas win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vasas)
Vasas -2
19.7%
@ 8.47+9.1%
Draw -2
18.5%
@ 6.28+4.2%
Nyiregyhaza +2
61.8%
@ 1.19-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.60
Superbet
7.80
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
Superbet
5.90
Away
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (Vasas)
Vasas -1
38.2%
@ 4.11+16.4%
Draw -1
22.2%
@ 4.03-0.1%
Nyiregyhaza +1
39.7%
@ 1.60-16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.90
Away
Superbet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
Handicap +1 (Vasas)
Vasas +1
82.5%
@ 1.35+16.6%
Draw +1
10.8%
@ 4.72-8.1%
Nyiregyhaza -1
6.7%
@ 5.83-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
10Bet
4.50
Away
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.75
Handicap +2 (Vasas)
Vasas +2
93.3%
@ 1.10+11.3%
Draw +2
4.8%
@ 8.20-6.3%
Nyiregyhaza -2
1.9%
@ 13.00-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Superbet
7.90
Away
Superbet
13.00
Bet365
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vasas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.17
0.80
0.13
0.60
0.20
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.20
0.75
0.12
0.71
0.29
vs Weaker (13)
0.69
0.15
0.83
0.17
0.57
0.14
Clean sheet %
83% (+59pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.60
0.67
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.50
0.68
0.57
0.57
0.43
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.4%
@ 1.32+0.2%
Under 0.5
29.6%
@ 3.13-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.32
William Hil
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.3%
@ 2.51-4.7%
Under 1.5
67.7%
@ 1.48+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.63
Betano
2.60
Betfair
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Under
William Hil
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.6%
@ 5.83-2.3%
Under 2.5
86.4%
@ 1.10+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.90
William Hil
5.80
Under
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vasas over/under 0.5 HT
Over
52.4%
@ 1.86+2.6%
Under
47.6%
@ 1.85-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.82
Vasas over/under 1.5 HT
Over
18.2%
@ 5.34+0.9%
Under
81.8%
@ 1.12-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.20
Superbet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
Vasas over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.1%
@ 14.75-3.3%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.0%
@ 2.08-10.5%
Under
66.0%
@ 1.67+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.15
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Under
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.66
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.3%
@ 6.57-6.8%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.07+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Superbet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
@ 19.00-4.2%
Under
99.2%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vasas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.60
1.33
0.60
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
1.20
0.87
1.12
0.75
1.29
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
1.08
0.38
1.50
0.50
0.71
0.29
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nyiregyhaza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.93
0.93
0.73
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.93
1.00
0.71
0.57
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Vasas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.0%
@ 1.18+2.8%
Under 0.5
19.0%
@ 4.25-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.35
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
51.4%
@ 1.89+2.5%
Under 1.5
48.6%
@ 1.81-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.92
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Betano
1.90
Under
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
William Hil
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
23.1%
@ 3.81-1.2%
Under 2.5
76.9%
@ 1.22+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
Superbet
3.85
1xBet
3.82
Marathonbet
3.82
Bet365
3.75
Under
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vasas over/under 0.5 2H
Over
61.4%
@ 1.59+3.1%
Under
38.6%
@ 2.23-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.60
10Bet
1.57
Under
10Bet
2.25
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Vasas over/under 1.5 2H
Over
26.0%
@ 3.84+1.9%
Under
74.0%
@ 1.22-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.96
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.85
10Bet
3.80
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Vasas over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.1%
@ 9.50-1.7%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.04+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.0%
@ 1.75-9.9%
Under
57.0%
@ 1.97+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
Superbet
1.92
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.4%
@ 4.73-9.1%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.15+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
@ 12.67-5.2%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.02+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.2%
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.2%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+5.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
Under 6.5
95.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+0.9%
Home +2 handicap
93.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
-
-
-
+11.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+6.8%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
-
-
+1.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
90.4%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
+7.4%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.6%
1.15
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
+9.1%
Under 5.5
89.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-0.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
88.1%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+10.3%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.11
+2.3%
Over 2.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.9%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
+7.2%
Home under 3.5 goals
83.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-6.7%
Home or Draw
82.5%
1.35
Betano
1.42
William Hil
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Bet365
1.36
+14.0%
Home +1 handicap
82.5%
1.35
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
-
+16.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.8%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-0.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
+2.8%
Over 21.5 fouls
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
78.5%
1.28
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
-
-
+7.3%
Under 4.5
77.9%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
-3.8%
Home or Away
77.9%
1.26
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.25
+4.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.9%
1.22
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
+1.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
74.0%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
-1.9%
Away under 1.5 goals
70.5%
1.52
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
+9.4%
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.4%
1.32
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.32
+0.2%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
Vasas and Nyiregyhaza have a similar squad value (both €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
Vasas and Nyiregyhaza have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
Vasas's midfield is €1m more valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
Vasas's defence is €1m less valuable than Nyiregyhaza's (€2m vs €3m).
Hungary: NB I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
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Puskas Academy
Ujpest
Ferencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO FC
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Paks
Budapest Honved
Kisvarda FC
Debreceni VSC
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