This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aalborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.77
1.21
2.00
1.81
1.56
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
2.25
0.50
2.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.90
1.62
1.22
1.89
2.42
1.42
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.9%
Under 2.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.9%
No
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
6.5%
0-1
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
Vejle goals ↓
Aalborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
6.5%
5.6%
2.8%
1.0%
1
6.5%
12%
8.4%
4.1%
1.5%
2
5.7%
8.4%
6.2%
3.1%
1.1%
3
2.8%
4.2%
3.1%
1.5%
0.6%
4
1.1%
1.6%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vejle goals (down), columns = Aalborg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.97
FC Midtjylland
1.94
Brondby
1.59
Silkeborg
1.58
Viborg
1.47
Randers FC
1.45
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Aarhus
1.25
Sonderjyske
1.16
Vejle
0.88
Lyngby
0.84
Aalborg
0.75
Vejle is 0.12 points better than Aalborg in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 0.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.00
FC Copenhagen
1.88
Brondby
1.81
Silkeborg
1.79
Viborg
1.78
Randers FC
1.76
Aarhus
1.66
FC Nordsjaelland
1.66
Sonderjyske
1.47
Vejle
1.16
Aalborg
1.06
Lyngby
0.81
Vejle is 0.09 goals better than Aalborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Copenhagen
1.03
Silkeborg
1.27
FC Midtjylland
1.31
Lyngby
1.34
Aarhus
1.44
Brondby
1.44
Viborg
1.56
Randers FC
1.61
FC Nordsjaelland
1.75
Sonderjyske
2.00
Vejle
2.00
Aalborg
2.09
Vejle is 0.09 goals better than Aalborg in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 2.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
61%
Brondby
54%
Silkeborg
54%
FC Copenhagen
53%
Aarhus
52%
Viborg
49%
FC Midtjylland
48%
Aalborg
47%
Sonderjyske
47%
Lyngby
47%
Randers FC
46%
Vejle
42%
Vejle is 4.5 percentage points worse than Aalborg in terms of average possession (42% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Vejle
For 4.0 · Against 7.2 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 9.8 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aalborg
For 5.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 10.9 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vejle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.6
10.4
3.5
3.7
3.3
22.7
23.0
22.4
vs Stronger (13)
12.3
13.6
11.5
3.6
4.8
2.9
21.3
21.8
21.0
vs Similar (37)
10.5
11.1
9.9
3.5
3.4
3.6
23.2
23.4
23.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
62%
60%
48%
50%
46%
61%
58%
64%
% under line
39%
38%
40%
52%
50%
54%
39%
42%
36%
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aalborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.5
11.2
1.8
1.9
1.6
21.3
22.1
20.5
vs Stronger (8)
11.0
11.2
10.8
3.1
2.5
3.8
18.8
19.2
18.2
vs Similar (36)
10.7
10.1
11.4
1.8
2.1
1.4
22.7
23.5
21.9
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
57%
67%
45%
26%
26%
26%
39%
58%
18%
% under line
43%
33%
55%
74%
74%
74%
61%
42%
82%
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Midtjylland
11.3
Viborg
11.3
Vejle
10.9
Lyngby
10.7
Brondby
10.2
Randers FC
10.1
Aalborg
10.0
FC Nordsjaelland
9.7
Sonderjyske
9.6
Aarhus
9.4
FC Copenhagen
9.3
Silkeborg
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aarhus
4.4
FC Copenhagen
4.2
Lyngby
4.0
Viborg
3.9
Vejle
3.8
Randers FC
3.8
Sonderjyske
3.8
Brondby
3.7
FC Midtjylland
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
Aalborg
3.6
Silkeborg
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lyngby
24.3
Aarhus
23.7
Randers FC
23.3
Vejle
22.7
Sonderjyske
22.4
Viborg
22.2
FC Copenhagen
21.9
FC Midtjylland
21.5
Aalborg
21.4
FC Nordsjaelland
20.8
Brondby
20.7
Silkeborg
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.2%
Under 9.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.2%
Under 3.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
50.1%
Under 21.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vejle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.57
0.36
0.44
0.94
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.73
0.80
0.40
0.42
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aalborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.50
0.86
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.67
0.33
0.78
0.83
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vejle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vejle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.23
0.86
1.50
0.56
1.00
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.75
0.75
1.75
0.25
1.75
vs Similar (22)
0.77
1.05
0.90
1.40
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aalborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.00
0.71
1.14
1.19
0.88
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
1.25
0.25
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.29
0.95
0.89
1.11
1.58
0.83
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vejle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vejle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
German Onugkha43%
Dimitrios Emmanouilidis17%
Musa Juwara14%
Stefan Velkov13%
Tobias Lauritsen12%
Richard Jensen9%
Anders Jacobsen8%
Kristian Kirkegaard7%
Yeni N'Gbakoto5%
Hamza Barry5%
Thomas Gundelund5%
Damian van Bruggen3%
Christian Gammelgaard3%
Luka Hujber0%
Lundrim Hetemi0%
Marius Elvius0%
Miiko Albornoz0%
Igor Vekić0%
David Čolina0%
Masaki Murata0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Oliver Provstgaard0%
Lasse Flø0%
Sander Ravn0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emmanuel Yeboah22%
Stefan Velkov22%
Kristian Kirkegaard21%
Hamza Barry18%
Tobias Lauritsen18%
Masaki Murata17%
Damian van Bruggen14%
Musa Juwara14%
Lundrim Hetemi12%
Oliver Provstgaard12%
Luka Hujber11%
Marius Elvius10%
Thomas Gundelund9%
Richard Jensen9%
Lasse Flø9%
David Čolina8%
German Onugkha5%
Yeni N'Gbakoto5%
Dimitrios Emmanouilidis3%
Christian Gammelgaard3%
Anders Jacobsen0%
Miiko Albornoz0%
Igor Vekić0%
Sander Ravn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hamza Barry23%
Christian Gammelgaard20%
Anders Jacobsen12%
Tobias Lauritsen12%
David Čolina12%
Musa Juwara10%
Luka Hujber5%
German Onugkha5%
Marius Elvius5%
Thomas Gundelund5%
Dimitrios Emmanouilidis3%
Kristian Kirkegaard3%
Lundrim Hetemi3%
Yeni N'Gbakoto0%
Miiko Albornoz0%
Richard Jensen0%
Stefan Velkov0%
Damian van Bruggen0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Oliver Provstgaard0%
Lasse Flø0%
Sander Ravn0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
German Onugkha33%
Emmanuel Yeboah11%
Dimitrios Emmanouilidis7%
Musa Juwara7%
Christian Gammelgaard7%
Tobias Lauritsen6%
Yeni N'Gbakoto5%
Stefan Velkov4%
Kristian Kirkegaard3%
Hamza Barry0%
Luka Hujber0%
Thomas Gundelund0%
Lundrim Hetemi0%
Anders Jacobsen0%
Marius Elvius0%
Miiko Albornoz0%
Richard Jensen0%
Damian van Bruggen0%
Igor Vekić0%
David Čolina0%
Masaki Murata0%
Oliver Provstgaard0%
Lasse Flø0%
Sander Ravn0%
Aalborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Malthe Højholt33%
Mathias Jørgensen25%
John Iredale21%
Nicklas Helenius19%
Aaron Seydel17%
Kasper Jørgensen13%
Melker Widell11%
Mads Bomholt10%
Oliver Ross7%
Bjarne Pudel5%
Andres Jasson3%
Jubril Adedeji0%
Andreas Bruus0%
Lars Kramer0%
Oumar Diakhité0%
Diego Caballo0%
Vincent Müller0%
Kelvin John0%
Isak Hansen Aarøen0%
Marc Nielsen0%
Mylian Jimenez0%
Elison Makolli0%
Travis Hernes0%
Sebastian Otoa0%
Nóel Atli Arnórsson0%
Kasper Davidsen0%
Valdemar Møller Damgaard0%
Amar Diagne0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oumar Diakhité31%
Bjarne Pudel29%
Mylian Jimenez26%
Kasper Davidsen22%
Melker Widell19%
Lars Kramer17%
Marc Nielsen17%
Andres Jasson16%
Kasper Jørgensen13%
Jubril Adedeji12%
Andreas Bruus10%
Oliver Ross10%
Travis Hernes8%
Isak Hansen Aarøen7%
Mads Bomholt7%
Nóel Atli Arnórsson6%
Kelvin John4%
Vincent Müller3%
Malthe Højholt0%
Nicklas Helenius0%
Aaron Seydel0%
Diego Caballo0%
Mathias Jørgensen0%
John Iredale0%
Elison Makolli0%
Sebastian Otoa0%
Valdemar Møller Damgaard0%
Amar Diagne0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicklas Helenius19%
Mathias Jørgensen16%
Nóel Atli Arnórsson12%
Melker Widell11%
Sebastian Otoa10%
Andres Jasson10%
Kasper Jørgensen7%
Bjarne Pudel5%
Kelvin John4%
Mylian Jimenez4%
Kasper Davidsen4%
Lars Kramer3%
Oliver Ross3%
Malthe Højholt0%
Jubril Adedeji0%
Andreas Bruus0%
Aaron Seydel0%
Oumar Diakhité0%
Diego Caballo0%
Vincent Müller0%
John Iredale0%
Isak Hansen Aarøen0%
Marc Nielsen0%
Elison Makolli0%
Travis Hernes0%
Mads Bomholt0%
Valdemar Møller Damgaard0%
Amar Diagne0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathias Jørgensen31%
Kasper Jørgensen17%
Melker Widell15%
Jubril Adedeji12%
John Iredale7%
Oliver Ross7%
Mylian Jimenez4%
Andres Jasson3%
Malthe Højholt0%
Nicklas Helenius0%
Andreas Bruus0%
Aaron Seydel0%
Lars Kramer0%
Oumar Diakhité0%
Diego Caballo0%
Vincent Müller0%
Kelvin John0%
Bjarne Pudel0%
Isak Hansen Aarøen0%
Marc Nielsen0%
Elison Makolli0%
Travis Hernes0%
Sebastian Otoa0%
Nóel Atli Arnórsson0%
Mads Bomholt0%
Kasper Davidsen0%
Valdemar Møller Damgaard0%
Amar Diagne0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
Vejle's squad is €1m less valuable than Aalborg's (€9m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
Vejle and Aalborg have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
Vejle and Aalborg have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
VEJ (9)
€4m
Vejle's defence is €2m less valuable than Aalborg's (€4m vs €6m).
Denmark: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Silkeborg
Brondby
Randers FC
Viborg
FC Nordsjaelland
Aarhus
Sonderjyske
Lyngby